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2022-08-22 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2857
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.1%
in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.396948-1.31%0.3588-10.79%0.0628✗1.1176k2022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,602.57-1.37%1,245.65-23.33%0.0550✓1.33576.1M2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.04548-1.56%0.03911-15.35%0.0501✓0.6816k2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.103438-1.58%0.09-14.37%0.0350✓0.713,6712022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.5445-2.04%4.4-22.26%0.1065✓0.841.6M2022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.213581-2.16%0.1888-13.51%0.0244✗1.0072k2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.071502-2.23%0.06177-15.53%0.0292✗1.1929k2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.374086-2.43%0.3067-20.01%0.0144✓1.25239k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.106637-2.61%0.110695+1.10%0.1642✗0.867.8M2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.90767-2.62%0.75889-18.58%0.0362✓0.9713k2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.4334.4525-2.76%30.68-13.41%0.0551✗1.1681.1M2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.88783-2.81%0.785702-13.99%0.0054✓0.7977k2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.142511-2.86%0.1248-14.93%0.0150✓1.00149k2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.117925-2.86%0.1289+6.18%0.2381✗1.0138k2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7658-2.87%1.458-19.80%0.0505✓0.96151k2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.3047-2.89%8.775-8.42%0.0822✗0.951.9M2022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.57727-2.98%0.35-41.18%0.3185✓1.232,8642022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0456.8347-2.99%6.682-5.15%0.1347✗1.0719.5M2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.03608-3.01%0.0323-13.17%0.0269✓0.9381k2022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5621.86-3.10%16.54-26.68%0.0875✓1.3024.5M2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.008999-3.14%0.00682-26.59%0.1658✓0.756.4M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.057755-3.26%0.0524-12.23%0.0386✗0.92120k2022-09-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.152573-3.26%0.16244+2.99%0.3751✗2.126362022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.377761-3.31%0.37235-4.69%0.1245✗0.9470k2022-09-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03440.999796-3.35%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.025369-3.36%0.02131-18.82%0.0128✓1.273,2032022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.224857-3.37%0.208-10.61%0.0551✗0.90528k2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0175-3.37%0.8154-22.56%0.0429✓1.211.1M2022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.445825-3.40%0.4389-4.90%0.1385✗1.0542.0M2022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.550236-3.42%0.44504-21.88%0.0224✓1.2945k2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.59e-7-3.44%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0082✓0.802.7M2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.292734-3.45%0.3352+10.55%0.2714✗0.928.2M2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.1431-3.49%6.125-17.24%0.0029✓1.0214.0M2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2020,385.71-3.49%18,203.70-13.82%0.0272✓0.958,8302022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.063332-3.50%0.059212-9.78%0.0185✓0.58164k2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.423257-3.59%0.397-9.57%0.0836✗1.008,8922022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005607-3.62%0.004956-14.80%0.0249✓0.672,6422022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.20477-3.64%0.169-20.47%0.0444✓1.00152k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8209-3.66%1.487-21.32%0.0684✓0.91718k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2255.1154-3.68%51.08-10.73%0.0710✗1.0013.5M2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.6196-3.69%2.02-25.74%0.1866✓0.5093k2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum107.36103.3839-3.70%100.7-6.20%0.0987✗0.853.4M2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.143768-3.71%0.1316-11.86%0.0535✗0.96614k2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.5009-3.71%6.28-19.38%0.0134✓1.11638k2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5185.2064-3.73%71.58-19.13%0.0531✗1.546.5M2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2520,599.12-3.73%18,462.64-13.72%0.0381✗1.00469.7M2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.817098-3.87%0.7438-12.49%0.0650✗1.082.2M2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9836.7126-3.87%5.338-23.56%0.0371✓1.3010.7M2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.094278-3.90%0.0964-1.73%0.1611✗0.94430k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003210.003084-3.93%0.00321+0.00%0.1926✗1.03537k2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.04429-3.93%0.0411-10.85%0.0700✗0.98187k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2054.9991-3.95%5.793+11.30%0.3485✗1.3610.1M2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.1716-3.97%1.03-15.57%0.0168✓0.992.1M2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash65.0962.5045-3.97%53.54-17.74%0.0107✓1.121.9M2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.131557-3.97%0.1199-12.48%0.0510✗0.972.1M2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03640.994955-4.00%0.8937-13.77%0.0252✓0.563.8M2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero153.73147.5234-4.04%135.48-11.87%0.0621✗1.001.1M2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.06562-4.04%0.057369-16.10%0.0166✓1.021.9M2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0111-4.05%1.583-24.48%0.0169✓1.74115k2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.6808-4.06%8.8-12.78%0.0790✗1.18318k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5244-4.07%1.4095-11.30%0.0833✗1