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2022-08-10 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2031
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.122924-9.75%0.1242-8.81%0.1082✗0.85206k2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.3446-8.59%1.3501-8.21%0.1231✗1.04907k2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum47.2443.2488-8.45%32.42-31.37%0.0704✓1.90362k2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative3.0572.8-8.41%2.111-30.95%0.1354✓1.28649k2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.454393-8.22%0.3091-37.57%0.2572✓1.1285k2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1993.8731-7.76%2.999-28.58%0.0696✓1.625.2M2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.096316-7.63%0.06971-33.14%0.1763✓1.281.8M2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8335.8797-7.60%39.19+0.93%0.2466✗1.3814.2M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001408-7.40%0.001388-8.73%0.0863✗0.881.4M2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6835.8993-7.19%17.28-55.33%0.5937✓1.201.3M2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.4574-7.12%1.411-10.07%0.1876✗1.923.3M2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.907121-7.06%0.685-29.82%0.1659✓1.00271k2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.063867-6.90%0.0518-24.49%0.0792✓1.13827k2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.2951-6.79%1.2042-13.33%0.0932✗1.456.8M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6010,738.08-6.71%10,439.05-9.31%0.1246✗1.335.8M2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.8311-6.52%2.3273-23.15%0.0430✓1.3313k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.91531-6.52%0.8564-12.53%0.1171✗1.60296k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.916714-6.46%0.7844-19.96%0.0158✓1.50469k2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1519.7968-6.40%18.09-14.47%0.0077✓0.722.4M2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.13701-6.29%0.1126-22.98%0.0585✓1.203.4M2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.1858-6.20%6.9482+104.58%0.8379✗0.511.9M2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3487.8338-6.16%7.1-14.95%0.0231✓1.065.7M2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5517.4275-6.05%14.71-20.70%0.0267✓1.241.4M2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000092648-6.00%0.00043064+336.93%1.6151✗0.69421k2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.289736-5.87%0.2292-25.54%0.1100✓1.08274k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.5057-5.83%0.332-38.18%0.2689✓1.32245k2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6110.0033-5.72%7.92-25.35%0.1036✓1.13562k2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21083.0286-5.68%7.5152+134.06%0.9530✗0.381.5M2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.830114-5.67%0.691-21.48%0.0135✓1.484.4M2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.4905-5.66%1.3263-16.06%0.0331✓1.311.2M2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.8226-5.52%4.223+4.37%0.1424✗0.371.6M2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.7235-5.52%5.047-29.08%0.1284✓1.3812.8M2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3956.0431-5.50%6.12-4.30%0.0327✓0.173.4M2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4476-5.50%2.58-0.39%0.1613✗0.95636k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1983.9698-5.44%3.24-22.82%0.1172✓0.751.3M2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum65.261.69-5.38%51.69-20.72%0.0285✓1.2935k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.17216-5.35%0.1353-25.62%0.1203✓1.052.7M2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2834-5.33%8.88+1.49%0.0896✗0.171.8M2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.660725-5.20%0.548-21.38%0.0442✓1.2591k2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.031251-5.19%0.02351-28.67%0.1676✓1.0213.8M2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.464469-5.12%0.39753-18.79%0.0965✓0.5170k2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.74971-5.10%0.497-37.09%0.2673✓1.252,7912022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase17.716.7976-5.10%12.9714-26.72%0.1403✓1.0358k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.226185-5.08%0.1851-22.32%0.0359✓1.431,3132022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0491.9451-5.07%1.485-27.53%0.1335✓1.19234k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.838959-4.99%0.659-25.37%0.1324✓0.95377k2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.3297-4.99%1.545-36.99%0.2776✓1.16177k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.349388-4.97%0.29001-21.12%0.0560✓1.1413k2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.399-4.95%6.39+12.50%0.2097✗0.361.1M2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008522-4.88%0.00784-12.50%0.0467✓1.13457k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.177162-4.80%0.1548-16.82%0.0063✓1.12553k2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum9.228.7802-4.77%6.51-29.39%0.1476✓1.329.9M2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3067.9109-4.76%6.379-23.20%0.1139✓0.885.8M2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.683943-4.74%0.55787-22.30%0.0450✓1.3857k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.4187-4.73%16.126+34.54%0.4857✗1.2214.7M2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.025353-4.72%0.02126-20.11%0.0814✓0.83159k2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29259.3695-4.69%55.512-10.88%0.0163✓0.73321k2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.07882-4.69%0.064-22.61%0.0791✓1.131.4M2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.626832-4.65%0.5324-19.01%0.0596✓0.90755k2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.5315-4.64%12.387+160.67%1.0347✗0.251.2M2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.4218-4.63%15.48-4.27%0.1422✗1.212.6M2