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2022-08-05 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2824
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 62.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95195.1428+3.85%5.256+6.14%0.0479✓0.17225k2022-09-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.122362+3.22%0.106324-10.31%0.0117✓0.996.9M2022-09-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.602012+3.15%0.4695-19.55%0.0729✗1.15329k2022-09-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.071749+2.79%0.063218-9.43%0.0533✓1.171.6M2022-09-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.773271+2.69%1.045+38.78%0.4871✓1.21968k2022-09-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.168289+2.61%0.1437-12.38%0.0307✓1.23107k2022-09-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,906.69+2.51%20,004.73-14.22%0.0248✗1.00455.4M2022-09-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.6864+2.36%9.394-10.02%0.0407✓1.112.0M2022-09-04
BTTCBTTC9.80e-70.000001003+2.36%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0028✓0.846.4M2022-09-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008628+2.35%0.00608-27.88%0.2113✗0.901.6M2022-09-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.063823+2.28%0.057-8.65%0.1049✓1.42350k2022-09-04
GTGateEthereum4.73754.8444+2.26%4.2121-11.09%0.0247✗0.75916k2022-09-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.00689+2.10%0.006455-4.36%0.0132✓0.5140k2022-09-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93144.7233+1.97%118.36-16.61%0.0166✓1.204.6M2022-09-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.754152+1.91%0.73-1.35%0.0585✓0.5978k2022-09-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.00645+1.83%0.005979-5.59%0.0543✓0.854,9752022-09-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,766.91+1.73%1,579.04-9.08%0.0846✓1.28418.9M2022-09-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.265948+1.70%0.1803-31.05%0.3868✗0.0130k2022-09-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.364871+1.66%0.3127-12.87%0.0214✓1.158.3M2022-09-04
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.070913+1.54%0.063547-9.01%0.0038✓0.69345k2022-09-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.2135+1.47%1.0588-11.47%0.0248✓1.0542k2022-09-04
ZECZcashZcash69.1570.1392+1.43%63.8-7.74%0.0974✓1.251.7M2022-09-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.061828+1.36%0.0516-15.41%0.0323✓1.39179k2022-09-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4963.2295+1.18%60.93-2.50%0.1403✓1.1613.5M2022-09-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001697+1.18%0.00152-9.36%0.0484✓1.039,0502022-09-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.139913+1.17%0.1229-11.14%0.0644✓1.2761k2022-09-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.074742+1.14%0.1213+64.14%0.5955✓0.73155k2022-09-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.264152+1.13%0.211-19.22%0.0370✗1.2299k2022-09-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.9559+0.99%7.155-9.18%0.0863✓1.2517.9M2022-09-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003244+0.97%0.002943-8.40%0.0547✓0.991.0M2022-09-04
DASHDashDash52.452.8757+0.91%47.59-9.18%0.0634✓1.10574k2022-09-04
XMRMoneroMonero161.87163.2905+0.88%155.77-3.77%0.1215✓1.101.1M2022-09-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.99e-7+0.87%8.90e-7-10.10%0.0382✓1.0025k2022-09-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.339661+0.79%0.269-20.18%0.0744✗1.041.1M2022-09-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.055689+0.78%0.042185-23.66%0.1889✗0.5825k2022-09-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.051408+0.78%0.04481-12.15%0.0012✓0.8915k2022-09-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.075053+0.74%0.0625-16.11%0.0139✗1.101.1M2022-09-04
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0598+0.67%0.900625-14.45%0.0176✗0.9560k2022-09-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.049783+0.57%0.0364-26.46%0.1142✗1.309,0132022-09-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.8555+0.52%7.375-16.29%0.0056✓1.2311.0M2022-09-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.272618+0.49%0.2399-11.57%0.0425✓1.1165k2022-09-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.100903+0.40%0.0828-17.61%0.0129✗1.216,5342022-09-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.129999+0.31%0.1029-20.60%0.0811✗1.004,9522022-09-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0911+0.29%3.2367-20.66%0.0683✗1.0851k2022-09-04
