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2022-08-24 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1313
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.403697-1.71%0.369-10.15%0.0240✗1.1189k2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,627.65-1.76%1,326.82-19.91%0.0679✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.366106-2.06%0.3197-14.47%0.0084✓1.24215k2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.072576-2.29%0.06183-16.76%0.0384✓1.1929k2022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.21406-2.57%0.1977-10.01%0.0228✓1.0067k2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.5659-2.69%4.61-19.41%0.1021✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.106439-2.78%0.123119+12.46%0.2334✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.045253-2.81%0.04111-11.71%0.0257✓0.6916k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.8956-2.82%33.66-3.50%0.1113✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.919855-2.83%0.79781-15.73%0.0433✓0.9713k2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.570975-2.90%0.408-30.61%0.2108✓1.221,8732022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.108493-2.96%0.0927-17.08%0.0853✓0.703,6712022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.7711-3.06%1.424-22.06%0.1200✓0.96147k2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036544-3.07%0.0337-10.61%0.0140✓0.9381k2022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.3073-3.36%8.985-6.71%0.0625✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008793-3.37%0.00719-20.99%0.1246✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.903388-3.40%0.8-14.45%0.0404✓0.7977k2022-09-23
TRXTRONTron0.064820.062607-3.41%0.060491-6.68%0.0251✓0.58164k2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058516-3.44%0.0538-11.22%0.0095✓0.91120k2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.441518-3.54%0.4617+0.87%0.1514✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.8696-3.54%7.446+4.55%0.1897✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.025943-3.63%0.02202-18.20%0.0341✓1.273,2032022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,632.61-3.67%19,121.60-10.72%0.0215✓0.9511k2022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.566051-3.67%0.46747-20.45%0.0600✓1.2845k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4654.3755-3.69%55.23-2.18%0.1172✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.142629-3.69%0.1314-11.28%0.0203✓1.00149k2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.226452-3.76%0.2263-3.82%0.0914✗0.90510k2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0051-3.76%0.9226-11.66%0.0384✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005541-3.82%0.005038-12.56%0.0268✓0.672,6422022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.290734-3.83%0.3992+32.05%0.4112✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0122.1284-3.83%17.97-21.90%0.0759✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4184.959-3.90%77.03-12.87%0.0599✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.351434-3.90%0.41152+12.53%0.2587✗0.98435k2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.661-3.94%1.93-30.32%0.2700✓0.5093k2022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,523.97-3.95%19,286.01-9.74%0.0403✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.211356-3.97%0.1731-21.35%0.0972✓1.00152k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.160217-3.99%0.16406-1.69%0.2407✗2.126042022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55144.5272-4.00%141.47-6.03%0.0806✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.119854-4.04%0.132+5.68%0.1999✗1.0135k2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108103.6221-4.05%110.81+2.60%0.1537✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.433553-4.08%0.403-10.84%0.0288✓0.998,8922022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.73e-7-4.09%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0053✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.386571-4.11%0.38048-5.62%0.0804✗0.9462k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.09489-4.15%0.1073+8.38%0.2191✗0.94430k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.987115-4.17%0.917-10.98%0.0176✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.3037-4.20%4.233-5.77%0.0629✗0.78827k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8537-4.25%1.627-15.96%0.0376✓0.91782k2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.00307-4.38%0.00331+3.12%0.1811✗1.03537k2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.163491-4.39%0.157-8.19%0.0980✗1.352,1742022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.9617-4.40%4.69-9.63%0.0149✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.464619-4.42%0.4363-10.24%0.0511✗1.11400k2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.064838-4.42%0.063375-6.58%0.0817✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.144187-4.45%0.1397-7.42%0.0673✗0.97614k2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.244302-4.46%0.2785+8.92%0.2280✗0.9584k2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1847-4.46%1.104-10.97%0.0301✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.2265-4.47%6.433-14.96%0.0118✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038308-4.56%0.03513-12.48%0.0026✓0.822,7072022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.7232-4.57%5.913-16.07%0.0042✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.6662-4.65%6.75-16.04%0.0127✓1.12638k2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3156-4.66%1.44+4.35%0.0843✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.134207-4.68%0.1288-8.52%0.0582✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9946.6913-4.69%