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2022-08-18 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0811
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 89.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.118295-1.01%0.0988-17.32%0.0822✓0.694,2082022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.049475-1.74%0.04315-14.30%0.0339✓0.7216k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.04191-1.85%0.038-11.01%0.0345✗0.9311k2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.243566-2.03%0.21-15.53%0.0042✓1.0177k2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.133342-2.03%0.1447+6.32%0.2298✗1.0441k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.119.9047-2.03%9.254-8.47%0.0720✗0.981.9M2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.113545-2.06%0.11336-2.22%0.1252✗0.897.5M2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.255493-2.18%0.1166-55.36%0.7827✓0.0174k2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.065914-2.23%0.062299-7.59%0.0304✗0.61179k2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006145-2.27%0.005888-6.35%0.0571✗0.703,0362022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.399206-2.30%0.357-12.63%0.0681✗1.26223k2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.516959-2.37%0.4774-9.84%0.0808✗1.13376k2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.966364-2.40%0.865587-12.58%0.0031✓0.7577k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.389459-2.46%0.3309-17.13%0.0038✓1.12176k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,799.81-2.50%1,468.97-20.42%0.0136✓1.33528.6M2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.072763-2.50%0.062199-16.66%0.0102✓1.031.9M2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.750637-2.51%0.7-9.09%0.0120✓0.4186k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.1209-2.53%4.54-27.71%0.1767✓0.861.6M2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.16251-2.57%0.1415-15.17%0.0079✓1.03140k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.197759-2.58%0.1593-21.53%0.0614✓1.09657k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.858226-2.58%0.947+7.49%0.1627✗0.454.4M2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.048121-2.59%0.0461-6.68%0.0946✗0.97207k2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.35e-7-2.64%8.40e-7-12.50%0.0058✓0.794.6M2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007437-2.66%0.00543-28.93%0.2238✓0.641.4M2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037763-2.67%0.0359-7.47%0.0838✗0.9476k2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1184-2.83%0.9111-20.84%0.0285✓1.241.1M2022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.091599-2.97%0.0897-4.98%0.1175✗0.9712k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.424511-2.97%0.4523+3.38%0.2265✗1.1564k2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.1658-3.02%4.9846-6.42%0.0165✓0.14204k2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.071461-3.17%0.0666-9.76%0.0483✗0.83130k2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6058.0927-3.18%57.82-3.63%0.1372✗1.0013.1M2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0649-3.19%0.8328-24.29%0.1112✓0.9512k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.286392-3.25%0.266-10.14%0.0276✓0.71972k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.027666-3.27%0.02341-18.15%0.0179✓1.302,9402022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.322592-3.30%0.3108-6.83%0.0949✗0.938.2M2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.0429-3.32%1.609-23.85%0.1081✓0.92680k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.870268-3.33%0.8104-9.98%0.0962✗1.182.2M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.5138.1953-3.33%33.69-14.73%0.0440✗1.1975.2M2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.28e-7-3.35%8.50e-7-11.46%0.0220✓0.7720k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.060779-3.37%0.0563-10.49%0.0543✗0.92112k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.3256-3.42%1.805-25.04%0.0033✓1.76132k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7517-3.45%2.69-5.61%0.0515✗0.5296k2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12124.6646-3.45%122.08-5.45%0.1365✗1.115.1M2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1474-3.54%1.0116-14.96%0.0012✓0.8855k2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.3743-3.54%8.09+5.82%0.2464✗1.0820.0M2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.6329-3.56%3.0761-18.34%0.0276✓0.9848k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2708-3.58%1.179-10.55%0.0674✗1.002.4M2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.150879-3.59%0.1591+1.66%0.2044✗1.06586k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00660.970331-3.60%0.9979-0.86%0.1147✗0.613.9M2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.255039-3.61%0.2267-14.32%0.0069✓0.88550k2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.174759-3.62%0.16418-9.46%0.2554✗2.236712022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.055895-3.63%0.0492-15.17%0.0179✓1.02253k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.460616-3.64%0.464-2.93%0.1483✗0.999,5622022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.05108-3.65%0.040142-24.28%0.1700✓0.5030k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.358356-3.66%0.31645-14.93%0.0331✓1.11426k2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.009797-3.67%0.00859-15.54%0.0291✓0.725.8M2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017078-3.68%0.01249-29.55%0.2228✓0.63153k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.2289-3.70%14.92-16.60%0.0157✓1.12130k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.7838-3.70%7.059-12.67%0.0485✗1.0314.0M2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.44530.428662-3.74%0.3564-19.96%0.0266✓1.11628k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero160.98154.9647-3.74%147.56-8.34%0.0903✗0.981.2M2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.178715-3.76%0.1487-19.