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2022-08-06 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2450
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.1%
in alpha space · 72.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.7471-8.10%1.199-36.93%0.0868✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.244717-7.48%0.1562-40.95%0.2551✓1.311,5612022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.9628-7.28%3.005-29.69%0.0175✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.2221-6.94%12.9054-30.26%0.1212✓1.1353k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.835.1948-6.89%39.67+4.95%0.3306✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7329.6297-6.62%18.31-42.29%0.2753✓1.39949k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,950.46-6.60%9,493.61-19.02%0.0726✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000093445-6.57%0.00040493+304.85%1.7772✗2.10480k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6320.2653-6.31%17.32-19.93%0.0345✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.926385-6.28%0.8257-16.47%0.1342✗1.68296k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.4054-6.22%0.3145-27.25%0.0783✓1.1880k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.4184-5.90%1.919-25.33%0.0431✓1.27466k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.080795-5.89%0.06402-25.43%0.0124✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.2454-5.87%7.2089+109.09%0.9279✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.8959-5.81%6.141-34.98%0.2163✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.033209-5.79%0.02134-39.46%0.2269✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.2968-5.57%1.1527-16.06%0.1094✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.9396-5.56%30.53-25.95%0.0335✓1.87293k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.0149-5.52%7.53-28.96%0.0761✓1.41358k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.8384-5.48%2.3084-23.13%0.0247✓1.5613k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.873132-5.40%0.6925-24.97%0.0346✓1.80469k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.759189-5.34%0.487-39.28%0.2271✓1.462,7912022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.827848-4.95%0.676-22.39%0.0562✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.3074-4.94%6.361+13.94%0.2580✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.9139-4.82%4.75-34.61%0.1210✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0561.9629-4.75%48.36-25.66%0.0387✓1.4138k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.54088-4.59%0.307-45.85%0.3705✓1.32234k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.9048-4.59%6.734-18.72%0.0223✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.660183-4.56%0.55546-19.70%0.0516✗1.5178k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.18945-4.49%0.158-20.35%0.1588✗2.291,1202022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3983-4.45%2.31-7.97%0.1213✗1.07507k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.0679-4.44%7.3781+129.83%0.9900✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2614-4.42%1.573-33.52%0.1508✓1.43169k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4637-4.33%1.45-5.23%0.0340✓0.29242k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7927-4.25%4.31+8.81%0.2303✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.2131-4.23%14.53-14.18%0.0995✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.299779-4.22%0.2337-25.34%0.0863✓1.10300k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.061986-4.20%0.0496-23.34%0.0311✓1.29803k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.074551-4.16%0.06802-12.56%0.0164✓0.739072022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.173013-4.15%0.1279-29.14%0.1182✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.453032-4.12%0.38052-19.46%0.0621✓0.7670k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14115.349-3.99%93.14-22.47%0.0692✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.2338-3.94%14.28-20.40%0.0103✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.8104-3.92%2.972-25.06%0.1223✓0.85976k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.5251-3.91%6.64+15.48%0.2714✗0.59878k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.19-3.90%1.752-23.12%0.0558✓1.13219k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.528651-3.71%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1243-3.64%0.9784-16.15%0.0116✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.5572-3.64%9.21+3.72%0.1444✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.8945-3.63%4.501+11.38%0.2300✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.4623-3.62%6.576-25.10%0.0457✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9231-3.51%1.465-26.49%0.0646✓1.40253k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.654787-3.42%0.533-21.39%0.0016✓1.4090k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.348909-3.15%0.28593-20.63%0.0077✓1.2913k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.123804-3.13%0.104-18.62%0.0340✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.5128-3.08%13.008+179.38%1.1410✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.552011-3.05%0.4308-24.34%0.0813✓1.1246k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.809641-3.04%0.663-20.60%0.0196✓1.21241k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4643-3.03%1.2398-17.89%0.0430✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.169044-3.02%0.1398-19.79%0.0036✓1.26529k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.209019-3.01%0.1872-13.13%0.0999✗1.421,2762022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.892651