42.17-13.92%0.0005✓0.99606k2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044222-4.69%0.0424-8.62%0.0580✗0.98184k2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.247687-4.70%0.12-53.83%0.7237✓0.0187k2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.1028-4.73%6.21-3.06%0.1121✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.073-4.73%1.654-23.99%0.0484✓1.73114k2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.086681-4.75%0.0859-5.60%0.0907✗0.9713k2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3125.0599-4.75%5.681+6.95%0.2546✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.793102-4.76%0.72024-13.51%0.0024✓0.92507k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.045934-4.82%0.038148-20.95%0.1310✓0.5330k2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.3106-4.86%2.913-16.29%0.0265✓0.9934k2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5222-4.90%1.5171-5.22%0.1081✗1.09388k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.1757-4.90%14.19-16.58%0.0180✓1.10130k2022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.043948-4.93%0.041508-10.21%0.0290✓0.8432k2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6964.3294-4.96%56.05-17.20%0.0233✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.74e-7-5.00%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0045✓0.8217k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.163815-5.03%0.1415-17.97%0.0368✓1.071,7802022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.12607-5.07%0.116-12.65%0.0268✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.104772-5.10%0.1008-8.70%0.0508✓0.87255k2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1346.5819-5.19%42.1-14.31%0.0019✓0.97504k2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006616-5.21%0.00501-28.22%0.2121✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.022577-5.22%0.02356-1.09%0.1316✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49552.592-5.23%49.795-10.27%0.0211✓0.74332k2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1451-5.25%1.774-21.64%0.0726✓1.1560k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.052014-5.26%0.042-23.50%0.1121✓0.99256k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2829-5.28%1.86-22.82%0.0808✓1.21299k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0583-5.28%0.957295-14.32%0.0130✓0.8553k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.17611-5.32%0.15984-14.06%0.0122✓1.06519k2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2908-5.37%1.172-14.08%0.0290✓1.23534k2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003242-5.37%0.002176-36.49%0.3108✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.282278-5.37%0.2841-4.76%0.1033✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.811972-5.38%0.7708-10.17%0.0578✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.7715-5.38%5.7-6.56%0.0246✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.25545-5.39%0.1633-39.52%0.3469✓0.98112k2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038029-5.40%0.0398-1.00%0.1324✗0.8511k2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.903685-5.47%0.969+1.36%0.1949✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34123.1781-5.49%120.12-7.84%0.0892✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8313.0689-5.50%13.99+1.16%0.1833✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.06622-5.52%0.06346-9.46%0.0409✓0.818802022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.5561-5.53%6.74-2.88%0.0666✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.281363-5.55%0.24767-16.86%0.0205✓1.0412k2022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.347509-5.55%0.31522-14.33%0.0011✓0.9687k2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003862-5.58%0.00359-12.22%0.0283✓0.99152k2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001632-5.58%0.001612-6.77%0.0784✗0.89653k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.0135-5.61%0.011863-17.05%0.0644✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4595-5.72%1.367-11.69%0.0548✓1.17138k2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5525.9744-5.72%23.88-13.32%0.0137✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.299-5.79%1.8779-23.05%0.0790✓1.2013k2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1547-5.81%0.949-22.59%0.0191✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000036495-5.82%0.00003923+1.24%0.1627✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.210842-5.83%0.1776-20.68%0.0330✓1.35124k2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.4393-5.87%9.52-14.16%0.0286✓1.18439k2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.020922-6.01%0.019843-10.86%0.0303✓0.8113k2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.683238-6.02%0.576-20.77%0.0332✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1249-6.03%1.0827-9.56%0.0887✗1.24981k2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.695237-6.05%0.63-14.86%0.0596✓0.38105k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.060212-6.06%0.0481-24.96%0.1064✓1.15266k2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.8496-6.08%2.471-18.56%0.0187✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016286-6.08%0.01061-38.81%0.3594✓0.67167k2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.1974-6.09%1.97-15.81%0.0263✓0.81636k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.7372-6.11%1.2188-34.13%0.2452✓1.07862k2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.267551-6.12%0.253-11.23%0.0174✓0.72826k2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006271-6.13%0.00634-5.09%0.0563✓0.4457k2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.133133-6.15%0.12632-10.95%0.0734✗1.23223k2022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