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2022-08-17 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0196
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 90.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.119786-0.92%0.0959-20.68%0.1059✓0.714,2082022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042025-1.58%0.0374-12.41%0.0373✗0.9411k2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.049814-1.81%0.04256-16.10%0.0390✓0.7216k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.8883-1.86%4.36-27.33%0.1507✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256376-1.88%0.119-54.46%0.7655✓0.0165k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.0537-1.97%9.137-10.91%0.0639✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.529292-2.00%0.4634-14.20%0.0514✗1.12388k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.248203-2.09%0.2047-19.25%0.0262✓1.0183k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.135186-2.11%0.1457+5.50%0.2457✗1.0441k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.066681-2.12%0.061288-10.04%0.0163✓0.61182k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.957141-2.16%0.810979-17.10%0.0430✓0.7577k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.763144-2.16%0.7-10.26%0.0165✓0.42105k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.118631-2.20%0.107109-11.70%0.0442✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.409539-2.21%0.346-17.38%0.0390✗1.26239k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.38e-7-2.27%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0050✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.888042-2.31%0.928+2.09%0.1194✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,791.53-2.35%1,433.73-21.85%0.0044✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006363-2.40%0.005888-9.70%0.0374✗0.703,0362022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007744-2.46%0.00531-33.12%0.2720✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.1701-2.47%4.9422-6.77%0.0229✓0.14217k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.049511-2.73%0.043-15.52%0.0195✓0.98212k2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.408831-2.80%0.3247-22.80%0.0482✓1.11190k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.294374-2.85%0.262-13.53%0.0017✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.077795-2.90%0.060443-24.55%0.0833✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.8348-2.92%1.76-39.73%0.3910✓0.5296k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.456279-2.94%0.4409-6.21%0.1539✗1.1464k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.41e-7-2.95%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0008✓0.7721k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1815-2.99%0.8768-28.01%0.0946✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.210296-3.09%0.15442-28.84%0.1274✓1.10696k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.02897-3.11%0.02271-24.05%0.0299✓1.302,9912022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006539-3.13%0.006297-6.71%0.0359✗0.4555k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5258.6247-3.13%55.93-7.58%0.1176✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.171357-3.13%0.1384-21.76%0.0476✓1.01140k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0762-3.17%0.82039-26.19%0.1163✓0.9412k2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.329833-3.22%0.2979-12.59%0.0511✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5539.2207-3.28%32.23-20.52%0.0001✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3945-3.29%1.715-30.74%0.0447✓1.76134k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.173448-3.32%0.15812-11.86%0.2750✗2.236712022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.051717-3.37%0.039113-26.92%0.1975✓0.5033k2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.063958-3.39%0.0555-16.16%0.0135✓0.78116k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.076613-3.39%0.0646-18.54%0.0405✓0.79130k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3135-3.42%1.173-13.75%0.0517✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.04362-3.45%0.03549-21.45%0.0744✓0.802,6002022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1697-3.48%1.003-17.24%0.0095✓0.8855k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,498.37-3.61%19,801.04-15.17%0.0368✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.440209-3.61%0.3492-23.54%0.0482✓1.11808k2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.15299-3.62%0.13109-17.41%0.0490✗1.24250k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.7602-3.64%4.31-12.75%0.0349✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.6684-3.64%4.2657-11.95%0.0300✓0.73882k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83128.9472-3.65%119.59-10.64%0.1060✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9183-3.65%1.475-25.92%0.0987✓1.00181k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.098055-3.68%0.0859-15.62%0.0312✓0.9912k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.280506-3.71%0.3024+3.81%0.2279✗0.9381k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.1815-3.73%1.541-31.99%0.1957✓0.92680k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001617-3.73%0.001455-13.39%0.0077✓0.699,5772022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.368933-3.74%0.30013-21.69%0.0625✓0.88435k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.060632-3.76%0.0476-24.44%0.0740✓1.02253k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.928802-3.76%0.7965-17.47%0.0396✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.504-3.78%1.237-20.86%0.0150✓1.28529k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.7554-3.79%7.655-5.04%0.1650✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