METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s5

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +30d

assessed

340

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2031

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0516

actual -0.0079

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.35966	0.328447	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.35826	0.331389	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.315457	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.315278	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.312626	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.323007	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.341302	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.346409	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.350434	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.355444	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.354008	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.390587	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.386804	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.373353	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.40011	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.401728	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.301185	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.27233	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.277778	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.28033	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.270489	-8.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.275598	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.2911	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.300291	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.303569	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.35121	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.323962	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.332028	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.304817	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.316182	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.306776	-7.49%	0.35966	+8.46%	0.1914	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.264724	-6.94%	0.35826	+25.94%	0.3462	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.238263	-6.86%	0.338725	+32.42%	0.3217	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.240876	-6.81%	0.33786	+30.71%	0.3282	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.242446	-7.04%	0.33508	+28.48%	0.3047	✗	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.212031	-6.29%	0.348475	+54.01%	0.4139	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.19057	-4.82%	0.37041	+85.00%	0.5729	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.187576	-4.58%	0.376245	+91.40%	0.5824	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.208782	-5.40%	0.381055	+72.66%	0.5471	✗	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.207981	-5.49%	0.386015	+75.41%	0.5153	✗	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.213598	-5.60%	0.384375	+69.88%	0.5134	✗	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.216711	-6.22%	0.42445	+83.68%	0.5661	✗	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.202017	-4.86%	0.42258	+99.01%	0.6340	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.201368	-4.41%	0.408225	+93.78%	0.6364	✗	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.187495	-3.49%	0.442135	+127.59%	0.8030	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.192313	-3.54%	0.445645	+123.54%	0.7706	✗	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.204026	-4.03%	0.32764	+54.11%	0.3912	✗	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.18481	-3.00%	0.296605	+55.68%	0.3802	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.179833	-2.66%	0.302195	+63.57%	0.4161	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.193611	-2.47%	0.304885	+53.58%	0.4026	✗	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.188021	-3.33%	0.29436	+51.34%	0.3209	✗	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.185981	-3.05%	0.30098	+56.90%	0.3485	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.19134	-2.62%	0.316625	+61.14%	0.4203	✗	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.181828	-2.77%	0.32638	+74.53%	0.4945	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.195391	-3.68%	0.330185	+62.76%	0.4496	✗	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.200609	-3.84%	0.38139	+82.82%	0.5474	✗	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.215067	-3.49%	0.350575	+57.32%	0.4314	✗	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.208854	-3.44%	0.359145	+66.04%	0.4715	✗	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.204037	-3.27%	0.3288	+55.88%	0.3949	✗	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.220124	-2.78%	0.34299	+51.49%	0.3684	✗	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.236627	-3.51%	0.331615	+35.22%	0.2178	✗	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.214201	-2.78%	0.284465	+29.11%	0.1510	✗	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.213068	-1.86%	0.2558	+17.82%	0.1422	✗	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.200766	-4.53%	0.258475	+22.92%	0.1200	✗	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.18769	-6.16%	0.260795	+30.39%	0.1261	✗	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.160726	-7.78%	0.22627	+29.83%	0.1415	✗	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.150161	-7.73%	0.20022	+23.03%	0.0871	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.149508	-7.35%	0.196575	+21.81%	0.0460	✓	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.152566	-7.08%	0.220695	+34.41%	0.1037	✗	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.151924	-7.11%	0.220065	+34.55%	0.1252	