.063442-6.15%0.0596-11.83%0.0310✓0.91113k2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.523297-6.17%0.5079-8.93%0.0610✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.289643-6.22%0.279195-9.60%0.0737✗1.08778k2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.8427-6.24%1.7684-10.02%0.0674✗1.0633k2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,764.50-6.25%8,416.07-9.98%0.0984✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001499-6.31%0.001487-7.06%0.0639✓0.709,9742022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048525-6.32%0.0388-25.10%0.1257✓0.96827k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867112.9835-6.37%10.7456-22.51%0.0912✓0.9640k2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.674991-6.38%0.608-15.67%0.0109✓0.91322k2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.0416-6.39%4.2279-21.50%0.1608✓0.15169k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1747.8913-6.41%63.56+24.21%0.4087✗1.2315k2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.361921-6.41%0.3371-12.83%0.0472✓1.15487k2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1472.0092-6.42%1.708-20.45%0.0287✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.062512-6.56%0.0569-14.95%0.0308✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.3669-6.59%5.77-15.35%0.0679✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.5769-6.59%4.117-15.98%0.0973✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022033-6.60%0.01977-16.19%0.0249✓0.81444k2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3257-6.64%1.2-15.49%0.0022✓0.95182k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.106982-6.65%0.103-10.12%0.0716✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.82703-6.66%0.894+0.90%0.1214✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.359878-7.03%0.3065-20.82%0.0482✓1.10174k2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.7864-7.12%2.966-1.13%0.1272✗0.63693k2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3334.6515-7.18%15.34-58.91%0.7244✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.6231-7.18%8.65-6.89%0.0470✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.729521-7.20%0.6373-18.93%0.0086✓1.40267k2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.521459-7.21%0.485-13.70%0.0431✓1.1388k2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.756236-7.22%0.8521+4.54%0.2697✗1.47205k2022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.7202-7.22%2.361-19.47%0.0556✓0.84749k2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012105-7.24%0.00001108-15.10%0.0050✓0.91864k2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.3271-7.63%6.37-7.01%0.0442✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.314592-7.68%0.39482+15.86%0.3217✗0.92321k2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.077759-7.70%0.07819-7.19%0.0148✓0.09737k2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.7793-7.88%5.695-9.23%0.0720✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.491-7.90%4.236-13.13%0.0255✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.0814-8.09%0.9427-19.88%0.0151✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.343444-8.10%0.2839-24.03%0.0729✓1.15111k2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.021535-8.12%0.025913+10.56%0.1966✗0.11239k2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.00009178-8.14%0.00025656+156.79%1.1098✗0.80329k2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.550914-8.18%0.467-22.17%0.0540✓1.09102k2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.096576-8.20%0.092-12.55%0.0226✓0.69247k2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4532.5255-8.25%28.88-18.53%0.0271✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007521-8.28%0.00707-13.78%0.0551✓1.14513k2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.407-8.53%1.2661-17.69%0.0099✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.664818-8.55%0.595-18.16%0.0210✓0.88253k2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.064921-8.58%0.06473-8.84%0.1110✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.7667-8.58%15.28-16.68%0.0211✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.036673-8.68%0.03075-23.43%0.0755✓0.9825k2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.0014-8.75%0.001069-30.38%0.1910✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.464348-8.75%0.4301-15.48%0.0059✓0.81625k2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.2671-8.82%13.17-9.48%0.1183✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01911.863-8.88%14.215+9.19%0.2943✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.220528-9.02%0.2705+11.59%0.2882✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.3116-9.62%6.3531+8.10%0.1954✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7632.3047-9.66%24.57-31.29%0.0818✓1.87365k2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.5936-9.76%1.283-27.35%0.0946✓1.19114k2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.1201-9.80%6.0773+33.04%0.4911✗1.00173k2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.0624-9.88%7.2387+28.87%0.3763✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34223.9033-10.11%3.8939-10.32%0.0523✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.1323-12.53%4.075-13.74%0.0845✓0.96172k2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.358377-12.55%0.3044-25.72%0.0328✓1.27152k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33912.2878-14.30%19.032+32.73%0.4814✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-76.88e-7-14.46%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2217✓0.77180k2022-09-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.02952-52.39%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.