8=======>

2022-08-21 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2233
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.6%
in alpha space · 91.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.4476-10.49%5.691+14.54%0.2708✗0.192.1M2022-09-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.5937-9.82%3.942-22.61%0.0262✓0.97133k2022-09-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.008593-9.26%0.00712-24.82%0.0390✓1.14456k2022-09-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73811.6338-8.67%12.095-5.05%0.0963✗0.441.6M2022-09-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.54e-7-8.25%5.21e-7-26.89%0.1275✓0.76170k2022-09-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1014.6839-8.18%3.561-30.19%0.2637✓0.082.2M2022-09-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3640.7745-8.08%14.09-68.24%0.9458✓0.891.8M2022-09-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.4421-8.07%5.3237-10.07%0.0002✓0.172.4M2022-09-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.0014-7.79%0.001057-30.35%0.1798✓0.771.6M2022-09-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.173247-7.45%0.2401+28.26%0.4331✗0.821.5M2022-09-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.063624-7.11%0.05683-17.02%0.0332✓1.122.4M2022-09-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7631.3859-7.03%29.12-13.74%0.1140✗1.4416.5M2022-09-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012548-6.92%0.00001052-21.96%0.0566✓0.91827k2022-09-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003485-6.87%0.002359-36.96%0.2790✓0.851.0M2022-09-20
FLOWFlownative2.1632.0144-6.87%1.681-22.28%0.0097✓1.311.2M2022-09-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.084841-6.83%0.0637-30.05%0.2754✓0.09972k2022-09-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13533.8543-6.80%4.9996+20.90%0.3912✗1.00171k2022-09-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.1176-6.74%5.9-10.06%0.0134✓0.381.5M2022-09-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.6705-6.72%1.3011-27.35%0.1092✓1.07698k2022-09-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.3142-6.61%1.8224-26.46%0.0802✓1.2113k2022-09-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.00008442-6.59%0.00030158+233.68%1.3816✗0.83327k2022-09-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.59455-6.52%0.457-28.14%0.1165✓1.1296k2022-09-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9717.7368-6.50%15.28-19.45%0.0570✓0.701.7M2022-09-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.021909-6.48%0.0273+16.53%0.2342✗0.11240k2022-09-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.6155-6.30%1.234-28.42%0.1124✓1.20121k2022-09-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.044.7237-6.28%4.18-17.06%0.0665✓0.431.3M2022-09-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.03579-6.26%0.03003-21.35%0.0459✓0.9923k2022-09-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.2311-6.25%1.93-18.91%0.0349✓0.84833k2022-09-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3251-6.25%1.82-26.61%0.0850✓1.22281k2022-09-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.021163-6.23%0.01975-12.49%0.0443✓0.87444k2022-09-20
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.34841-6.22%0.3049-17.93%0.0138✓0.911922022-09-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.063334-6.17%0.0554-17.93%0.0252✓1.211.2M2022-09-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.016292-6.15%0.01085-37.50%0.3190✓0.67159k2022-09-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.300398-6.13%0.39427+23.21%0.3926✗0.92353k2022-09-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.402342-6.13%0.3721-13.18%0.0672✗1.1175k2022-09-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.7359-6.11%2.331-20.01%0.0503✓0.84749k2022-09-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.101419-6.09%0.0967-10.46%0.0925✗1.073.7M2022-09-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02480.962443-6.08%0.9445-7.84%0.1742✗1.474.7M2022-09-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4713.5972-6.03%12.43-14.10%0.0709✗1.231.4M2022-09-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.75587-5.99%0.6151-23.50%0.0192✓1.43373k2022-09-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.4616-5.96%3.4018-7.59%0.0540✓0.551.8M2022-09-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.5872-5.94%4.91-17.34%0.0804✓0.373.1M2022-09-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.2033-5.92%5.025-23.79%0.1756✓0.274.9M2022-09-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.214-5.92%3.631-18.93%0.1069✓0.321.6M2022-09-20