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.157465	-7.23%	0.226265	+33.31%	0.1176	✗	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.146764	-6.86%	0.231085	+46.66%	0.2084	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.14769	-6.84%	0.21234	+33.94%	0.1289	✗	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.146732	-6.79%	0.21066	+33.82%	0.0985	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.151319	-6.75%	0.19427	+19.72%	0.0017	✓	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.156513	-6.90%	0.19936	+18.59%	0.0159	✓	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.150508	-6.93%	0.212595	+31.46%	0.0726	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.150759	-7.29%	0.19052	+17.16%	0.0436	✓	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.156434	-7.48%	0.18475	+9.27%	0.1028	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.151764	-7.50%	0.19852	+21.00%	0.0292	✓	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.148804	-7.53%	0.1945	+20.87%	0.0216	✓	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.150799	-7.54%	0.19183	+17.62%	0.0038	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.154938	-7.74%	0.19649	+17.00%	0.0462	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.164156	-7.96%	0.187005	+4.85%	0.1382	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.160725	-7.22%	0.202865	+17.10%	0.0194	✓	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.160208	-7.39%	0.20862	+20.59%	0.0009	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.157175	-7.19%	0.222835	+31.57%	0.0438	✓	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.150432	-6.86%	0.2163	+33.92%	0.0769	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.165472	-7.29%	0.21093	+18.17%	0.0093	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.15153	-6.69%	0.226415	+39.42%	0.1462	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.151447	-6.52%	0.245235	+51.37%	0.2405	✗	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.15168	-6.40%	0.220335	+35.96%	0.1616	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.151006	-6.16%	0.217115	+34.92%	0.1454	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.152885	-5.91%	0.210285	+29.41%	0.1999	✗	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.158284	-6.42%	0.200015	+18.25%	0.1538	✗	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.137867	-4.89%	0.17428	+20.23%	0.2344	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.131788	-4.36%	0.16274	+18.11%	0.2175	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.124016	-3.98%	0.161375	+24.95%	0.2853	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.135605	-5.14%	0.16419	+14.85%	0.2071	✗	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.149317	-5.99%	0.163555	+2.97%	0.1256	✗	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.140176	-5.92%	0.16973	+13.91%	0.2225	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.139026	-5.72%	0.15757	+6.86%	0.1003	✗	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.138705	-6.27%	0.158535	+7.13%	0.1382	✗	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.142199	-6.54%	0.157425	+3.47%	0.0987	✗	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.145566	-6.63%	0.162275	+4.09%	0.0929	✗	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.150995	-6.21%	0.168105	+4.42%	0.0684	✗	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.151136	-6.01%	0.16172	+0.58%	0.0072	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.149191	-5.84%	0.162615	+2.63%	0.0645	✗	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.160677	-6.02%	0.16908	-1.10%	0.0373	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.164269	-6.10%	0.16407	-6.22%	0.0119	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.166177	-6.12%	0.16092	-9.09%	0.0409	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.178227	-6.94%	0.163095	-14.84%	0.1116	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.164058	-6.38%	0.16794	-4.17%	0.0062	✓	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.165761	-6.85%	0.178355	+0.23%	0.0042	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.151686	-6.22%	0.173235	+7.10%	0.0131	✓	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.156606	-6.67%	0.173	+3.10%	0.0123	✓	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.148418	-6.00%	0.16936	+7.26%	0.0325	✓	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.154569	-6.60%	0.161515	-2.40%	0.0410	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.154648	-7.06%	0.17849	+7.27%	0.0237	✓	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.140729	-6.03%	0.1624	+8.44%	0.0406	✓	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.142804	-6.11%	0.162015	+6.52%	0.0645	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.150878	-6.43%	0.162055	+0.51%	0.0248	✓	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.146979	-6.33%	0.160925	+2.56%	0.0486	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.150988	-6.89%	0.162495	+0.20%	0.0077	✓	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.149376	-6.70%	0.16915	+5.65%	0.1055	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.128217	-5.51%	0.144955	+6.82%	0.1003	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.103415	-2.82%	0.13779	+29.48%	0.2533	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.108779	-3.35%	0.129155	+14.75%	0.1812	✗	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.110073	-3.55%	0.14296	+25.27%	0.2928	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.11406	-3.77%	0.15883	+34.00%	0.3574	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.105853	-3.11%	0.149005	+36.40%	0.3539	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.102134	-2.77%	0.14746	+40.38%	0.4049	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.100874	-2.61%	0.147985	+42.88%	0.3798	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.101508	