8=======>

2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2281
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.8%
in alpha space · 59.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.564892+3.57%0.4583-15.97%0.0596✗1.14333k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.117321+2.98%0.105238-7.62%0.0217✓0.996.9M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.1455+2.91%5.1775+3.55%0.0292✓0.17219k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.160398+2.75%0.1418-9.16%0.0385✓1.23107k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.75832+2.75%1.037+40.51%0.4726✓1.21968k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.0691+2.59%0.062675-6.94%0.0565✓1.171.7M2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.2818+2.46%9.192-8.40%0.0332✓1.102.0M2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34137.4616+2.32%117.83-12.29%0.0035✓1.204.6M2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.6555+2.32%4.2494-6.61%0.0069✓0.75920k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.81e-7+2.23%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0011✓0.846.4M2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9423,114.59+2.17%19,835.47-12.33%0.0215✓1.00427.9M2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008395+2.13%0.00602-26.76%0.2137✗0.901.6M2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,639.67+1.96%1,557.70-3.14%0.1166✓1.28407.7M2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006265+1.94%0.005893-4.11%0.0503✓0.857,1222022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.062776+1.91%0.0556-9.74%0.0666✓1.43350k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3865.5911+1.88%62.7-2.61%0.1193✓1.251.6M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.342163+1.80%0.303-9.85%0.0273✓1.138.2M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1677+1.53%1.0572-8.08%0.0388✓1.0543k2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006794+1.41%0.006407-4.37%0.0089✓0.5140k2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.750327+1.40%0.73-1.35%0.0512✓0.6079k2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.251927+1.38%0.2102-15.41%0.0204✗1.22101k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069892+1.32%0.06311-8.51%0.0107✓0.69345k2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.136473+1.32%0.1211-10.10%0.0476✓1.2761k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.450.0295+1.27%46.77-5.32%0.0768✓1.10574k2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6560.3633+1.20%60.19+0.91%0.1490✓1.1513.6M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.4508+1.18%6.861-6.83%0.0821✓1.2516.9M2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073929+1.13%0.119+62.79%0.5719✓0.73159k2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.1816+1.11%7.29-9.91%0.0451✓1.2211.0M2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059913+1.03%0.05-15.68%0.0025✓1.39172k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.074052+1.03%0.0608-17.05%0.0516✗1.111.1M2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003099+0.97%0.002948-3.94%0.0805✓0.991.0M2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.26299+0.72%0.1834-29.76%0.3589✗0.0129k2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.049428+0.67%0.04477-8.82%0.0176✓0.8915k2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0218+0.65%0.885648-12.76%0.0192✗0.9460k2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.098112+0.63%0.0824-15.49%0.0162✗1.207,1482022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25160.2387+0.62%154.44-3.02%0.1088✓1.111.2M2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.335061+0.62%0.269-19.22%0.0831✗1.041.1M2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048486+0.59%0.0358-25.73%0.1322✗1.307,5232022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001667+0.59%0.001499-9.54%0.0297✓1.039,0682022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054483+0.40%0.042307-22.03%0.1767✗0.5825k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.54e-7+0.39%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0397✓1.0025k2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9742+0.38%3.1511-20.41%0.0893✗1.0945k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.475466+0.37%0.361-23.79%0.1125✗1.24808k2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.26142+0.31%0.2386-8.44%0.0551✓1.1165k2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.160463+0.29%0.13707-14.33%0.0441✓1.53212k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.127135+0.19%0.102-19.62%0.0892✗1.004,7012022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.313925+0.17%0.35+11.69%0.2566✓1.12396k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.3486+0.17%15.52-10.39%0.0706✓1.38116k2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.340602+0.11%0.292785-13.94%0.0157✓1.271.0M2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.727819+0.11%0.527-27.51%0.1293✗1.47121k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.8586+0.10%31.12-19.84%0.0424✗1.3781.1M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5028+0.05%1.7051+13.52%0.3102✓1.40594k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009794+0.04%0.00869-11.24%0.0036✗0.885.1M2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004541+0.03%0.00397-12.56%0.0375✓1.31112k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030388+0.03%0.02472-18.63%0.0352✗1.301,4012022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.218002+0.00%0.17-22.02%0.0498✗1.51782k2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.419319-0.05%0.36179-13.77%0.0338✗1.38583k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.41581-0.09%0.354-14.94%0.0120✗1.31127k