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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1361
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.9%
in alpha space · 41.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0354-9.16%0.9023-20.84%0.1082✗1.65205k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.710639-8.25%0.5573-28.04%0.0692✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3972-7.59%1.129-25.33%0.0828✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000098485-6.02%0.00022156+111.43%1.1007✗1.94592k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,945.79-5.73%9,021.07-22.31%0.0150✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.826-5.68%19.03-33.09%0.1356✓1.39641k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.785226-5.51%0.475-42.84%0.2808✓1.493,6872022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.1963-5.21%32.41-7.45%0.1865✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034911-5.13%0.02026-44.95%0.3168✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1235-4.92%6.6294+101.80%0.8858✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.2707-4.84%17.27-10.05%0.0723✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.4413-4.54%2.959-17.92%0.1070✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4947-4.19%1.52-2.56%0.0491✗0.22268k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.826647-3.99%0.673-21.84%0.0518✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.919905-3.67%0.6723-29.60%0.0492✓1.77513k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6191-3.29%6.4+10.15%0.2212✗0.61732k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3157-3.28%5.61-14.09%0.0262✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.296102-3.20%0.2325-23.99%0.0741✓1.12300k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7665-3.10%6.047+22.93%0.3202✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2669-3.01%1.1463-12.24%0.1245✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.5615-2.93%8.84-10.25%0.0003✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.078169-2.90%0.06211-22.84%0.0062✓1.50773k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3466-2.87%1.522-37.00%0.2222✓1.41177k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5344-2.75%5.746-34.53%0.2369✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082282-2.27%0.07274-13.60%0.0772✗1.3429k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7946-2.25%2.1594-24.47%0.0245✓1.5612k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.476203-2.25%0.3717-23.70%0.1307✓0.7863k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.206014-2.18%0.1531-27.30%0.0942✓1.361,6972022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.508183-2.08%0.418-19.46%0.0245✓1.1513k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1664-2.08%6.25-25.06%0.0817✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3404-2.08%2.13-10.88%0.0654✗1.07301k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7989-2.02%2.922-24.63%0.1305✓0.88754k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8865-1.99%7.8611+166.92%1.1174✗0.77978k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5144-1.95%4.761-28.34%0.0553✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.177-1.84%0.89656-25.23%0.1082✓1.1010k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.188973-1.83%0.15568-19.13%0.1515✗2.311,2222022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.698534-1.83%0.55118-22.54%0.0113✓1.5188k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.530332-1.81%0.3203-40.70%0.2935✓1.41234k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.174437-1.78%0.1276-28.15%0.1252✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.983-1.72%4.79-5.52%0.0663✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9507-1.62%12.5-11.85%0.1003✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2304-1.61%6.142-26.58%0.0836✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.923814-1.60%0.9535+1.57%0.1653✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.874-1.53%4.337+10.24%0.2201✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077945-1.31%0.06618-16.21%0.0545✓0.731,1722022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009258-1.30%0.00799-14.82%0.0409✗1.26359k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8984-1.27%7.66-4.25%0.1733✗1.37263k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019745-1.27%0.030314+51.59%0.5055✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8004-1.26%4.449+15.59%0.2462✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.1823-1.23%96.47-6.76%0.0937✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,898.57-1.18%19,990.40-13.73%0.0105✓0.9814k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.6709-1.17%14.14-20.92%0.0218✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.2281-1.17%31.03-7.70%0.2216✗1.94229k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050912-1.04%0.043941-14.59%0.0297✗1.1938k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.170228-1.03%0.1395-18.90%0.0127✓1.25491k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.342147-0.97%0.31172-9.77%0.1030✗1.3112k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.148027-0.92%0.2179+45.85%0.5517✗1.11698k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.1367-0.89%51.915-14.44%0.0209✓0.85345k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023423-0.84%0.02152-8.89%0.0610✗0.989,6292022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.4132-0.83%47.14-19.97%0.0068✓1.3932k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.205301-0.82%0.1824-11.88%0.0900✗1.401,1792022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060716-0.79%0.0484-20.92%0.0321✓1.30799k