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.655+0.28%32.17-20.65%0.0246✗1.3780.8M2022-09-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.429094+0.27%0.36077-15.70%0.0374✓1.37545k2022-09-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.228562+0.25%0.174-23.68%0.0413✗1.51755k2022-09-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.031177+0.21%0.02502-19.58%0.0213✗1.301,4012022-09-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.326252+0.18%0.35382+8.65%0.2533✓1.12383k2022-09-04
STXStacksnative0.49180.492431+0.13%0.3678-25.21%0.1023✗1.24808k2022-09-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.4462+0.09%16.45-10.74%0.0984✓1.39118k2022-09-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004703+0.06%0.00402-14.47%0.0431✓1.30126k2022-09-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.48e-7+0.03%9.24e-7+165.82%1.1268✓0.97157k2022-09-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3503+0.02%0.9726-27.96%0.1377✗1.241.1M2022-09-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001125-0.02%0.001339+19.00%0.3644✗1.241.3M2022-09-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.437886-0.03%0.3674-16.12%0.0263✗1.32147k2022-09-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.517352-0.05%0.5035-2.72%0.1571✗1.2040.5M2022-09-04
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8647-0.10%1.5561-16.63%0.0131✗1.26530k2022-09-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010287-0.13%0.00892-13.40%0.0069✓0.885.2M2022-09-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.756958-0.14%0.528-30.34%0.1347✓1.47121k2022-09-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002223-0.17%0.001563-29.82%0.1990✓1.001.2M2022-09-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1559-0.27%0.982-15.27%0.0664✓0.631.9M2022-09-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.339301-0.29%0.2908-14.55%0.0240✗1.163.6M2022-09-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5953-0.29%1.6865+5.41%0.2696✗1.39619k2022-09-04
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000045393-0.30%0.00004432-2.66%0.1542✗1.161.9M2022-09-04
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.261482-0.31%0.2251-14.18%0.0289✗1.16768k2022-09-04
XVGVergenative0.003850.003838-0.32%0.00311-19.22%0.0124✓1.29551k2022-09-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.357701-0.32%0.299008-16.68%0.0157✗1.271.0M2022-09-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.6466-0.37%26.4-14.17%0.0029✓0.9510.0M2022-09-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1564-0.43%1.98-37.54%0.3896✓0.50116k2022-09-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.341-0.44%1.9099-18.77%0.0182✓1.2134k2022-09-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.6201-0.45%4.91-26.17%0.0862✓1.391.4M2022-09-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.085968-0.53%0.07814-9.59%0.0533✓0.281.1M2022-09-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.455971-0.59%0.357-22.17%0.0177✓1.48263k2022-09-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0211-0.64%6.81+12.38%0.2286✗0.69746k2022-09-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.24034-0.65%0.2041-15.63%0.0625✗1.4789k2022-09-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055529-0.66%0.0444-20.57%0.0276✓1.28284k2022-09-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.176491-0.72%0.13852-22.08%0.0052✓1.55222k2022-09-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.7313-0.75%1.96-28.78%0.0634✓1.75118k2022-09-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.124493-0.80%0.1033-17.69%0.0203✓1.08380k2022-09-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000012016-0.85%0.00001284+5.94%0.2568✗1.24951k2022-09-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0475-0.89%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.112884-0.89%0.0958-15.89%0.0278✗1.25505k2022-09-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.018025-0.90%0.01286-29.30%0.2112✓0.82182k2022-09-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7532-0.95%1.35-23.73%0.0594✓1.32127k2022-09-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0652-0.97%0.80657-25.01%0.0781✓1.30532k2022-09-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9802-0.98%4.6707+55.19%0.6003✗0.981.2M2022-09-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.144469-0.98%0.2134+46.26%0.5550✗1.08986k2022-09-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.7114-1.04%19.01-23.87%0.0193✓1.5826.1M2022-09-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.044837-1.09%0.03774-16.74%0.0283✓0.942,0262022-09-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.089703-1.10%0.0562-38.04%0.2900✓1.16126k2022-09-04
KSMKusamaHydration63.562.7852-1.13%50.61-20.30%0.0360✓1.17379k2022-09-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4154-1.16%1.166-18.58%0.0006✓1.272.6M2022-09-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.148915-1.18%0.1386-8.03%0.0748✗0.963.6M2022-09-04