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2955-0.11%0.9295-28.33%0.1687✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001087-0.12%0.001326+21.79%0.3615✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8217-0.17%1.5227-16.56%0.0125✓1.27530k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1861-0.17%1.7905-18.24%0.0418✓1.2032k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498816-0.18%0.4804-3.86%0.1206✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.990443-0.20%0.78775-20.63%0.0582✓1.30532k2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.00004283-0.26%0.00004471+4.12%0.1950✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.225648-0.29%0.212-6.32%0.1305✗1.4787k2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4086-0.33%4.84-24.73%0.0979✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0797-0.33%1.93-37.54%0.4024✓0.49109k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329441-0.35%0.2804-15.18%0.0079✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7989-0.36%6.87+18.04%0.2585✗0.68746k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251286-0.36%0.2228-11.66%0.0325✗1.16768k2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116299-0.43%0.1012-13.36%0.0024✓1.08370k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0137-0.43%26.2-10.09%0.0228✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.436839-0.45%0.3659-16.61%0.0173✗1.48278k2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5839-0.47%1.881-27.54%0.0870✓1.75109k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003752-0.48%0.00311-17.51%0.0172✓1.30551k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053434-0.50%0.0443-17.50%0.0191✓1.28284k2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138439-0.55%0.1363-2.08%0.1091✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.54e-7-0.59%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0556✗0.99164k2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.2286-0.61%18.9-19.13%0.0017✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002175-0.65%0.001655-24.39%0.1415✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108874-0.66%0.0949-13.41%0.0275✗1.25505k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084819-0.69%0.07801-8.66%0.0480✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.326528-0.75%0.3208-2.49%0.1305✗1.1377k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7998-0.78%1.771-2.37%0.0669✗0.63206k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084648-0.88%0.0572-33.02%0.2408✓1.15126k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.685-0.88%1.29-24.12%0.0937✓1.32122k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017417-0.93%0.01336-24.00%0.1572✓0.82193k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.544-0.94%48.81-20.14%0.0611✓1.17379k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011731-1.00%0.0000123+3.80%0.2114✗1.25951k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.590394-1.02%0.5007-16.06%0.0146✓1.14690k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6983-1.09%2.045-25.04%0.0892✓1.4349k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.773015-1.15%0.671-14.19%0.0169✗1.20225k2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.2321-1.15%87.18-9.51%0.1294✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043327-1.21%0.03762-14.23%0.0177✓0.942,0262022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022175-1.22%0.020633-8.09%0.0547✗0.9611k2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015401-1.24%0.013081-16.12%0.0459✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0374-1.24%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.4536-1.25%12.6808-13.36%0.0201✗1.1558k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.142892-1.25%0.2171+50.03%0.5607✗1.08907k2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3809-1.29%1.159-17.16%0.0074✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.2726-1.30%47.89-14.48%0.0396✗1.3935k2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8795-1.30%4.8007+64.55%0.6402✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.196752-1.38%0.1738-12.88%0.0597✗1.401,2762022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1116-1.39%0.8243-26.88%0.1189✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1964-1.45%1.014-16.47%0.0800✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020823-1.45%0.02203+4.26%0.1898✗1.02159k2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.906-1.48%10.12-8.58%0.0831✗1.20263k2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0185-1.49%1.1337+9.65%0.2582✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065691-1.51%0.0578-13.34%0.0044✓0.94183k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7271-1.59%1.319-24.84%0.0815✓1.43341k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0941-1.69%0.86852-21.96%0.0856✓1.1111k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.571443-1.70%0.5434-6.52%0.1055✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041384-1.70%0.0354-15.91%0.0050✓1.2376k2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.03176-1.70%0.03443+6.56%0.2427✗1.2314k2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.118063-1.78%0.1018-15.31%0.0321✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.78479-1.78%0.688-13.89%0.0025✓1.02377k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,092.22-1.79%19,875.80-11.64%0.0232✗0.9813k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049291-1.83%0.043496-13.37%0.0324✗1.2035k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.396706-1.89%0.33497-17.15%0.0126✓1.19107k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1622-1.90%12.627+21.89%0.3954✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.74101