-2.59%	0.15215	+46.00%	0.4012	✗	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.095834	-1.71%	0.155895	+59.89%	0.4416	✗	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.099076	-2.02%	0.16099	+59.21%	0.4604	✗	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.099475	-2.38%	0.160795	+57.80%	0.4942	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.09693	-2.29%	0.15845	+59.73%	0.4911	✗	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.096595	-1.73%	0.170965	+73.92%	0.5168	✗	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.101693	-2.31%	0.174945	+68.05%	0.4986	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.116073	-4.47%	0.177015	+45.69%	0.4329	✗	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.12574	-5.24%	0.19151	+44.32%	0.4428	✗	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.122705	-5.61%	0.175245	+34.80%	0.4362	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.123673	-6.45%	0.17795	+34.61%	0.5422	✗	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.120571	-6.61%	0.16175	+25.29%	0.5426	✗	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.118817	-6.44%	0.1678	+32.13%	0.5541	✗	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.117366	-6.22%	0.157895	+26.16%	0.5117	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.119386	-6.36%	0.16549	+29.80%	0.5351	✗	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.123718	-6.66%	0.1664	+25.54%	0.5108	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.126352	-7.09%	0.149765	+10.12%	0.4092	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.123576	-6.59%	0.1521	+14.97%	0.4409	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.123878	-6.37%	0.16124	+21.87%	0.4668	✗	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.129406	-6.43%	0.156905	+13.45%	0.3790	✗	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.128325	-6.09%	0.162165	+18.67%	0.4166	✗	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.13828	-6.44%	0.1601	+8.32%	0.3357	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.136786	-6.21%	0.1357	-6.96%	0.1911	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.132981	-5.62%	0.10642	-24.47%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.135877	-5.51%	0.112555	-21.73%	0.0076	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.135812	-5.42%	0.114125	-20.53%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.138853	-5.61%	0.11853	-19.42%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.143994	-6.07%	0.109245	-28.74%	0.0900	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.149766	-6.54%	0.105045	-34.45%	0.1237	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.143938	-6.29%	0.103575	-32.57%	0.1061	✓	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.157295	-7.99%	0.10421	-39.04%	0.1843	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.163071	-8.75%	0.0975	-45.44%	0.2480	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.163902	-8.28%	0.101115	-43.42%	0.2150	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.165269	-8.13%	0.1019	-43.36%	0.2521	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.166803	-8.05%	0.0992	-45.31%	0.3003	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.160185	-7.62%	0.0983	-43.31%	0.2383	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.155577	-7.37%	0.1041	-38.02%	0.1348	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.154162	-7.47%	0.1215	-27.07%	0.0185	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.155734	-7.19%	0.1327	-20.92%	0.0439	✓	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.151016	-6.90%	0.13	-19.85%	0.0002	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.152529	-7.28%	0.1322	-19.64%	0.0526	✓	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.148613	-6.83%	0.1291	-19.06%	0.0845	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.144565	-6.67%	0.127	-18.01%	0.0982	✓	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.14131	-7.15%	0.12515	-17.77%	0.0918	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.140234	-8.40%	0.1275	-16.72%	0.0612	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.141902	-8.21%	0.13255	-14.26%	0.0316	✓	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.1486	-8.38%	0.136	-16.15%	0.0547	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.142276	-9.03%	0.1323	-15.41%	0.0680	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.149196	-8.47%	0.1323	-18.83%	0.1143	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.163293	-7.17%	0.1383	-21.38%	0.1467	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.172839	-6.45%	0.13665	-26.04%	0.2016	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.167241	-7.14%	0.1478	-17.93%	0.1379	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.136604	-7.10%	0.14585	-0.82%	0.0463	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.131963	-6.14%	0.1409	+0.21%	0.0288	✓	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.141322	-3.50%	0.1438	-1.81%	0.0026	✓	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.147947	-2.28%	0.1436	-5.15%	0.0335	✓	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.147527	-2.75%	0.1471	-3.03%	0.0388	✓	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.13752	-2.47%	0.1533	+8.72%	0.0574	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.13144	-2.28%	0.16025	+19.14%	0.1151	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.136823	-2.13%	0.1536	+9.87%	0.0571	✗	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.127475	-2.99%	0.17095	+30.10%	0.1740	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.139523	-2.50%	0.1787	+24.88%	0.1460	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.133273	-2.29%	0.1787	+31.01%	0.1853	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.129905	-2.44%	0.1799	+35.11%	0.2201	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.129381	