.0517-3.83%6.906-17.51%0.0153✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.394111-3.84%0.32095-21.69%0.0422✓0.9995k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.048352-3.86%0.042068-16.36%0.0082✓0.9043k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000041638-3.91%0.00004223-2.54%0.1574✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.116643-3.92%0.1034-14.83%0.0218✓0.87311k2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.189756-3.92%0.151-23.54%0.0554✓1.051,7922022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8750.7887-3.94%43.69-17.36%0.0084✓0.97548k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.264686-3.96%0.2244-18.58%0.0225✓0.87550k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.853-3.96%2.9941-25.37%0.0918✓0.9848k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.3011-3.97%5.31-3.80%0.0630✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.929349-3.97%0.7411-23.42%0.0718✓0.94623k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.891045-3.98%0.896-3.45%0.2070✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91105.5291-3.99%107.74-1.97%0.1566✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.4235-4.02%1.988-21.27%0.0040✓1.1864k2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003628-4.02%0.00319-15.61%0.0390✓1.02528k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.162858-4.03%0.1558-8.19%0.1315✗1.07616k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0474-4.09%0.9744-10.77%0.0301✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.397241-4.09%0.3538-14.58%0.0327✓0.901922022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3161.4047-4.10%149.19-11.35%0.0783✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.226-4.12%14.36-24.46%0.0541✓1.12130k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.104593-4.13%0.0976-10.54%0.0936✗0.99456k2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1538-4.19%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.08343-4.21%0.06705-23.02%0.0298✓1.1529k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.626418-4.22%0.418-36.09%0.2086✓1.192,9182022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.493189-4.24%0.434-15.73%0.0353✓0.999,8012022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5624.4759-4.24%18.06-29.34%0.0790✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.9528-4.30%6.26+0.64%0.1101✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.305983-4.32%0.2626-17.89%0.0098✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.074193-4.33%0.0652-15.93%0.0015✓0.789142022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017291-4.37%0.01206-33.30%0.2590✓0.62153k2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004476-4.37%0.00373-20.30%0.0166✓1.01158k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.023774-4.37%0.02106-15.29%0.0256✓0.89310k2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.041969-4.40%0.0352-19.82%0.0203✓0.9576k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.186799-4.40%0.155-20.68%0.0490✗1.431,3972022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1495.7015-4.43%79.37-20.74%0.0646✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3155.7006-4.47%54.06-7.29%0.1734✗1.2420k2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2270.8934-4.48%56.74-23.55%0.0412✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.067616-4.50%0.0498-29.66%0.1157✓1.16331k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.01037-4.51%0.00835-23.11%0.0948✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.7141-4.52%3.874-0.41%0.0734✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014494-4.55%0.012294-19.03%0.0661✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3363-4.55%1.44+2.86%0.0646✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7752.2686-4.57%43.86-19.92%0.0085✓1.01595k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.513965-4.57%0.4748-11.85%0.0900✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1003-4.60%1.7566-20.21%0.0057✓1.0536k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.329029-4.60%0.26134-24.23%0.0594✓1.0413k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.024561-4.62%0.02055-20.19%0.0332✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.539133-4.63%0.4698-16.89%0.0028✓0.82755k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.8312-4.66%9.36-17.61%0.0413✓1.14313k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.7967-4.67%1.5208-19.31%0.0165✓1.11488k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1128.6939-4.70%24.08-20.03%0.0224✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.331606-4.73%0.283015-18.69%0.0139✓1.05916k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6251-4.77%1.8924+10.89%0.3500✗1.20598k2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.13833-4.80%0.1213-16.52%0.0318✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.5789-4.80%5.824-26.84%0.0494✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.438278-4.83%0.37431-18.72%0.0089✓0.9170k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.229362-4.83%0.1907-20.87%0.0425✓1.38117k2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.151294-4.85%0.1221-23.21%0.0531✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.777-4.90%1.92-34.25%0.1729✓1.19269k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5309-4.91%1.28-20.50%0.0201✓0.97182k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.333-5.04%5.56-1.00%0.0549✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.236034-5.05%0.1847-25.70%0.0808✓1.00111k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,109.20-5.10%19,713.60-15.39%0.0453✓0.977,5932022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.2383-5.12%2.987-12.48%0.0230✓0.63853k