.7235-1.94%93.83-9.55%0.0494✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3676-1.96%4.026+66.71%0.6481✗0.89110k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4409-1.98%1.1328-22.94%0.0552✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9316-1.98%6.507-19.59%0.0606✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7323-2.02%4.96+2.69%0.1392✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.177-2.07%1.68-24.43%0.0921✓1.27626k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9194-2.10%2.744-7.98%0.0852✗1.12591k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.0009-2.10%52.516-12.86%0.0068✓0.83321k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.354751-2.22%0.29127-19.72%0.0256✓1.3013k2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.160413-2.31%0.1379-16.02%0.0121✓1.24518k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9211-2.33%1.482-24.66%0.0738✓1.41266k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5079-2.34%13.804+199.05%1.1932✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008788-2.35%0.00798-11.33%0.0718✗1.28387k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4555-2.41%5.78+3.40%0.1383✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7468-2.53%4.797+24.79%0.3239✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020004-2.54%0.026685+30.01%0.3434✗0.42167k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5207-2.62%9.31+6.40%0.1527✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0364-2.68%2.25-27.88%0.1001✓1.52211k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.083679-2.87%0.07135-17.18%0.0200✓1.3629k2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7193-2.89%4.492+17.28%0.2801✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.074646-2.97%0.06648-13.58%0.0196✓0.739772022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.3742-2.99%6.85+23.65%0.3204✗0.59873k2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.442814-3.12%0.3754-17.87%0.0648✓0.7668k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.5422-3.14%6.305-28.51%0.1205✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.167368-3.20%0.1258-27.24%0.1248✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.1765-3.23%15.21-14.31%0.0503✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.663625-3.26%0.52-24.20%0.0601✓1.4088k2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.7153-3.32%6.499-18.56%0.0110✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.182544-3.35%0.15784-16.43%0.1588✗2.311,1512022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.176-3.37%1.543-31.48%0.1611✓1.39172k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.06087-3.38%0.0485-23.02%0.0585✓1.28802k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.643318-3.39%0.54122-18.72%0.0259✓1.5188k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.317-3.42%14.03-11.54%0.0971✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8416-3.53%2.976-25.26%0.1427✓0.86922k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3908-3.60%2.26-8.87%0.0853✗1.08507k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.291132-3.60%0.2308-23.58%0.0857✓1.11300k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0219-3.81%7.5278+139.62%1.0132✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.8444-3.86%7.65-16.85%0.0373✓1.39334k2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.208738-4.03%0.1524-29.93%0.1426✓1.311,5612022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.544692-4.05%0.4418-22.18%0.0628✓1.1146k2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.535079-4.11%0.412-26.16%0.1109✓1.1414k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9328-4.33%6.609+28.18%0.3617✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2706-4.37%1.0729-19.25%0.0273✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.077327-4.42%0.06279-22.39%0.0128✓1.49871k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.0958-4.59%4.756-36.05%0.1723✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1301-4.66%0.9676-18.37%0.0408✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.86657-4.67%0.678-25.41%0.0134✓1.76496k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5057-4.70%1.49-5.70%0.0287✓0.30242k2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.54914-4.93%0.3093-46.45%0.3931✓1.38234k2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033229-4.98%0.02059-41.12%0.2890✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,116.47-4.98%9,785.94-8.09%0.1542✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.746256-5.06%0.519-33.97%0.1717✓1.463,1392022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.802821-5.10%0.669-20.92%0.0465✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.1857-5.53%7.3234+117.18%0.9495✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5583-5.79%2.941-22.13%0.0386✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.3644-5.81%19.02-32.05%0.1480✓1.36946k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18542.9993-5.84%2.2636-28.94%0.0759✓1.5612k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.832.7624-5.86%32.23-7.39%0.1684✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.3124-6.05%17.13-20.77%0.0594✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000093146-6.15%0.00026115+163.12%1.2993✗2.04516k2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.954326-6.37%0.8416-17.43%0.0997✗1.71241k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0141.9434-8.84%30.98-32.67%0.0633✓1.82266k2022-09-03
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.74-9.28%1.195-37.70%0.1164✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.3572-9.34%1.951-24.96%0.0232✓1.26448k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.