-2.43%	0.1814	+36.80%	0.2286	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.138761	-2.83%	0.1734	+21.43%	0.1267	✗	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.130086	-3.43%	0.16795	+24.68%	0.1054	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.124606	-3.18%	0.1666	+29.45%	0.1483	✗	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.1228	-3.38%	0.1678	+32.02%	0.1574	✗	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.123655	-3.55%	0.1622	+26.52%	0.1273	✗	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.124223	-3.48%	0.1645	+27.82%	0.1344	✗	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.129988	-3.57%	0.1595	+18.32%	0.0785	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.12972	-3.41%	0.1549	+15.34%	0.0747	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.130574	-3.49%	0.1522	+12.49%	0.0361	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.127599	-3.33%	0.1531	+15.98%	0.0479	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.135342	-3.60%	0.1546	+10.11%	0.0085	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.144227	-4.07%	0.1622	+7.88%	0.0394	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.131991	-3.09%	0.1564	+14.83%	0.0512	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.139604	-2.92%	0.163	+13.35%	0.0745	✗	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.132137	-2.77%	0.1759	+29.43%	0.1856	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.136389	-2.68%	0.18475	+31.82%	0.2086	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.137468	-2.85%	0.1801	+27.28%	0.1530	✗	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.144786	-2.83%	0.14705	-1.31%	0.0794	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.149009	-2.48%	0.1406	-7.98%	0.1037	✓	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.150463	-2.42%	0.14645	-5.03%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.152634	-2.16%	0.1514	-2.95%	0.0877	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.161777	-1.83%	0.1517	-7.95%	0.0809	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.168474	-1.82%	0.141	-17.83%	0.1773	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.159277	-1.86%	0.1345	-17.13%	0.1876	✓	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.161204	-2.00%	0.1398	-15.02%	0.1871	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.166231	-2.16%	0.1314	-22.66%	0.2324	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.157275	-1.89%	0.1431	-10.73%	0.1308	✓	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.158888	-1.98%	0.1364	-15.85%	0.1925	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.155649	-1.92%	0.13315	-16.10%	0.1823	✓	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.154815	-2.02%	0.1326	-16.08%	0.1937	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.151874	-2.02%	0.1428	-7.87%	0.1494	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.157183	-1.88%	0.1347	-15.92%	0.1782	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.167389	-2.00%	0.1287	-24.65%	0.2760	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.168996	-1.77%	0.1271	-26.13%	0.2315	✓	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.173845	-1.84%	0.1282	-27.61%	0.2203	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.169555	-1.93%	0.1287	-25.56%	0.2533	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.173738	-2.06%	0.1348	-24.01%	0.2428	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.174818	-2.28%	0.1343	-24.93%	0.3038	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.179104	-2.56%	0.1353	-26.39%	0.2766	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.177827	-2.56%	0.132	-27.67%	0.2997	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.179807	-2.70%	0.1404	-24.03%	0.2278	✓	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.18098	-2.65%	0.15035	-19.12%	0.1580	✓	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.176959	-2.23%	0.1362	-24.75%	0.3439	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.179455	-2.15%	0.1438	-21.59%	0.3323	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.194028	-2.94%	0.1359	-32.02%	0.4023	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.203139	-3.31%	0.14015	-33.29%	0.4179	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.206019	-3.37%	0.1415	-33.63%	0.3734	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.207502	-3.31%	0.149	-30.57%	0.3624	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.201552	-3.05%	0.1528	-26.50%	0.3419	✓	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.216324	-3.68%	0.1542	-31.34%	0.3785	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.213954	-3.69%	0.156	-29.78%	0.3549	✓	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.209051	-3.53%	0.1648	-23.95%	0.3207	✓	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.220298	-4.05%	0.1716	-25.26%	0.3312	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.213834	-3.77%	0.1623	-26.96%	0.3408	✓	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.204543	-3.24%	0.1645	-22.19%	0.3003	✓	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.20262	-3.28%	0.1699	-18.90%	0.2350	✓	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.202139	-3.47%	0.1603	-23.45%	0.2582	✓	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.205133	-3.69%	0.1621	-23.90%	0.2370	✓	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.204045	-3.71%	0.1587	-25.11%	0.2467	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.210796	-4.01%	0.158	-28.05%	0.2760	✓	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.208725	-4.12%	0.155	-28.80%	0.2292	✓	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.192974	-2.14%	0.1602	-18.76%	0.2592	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.217017	-4.67%	0.1708	-24.97%	0.1592	✓	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.222923	-5.20%	0.17205	-26.83%	0.1830	