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2022-08-07 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2255
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.5%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.033918-16.40%0.02171-46.49%0.2318✓1.02159k2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.096732-9.82%0.05773-46.18%0.2057✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.2009-9.20%5.919-13.33%0.0444✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.7591-8.00%1.095-42.73%0.0652✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.433348-7.66%0.296-36.93%0.1433✓1.1380k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7135.0891-6.95%34.44-8.67%0.2813✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.798-6.91%2.791-31.59%0.0465✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2241.1934-6.84%28.84-34.78%0.0364✓1.87293k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4830.3025-6.70%15.93-50.95%0.3346✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.00009309-6.50%0.00037885+280.52%1.7790✗1.79466k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1920.7566-6.46%16.78-24.38%0.0542✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,719.64-6.28%8,612.34-24.71%0.0764✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3149-6.24%1.0359-26.13%0.0797✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.927351-6.19%0.8135-17.70%0.2320✗1.73296k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4636-6.11%1.772-32.47%0.0633✓1.27505k2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2613-6.11%6.6193+90.56%0.8627✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.23957-6.09%0.1524-40.26%0.1869✓1.271,5612022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.8771-5.84%2.136-30.10%0.0123✓1.4813k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.764358-5.75%0.439-45.87%0.2615✓1.402,7022022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.877601-5.74%0.6322-32.09%0.0100✓1.61462k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.032403-5.70%0.01917-44.21%0.2494✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.2625-5.66%12.1746-33.46%0.1176✓1.1053k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.102902-5.59%0.1124+3.12%0.2491✗0.77163k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.8419-5.08%4.301-40.33%0.1294✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.8337-5.03%6.22-24.60%0.0209✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.827665-4.98%0.614-29.51%0.0584✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.535836-4.93%0.3016-46.49%0.2986✓1.32232k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.0619-4.86%7.2344+124.79%0.9935✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8611-4.85%3.962-2.37%0.1473✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.655539-4.78%0.5036-26.85%0.0448✓1.4769k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.5521-4.77%6.8-32.20%0.0581✓1.34385k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3619-4.76%2.26-8.87%0.1818✗1.08507k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.453084-4.66%0.36615-22.95%0.0723✓0.6770k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.6291-4.66%13.11-29.10%0.0231✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.2601-4.64%1.457-38.52%0.1662✓1.30160k2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.06135-4.59%0.0453-29.55%0.0423✓1.24799k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.187072-4.55%0.15332-21.77%0.2810✗2.291,0642022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4993-4.50%1.47-6.37%0.0300✓0.24207k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.173813-4.45%0.1191-34.52%0.1272✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.526659-4.42%0.399-27.59%0.0437✓1.1114k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8561.0329-4.41%45.35-28.97%0.0093✓1.3738k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.8377-4.35%2.889-27.99%0.1066✓0.85976k2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.1478-4.34%14.19-15.94%0.1572✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.4169-4.27%5.599-36.32%0.2005✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46121.0712-4.26%90.03-28.81%0.1032✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.526-4.23%6.09+5.55%0.2046✗0.51964k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.5623-4.22%8.6-3.80%0.0771✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.29503-4.21%0.2418-21.49%0.0308✓1.10300k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9157-4.12%1.395-30.18%0.0285✓1.38234k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.4254-4.08%5.829-33.64%0.0794✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.654263-4.07%0.482-29.33%0.0229✓1.3590k2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.9853-3.90%4.174+0.65%0.1456✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.824709-3.88%0.624-27.27%0.0329✓1.17246k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.076645-3.82%0.06355-20.25%0.0341✓0.738502022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.34475-3.74%0.26857-25.01%0.0123✓1.2513k2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.9548-3.69%11.775+3.53%0.3462✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.567267-3.64%0.3885-34.01%0.1424✓1.1346k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1242-3.61%0.938-19.57%0.0111✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.123702-3.58%0.0977-23.85%0.0492✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5204-3.51%11.915+154.32%1.0594✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008743-3.50%0.00747-17.55%0.0978✗1.22421k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4481-3.46%1.1464-23.57%0.0570✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