METISMetisEthereum34.7632.7043-5.91%23.56-32.22%0.0834✓1.87365k2022-09-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.7655-5.89%1.469-21.70%0.0590✓0.95151k2022-09-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.0845-5.80%5.923-8.30%0.0947✗0.935.3M2022-09-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.680213-5.79%0.555-23.13%0.0251✓1.364.8M2022-09-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.317246-5.75%0.274-18.60%0.0035✓1.15110k2022-09-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.355.9853-5.74%5.52-13.07%0.0311✓0.382.1M2022-09-20
HIVEHivenative0.56380.531437-5.74%0.5094-9.65%0.0740✗0.891.9M2022-09-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1112.9344-5.68%2.358-24.20%0.0126✓1.575.0M2022-09-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001677-5.66%0.00153-13.95%0.0244✓0.89790k2022-09-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.36256-5.61%0.297-22.68%0.0321✓1.28182k2022-09-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.909835-5.61%0.77688-19.40%0.0314✓0.9712k2022-09-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.0502-5.58%13.903+30.62%0.4693✗1.1110.4M2022-09-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.1425-5.58%1.0353-14.44%0.0656✗1.251.0M2022-09-20
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.5417-5.57%1.465-10.27%0.0947✗1.11494k2022-09-20
QNTQuantEthereum110.77104.6419-5.53%101.37-8.49%0.0787✗0.843.4M2022-09-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3038-5.52%1.39+0.72%0.0572✗-0.05105k2022-09-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.003978-5.52%0.00348-17.34%0.0035✓0.99152k2022-09-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107113.3305-5.51%10.937-22.47%0.0720✓0.9644k2022-09-20
KSMKusamaHydration50.6447.8715-5.47%40.05-20.91%0.0483✓0.99543k2022-09-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001419-5.44%0.001404-6.46%0.0828✗0.729,7092022-09-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.869128-5.43%0.879-4.35%0.1700✗1.211.2M2022-09-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.0327-5.40%6.287-15.43%0.0221✓1.0214.0M2022-09-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9721.7322-5.39%16.66-27.47%0.0966✓1.2924.5M2022-09-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.194.9136-5.33%5.729+10.39%0.3308✗1.3510.9M2022-09-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.807143-5.33%0.70726-17.04%0.0117✓0.92524k2022-09-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.061925-5.31%0.0492-24.77%0.0799✓1.15289k2022-09-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.147366-5.29%0.1355-12.92%0.0437✓0.97616k2022-09-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2116.8295-5.29%5.294-26.58%0.0851✓1.2910.7M2022-09-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.4579-5.29%7.69-13.89%0.0386✓0.432.4M2022-09-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.212165-5.28%0.1922-14.20%0.0328✓1.0067k2022-09-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.541835-5.27%0.473-17.31%0.0121✓1.1390k2022-09-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95852.0622-5.27%48.664-11.45%0.0305✓0.75340k2022-09-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.130828-5.27%0.1115-19.26%0.0844✓0.584.4M2022-09-20
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.131975-5.26%0.1211-13.07%0.0456✓1.002.1M2022-09-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.558127-5.22%0.45604-22.55%0.0336✓1.2945k2022-09-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.051184-5.21%0.0414-23.33%0.0809✓1.00253k2022-09-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.579192-5.21%0.371-39.28%0.2854✓1.223,1462022-09-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.830553-5.19%0.882+0.68%0.1166✗0.434.4M2022-09-20
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1153-5.17%0.919-21.85%0.0312✓1.723.6M2022-09-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.812956-5.13%0.8513-0.65%0.2388✗1.47214k2022-09-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.095918-5.13%0.0956-5.44%0.1202✗0.94414k2022-09-20
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.283-5.10%1.141-15.61%0.0440✓1.23518k2022-09-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.691-5.08%0.573-21.29%0.0710✓0.89263k2022-09-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.008971-5.07%0.00707-25.19%0.1394✓0.756.4M2022-09-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.27.7849-5.06%6.32-22.93%0.0620✓1.12638k2022-09-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.118023-5.05%0.1266+1.85%0.2025✗1.0139k2022-09-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.14234-5.04%0.1288-14.08%0.0311✓1.00149k2022-09-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.086.7245-5.02%6.884-2.77%0.1632✗1.0719.5M2022-09-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.218271-5.02%0.1814-21.06%0.0086✓1.35111k2022-09-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.021496-5.01%0.02253-0.44%0.1623✗0.8813.4M2022-09-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.352192-5.01%0.41753+12.61%0.3044✗1.02418k2022-09-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.446643-4.97%0.422-10.21%0.0746✗1.009,5622022-09-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.465312-4.96%0.4282-12.54%0.0627✗1.11400k2022-09-20