92%0.0324✓1.061,7402022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.4156-3.76%1.293-12.10%0.0913✗1.28518k2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.043196-3.80%0.03601-19.80%0.0672✓0.812,5822022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4622,301.56-3.83%20,113.37-13.27%0.0390✗1.00472.7M2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.099608-3.85%0.096-7.34%0.1028✗0.98430k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash50.3648.4179-3.86%44.59-11.46%0.0559✗0.97521k2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash70.0967.3825-3.86%58.71-16.24%0.0223✓1.122.0M2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.277968-3.88%0.304+5.12%0.2204✗0.9281k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum108.5104.2783-3.89%109.47+0.89%0.1659✗0.823.4M2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.048620.046727-3.89%0.042628-12.32%0.0348✓0.8937k2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1923.2471-3.90%18.48-23.60%0.0348✓1.3725.9M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.114525-3.92%0.1051-11.83%0.0360✓0.86300k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.38327-3.94%0.3548-11.08%0.0520✗0.911922022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.84824.6569-3.95%4.2761-11.80%0.0202✓0.74847k2022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.377033-4.01%0.32877-16.30%0.0046✓1.0090k2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.152078-4.05%0.13742-13.29%0.0734✗1.23250k2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0431.9601-4.06%1.489-27.12%0.1338✓0.99170k2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.2913-4.09%2.022-15.36%0.0423✗1.1862k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000041096-4.09%0.00004289+0.09%0.1664✗0.871.9M2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023017-4.09%0.02052-14.50%0.0120✓0.89369k2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.883981-4.12%0.932+1.08%0.2274✗1.231.0M2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.638489-4.13%0.443-33.48%0.1935✓1.212,9182022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.885052-4.13%0.7528-18.46%0.0287✓0.94574k2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.00163-4.14%0.001493-12.18%0.0082✓0.679,7092022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003660.003508-4.15%0.00337-7.92%0.1055✗1.02508k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.006771-4.15%0.006354-10.05%0.0024✓0.4655k2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.3895-4.18%1.33-8.28%0.0953✗0.98182k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8690.8969-4.18%81.44-14.15%0.1096✗1.546.4M2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.13946-4.22%0.1276-12.36%0.0493✗0.972.0M2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.292475-4.26%0.2704-11.49%0.0613✗0.983.6M2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.071743-4.27%0.0662-11.66%0.0302✓0.788802022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.490245-4.27%0.486-5.10%0.1381✗1.0342.0M2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.175439-4.29%0.1664-9.22%0.1511✗1.431,3972022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.084144-4.29%0.06678-24.04%0.0695✓1.1429k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7124-4.31%1.5518-13.28%0.0616✗1.12470k2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.5829-4.34%1.99-26.30%0.0914✓1.19259k2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.5463-4.39%9.64-12.60%0.0775✗1.18305k2022-09-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1569-4.39%–pending––1.1512k2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration51.6949.4148-4.40%44.64-13.64%0.0420✓1.01543k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.022452-4.42%0.02103-10.47%0.0707✗0.9613.9M2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.515837-4.42%0.4808-10.91%0.0462✗0.82750k2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.065273-4.43%0.0511-25.18%0.0795✓1.16329k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.2372-4.45%6.014-20.60%0.0013✓1.3110.3M2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4022,119.01-4.46%19,985.60-13.68%0.0370✓0.977,5932022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.0368-4.48%1.8165-14.81%0.0354✓1.0533k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.319052-4.57%0.291502-12.81%0.0662✗1.10884k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014025-4.59%0.012503-14.95%0.0293✓0.602.1M2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0553.47-4.60%54.2-3.30%0.1907✗1.2517k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004433-4.66%0.00378-18.71%0.0168✓1.00152k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.431-4.67%0.38033-15.88%0.0019✓0.8970k2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.324613-4.76%0.27068-20.58%0.0326✓1.0513k2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.127677-4.79%0.1254-6.49%0.0674✗0.604.1M2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3692-4.91%1.45+0.69%0.0462✓-0.08115k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.9528.4604-4.97%24.62-17.80%0.0130✓0.938.9M2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.222422-4.99%0.201-14.14%0.0958✗1.38110k2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.4799-5.04%5.627-2.50%0.2204✗1.3611.8M2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.3327-5.09%6.96-20.73%0.0258✓1.08523k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.5179-5.11%6.285-8.50%0.1010✗0.975.3M2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.69362-5.11%0.629-13.95%0.0375✓0.95333k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.7229-5.18%1.46-19.65%0.0033✓1.14150k2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.4065-5.19%14.56+2.97%0.2410✗1.112.6M2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.218331-5.20%0.191-17.06%0.0086✓1.00111k2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3234-5.20%1.2443-10.87%0.0729✗0.951.0M2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003552-5.23%0.002846-24.07%