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1688-1.19%1.729-21.23%0.0342✓1.26619k2022-09-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022749-1.25%0.020714-10.09%0.0540✗0.9612k2022-09-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.8092-1.26%2.121-25.45%0.0623✓1.4349k2022-09-04
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.384907-1.38%–pending––0.941722022-09-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.016079-1.50%0.013172-19.31%0.0617✓0.902.1M2022-09-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3022,850.62-1.53%19,865.80-14.39%0.0104✓0.9813k2022-09-04
HIVEHivenative0.59080.581104-1.64%0.5439-7.94%0.1145✗1.182.1M2022-09-04
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27101.5293-1.69%88.85-13.96%0.1207✗1.6610.2M2022-09-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.033012-1.69%0.03585+6.76%0.2712✗1.2314k2022-09-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.067724-1.71%0.0577-16.26%0.0153✓0.94170k2022-09-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1659-1.73%0.8453-28.75%0.1117✓1.371.4M2022-09-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019938-1.73%0.025674+26.55%0.3158✗0.41172k2022-09-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4271-1.74%4.053+64.09%0.6494✗0.89110k2022-09-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.419221-1.77%0.34915-18.19%0.0000✓1.19118k2022-09-04
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.0458-1.77%13.1461-14.17%0.0411✗1.1553k2022-09-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.818264-1.77%0.671-19.45%0.0419✓1.02389k2022-09-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.1327-1.78%0.86904-24.64%0.0958✓1.1012k2022-09-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022007-1.80%0.02226-0.67%0.1687✗1.03159k2022-09-04
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7973-1.84%1.336-27.03%0.0777✓1.43354k2022-09-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0542-1.92%1.1233+4.51%0.2390✗1.141.0M2022-09-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4802-1.97%1.1582-23.30%0.0301✓1.401.2M2022-09-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0472.986-2.00%2.771-9.06%0.0962✗1.11587k2022-09-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0560.8057-2.01%53.273-14.15%0.0046✓0.83321k2022-09-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.1723-2.02%6.265-24.89%0.1059✓1.042.9M2022-09-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.360036-2.08%0.28914-21.37%0.0209✓1.2913k2022-09-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008851-2.09%0.00793-12.28%0.0851✗1.27390k2022-09-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.044143-2.12%0.0365-19.07%0.0017✓1.2377k2022-09-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.829976-2.13%0.673-20.64%0.0237✓1.21233k2022-09-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.732-2.13%13.046+18.97%0.4030✗1.3513.0M2022-09-04
QNTQuantEthereum107.26104.9548-2.15%95.29-11.16%0.0547✗0.994.2M2022-09-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9108-2.18%4.88-2.79%0.1016✗0.701.3M2022-09-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.215308-2.18%0.1782-19.04%0.0280✗1.421,2802022-09-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.7658-2.20%10.54-12.39%0.0760✗1.21290k2022-09-04
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.051636-2.23%0.044132-16.44%0.0269✗1.2035k2022-09-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.5602-2.28%5.8+1.93%0.1358✗0.611.5M2022-09-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.6117-2.30%13.539+186.84%1.1631✗0.561.4M2022-09-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.0964-2.32%2.31-27.13%0.0616✓1.51234k2022-09-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.655492-2.43%0.5043-24.93%0.0847✓1.16690k2022-09-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.084498-2.43%0.07376-14.83%0.0718✗1.3530k2022-09-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8127-2.51%4.597+17.54%0.2762✗0.581.9M2022-09-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.127628-2.57%0.1045-20.23%0.0121✓1.382.9M2022-09-04