✓	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.226746	-5.60%	0.1771	-26.27%	0.1524	✓	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.216509	-5.29%	0.1729	-24.37%	0.0904	✓	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.219691	-5.55%	0.1774	-23.73%	0.0537	✓	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.237513	-6.23%	0.1789	-29.37%	0.0068	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.245982	-6.44%	0.1838	-30.09%	0.0177	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.25135	-6.42%	0.1825	-32.06%	0.0460	✓	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.253171	-6.51%	0.1848	-31.76%	0.0165	✓	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.224616	-6.06%	0.1859	-22.25%	0.1113	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.228111	-6.38%	0.181	-25.71%	0.1162	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.250392	-6.99%	0.1834	-31.87%	0.0469	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.251318	-7.06%	0.1999	-26.07%	0.0815	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.249196	-7.15%	0.2101	-21.72%	0.1318	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.255456	-7.44%	0.2132	-22.75%	0.1198	✗	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.237736	-7.03%	0.2146	-16.07%	0.1944	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.264778	-7.42%	0.2079	-27.31%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.274009	-7.49%	0.2246	-24.17%	0.1279	✗	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.265058	-7.22%	0.22215	-22.24%	0.1528	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.288849	-8.30%	0.2167	-31.21%	0.0452	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.233958	-6.86%	0.2296	-8.60%	0.2984	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.248943	-6.73%	0.2222	-16.75%	0.2272	✗	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.250889	-7.08%	0.2114	-21.70%	0.1957	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.235986	-7.64%	0.2095	-18.00%	0.1827	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.241839	-7.84%	0.2094	-20.20%	0.1298	✗	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.230911	-7.82%	0.213	-14.97%	0.1662	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.244103	-7.96%	0.2119	-20.10%	0.1049	✗	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.251767	-7.85%	0.2196	-19.62%	0.1292	✗	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.250546	-7.58%	0.2177	-19.70%	0.1102	✗	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.2638	-7.50%	0.1972	-30.86%	0.0929	✗	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.269912	-7.56%	0.22765	-22.04%	0.0708	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.257223	-7.57%	0.23515	-15.50%	0.0872	✗	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.262539	-7.75%	0.2402	-15.60%	0.0440	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.260915	-7.58%	0.2286	-19.02%	0.0150	✓	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.24523	-7.00%	0.2326	-11.79%	0.0563	✓	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.234906	-6.56%	0.2533	+0.76%	0.1101	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.238711	-6.61%	0.2629	+2.86%	0.1360	✗	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.237871	-6.42%	0.2686	+5.66%	0.1010	✗	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.239592	-6.37%	0.2708	+5.82%	0.1101	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.240355	-6.18%	0.2391	-6.67%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.236456	-5.72%	0.24365	-2.85%	0.0373	✓	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.227622	-5.12%	0.2692	+12.21%	0.1491	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.230991	-5.06%	0.2704	+11.14%	0.1393	✗	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.227885	-4.85%	0.2684	+12.07%	0.1439	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.233512	-4.88%	0.276	+12.42%	0.1594	✗	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.230372	-4.61%	0.2557	+5.88%	0.1075	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.224195	-4.11%	0.286	+22.33%	0.2039	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.211742	-3.53%	0.2962	+34.94%	0.2852	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.202155	-2.81%	0.2857	+37.36%	0.2629	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.215469	-2.90%	0.315	+41.96%	0.3010	✗	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.237266	-3.35%	0.2512	+2.32%	0.0045	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.23372	-3.14%	0.2669	+10.61%	0.0503	✗	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.231639	-3.04%	0.27	+13.02%	0.0952	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.250252	-3.41%	0.2555	-1.39%	0.0135	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.249819	-3.40%	0.2624	+1.47%	0.0445	✗	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.255894	-3.44%	0.2505	-5.47%	0.0046	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.279883	-3.69%	0.2652	-8.74%	0.0417	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.307832	-4.07%	0.2732	-14.86%	0.1063	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.310559	-4.09%	0.2711	-16.28%	0.1410	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.311934	-4.08%	0.2852	-12.30%	0.1162	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.312924	-4.04%	0.292	-10.46%	0.1064	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.310341	-3.98%	0.2783	-13.89%	0.1265	✓	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.321837	-4.19%	0.2846	-15.27%	0.1110	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.312568	-4.12%	0.2823	-13.40%	0.0732	✓	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.310267	-4.03%	0.2637	-18.43%	0.1412	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.288443	-3.53%	0.2514	-15.92%	0.1459	✓	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.311018	