8=======>

2022-08-19 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2524
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.9%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.04224.4499-11.75%6.0254+19.50%0.3141✗0.162.1M2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.75716.0868-9.92%5.6084-17.00%0.0701✓0.172.1M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.48812.2586-9.11%12.26-9.10%0.0306✓0.431.4M2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.9724.5256-8.98%3.731-24.96%0.1870✓0.092.1M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.08e-75.57e-7-8.25%5.65e-7-6.99%0.0649✓0.73164k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014410.001325-8.04%0.001075-25.36%0.1542✓0.771.6M2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.19610.180985-7.71%0.2313+17.95%0.3039✗0.831.3M2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.7538.5561-7.65%14.09-66.25%0.9407✓0.941.8M2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013170.000012204-7.33%0.00001061-19.44%0.0760✓0.91827k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.026.5101-7.26%6.01-14.39%0.0560✓0.341.1M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78251.654-7.21%1.4393-19.25%0.0619✓1.10598k2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071730.066655-7.07%0.05724-20.20%0.0733✓1.122.4M2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.09543.8075-7.03%4.9458+20.76%0.3320✗1.00171k2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1211.9726-7.00%1.653-22.07%0.0846✓1.311.0M2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.0144-6.97%4.22-21.71%0.1439✓0.401.1M2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9830.7068-6.89%29.61-10.22%0.0638✓1.4216.5M2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.235.8147-6.67%5.19-16.69%0.0890✓0.352.8M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087410.081647-6.59%0.06377-27.04%0.2418✓0.08959k2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.56896-6.57%0.473-22.33%0.1053✓1.13112k2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7014.3954-6.50%3.699-21.31%0.1516✓0.301.6M2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.72553.4836-6.49%3.63-2.56%0.0783✗0.531.4M2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.132.9275-6.47%3.847+22.91%0.3363✗0.90127k2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259670.024298-6.43%0.026132+0.64%0.0811✗0.12233k2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.9276.4819-6.43%5.554-19.82%0.1442✓0.154.4M2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.4317-6.38%5.56-19.07%0.1187✓0.381.8M2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033210.003109-6.37%0.002574-22.49%0.1312✓0.821.0M2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022510.021079-6.36%0.01968-12.57%0.0080✓0.86419k2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000085910.000080477-6.32%0.00027312+217.91%1.2907✗0.98336k2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35990.337243-6.30%0.3429-4.72%0.0808✗0.911922022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.016007-6.23%0.01153-32.45%0.2848✓0.61153k2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40430.379345-6.17%0.3859-4.55%0.0950✗1.1066k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03860.036235-6.13%0.03069-20.49%0.0951✓1.0121k2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.578.9841-6.12%7.93-17.14%0.0951✓0.422.0M2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.822.6492-6.06%2.396-15.04%0.0418✓0.83734k2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30442.1655-6.03%1.7772-22.88%0.1127✓1.2113k2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.55690.523423-6.01%0.512-8.06%0.0420✓0.911.9M2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.941750.885399-5.98%0.78032-17.14%0.0566✓0.9912k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06570.061778-5.97%0.0565-14.00%0.0045✓1.201.3M2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.298-5.94%1.42+2.90%0.0872✗-0.04115k2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.292.1544-5.92%2.09-8.73%0.0293✓0.85798k2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.32.1643-5.90%1.79-22.17%0.1049✓1.21259k2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.099336-5.84%0.1-5.21%0.0823✗1.073.7M2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.871.7615-5.80%1.531-18.13%0.0725✓0.96156k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,334.3020,123.63-5.67%19,440.70-8.88%0.0327✓0.957,5932022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7760.732099-5.66%0.6036-22.22%0.0927✓1.42433k2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004120.00389-5.58%0.00356-13.59%0.0172✓1.01152k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05040.991858-5.57%0.935-10.99%0.0442✓1.475.6M2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4616.4872-5.57%15.52-11.11%0.0111✓0.702.0M2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.75910.1621-5.55%14.707+36.69%0.4477✗1.1111.4M2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2313.4419-5.54%12.03-15.46%0.0247✓1.221.4M2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10960.103551-5.52%0.1002-8.58%0.0180✓0.72220k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.295510.27935-5.47%0.38485+30.23%0.3839✗0.90383k2022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.050309-5.43%0.042-21.05%0.1101✓1.00253k2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.639707-5.37%0.552-18.34%0.0509✓1.374.6M2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007031-5.37%0.00744+0.13%0.1317✗1.07435k2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57821.4936-5.36%1.4386-8.85%0.0420✓1.13494k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.740.70058-5.33%0.69-6.76%0.0131✓0.4086k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4096.0678-5.32%5.851-8.71%0.0296✓0.945.3M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.844510.799913-5.28%0.70221-16.85%0.0651✓0.93538k2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3036.9187-5.26%6.443-11.78%0.0006✓1.0214.0M2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001401-5.26%0.001429-3.38%0.0702✗0.729,5772022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.4421.2615-5.25%16.72-25.49%0.1480✓1.3125.9M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.