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.55e-7-4.96%7.80e-7-13.33%0.0128✓0.803.0M2022-09-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.048859-4.94%0.0372-27.63%0.1453✓0.97798k2022-09-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3215-4.93%1.16-16.55%0.0054✓0.95182k2022-09-20
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9148.4105-4.91%55.12+8.27%0.2912✗1.2315k2022-09-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.067109-4.90%0.06189-12.30%0.0259✓0.829772022-09-20
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8981.6779-4.90%74.07-13.76%0.1050✗1.556.3M2022-09-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.167274-4.90%0.1444-17.91%0.0295✓1.351,5232022-09-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.17789-4.87%0.14425-22.86%0.0695✓1.07608k2022-09-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.257355-4.86%0.1835-32.16%0.2096✓0.98132k2022-09-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1812.5433-4.83%13.44+1.97%0.2168✗1.132.4M2022-09-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.1214-4.83%1.779-20.19%0.0254✓1.1560k2022-09-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.168275-4.82%0.1359-23.13%0.0763✓1.051,7442022-09-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.006834-4.82%0.00487-32.17%0.2539✓0.651.3M2022-09-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.366278-4.81%0.3-22.04%0.0550✓1.10175k2022-09-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.095768-4.80%0.0859-14.61%0.0183✓0.69234k2022-09-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0206-4.79%0.8421-21.45%0.0339✓1.211.1M2022-09-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,540.35-4.79%1,322.80-18.24%0.0220✓1.33548.6M2022-09-20
PROPropyEthereum0.730.695182-4.77%0.63-13.70%0.0485✓0.38105k2022-09-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.025812-4.75%0.02122-21.70%0.0298✓1.273,2032022-09-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.287639-4.75%0.24603-18.53%0.0199✓1.0413k2022-09-20
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.048629-4.74%0.0384-24.78%0.1670✓0.5330k2022-09-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.106231-4.73%0.0976-12.47%0.0283✓0.86259k2022-09-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.071674-4.71%0.06198-17.60%0.0099✓1.1929k2022-09-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3020,612.83-4.71%18,902.70-12.61%0.0378✓0.957,5932022-09-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,339.44-4.69%8,456.46-3.35%0.1919✗1.367.3M2022-09-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0022-4.66%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.156453-4.65%0.15884-3.20%0.2924✗2.126362022-09-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.035949-4.64%0.0334-11.41%0.0511✗0.9581k2022-09-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.202063-4.64%0.1738-17.98%0.0197✓1.00149k2022-09-20
XMRMoneroMonero154.56147.3892-4.64%142.45-7.84%0.0971✗1.001.1M2022-09-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006457-4.63%0.006298-6.99%0.0336✓0.4555k2022-09-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.1181-4.60%5.315-17.12%0.0292✓0.8510.1M2022-09-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.281358-4.59%0.2618-11.22%0.0523✗0.953.5M2022-09-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.024713-4.58%0.0205-20.85%0.1037✓0.6437k2022-09-20
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.226621-4.58%0.2133-10.19%0.0567✗0.90528k2022-09-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.8265-4.57%1.498-21.73%0.0800✓0.90657k2022-09-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.013992-4.55%0.011385-22.33%0.1209✓0.651.8M2022-09-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0417-4.54%0.951207-12.83%0.0221✓0.8655k2022-09-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67114.2511-4.53%112.79-5.75%0.1329✗1.114.9M2022-09-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.3125-4.52%2.8783-17.03%0.0108✓0.9943k2022-09-20
ZENHorizenBase16.7315.9761-4.51%13.69-18.17%0.0096✓1.11125k2022-09-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.419.9415-4.50%8.99-13.64%0.0528✗1.17318k2022-09-20
XVGVergenative0.003260.003114-4.46%0.00324-0.61%0.1756✗1.04537k2022-09-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.835139-4.41%0.76-13.01%0.0467✗1.082.2M2022-09-20