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3364-5.27%1.2302-12.80%0.0724✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.731997-5.30%0.616-20.31%0.0174✓0.94344k2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.312156-5.33%0.38821+17.74%0.3639✗0.89402k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7543-5.38%1.38-25.57%0.0558✓1.12170k2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.2423-5.39%2.13-10.13%0.0961✗0.90636k2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.0269-5.40%11.2265-24.28%0.0659✓0.9553k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003722-5.44%0.002807-28.68%0.1518✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.277965-5.45%0.19-35.37%0.2044✓1.07160k2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.617046-5.48%0.49675-23.91%0.0010✓1.3147k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.8842-5.49%6.63-29.47%0.1143✓1.08523k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.769-5.53%4.665-23.61%0.0109✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001847-5.54%0.001658-15.19%0.0567✓1.00950k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.2939-5.56%1.1346-17.18%0.0753✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.758925-5.61%0.586-27.11%0.0264✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.022587-5.63%0.020411-14.72%0.0317✓0.8113k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.093981-5.74%0.1059+6.22%0.2516✗0.80215k2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.606078-5.74%0.497-22.71%0.0075✓1.16105k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.386.9489-5.84%6.185-16.19%0.0427✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2279-5.97%8.46-3.31%0.0935✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.8967-5.97%3.867-6.68%0.0424✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.0474-5.98%16.596+41.24%0.5927✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92256.3373-5.98%52.013-13.20%0.0362✓0.71365k2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.115235-6.01%0.1057-13.78%0.0959✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.078186-6.03%0.06472-22.21%0.1481✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.7856-6.06%14.52-7.75%0.1612✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.9101-6.08%3.6957+19.28%0.3217✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.559691-6.11%0.5573-6.51%0.1513✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.2398-6.15%1.112-15.82%0.2081✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.9123-6.15%5.78-8.25%0.0400✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.63053-6.17%0.489-27.23%0.0573✓1.20130k2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007635-6.20%0.00771-5.28%0.1925✗1.11456k2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.020591-6.25%0.025951+18.15%0.2640✗0.20233k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.350057-6.43%0.2667-28.71%0.0893✓1.11105k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.7363-6.49%1.9192-34.41%0.1557✓1.2113k2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000088928-6.49%0.00030458+220.27%1.3967✗1.01336k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.730162-6.51%0.605-22.54%0.0351✓0.93280k2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.245-6.52%5.9681+71.93%0.6609✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.7742-6.57%1.34-29.44%0.0759✓1.25142k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.05592-6.64%0.0411-31.39%0.1379✓1.03877k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.2719-6.65%2.596-25.93%0.0275✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.0454-6.67%2.56-21.54%0.0370✓0.83719k2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.6439-6.70%5.824-28.91%0.1383✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1023-6.75%1.0589-10.42%0.2103✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.7377-6.77%12.83-23.99%0.0020✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.043662-6.80%0.03294-29.69%0.1211✓0.9821k2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013735-6.95%0.00001157-21.61%0.0132✓0.96827k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.5444-7.00%5.5996+46.92%0.5331✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.072329-7.03%0.0575-26.09%0.0352✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.914499-7.08%0.8516-13.47%0.1843✗1.55244k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.89843-7.09%0.6518-32.60%0.0858✓1.43469k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.406084-7.10%0.3144-28.07%0.0277✓1.39209k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.382-7.13%1.78-30.60%0.0808✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0937.1964-7.22%16.31-59.32%0.6516✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,353.04-7.27%8,661.73-22.42%0.0407✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.521-7.46%11.384+90.81%0.7841✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.3-7.68%4.6927+0.75%0.2519✗1.00140k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4217.9245-7.70%16-17.61%0.0020✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001426-7.76%0.001201-22.29%0.0406✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.079287-7.78%0.06104-29.01%0.0699✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7935.7228-7.91%24.55-36.71%0.0530✓1.96408k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.204455-7.99%0.2101-5.45%0.1676✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2936.8787-8.47%34.05-15.49%0.1478✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.3408-9.27%4.006+8.80%0.3226✗0.86124k2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-75.92e-7-13.82%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0117✓0.63164k2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.