1181-5.24%1.0284-12.85%0.0022✓1.221.1M2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8340.790319-5.24%0.879+5.40%0.1909✗1.201.0M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.6346.0831-5.24%39.58-18.61%0.0841✓0.97560k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22090.209357-5.23%0.1954-11.54%0.0029✓1.0277k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.2221.1582-5.22%0.929-23.98%0.0984✓1.733.7M2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15130.143408-5.22%0.1381-8.72%0.0328✓1.00586k2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15020.142367-5.21%0.129-14.11%0.0263✓1.03149k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06350.060193-5.21%0.0491-22.68%0.1246✓1.12322k2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.532883-5.18%0.468-16.73%0.0496✓1.1495k2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.540334-5.15%0.4662-18.17%0.0563✓1.3046k2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.30248.6934-5.08%48.437-5.58%0.0467✓0.74354k2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.2578-5.07%1.165-12.08%0.0115✓1.25491k2022-09-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11771.061-5.07%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6611.5769-5.06%1.197-27.93%0.1913✓1.20133k2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.975512.3225-5.03%11.3049-12.88%0.0194✓0.9548k2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066430.063122-4.98%0.06413-3.46%0.0729✗0.819142022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8996.5573-4.95%7.523+9.04%0.2129✗1.0720.0M2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17220.163738-4.91%0.1496-13.12%0.0050✓1.351,3132022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8470.805414-4.91%0.864+2.01%0.1012✗0.444.4M2022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12210.116112-4.90%0.1267+3.77%0.1603✗1.0439k2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86980.827177-4.90%0.8499-2.29%0.1320✗1.49224k2022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.248462-4.88%0.1131-56.70%0.7863✓0.0181k2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2557-4.87%1.17-11.36%0.0037✓0.95182k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1064.8575-4.87%5.086-0.39%0.1405✗1.3411.8M2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.176962-4.86%0.14138-23.99%0.1495✓1.06657k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37960.361157-4.86%0.299-21.23%0.0982✓1.29197k2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008611-4.86%0.00752-16.91%0.0835✓0.745.8M2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09750.092775-4.85%0.0912-6.46%0.0496✓0.95430k2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.25837-4.84%0.1846-32.01%0.2669✓0.98149k2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.8214-4.84%1.433-25.13%0.1755✓0.91657k2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.17670.168211-4.80%0.1415-19.92%0.1012✓1.021,7442022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.67402-4.80%0.592-16.38%0.0676✓0.88271k2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.677.3024-4.79%6.16-19.69%0.0924✓1.10592k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025810.024581-4.76%0.02202-14.68%0.0207✓1.272,9912022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.721,532.28-4.75%1,334.72-17.03%0.0443✓1.33528.6M2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007030.006696-4.74%0.00503-28.45%0.2408✓0.641.4M2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum32.430.863-4.74%23.19-28.43%0.1543✓1.87391k2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8012.6683-4.74%2.44-12.89%0.0207✓1.565.2M2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9147.5526-4.72%47.61-4.61%0.0879✗1.2317k2022-09-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.025161-4.69%0.0208-21.21%0.1450✓0.6437k2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5740.547092-4.69%0.384-33.10%0.2702✓1.192,9182022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12790.121911-4.68%0.1145-10.48%0.0216✓0.584.1M2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210660.020082-4.67%0.020014-4.99%0.0548✗0.8312k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.338310.322515-4.67%0.43553+28.74%0.3747✗1.05426k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4666.1645-4.66%5.265-18.57%0.0972✓0.8610.1M2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048628-4.65%0.037-27.45%0.2040✓0.98827k2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.30e-7-4.64%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0076✓0.803.6M2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum99.2894.6772-4.64%104.08+4.83%0.1531✗0.833.4M2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066910.006381-4.63%0.0063-5.84%0.0199✓0.4657k2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0450.996633-4.63%0.8289-20.68%0.0989✓1.211.1M2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017170.001638-4.59%0.001548-9.84%0.0139✓1.00871k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.779.3224-4.58%8.65-11.46%0.0080✓1.18313k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10850.10353-4.58%0.0991-8.66%0.0168✓0.86274k2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.160550.153205-4.57%0.16044-0.07%0.1960✗2.136672022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.0681.0194-4.56%0.954978-10.59%0.0026✓0.8956k2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.048250.046055-4.55%0.039181-18.80%0.1243✓0.5330k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8956.5815-4.55%5.466-20.73%0.0956✓1.2810.7M2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1512.0537-4.52%1.808-15.95%0.0460✓1.1660k2022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37240.355564-4.52%0.3025-18.77%0.0856✓1.08176k2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8790.839445-4.50%0.7498-14.70%0.0361✓1.092.2M2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6780.647548-4.49%0.572-15.63%0.0589✓0.93333k2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361490.345274-4.49%0.30461-15.73%0.0564✓0.9890k2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,613.218,227.17-4.48%8,342.07-3.15%0.1098✗1.367.3M2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21250.202982-4.48%0.1831-13.84%0.0086✓1.34110k2