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3159.7017-2.62%48.47-20.94%0.0064✓1.4035k2022-09-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.173984-2.64%0.1462-18.19%0.0178✓1.25529k2022-09-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.6617-2.68%9.26+4.04%0.1416✗0.491.8M2022-09-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.9705-2.69%1.498-26.02%0.0584✓1.41266k2022-09-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.075761-3.04%0.06708-14.15%0.0099✓0.739072022-09-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.5262-3.05%6.73+18.07%0.2880✗0.59878k2022-09-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.6973-3.06%6.488-27.69%0.0812✓1.389.9M2022-09-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.685446-3.19%0.534-24.58%0.0362✓1.3990k2022-09-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.819-3.22%4.41+11.76%0.2509✗0.701.5M2022-09-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4317.8189-3.32%14.56-21.00%0.0015✓1.311.3M2022-09-04
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.462294-3.42%0.38677-19.20%0.0607✓0.7770k2022-09-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.2529-3.43%1.573-32.58%0.1465✓1.39169k2022-09-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.670652-3.52%0.55389-20.32%0.0398✗1.5188k2022-09-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.294589-3.54%0.2325-23.87%0.0662✓1.11300k2022-09-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4204-3.57%2.31-7.97%0.1173✗1.07507k2022-09-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.18897-3.60%0.15518-20.83%0.1555✗2.301,1512022-09-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1466-3.61%0.9786-17.73%0.0265✓0.864.4M2022-09-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5225-3.64%1.49-5.70%0.0239✓0.30242k2022-09-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.548614-3.65%0.3125-45.12%0.3595✓1.33245k2022-09-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.1182-3.70%7.4422+129.85%0.9864✗0.761.2M2022-09-04
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.177465-3.76%0.13-29.50%0.1232✓1.233.4M2022-09-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.0588-3.86%6.686-20.23%0.0006✓1.227.0M2022-09-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.547898-3.88%0.424-25.61%0.0813✓1.1416k2022-09-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.064763-3.91%0.0506-24.93%0.0492✓1.29803k2022-09-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1543.9906-3.93%3.038-26.87%0.1417✓0.85976k2022-09-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.5304-4.00%13.72-20.33%0.0306✓1.412.6M2022-09-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.572678-4.01%0.4349-27.10%0.1036✓1.1246k2022-09-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.117-4.19%6.663+24.75%0.3446✗0.532.4M2022-09-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.2208-4.25%0.1523-33.95%0.1705✓1.311,5612022-09-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.2288-4.54%4.798-36.64%0.1461✓1.7211.9M2022-09-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.07955-4.57%0.06473-22.35%0.0210✓1.481.0M2022-09-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.834767-4.60%0.687-21.49%0.0705✗1.734.6M2022-09-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.89568-4.61%0.7071-24.70%0.0339✓1.76476k2022-09-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.782055-5.09%0.5-39.32%0.2248✓1.452,9182022-09-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.3672-5.16%1.0925-24.22%0.0059✓1.506.4M2022-09-04
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14252.9793-5.19%2.3166-26.28%0.0145✓1.5513k2022-09-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.034368-5.27%0.02157-40.55%0.2458✓1.4313.9M2022-09-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.2753-5.34%7.0178+102.81%0.8969✗0.881.5M2022-09-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3520.1316-5.71%17.39-18.55%0.0185✓0.832.4M2022-09-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.0211-5.73%7.74-27.19%0.0425✓1.41338k2022-09-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.927957-5.97%0.8485-14.02%0.1693✗1.69281k2022-09-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000094821-6.09%0.00025377+151.33%1.3013✗2.07498k2022-09-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.411023-6.14%0.3157-27.91%0.0815✓1.1979k2022-09-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.8065-6.27%2.981-26.59%0.0227✓1.745.1M2022-09-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2735.7705-6.53%32.46-15.18%0.1196✗1.4112.8M2022-09-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3011,429.51-6.94%9,437.49-23.16%0.0305✓1.454.7M2022-09-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5930.2756-7.10%18.92-41.95%0.2591✓1.381.1M2022-09-04
METISMetisEthereum47.6544.1726-7.30%30.11-36.81%0.1082✓1.79277k2022-09-04
FLOWFlownative2.7322.5118-8.06%1.95-28.62%0.0594✓1.26456k2022-09-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.7857-8.24%1.174-39.67%0.1201✓1.952.9M2022-09-04
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.7268-11.27%1.762-42.66%0.2856✓0.99206k2022-09-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.