-2.97%0.72-21.74%0.1295✓0.5878k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.083599-2.89%0.07261-15.66%0.0599✗1.3529k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.4867-2.89%5.7+0.88%0.1283✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9475-2.85%2.722-10.28%0.0877✗1.13572k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42459.677-2.84%53.71-12.56%0.0193✓0.84321k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.02237-2.82%0.02235-2.91%0.1492✗1.01159k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.89-2.78%4.72-6.16%0.0687✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0641-2.78%1.1375+3.93%0.2370✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.634001-2.76%0.5193-20.35%0.0279✓1.16755k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7778-2.75%1.307-28.50%0.0947✓1.43371k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.9474-2.73%2.34-22.77%0.0052✓1.52234k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008611-2.70%0.00785-11.30%0.0958✗1.27392k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.3481-2.67%12.633+18.82%0.4010✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.568709-2.64%0.5388-7.76%0.1207✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.154303-2.59%0.1447-8.65%0.0785✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7827-2.58%1.37-25.14%0.0665✓1.33129k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4164.6953-2.58%51.33-22.71%0.0586✓1.16419k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.050467-2.58%0.043718-15.61%0.0339✗1.2037k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.069183-2.56%0.0571-19.58%0.0541✓0.93158k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.3336-2.55%10.8-7.14%0.1312✗1.21290k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1293-2.55%0.85582-26.15%0.1142✓1.1012k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,638.25-2.51%19,866.30-14.45%0.0145✓0.9812k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.01973-2.51%0.025549+26.24%0.3176✗0.40173k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043286-2.51%0.0367-17.34%0.0182✓1.2376k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.9807-2.47%19.44-27.03%0.0559✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022634-2.46%0.020653-10.99%0.0509✗0.9612k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.789122-2.34%0.662-18.07%0.0224✓1.03390k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.420765-2.32%0.34064-20.92%0.0338✓1.20124k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.3931-2.32%4.075+66.33%0.6648✗0.8992k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015541-2.20%0.013125-17.41%0.0349✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0844-2.16%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.03195-2.15%0.03562+9.10%0.2919✗1.2314k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9136-2.09%4.9518+66.40%0.6752✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045546-2.07%0.03742-19.54%0.0578✓0.932,3002022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0897.1413-1.96%91.3-7.85%0.1846✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.143399-1.92%0.2073+41.79%0.5284✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7093-1.84%2.117-23.30%0.0335✓1.4447k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1086-1.82%0.8473-24.96%0.0650✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.405-1.75%1.17-18.18%0.0048✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.112128-1.73%0.0939-17.70%0.0097✓1.26505k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011747-1.70%0.00001261+5.52%0.2552✗1.24934k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0839-1.66%1.69-20.25%0.0206✓1.27619k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.053874-1.51%0.0446-18.46%0.0014✓1.28269k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.0198-1.48%6.72+9.98%0.2095✗0.67754k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.757746-1.46%0.522-32.12%0.1544✓1.47135k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0567-1.40%1.97-36.45%0.3649✓0.50116k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.348545-1.39%0.298688-15.50%0.0338✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0327-1.39%0.7895-24.61%0.0741✓1.31532k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.00218-1.36%0.001564-29.23%0.1836✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.336457-1.36%0.2822-17.27%0.0028✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.232109-1.36%0.209-11.18%0.1132✗1.4789k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017481-1.29%0.01272-28.18%0.1954✓0.83176k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.08531-1.26%0.07583-12.23%0.0774✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.119678-1.26%0.104-14.19%0.0201✗1.08370k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6651-1.22%1.916-28.98%0.0692✓1.76118k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.164-1.19%1.056-10.36%0.0033✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.447412-1.19%0.3741-17.38%0.0407✗1.48242k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3118-1.19%1.8663-20.23%0.0340✓1.2137k2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.073516-1.19%0.0625-15.99%0.0009✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.0438-1.17%16.1-16.45%0.0346✗1.36118k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.0344-1.17%26.62-12.41%0.0208✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049946-1.10%0.0367-27.33%0.1163✓1.2910k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.100298-1.09%0.0818-19.33%0.0251✓1.205,6912022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.085957-1.08%0.0559-35.67%0.2577✓1.16126k