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.235872-4.58%0.1641-33.62%0.2336✓1.131,6562022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.6061-4.56%10.69-12.09%0.0494✗1.15313k2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003782-4.51%0.002899-26.81%0.1614✓0.91994k2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0982.9589-4.49%2.75-11.23%0.0268✓0.87587k2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.62610.59804-4.48%0.5768-7.87%0.0826✗1.042.4M2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17106.3392-4.35%91.14-18.02%0.0259✓1.578.2M2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.508959-4.33%0.444-16.54%0.0210✓1.0113k2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7429-4.24%1.48-18.68%0.0406✓1.07164k2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.362-4.23%0.4161+10.08%0.2443✗0.91405k2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.8345-4.21%4.4753+51.23%0.5241✗0.591.3M2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.6194-4.19%4.674+70.96%0.6771✗0.8592k2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0793.9099-4.15%4.322+5.96%0.1315✗0.272.3M2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.9152-4.11%2.35-22.70%0.0681✓1.28227k2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1827.9819-4.11%20.4-30.09%0.1544✓1.4130.8M2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.163408-4.10%0.1374-19.37%0.0936✓0.704.2M2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.189541-4.06%0.17041-13.74%0.1507✗2.241,0642022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.023238-4.02%0.02179-10.00%0.0345✓0.8612k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.0906-3.83%16.88-23.03%0.0845✓1.20118k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum126.64121.8382-3.79%103.35-18.39%0.0643✓0.874.2M2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration62.9260.5409-3.78%52.65-16.32%0.0171✓1.07525k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.117325-3.75%0.0985-19.20%0.0507✓1.08566k2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.082093-3.70%0.06733-21.02%0.1094✓0.779772022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.7807-3.70%1.38-25.37%0.1005✓1.35401k2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1187-3.68%1.0469-9.87%0.0156✓0.714.4M2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.086543-3.62%0.07205-19.76%0.1568✓0.231.1M2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.738356-3.61%0.561-26.76%0.1214✓1.34137k2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.019547-3.59%0.02424+19.56%0.2344✗0.17215k2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.033921-3.58%0.03907+11.06%0.2628✗1.0616k2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.147736-3.57%0.2053+34.01%0.4322✗0.901.1M2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2375-3.55%5.39-0.74%0.0659✗0.322.1M2022-09-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.1419-3.52%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4669-3.50%1.43-5.92%0.0169✓0.07159k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.173541-3.45%0.14129-21.40%0.0539✓1.32227k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.9165-3.43%1.85-38.74%0.3957✓0.52110k2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.2026-3.43%7.759-18.57%0.0433✓1.1112.4M2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.050353-3.42%0.046222-11.34%0.0315✓1.0237k2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.7526-3.40%4.61-6.30%0.0166✓0.411.3M2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1061-3.40%0.84654-26.07%0.1546✓0.9812k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.356483-3.39%0.313944-14.92%0.0025✓1.13855k2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.018289-3.38%0.01236-34.71%0.3108✓0.71167k2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015237-3.36%0.013248-15.97%0.0589✓0.712.1M2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0361-3.35%0.80804-24.62%0.1218✓1.10558k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.071426-3.35%0.0602-18.54%0.0779✓0.81143k2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.00469-3.30%0.00416-14.23%0.0095✓1.13102k2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash78.776.1082-3.29%66.01-16.12%0.0042✓1.202.2M2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.084563-3.28%0.07407-15.28%0.0034✓1.1229k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.529295-3.25%0.4513-17.51%0.0290✓1.1454k2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.833-3.25%2.01-31.35%0.1426✓1.75134k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.3091-3.23%1.936-18.86%0.0509✓1.0938k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.336771-3.20%0.2922-16.01%0.0219✓1.053.5M2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.04795-3.13%0.0376-24.04%0.1311✓0.9810k2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.009987-3.13%0.00972-5.72%0.0579✗0.745.5M2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.450325-3.11%0.3721-19.94%0.0567✓1.17174k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.7807-3.10%7.744-14.54%0.0040✓1.1319.0M2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.768-3.08%2.192-23.25%0.0939✓1.2258k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.0982-3.08%0.881-22.24%0.0767✓1.252.3M2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.055754-3.05%0.042569-25.98%0.2100✓0.5230k2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000046430.00004502-3.04%0.00004454-4.07%0.0892✗0.871.9M2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5715-3.01%1.8421+13.69%0.3088✗1.31619k2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.3730.4411-2.96%27.21-13.26%0.0058✓0.9310.0M2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.521734-2.95%0.5022-6.58%0.0874✗1.0942.6M2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.1082.0459-2.95%1.685-20.07%0.0792✓1.00261k2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.122829-2.90%0.1144-9.57%0.