.10494k2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.56854.3799-4.13%4.1321-9.55%0.0565✗0.78827k2022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.243523-4.16%0.273+7.44%0.2543✗0.9584k2022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68117.5695-4.17%108.98-11.17%0.0883✗1.114.9M2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.469917-4.20%0.4173-14.92%0.0456✗1.11419k2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.113-4.22%5.909-7.41%0.1030✗0.935.3M2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.085302-4.26%0.0794-10.89%0.0717✗0.9711k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.038207-4.29%0.03345-16.21%0.0116✓0.822,6252022-09-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.249889-4.33%0.1218-53.37%0.7172✓0.0187k2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.176012-4.34%0.13996-23.93%0.0711✓1.07608k2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.3185-4.37%2.7487-20.79%0.0418✓0.9938k2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0942-4.46%1.682-23.27%0.0496✓1.1559k2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.021521-4.48%0.02112-6.26%0.1100✗0.8713.0M2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006664-4.53%0.00487-30.23%0.2185✓0.641.3M2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3009-4.53%1.8-25.31%0.0658✓1.22281k2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.4462-4.54%1.311-13.47%0.0755✗1.18147k2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.859104-4.54%0.871-3.22%0.1934✗1.221.2M2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.157371-4.57%0.1377-16.49%0.0655✗1.351,6582022-09-21
DASHDashDash47.2345.0672-4.58%39.84-15.65%0.0200✓0.97493k2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.27714-4.60%0.2516-13.39%0.0433✓0.953.5M2022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.160553-4.60%0.13-22.76%0.0524✓1.081,7442022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.345137-4.62%0.28908-20.11%0.0352✓0.9690k2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.050838-4.62%0.0405-24.02%0.0801✓1.00253k2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase17.0616.2708-4.63%13.3-22.04%0.0389✓1.10125k2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.105442-4.66%0.098-11.39%0.0548✗0.87256k2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.043527-4.66%0.038758-15.11%0.0084✓0.8432k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.12231-4.67%0.1083-15.59%0.0395✓0.564.2M2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.003909-4.67%0.00342-16.59%0.0120✓0.99152k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.792771-4.67%0.68363-17.79%0.0123✓0.92524k2022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.48e-7-4.67%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0374✓0.8218k2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.2832-4.74%1.098-18.49%0.0257✓1.23518k2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.0473-4.75%0.036939-25.62%0.1676✓0.5430k2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative2.132.0276-4.81%1.622-23.85%0.0299✓1.311.2M2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.038633-4.85%0.035-13.79%0.0273✓0.8511k2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.133786-4.85%0.12-14.65%0.0735✗1.23243k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6712.9983-4.91%13.46-1.54%0.2025✗1.142.2M2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3113-4.98%1.14-17.39%0.0014✓0.96182k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.710.674348-5.02%0.63-11.27%0.0120✓0.38105k2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.0804-5.08%0.916656-19.46%0.0379✓0.8655k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration50.5847.9961-5.11%40.18-20.56%0.0305✓1.00560k2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.1326-5.13%4.2-22.37%0.1393✓0.411.5M2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1087-5.15%0.892-23.70%0.0357✓1.723.5M2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.20579-5.17%0.1706-21.38%0.0123✓1.35111k2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1284-5.17%1.0124-14.92%0.0750✗1.241.0M2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,467.65-5.18%7,985.43-10.58%0.1422✗1.367.3M2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.020212-5.23%0.019175-10.09%0.0675✗0.8113k2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.021077-5.23%0.01932-13.13%0.0330✓0.81419k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.048233-5.24%0.0371-27.11%0.1196✓0.97798k2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1984-5.24%1.92-17.24%0.0127✓0.83778k2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29152.3741-5.28%47.682-13.76%0.0159✓0.74330k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.8166-5.28%1.6506-13.94%0.0609✗1.0636k2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.265126-5.31%0.246-12.14%0.0316✓0.72878k2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.2843-5.31%1.7738-26.47%0.0745✓1.2113k2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.279589-5.32%0.23945-18.92%0.0008✓1.0413k2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.259736-5.34%0.172-37.32%0.2675✓0.98118k2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.066881-5.39%0.06031-14.68%0.0169✓0.829772022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10794.8304-5.43%4.3216-15.39%0.0899✓0.14171k2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.289014-5.43%0.260294-14.83%0.0549✓1.08805k2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003312-5.44%0.002142-38.83%0.3091✓0.861.1M2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0032.8395-5.44%2.286-23.88%0.0160✓1.585.0M2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum27.7226.2034-5.47%22.71-18.07%0.0018✓0.968.3M2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.5695-5.47%5.89-15.25%0.0527✓0.381.6M2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.3870.365807-5.48%0.3221-16.77%0.0439✓1.16492k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.808096-5.49%0.868+1.52%0.1339✗0.424.4M2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