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.430623-1.07%0.355-18.45%0.0020✓1.31134k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.255073-1.06%0.222-13.89%0.0355✗1.17768k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054646-1.06%0.0442-19.97%0.0818✓0.8816k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8581-1.04%1.546-17.67%0.0061✓1.28530k2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001105-1.04%0.00133+19.14%0.3702✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031066-0.97%0.02511-19.96%0.0211✓1.291,3502022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.479809-0.97%0.3681-24.02%0.0812✓1.24808k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.557-0.95%4.93-25.53%0.0803✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5441-0.95%1.6684+7.02%0.2832✗1.39619k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009967-0.93%0.00891-11.43%0.0190✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.167731-0.92%0.13844-18.22%0.0380✗1.55212k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000044347-0.88%0.00004372-2.28%0.1589✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004643-0.80%0.00402-14.10%0.0503✗1.31112k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.507422-0.78%0.4987-2.48%0.1617✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054254-0.69%0.041483-24.07%0.1844✓0.5725k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.311-0.68%0.9577-27.45%0.1297✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1016-0.63%3.3484-18.88%0.0424✓1.0853k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.314279-0.63%0.35+10.67%0.2727✗1.11366k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003677-0.61%0.00309-16.49%0.0182✗1.30551k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.896-0.43%32.18-19.69%0.0119✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.410348-0.42%0.35378-14.15%0.0557✗1.38507k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.042-0.41%0.898557-14.12%0.0084✓0.9458k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001702-0.39%0.001468-14.10%0.0047✗1.039,0932022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.36e-7-0.35%8.55e-7+153.78%1.0784✗0.97153k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.337858-0.34%0.271-20.06%0.0678✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.222348-0.29%0.173-22.42%0.0277✓1.50716k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.270122-0.25%0.2373-12.37%0.0348✗1.1165k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.129482-0.24%0.1025-21.03%0.0859✓1.004,7012022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5752.4794-0.17%47.59-9.47%0.0667✗1.11574k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077267-0.17%0.1303+68.35%0.6310✗0.73159k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.5141-0.12%7.368-13.56%0.0385✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.69e-7-0.06%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0210✗0.7225k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003241-0.01%0.002935-9.44%0.0497✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51160.6065+0.06%157.52-1.86%0.1475✓1.121.1M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.138674+0.13%0.1229-11.26%0.0663✓1.2661k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.8107+0.21%7.382-5.29%0.1306✓1.2616.9M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.259167+0.22%0.2097-18.91%0.0305✗1.2299k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069743+0.33%0.062937-9.46%0.0027✓0.71327k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8461.0781+0.39%60.36-0.79%0.1614✓1.1713.5M2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6567.9716+0.48%63.41-6.27%0.1187✓1.271.7M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.060437+0.56%0.0508-15.47%0.0332✓1.39179k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.2006+0.58%1.0444-12.51%0.0171✓1.0543k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006367+0.68%0.00602-4.80%0.0717✓0.864,5222022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.352185+0.85%0.3046-12.77%0.0258✓1.158.2M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34142.6109+0.90%125.75-11.03%0.0535✓1.214.7M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.263923+1.00%0.1628-37.70%0.4813✗0.0131k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.8258+1.01%4.0071-16.13%0.0746✗0.75908k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.06108+1.13%0.0558-7.62%0.1187✓1.41350k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006536+1.19%0.00635-1.69%0.0446✓0.4944k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,711.01+1.19%1,618.01-4.31%0.1351✓1.29407.7M2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008445+1.26%0.00599-28.18%0.2078✗0.911.6M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.6369+1.29%9.414-10.35%0.0415✓1.102.0M2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9323,260.44+1.30%19,794.58-13.79%0.0130✓1.00427.9M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.83e-7+1.36%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0254✓0.846.1M2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.760252+1.50%1.044+39.39%0.4984✓1.22963k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.165357+1.70%0.1448-10.95%0.0521✓1.25102k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.069903+1.84%0.062695-8.66%0.0661✓1.181.6M2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.124354+2.01%0.10507-13.81%0.0215✗0.997.0M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.585524+2.20%0.4722-17.58%0.0446✗1.15318k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.094+2.91%5.0514+2.05%0.0174✓0.17228k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.