0298✗0.88370k2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.404347-2.90%0.33379-19.84%0.0713✓1.05481k2022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.450914-2.88%0.35417-23.72%0.1214✓1.05127k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000012047-2.85%0.00001292+4.19%0.1830✗0.98864k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.089318-2.81%0.0636-30.79%0.2373✓0.89130k2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.8208-2.80%1.6453-12.17%0.0301✗1.15513k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3023,262.75-2.74%21,371.80-10.65%0.0263✓0.9711k2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042895-2.73%0.0391-11.34%0.0278✗1.0577k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4065-2.60%1.234-14.54%0.0043✓1.102.6M2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.8163-2.57%6.47+8.38%0.1491✗0.37894k2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.061939-2.46%0.052-18.11%0.0456✓1.13197k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.862689-2.41%0.962+8.82%0.2466✗1.20984k2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053493-2.39%0.0475-13.32%0.0004✓1.04248k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045541-2.38%0.03896-16.48%0.0592✓0.842,4562022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.227187-2.33%0.2145-7.78%0.1016✗1.39107k2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003830.003745-2.23%0.00328-14.36%0.0037✓1.12517k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.031771-2.21%0.026-19.98%0.0525✓1.291,7322022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.00211-2.19%0.001551-28.09%0.1929✓1.001.1M2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.49790.487495-2.09%0.3813-23.42%0.1104✓1.18892k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.356812-2.08%0.3246-10.92%0.0188✓0.998.4M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.44606-2.03%0.4155-8.74%0.0838✗1.35188k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.26066-2.01%0.2297-13.65%0.0181✓0.94629k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.53164.1768-2.00%161.29-3.72%0.1006✗1.031.2M2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.3212-1.99%0.9795-27.34%0.1572✓1.241.1M2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.19474.113-1.95%3.3109-21.07%0.0996✓1.0253k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash54.653.5468-1.93%49.01-10.24%0.0267✗1.00552k2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.770.755284-1.91%0.73-5.19%0.0189✓0.4686k2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.541.6953-1.89%34.69-18.38%0.0402✓1.2581.8M2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.224726-1.87%0.17882-21.91%0.0853✓1.25703k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0525-1.83%0.927032-13.54%0.0349✓0.8058k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.099008-1.78%0.0939-6.85%0.0619✗1.008,4352022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.93774.8528-1.72%4.3137-12.64%0.0359✓0.71894k2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.5952-1.71%5.02-25.19%0.1451✓1.111.5M2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18139.7616-1.70%132.9-6.53%0.0794✗1.135.0M2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.334328-1.67%0.277-18.53%0.0911✓0.851.1M2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0404-1.67%1.845-11.08%0.0134✓0.99567k2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.28e-7-1.64%7.32e-7+119.08%0.8790✗0.68150k2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.051718-1.62%0.04619-12.14%0.0246✓0.7717k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.267639-1.46%0.2765+1.80%0.1454✗0.9865k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.261181-1.40%0.2217-16.31%0.0445✓1.0491k2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001733-1.38%0.001624-7.57%0.0283✗0.819,0932022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,636.39-1.36%21,364.50-10.84%0.0137✗1.00472.7M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0322-1.32%1.04-0.57%0.0701✗0.554.2M2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.069417-1.27%0.063383-9.85%0.0213✓0.61192k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001017-1.23%9.50e-7-7.77%0.0200✗0.7722k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.2108-1.17%1.0805-11.81%0.0046✓0.9552k2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.141288-1.06%0.1389-2.73%0.1102✗1.1150k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008284-1.03%0.00584-30.23%0.2739✓0.661.6M2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.00602-0.95%0.006311+3.83%0.1032✗0.4951k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,837.20-0.91%1,719.21-7.28%0.0844✗1.31480.7M2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6161.0839-0.85%61.15-0.75%0.1218✗1.0513.7M2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006588-0.69%0.006215-6.32%0.0252✗0.733,9632022-09-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001003-0.67%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0086✓0.786.0M2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.7084-0.66%9.611-10.84%0.0084✗1.022.0M2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.131713-0.52%0.1034-21.90%0.1431✓0.864,7012022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.125449-0.42%0.114404-9.19%0.0146✗0.937.2M2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.612009-0.23%0.4993-18.60%0.0741✓1.13318k2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.261131-0.18%0.1358-48.09%0.6523✓0.0135k2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.165138-0.04%0.1499-9.26%0.0271✗1.08115k2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.071336+0.13%0.063921-10.28%0.0090✓1.041.6M2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.06085+0.25%0.0531-12.52%0.0072✓1.25339k2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.74.7981+2.09%4.9689+5.72%0.0493✓0.13367k2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.