-4.15%	0.2556	-21.23%	0.1850	✓	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.319403	-4.31%	0.2542	-23.85%	0.2070	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.310567	-4.26%	0.2559	-21.12%	0.1766	✓	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.332942	-4.71%	0.2562	-26.67%	0.2423	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.321239	-4.56%	0.2508	-25.49%	0.2308	✓	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.328783	-4.62%	0.2399	-30.40%	0.3142	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.295182	-4.21%	0.2433	-21.04%	0.1890	✓	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.273826	-3.58%	0.2395	-15.67%	0.1371	✓	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.286311	-3.53%	0.2455	-17.28%	0.1772	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.307189	-3.97%	0.2415	-24.51%	0.2817	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.316208	-4.32%	0.2338	-29.26%	0.3224	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.352923	-5.38%	0.2195	-41.15%	0.4374	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.395061	-6.12%	0.208	-50.57%	0.5579	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.380535	-5.88%	0.2219	-45.12%	0.4733	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.406217	-6.44%	0.2455	-43.46%	0.4340	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.402992	-6.52%	0.2413	-44.03%	0.4125	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.427789	-6.82%	0.2389	-47.96%	0.5132	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.393295	-6.60%	0.2591	-38.47%	0.3187	✓	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.429603	-7.25%	0.2586	-44.17%	0.3890	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.403878	-6.77%	0.265	-38.83%	0.3142	✓	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.366641	-6.21%	0.2906	-25.66%	0.0914	✓	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.331715	-5.84%	0.3209	-8.91%	0.0886	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.344089	-5.83%	0.3238	-11.38%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.360138	-6.12%	0.3252	-15.22%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.333797	-5.81%	0.3261	-7.99%	0.1030	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.344723	-5.99%	0.3232	-11.86%	0.0862	✗	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.331721	-5.81%	0.3359	-4.63%	0.1095	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.337254	-6.03%	0.326	-9.17%	0.0973	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.37956	-6.03%	0.3233	-19.96%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.414793	-5.84%	0.299	-32.12%	0.0840	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.145214	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.144933	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.203811	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.191835	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.270817	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.471251	-12.57%	–	pending	–	–	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.167913	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.209081	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.206339	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.223158	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.213724	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.213738	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.224506	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.217649	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.251052	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.213747	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.234306	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.206103	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.249379	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.250409	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.253812	-3.68%	0.1504	-42.92%	0.4877	✓	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.214164	-4.18%	0.1504	-32.71%	0.3279	✓	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.255612	-3.76%	0.2021	-23.91%	0.2131	✓	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.282429	-4.16%	0.539	+82.90%	0.6900	✗	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.268121	-4.11%	0.1749	-37.45%	0.3991	✓	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.263413	-3.90%	0.2203	-19.63%	0.1514	✓	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.29223	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.280967	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.316554	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.330672	-4.13%	0.2357	-31.66%	0.3194	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.318082	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.317179	-3.21%	0.2236	-31.77%	0.2957	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.312508	-3.73%	0.2237	-31.08%	0.2844	✓	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.268709	-3.41%	0.2358	-15.24%	0.0709	✓	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.277497	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.271406	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.315626	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.378169	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.297394	-2.33%	0.269	-11.66%	0.0640	✓	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.342281	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.326061	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.327162	-2.37%	0.2305	-31.21%	0.3046	✓	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.393735	-0.92%	0.2488	-37.39%	0.4176	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.37921	-1.12%	0.2178	-43.21%	0.5424	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.