STXStacksnative0.3950.377578-4.41%0.336-14.94%0.0336✓1.15492k2022-09-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.8627-4.40%1.6911-13.21%0.0425✓1.0636k2022-09-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.490867-4.37%0.4262-16.97%0.0344✓0.82694k2022-09-20
DASHDashDash46.844.7606-4.36%40.65-13.14%0.0314✓0.98493k2022-09-20
GTGateEthereum4.56934.3708-4.34%4.1513-9.15%0.0499✗0.77827k2022-09-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.020963-4.32%0.019648-10.32%0.0420✓0.8213k2022-09-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.669922-4.30%0.6-14.29%0.0103✓0.92324k2022-09-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-78.90e-7-4.30%7.90e-7-15.05%0.0120✓0.8218k2022-09-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.295566-4.29%0.268268-13.13%0.0448✗1.08843k2022-09-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.044756-4.25%0.0401-14.21%0.0212✓0.6816k2022-09-20
FTTFTXEthereum27.7226.5448-4.24%23.34-15.80%0.0036✓0.958.5M2022-09-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.25008-4.22%0.1242-52.43%0.6986✓0.0187k2022-09-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.4963-4.21%1.333-14.66%0.0403✓1.19156k2022-09-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.275961-4.18%0.252-12.50%0.0050✓0.73878k2022-09-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.889006-4.18%0.776851-16.27%0.0320✓0.7970k2022-09-20
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.443209-4.15%0.4423-4.35%0.1347✗1.0442.0M2022-09-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.0428-4.13%2.911-8.29%0.0385✓0.63803k2022-09-20
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.044329-4.12%0.039923-13.65%0.0044✓0.8333k2022-09-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.04536-4.10%0.0414-12.47%0.0367✓0.98192k2022-09-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.066765-4.07%0.0581-16.52%0.0194✓0.91121k2022-09-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.355763-4.07%0.29941-19.27%0.0462✓0.9690k2022-09-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.138021-4.05%0.12096-15.91%0.0302✓1.24246k2022-09-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.293837-4.04%0.3295+7.61%0.2350✗0.928.2M2022-09-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.2394-4.04%8.92-7.35%0.0892✗0.951.9M2022-09-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0346-4.02%0.9058-15.97%0.0605✓0.553.9M2022-09-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.086203-4.01%0.0826-8.02%0.0859✗0.989,9252022-09-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.0839-3.97%1.612-25.71%0.0320✓1.72115k2022-09-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2512-3.89%1.202-7.67%0.0846✗0.951.2M2022-09-20
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.397259-3.89%0.38944-5.78%0.1019✗0.9370k2022-09-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.1948-3.87%1.066-14.24%0.0144✓0.982.2M2022-09-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6220,689.87-3.85%18,876.91-12.28%0.0393✗1.00463.8M2022-09-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.252722-3.84%0.2776+5.63%0.2180✗0.9584k2022-09-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.057431-3.80%0.053-11.22%0.0400✗0.92112k2022-09-20
SOLSolanaSolana36.4835.0964-3.79%31.42-13.87%0.0409✗1.1675.2M2022-09-20
ZECZcashZcash64.6262.1923-3.76%53.44-17.30%0.0049✓1.122.0M2022-09-20
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000038077-3.72%0.00003816-3.51%0.1187✗0.891.8M2022-09-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.69-3.72%4.5-23.86%0.1243✓0.841.6M2022-09-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.066702-3.72%0.058378-15.73%0.0004✓1.021.9M2022-09-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.038726-3.67%0.03363-16.34%0.0330✓0.832,6252022-09-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.377632-3.62%0.3108-20.67%0.0306✓1.25239k2022-09-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.6612-3.58%2.18-21.01%0.1344✓0.5093k2022-09-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005706-3.53%0.005383-8.99%0.0301✓0.672,6422022-09-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.107178-3.42%0.117297+5.69%0.2032✗0.867.4M2022-09-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6853.7987-3.38%52.34-6.00%0.1030✗1.0013.1M2022-09-20
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.063789-3.24%0.059529-9.70%0.0080✓0.59179k2022-09-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.105642-3.08%0.0914-16.15%0.0514✓0.713,8252022-09-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.039965-3.00%0.0361-12.38%0.0158✓0.9011k2022-09-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11854.9674-2.95%4.7663-6.88%0.0224✓0.14171k2022-09-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.