0.1083✓0.801.0M2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.601964-5.36%0.50943-19.91%0.0206✓1.3246k2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.274195-5.38%0.1876-35.27%0.2273✓1.07151k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.2705-5.40%2.19-8.75%0.0899✗0.89726k2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497613.7138-5.41%11.819-18.48%0.0135✓0.9551k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.6672-5.42%1.9045+8.04%0.3053✗1.21598k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.70041-5.48%0.617-16.73%0.0747✗1.424.6M2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2284-5.51%1.1798-9.25%0.1383✗1.261.1M2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.1623-5.55%3.155-5.76%0.0821✗0.59853k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.4646-5.63%6.35-7.30%0.0375✓0.391.1M2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.108404-5.65%0.1088-5.31%0.1607✗1.103.7M2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.022149-5.66%0.020559-12.43%0.0409✓0.8112k2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.585776-5.67%0.515-17.07%0.0361✓1.1695k2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44610.7957-5.68%16.412+43.39%0.5827✗1.1511.4M2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001811-5.70%0.001621-15.57%0.0317✓1.00901k2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.314857-5.72%0.40106+20.10%0.3673✗0.88383k2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.7485-5.76%5.4-11.48%0.0070✓0.392.6M2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50254.1676-5.80%52.371-8.92%0.0661✗0.70354k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.05123-5.83%0.042-22.79%0.0530✓1.02877k2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.1261-5.84%1.133-5.27%0.2807✗1.933.6M2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012686-5.89%0.00001197-11.20%0.0797✗0.97827k2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.5279-5.99%1.9947-25.82%0.0665✓1.2013k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.69674-6.23%0.621-16.42%0.0165✓0.92274k2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.601878-6.25%0.516-19.63%0.0157✓1.19114k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.58580.548971-6.29%0.5649-3.57%0.1633✗0.951.9M2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.077764-6.30%0.06385-23.06%0.1618✓0.25959k2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.0069-6.30%5.909-20.98%0.0547✓0.819.9M2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.1372.9389-6.31%2.603-17.02%0.0039✓0.83719k2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007325-6.33%0.00773-1.15%0.2137✗1.12420k2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.0423-6.36%2.735-15.82%0.1177✗1.575.2M2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.343728-6.42%0.2713-26.14%0.0777✓1.12105k2022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.00008718-6.44%0.00030987+232.55%1.4101✗1.00336k2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.041616-6.46%0.03442-22.63%0.0506✓0.9821k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.071184-6.46%0.0594-21.94%0.0122✓1.191.4M2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.0425-6.47%1.0832-2.82%0.2592✗1.555.0M2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.876137-6.52%0.8495-9.36%0.1903✗1.55244k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.919,549.54-6.52%9,343.58-8.54%0.1683✗1.346.8M2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.6521-6.71%1.403-20.78%0.0160✓1.26142k2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.852087-6.77%0.6797-25.63%0.0246✓1.42433k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.2364-6.83%4.45-20.82%0.1064✓0.401.1M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.194242-6.88%0.2252+7.96%0.2687✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1315.0101-6.94%13.21-18.10%0.0472✓1.231.5M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.021451-6.95%0.025798+11.91%0.2181✗0.24232k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.5282.3491-7.08%1.839-27.25%0.0633✓1.281.0M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1438.1801-7.19%17.07-58.51%0.6593✓1.021.8M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.071169-7.40%0.06229-18.96%0.0322✓1.162.3M2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.38768-7.67%0.3183-24.20%0.0013✓1.39203k2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.0702-7.79%3.983-9.76%0.0049✓0.192.1M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001416-7.80%0.001205-21.54%0.0483✓0.791.6M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3917.8565-7.91%16.36-15.63%0.0077✓0.672.2M2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum3834.9734-7.96%25.23-33.61%0.0474✓1.96391k2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.104724-7.98%0.1045-8.17%0.1076✗0.77215k2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.3894-8.07%5.91-14.96%0.0216✓0.401.8M2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.636.3013-8.33%34.42-13.08%0.1439✗1.3916.0M2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.2446-8.64%3.989-14.14%0.0149✓0.331.5M2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.828.956-8.80%8.49-13.54%0.0082✓0.431.9M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.3134-9.00%4.009+10.11%0.3112✗0.85127k2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.6321-9.82%6.1857+53.59%0.5827✗0.352.0M2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.0903-10.14%5.798+27.38%0.4216✗0.512.0M2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.4699-10.57%3.732-3.81%0.1488✗0.531.3M2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4416.6466-10.68%5.727-23.03%0.1379✓0.083.9M2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49494.8455-11.82%4.9164-10.53%0.1568✗1.00169k2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.17e-7-14.05%6.21e-7-13.51%0.0978✓0.64164k2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25710.7562-18.86%11.72-11.59%0.1519✓0.461.3M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.