.1698-3.41%0.1307-25.65%0.0179✓1.16529k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.07101-3.39%0.0558-24.08%0.0441✓0.94158k2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87859.8045-3.35%49.549-19.92%0.0218✓0.79306k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.641732-3.34%0.5082-23.45%0.0074✓1.08726k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.579193-3.32%0.5213-12.99%0.1301✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.4695-3.19%5.2-7.96%0.0602✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.0129-3.18%18.21-34.73%0.0682✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022746-3.17%0.019706-16.11%0.0559✗0.9512k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.207834-3.15%0.1824-15.00%0.1659✗1.411,1742022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9378-3.14%2.544-16.12%0.0710✗1.02585k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9652-3.10%2.1-31.37%0.0452✓1.43234k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7532-3.08%1.182-34.66%0.1012✓1.40371k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.378-3.08%9.48-19.25%0.0709✗1.21263k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9139-3.08%4.37-13.81%0.0106✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1303-3.03%0.80255-31.15%0.1156✓1.0812k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.077009-3.01%0.0605-23.80%0.0035✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.46653-2.93%0.3263-32.11%0.0856✓1.30155k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1193-2.92%1.727-20.89%0.0299✗1.12225k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,441.55-2.90%18,917.90-18.14%0.0348✗0.9812k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.154339-2.81%0.1271-19.96%0.0184✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.050105-2.81%0.041181-20.12%0.0318✗1.0937k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.784379-2.80%0.608-24.66%0.0617✓0.92380k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.081532-2.78%0.06801-18.90%0.0926✗1.3129k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.3911-2.72%3.885+58.06%0.6717✗0.8992k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.14722-2.70%0.185+22.27%0.4410✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015522-2.69%0.012145-23.87%0.0709✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0825-2.69%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.422284-2.65%0.31421-27.57%0.0568✓1.14124k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4263.699-2.63%45.56-30.36%0.0961✓1.14419k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9103-2.61%4.417+47.80%0.5939✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042973-2.56%0.0348-21.09%0.0309✗1.1577k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7641-2.54%1.23-32.04%0.0968✓1.26132k2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0176-2.52%1.0186-2.42%0.2295✗1.09933k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3198.7646-2.51%83.58-17.50%0.1749✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.01938-2.48%0.025115+26.38%0.3218✗0.30173k2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.380781-2.46%0.3-23.16%0.0415✓0.941492022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.116338-2.40%0.0892-25.17%0.0139✓1.20529k2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7333-2.31%1.947-30.41%0.0493✓1.3848k2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032258-2.31%0.03333+0.94%0.2793✗1.1814k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001166-2.29%0.001265+6.09%0.3301✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.102327-2.27%0.0785-25.02%0.0267✓1.145,6912022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1131-2.25%0.7744-31.99%0.0769✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.173441-2.20%0.13097-26.15%0.0391✗1.53207k2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0526-2.16%1.96-37.18%0.3376✓0.50116k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011766-2.11%0.00001199-0.25%0.2562✗1.13926k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.123889-1.99%0.1014-19.78%0.0098✓1.00398k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.234515-1.96%0.2009-16.01%0.1620✗1.5189k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3978-1.91%1.103-22.60%0.0190✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044943-1.89%0.03561-22.27%0.0391✓0.922,3482022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7404-1.85%1.774-36.46%0.0624✓1.78126k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.348031-1.82%0.272462-23.14%0.0085✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.05027-1.82%0.0358-30.08%0.0774✓1.2510k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.336953-1.79%0.2593-24.42%0.0243✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.0838-1.78%0.07402-13.24%0.0675✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0408-1.78%0.73689-30.45%0.0834✓1.25532k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010275-1.76%0.00852-18.55%0.0061✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0522-1.76%1.597-23.55%0.0151✓1.12606k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087747-1.74%0.0592-33.71%0.1594✓1.12124k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.745916-1.72%0.475-37.42%0.1485✓1.44135k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.1559-1.68%25.64-16.40%0.0377✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053507-1.64%0.0433-20.40%0.0409✗1.20256k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.482823-1.61%0.3401-30.69%0.0961✓1.21808k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.458583-1.59%0.431-7.51%0.2582✗1.53207k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