.013477-5.49%0.011185-21.56%0.0913✓0.641.6M2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000038840.000036705-5.50%0.00003771-2.91%0.1576✗0.881.8M2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001649-5.54%0.001531-12.31%0.0566✓0.89766k2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.10484-5.63%0.0932-16.11%0.0406✓1.073.7M2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.664274-5.64%0.542-23.01%0.0040✓1.354.8M2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.061764-5.70%0.055-16.03%0.0636✗1.221.2M2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.06458-5.72%0.0569-16.93%0.0088✓0.92121k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55350.521467-5.79%0.4905-11.38%0.0702✗0.891.9M2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.660076-5.84%0.563-19.69%0.0240✓0.92322k2022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476312.6885-5.85%10.5504-21.71%0.0428✓0.9644k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.016709-5.87%0.01042-41.30%0.3713✓0.68167k2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006392-5.97%0.006319-7.05%0.0542✓0.4557k2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.354767-5.97%0.2926-22.45%0.0294✓1.11175k2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.060267-5.98%0.0454-29.17%0.1130✓1.15282k2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4547.3997-6.05%58.27+15.50%0.3885✗1.2315k2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.378481-6.14%0.38128-5.45%0.1540✗0.99435k2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.2738-6.16%1.2073-11.06%0.0864✗0.951.3M2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0910.4038-6.19%13.395+20.78%0.4165✗1.1110.0M2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.517269-6.29%0.455-17.57%0.0386✓1.1395k2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3235.9243-6.30%5.248-17.00%0.0041✓0.8510.1M2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0832.8855-6.41%2.88-6.58%0.0918✗0.64749k2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.767842-6.54%0.8507+3.54%0.3189✗1.47205k2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.0933-6.54%4.93-24.39%0.1574✓0.373.3M2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.034439-6.59%0.02917-20.88%0.0202✓0.9923k2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000085386-6.71%0.0002847+211.05%1.3236✗0.81314k2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.6828-6.72%2.296-20.17%0.0315✓0.84749k2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0256-6.72%0.8625-21.56%0.0456✓1.484.7M2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0531.7581-6.73%27.69-18.68%0.0741✗1.4316.0M2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.731215-6.73%0.598-23.72%0.0095✓1.43325k2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.327-6.76%0.2521-28.12%0.0912✓1.15110k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.093198-6.80%0.0951-4.90%0.1227✗0.69234k2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.7955-6.81%1.216-36.89%0.2316✓1.07781k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.299696-6.84%0.3965+23.25%0.4161✗0.92342k2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000012234-7.04%0.00001039-21.05%0.0281✓0.92864k2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1196.6137-7.10%4.929-30.76%0.2483✓0.315.3M2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.659435-7.51%0.573-19.64%0.0102✓0.88263k2022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.465148-7.54%0.4207-16.38%0.0187✓0.81661k2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum32.7630.272-7.59%23.03-29.70%0.0032✓1.87365k2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.063203-7.60%0.05474-19.97%0.0203✓1.112.4M2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.648.896-7.72%7.72-19.92%0.0774✓0.442.6M2022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.4789-7.84%5.55-21.05%0.0999✓0.372.4M2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1916.7635-7.84%15.17-16.60%0.0043✓0.711.7M2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.1529-7.89%11.82-17.23%0.0744✓1.231.3M2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.57339-7.96%0.445-28.57%0.0924✓1.0996k2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001365-8.05%0.001013-31.75%0.1834✓0.781.6M2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.080159-8.07%0.0672-22.94%0.1629✓0.09916k2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2854.8571-8.10%3.59-32.07%0.2882✓0.102.3M2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.021638-8.17%0.026042+10.52%0.2024✗0.12240k2022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.241.3738-8.47%13.34-70.49%1.0000✓0.891.8M2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.5691-8.72%1.186-31.01%0.1030✓1.20121k2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.4573-8.92%1.39-13.13%0.0547✓-0.05105k2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.5328-8.94%3.588-27.92%0.1857✓0.331.7M2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.202716-9.01%0.2287+2.65%0.2408✗0.811.8M2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.00765-9.36%0.00702-16.82%0.0835✓1.15477k2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39493.9702-9.66%5.3357+21.41%0.4432✗1.00173k2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.338156-9.95%0.2884-23.20%0.0297✓1.28182k2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001598-10.12%0.001377-22.55%0.0433✓0.729,7092022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41985.6812-11.51%5.2376-18.41%0.0563✓0.173.1M2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.00e-7-11.95%5.15e-7-24.36%0.0389✓0.77180k2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48423.9418-12.10%3.3008-26.39%0.0972✓0.542.1M2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.126-13.50%3.91-18.03%0.0897✓0.97139k2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.3097-13.71%5.7947-5.83%0.1153✓0.192.1M2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60712.2301-16.27%12.016-17.74%0.0481✓0.452.0M2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.