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0697-0.76%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066938-0.68%0.0574-14.84%0.0108✓0.96229k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.416673-0.65%0.33416-20.32%0.0399✓1.21118k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8781-0.63%1.43-24.34%0.0601✓1.42234k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045904-0.60%0.03845-16.74%0.0338✓0.962,3002022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0253-0.60%1.1394+10.46%0.2797✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3384-0.58%11.825+13.71%0.3393✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9341-0.44%2.012-31.73%0.1646✓1.4349k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041172-0.31%0.0349-15.50%0.0179✗1.2371k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123217-0.31%0.1026-16.99%0.0229✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.644221-0.28%0.515-20.28%0.0145✓1.4088k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3538-0.23%13.005+198.01%1.1812✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9539-0.21%2.728-7.84%0.0873✗1.12619k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153798-0.20%0.1324-14.08%0.0023✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4304-0.19%3.743+53.72%0.5690✗0.92105k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0206-0.07%1.65-18.40%0.0119✓1.28637k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021548-0.05%0.02304+6.86%0.2209✗1.03159k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2524+0.02%10.1-10.22%0.0732✓1.21243k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.2758+0.07%47.42-26.17%0.1274✗1.18354k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017918+0.10%0.01358-24.13%0.1606✗0.78229k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.6919+0.12%84.85-12.15%0.1173✓1.6610.2M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7977+0.15%26.73-13.07%0.0004✓0.9510.2M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.1142+0.23%6.7+9.84%0.1903✓0.66623k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4234+0.24%1.0347-27.13%0.1043✗1.441.1M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.472452+0.31%0.3462-26.50%0.0917✗1.47273k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.5302+0.31%4.86-25.35%0.0865✗1.401.1M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.1831+0.32%12.38-18.20%0.0286✗1.1868k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.086119+0.37%0.0595-30.65%0.1941✗1.18137k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.116642+0.38%0.0899-22.63%0.0665✗1.30472k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.622185+0.42%0.5054-18.43%0.0355✗1.16642k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4296+0.46%1.205-15.32%0.0187✓1.272.5M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.032218+0.56%0.03519+9.83%0.2732✓1.2414k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0366+0.57%2.072+2.32%0.2070✓1.27415k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0867+0.62%0.91-15.74%0.0729✗0.701.5M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.8142+0.62%4.0516+44.87%0.5101✓0.981.0M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3512+0.64%2.03-39.04%0.4280✗0.4994k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.8072+0.68%1.818+1.28%0.1013✓0.64189k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015124+0.71%0.013176-12.26%0.0063✓0.881.6M2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0873+0.78%0.8327-22.82%0.0559✗1.411.4M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.7749+0.78%19.13-18.91%0.0208✓1.6027.5M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6742.0047+0.80%31.5-24.41%0.0850✗1.3681.1M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000012069+0.83%0.00001208+0.92%0.1849✓1.23986k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7335+0.90%1.275-25.79%0.0908✗1.45327k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.800399+0.93%0.663-16.39%0.0044✓1.23218k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.779208+0.93%0.663-14.12%0.0143✗0.99377k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.339334+0.99%0.2809-16.40%0.0124✗1.183.1M2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.121908+1.00%0.1033-14.42%0.0059✓1.07352k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.027+1.05%0.77191-24.05%0.0882✗1.32525k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.093364+1.09%0.08149-11.77%0.0997✗0.241.1M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004835+1.14%0.00404-15.48%0.0167✓1.32112k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053823+1.17%0.044-17.29%0.0149✗1.25269k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003798+1.27%0.00335-10.67%0.0697✓1.31559k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.50301+1.29%0.439-11.60%0.0310✓1.1247k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.897+1.29%2.15-24.83%0.0716✗1.52192k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5951+1.30%1.7276+9.71%0.2941✓1.44589k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5994+1.34%1.915-25.34%0.0438✗1.7595k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.052395+1.36%0.04593-11.14%0.0029✓0.9015k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.280812+1.38%0.2447-11.66%0.0229✓1.0867k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.269428+1.40%0.2291-13.77%0.0062✓1.13768k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.328424+1.43%0.3041-6.08%0.0939✓1.1576k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045787+1.43%0.00004452-1.37%0.1451✓1.161.9M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001112+1.49%0.001342+22.42%0.3792✓1.291.4M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.265734+1.50%0.247-5.65%0.