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.2273-4.47%12.84+0.31%0.1267✗1.102.6M2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.00320.003057-4.46%0.00322+0.62%0.1253✗1.04508k2022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum83.3779.6665-4.44%73.06-12.37%0.0203✓1.526.4M2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.23040.220195-4.43%0.2197-4.64%0.0620✗0.91550k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293330.280383-4.41%0.25124-14.35%0.0346✓1.0713k2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20540.196343-4.41%0.1768-13.92%0.0344✓1.00128k2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28280.270344-4.40%0.2517-11.00%0.0038✓0.963.6M2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02240.021414-4.40%0.01917-14.42%0.0484✓0.8813.9M2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88251.8-4.38%1.6754-11.00%0.0029✓1.0636k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47540.454584-4.38%0.4415-7.13%0.0490✗1.11386k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074290.071039-4.38%0.06225-16.21%0.0493✓1.1829k2022-09-18
DASHDashDash44.8642.9214-4.32%40.12-10.57%0.0017✓0.98521k2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.752.6312-4.32%2.25-18.18%0.1216✓0.5096k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.033206-4.31%0.0332-4.32%0.0671✗0.9576k2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.23261.1795-4.30%1.2237-0.72%0.1052✗0.971.0M2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4290.410646-4.28%0.426-0.70%0.1065✗0.999,8012022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49670.475621-4.24%0.4395-11.52%0.0219✓0.81713k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39090.374395-4.22%0.3266-16.45%0.0580✓1.12512k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.290229-4.21%0.293-3.30%0.0747✗0.938.2M2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.1715.4892-4.21%13.34-17.50%0.0714✓1.11125k2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013810.013229-4.21%0.011882-13.96%0.0655✓0.591.9M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3022980.289606-4.20%0.266614-11.80%0.0061✓1.09884k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31030.297277-4.20%0.2612-15.82%0.0480✓1.15110k2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.3734.1906-4.17%4.1187-5.82%0.0362✓0.76847k2022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero142.31136.3922-4.16%140.49-1.28%0.0997✗0.991.2M2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12930.123935-4.15%0.1208-6.57%0.0437✗0.982.0M2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8840250.847414-4.14%0.785842-11.11%0.0209✓0.7777k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.49109.8063-4.09%111.83-2.32%0.0962✗1.115.0M2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.34e-7-4.09%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0141✓0.8020k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.34773.2116-4.07%2.8489-14.90%0.0504✓0.9948k2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679370.065189-4.04%0.0573-15.66%0.0572✓1.021.9M2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.26104-4.03%0.254-6.62%0.0230✓0.71878k2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039630.038046-4.00%0.03461-12.67%0.0354✓0.842,6002022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044520.042745-3.99%0.04034-9.39%0.0045✓0.7616k2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum26.4125.3572-3.99%23.45-11.21%0.0113✓0.958.9M2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.44970.431913-3.96%0.4478-0.42%0.1099✗1.0542.0M2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0452650.043481-3.94%0.039656-12.39%0.0306✓0.8735k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02210.981892-3.93%0.9352-8.50%0.0101✓0.553.9M2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.3598.992-3.92%8.956-4.31%0.0634✗0.961.9M2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04470.042949-3.92%0.0427-4.47%0.0620✗0.96201k2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2061.1589-3.91%1.065-11.69%0.0154✓0.982.3M2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.85.5798-3.80%4.63-20.17%0.1263✓0.861.6M2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.8234.47-3.77%31.1-13.18%0.0207✓1.1775.2M2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.20715.0134-3.72%4.6704-10.31%0.0607✓0.14190k2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.08169-3.67%0.0811-4.36%0.0611✗0.9712k2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06180.059541-3.66%0.0619+0.16%0.1021✗0.90130k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,834.9420,080.65-3.62%19,417.64-6.80%0.0369✓1.00472.7M2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.242581-3.58%0.2724+8.27%0.1832✗0.9681k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1080670.104194-3.58%0.1072-0.80%0.0897✗0.877.5M2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000038430.00003706-3.56%0.00003918+1.95%0.1178✗0.881.9M2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1122.0368-3.56%1.646-22.06%0.0923✓1.71131k2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.386730.372978-3.56%0.37245-3.69%0.0650✗0.9470k2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05620.054203-3.55%0.0557-0.89%0.0928✗0.93112k2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058610.005653-3.55%0.005544-5.41%0.0295✓0.703,0362022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash62.2360.0896-3.44%53.33-14.30%0.0401✓1.132.0M2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639770.061779-3.44%0.060789-4.98%0.0259✓0.60179k2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0252.21-3.35%52.65-2.54%0.0785✗1.0013.1M2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5061.4558-3.33%1.336-11.29%0.0020✓1.19150k2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.133911-3.27%0.12379-10.58%0.0080✓1.23250k2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.9044-3.19%2.925-2.50%0.0517✗0.63803k2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.038574-3.08%0.0363-8.79%0.0032✓0.9111k2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10650.103235-3.07%0.0931-12.58%0.0524✓0.724,2082022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.360.349684-2.87%0.3151-12.47%0.0167✓1.24208k2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.