002249-1.58%0.001603-29.85%0.1288✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9461-1.56%6.26+3.64%0.1746✗0.59887k2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044645-1.49%0.00004054-10.55%0.1291✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8602-1.47%1.433-24.10%0.0089✓1.20530k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.7408-1.45%4.52-33.92%0.1342✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017623-1.44%0.01183-33.84%0.2360✓0.78175k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5522-1.43%1.6782+6.57%0.3710✗1.40619k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031272-1.41%0.02333-26.45%0.0220✓1.291,3502022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004645-1.37%0.00379-19.53%0.0600✗1.26102k2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054315-1.34%0.040185-27.01%0.1771✓0.5926k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.521042-1.26%0.4626-12.34%0.1232✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.256348-1.21%0.2072-20.15%0.0156✗1.09766k2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.9523-1.14%14.54-24.15%0.0074✓1.30118k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003698-1.11%0.00295-21.12%0.0401✗1.27534k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.422442-1.11%0.31667-25.87%0.0198✓1.28507k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.3068-1.11%1.6996-27.14%0.0609✓1.1738k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.313461-1.10%0.33208+4.77%0.2676✗1.00366k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.00171-1.10%0.001469-15.04%0.0481✗0.958,9342022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0442-1.01%0.84826-19.59%0.0218✓0.8951k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.3057-1.01%0.8793-33.34%0.1351✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0528-0.96%2.9851-27.05%0.0791✓1.0853k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003391-0.94%0.002767-19.16%0.0028✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.2662-0.89%6.659-20.16%0.0386✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.276-0.85%30.87-24.00%0.0167✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.833154-0.82%0.71-15.48%0.0387✓0.5878k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.5866-0.81%6.874-20.60%0.0236✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.1026-0.76%0.94-15.39%0.0336✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.26906-0.75%0.2232-17.67%0.0379✗1.0765k2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.40e-7-0.75%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0287✗0.88150k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.223322-0.75%0.15955-29.09%0.0389✓1.42703k2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3552.9776-0.70%42.68-20.00%0.0101✗1.08552k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.336738-0.67%0.25-26.25%0.0853✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.128579-0.63%0.0961-25.73%0.0711✓1.054,5002022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.053439-0.63%0.04195-22.00%0.0606✓0.8616k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87163.9612-0.55%144.79-12.18%0.0948✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.9349-0.46%57.93-17.55%0.0688✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.76e-7-0.43%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0362✗0.7225k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.258847-0.25%0.1963-24.35%0.0340✓1.1698k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069528-0.19%0.060766-12.77%0.0057✓0.61279k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060524-0.13%0.0473-21.95%0.0336✗1.34179k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.137273-0.09%0.116-15.57%0.0837✗1.2061k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1261.106-0.02%54.12-11.45%0.1112✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006475-0.00%0.005724-11.60%0.0414✗0.784,5222022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2172+0.08%0.977259-19.65%0.0046✗1.0243k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.356633+0.21%0.2855-19.78%0.0017✓1.078.2M2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98141.4281+0.32%112.17-20.44%0.0154✓1.184.7M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,289.17+0.48%18,790.91-18.93%0.0048✗1.00414.2M2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7884+0.59%3.9648-16.71%0.0286✗0.76887k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.00842+0.60%0.00551-34.17%0.2651✗0.761.6M2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.00637+0.62%0.006199-2.08%0.0795✓0.5148k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.6804+0.74%9.033-14.80%0.0601✓1.091.9M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,713.80+0.79%1,559.28-8.30%0.1820✓1.32407.7M2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.263549+0.82%0.1539-41.12%0.5353✗0.0131k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.757349+0.85%0.907+20.77%0.4452✓1.26963k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.79e-7+0.90%8.70e-7-10.31%0.0565✓0.836.0M2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.061067+0.94%0.052-14.05%0.1362✓1.42339k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.600005+1.23%0.4434-25.19%0.0596✗1.16303k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.069824+1.25%0.058897-14.59%0.0672✓1.131.6M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.164122+1.44%0.1322-18.29%0.0280✓1.16102k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.125729+1.50%0.099872-19.38%0.0258✗0.977.0M2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8995.0331+2.74%5.1426+4.97%0.0589✓0.18234k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.