0715✗0.0128k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030465+1.52%0.02455-18.19%0.0210✗1.311,2932022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.520753+1.55%0.4458-13.07%0.0311✓1.2541.9M2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.01037+1.56%0.00858-15.96%0.0455✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.224478+1.57%0.168-23.98%0.0638✗1.51821k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.058136+1.58%0.043128-24.65%0.2093✗0.6022k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8487+1.58%1.5108-16.98%0.0135✓1.26492k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.2344+1.60%0.2184-5.33%0.1505✓1.4897k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3443+1.61%0.9427-28.75%0.1697✗1.241.2M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69163.2931+1.62%149.22-7.14%0.0757✓1.111.3M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.4563+1.63%15.53-14.48%0.0318✓1.37116k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002469+1.65%0.001503-38.12%0.3472✗1.001.8M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.76e-7+1.65%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0344✓1.0025k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.35e-7+1.66%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1601✓0.96178k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.127605+1.68%0.1003-20.08%0.0931✗0.994,9522022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003312+1.71%0.002994-8.05%0.0511✓1.021.0M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065949+1.77%0.0503-22.38%0.0563✗1.44154k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.420359+1.83%0.31794-22.98%0.0712✗1.39583k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.2228+1.85%3.149-24.05%0.1302✗1.0939k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6616+1.94%1.31-19.63%0.0332✗1.37114k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.3134+2.00%1.7939-20.91%0.0701✗1.2329k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.370039+2.01%0.29809-17.83%0.0226✗1.301.0M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.745687+2.01%0.528-27.77%0.1228✗1.4980k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.315501+2.06%0.35+13.22%0.2782✓1.17398k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.168943+2.14%0.13698-17.19%0.0205✓1.54212k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2748+2.31%1.0708-14.06%0.0157✓1.0643k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.269397+2.39%0.2112-19.73%0.0600✗1.23101k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.071672+2.43%0.063428-9.35%0.0062✓0.78373k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.065701+2.50%0.1161+81.12%0.6904✓0.81155k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.3228+2.56%5.8014+11.78%0.1172✓0.21210k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.343614+2.57%0.282-15.82%0.0437✗1.03959k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0454+2.65%0.894603-12.16%0.0127✓0.9660k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.4012+2.70%7.033-14.02%0.0072✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.7816+2.74%6.628-12.49%0.0282✓1.2616.9M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.801456+2.75%0.73-6.41%0.0031✓0.6179k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006833+2.76%0.006495-2.33%0.0297✓0.5438k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.47424+2.81%0.365-20.88%0.0760✗1.25778k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4761.1404+2.81%53.84-9.47%0.0453✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.147943+2.88%0.1236-14.05%0.0118✓1.2859k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.436412+2.95%0.3513-17.13%0.0188✓1.33127k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7551.3085+3.13%44.55-10.45%0.0238✓1.11574k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,682.05+3.14%1,554.00-4.71%0.1082✓1.26387.0M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.072794+3.25%0.0622-11.77%0.0033✓1.08567k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008705+3.38%0.00619-26.48%0.2046✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.071094+3.45%0.061277-10.83%0.0227✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.354426+3.51%0.2885-15.74%0.0358✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87142.9676+3.70%115.16-16.47%0.0385✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.170917+3.77%0.1445-12.26%0.0175✓1.2494k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-70.000001007+3.84%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0111✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8624,175.32+3.87%20,048.26-13.86%0.0380✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001764+3.97%0.00156-8.07%0.0294✓1.0211k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.050216+3.97%0.0357-26.09%0.1406✗1.347,6872022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.5981+4.11%4.3008-2.62%0.0420✓0.73916k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.123209+4.15%0.104365-11.78%0.0176✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.3987+4.37%9.001-9.66%0.0174✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.099289+4.41%0.0821-13.67%0.0103✓1.216,7862022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8765.6991+4.50%59.88-4.76%0.0940✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.062921+4.52%0.0577-4.15%0.1227✓1.40339k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.760244+4.57%1.078+48.28%0.5303✓1.21806k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.00663+4.89%0.005668-10.32%0.0225✓0.909,1592022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.596844+7.08%0.4594-17.58%0.0917✗1.14341k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.