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2022-07-31 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1983
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.9%
in alpha space · 39.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.60804+8.06%0.4471-20.54%0.1226✗1.14350k2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006686+6.40%0.005787-7.90%0.0014✓0.909,1592022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.746359+5.12%1.019+43.52%0.5093✓1.22776k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.157927+4.73%0.1464-2.92%0.1257✓1.2490k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.5131+4.61%8.973-10.72%0.0175✓1.082.4M2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3967.3548+4.60%59.87-7.02%0.0858✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.00183+4.51%0.001486-15.13%0.0424✓1.0216k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.065705+4.46%0.0576-8.43%0.0955✓1.40339k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.122863+4.45%0.102411-12.93%0.0207✓0.996.8M2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4424,303.99+4.28%19,813.17-14.99%0.0419✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.100821+4.26%0.0815-15.72%0.0170✓1.216,7862022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.6408+4.25%4.2549-4.42%0.0313✓0.73920k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.050012+4.19%0.036-25.00%0.1121✗1.337,5232022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.349165+3.89%0.2917-13.21%0.0035✓1.137.7M2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37144.783+3.88%114.69-17.71%0.0395✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.074364+3.86%0.1115+55.73%0.5387✓0.82148k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.070372+3.79%0.0617-9.00%0.0429✓1.07432k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-70.000001016+3.69%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0091✓0.836.1M2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.059083+3.65%0.0507-11.05%0.0795✓1.43152k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.433549+3.55%0.3561-14.95%0.0189✓1.33112k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.070553+3.54%0.06142-9.86%0.0476✓1.151.7M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.78687+3.54%0.74-2.63%0.0367✓0.6079k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.140307+3.47%0.1227-9.51%0.0741✓1.2855k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.453816+3.40%0.3613-17.68%0.0260✓1.24643k2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,733.61+3.23%1,524.81-9.20%0.0758✓1.26387.0M2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1752.7472+3.08%45.51-11.06%0.0321✓1.11574k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.257505+3.04%0.2089-16.41%0.0098✓1.2399k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.8896+3.00%6.558-14.39%0.0202✓1.2616.2M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0439+2.99%0.900508-11.16%0.0081✓0.9658k2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7661.5189+2.94%53.01-11.30%0.0388✓1.1613.5M2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.070936+2.90%0.064705-6.13%0.0332✓0.77373k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009363+2.89%0.0062-31.87%0.2634✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006965+2.88%0.006537-3.44%0.0242✓0.5439k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.258+2.82%1.8168-17.27%0.0169✓1.2326k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.2105+2.71%1.0458-11.26%0.0263✓1.0643k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.1455+2.70%5.3918+7.61%0.0809✓0.21210k2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.125038+2.57%0.1967+61.36%0.6316✓1.10685k2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.170257+2.53%0.1352-18.58%0.0203✓1.54207k2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7833+2.44%1.4973-13.99%0.0298✓1.26492k2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.1656+2.38%3.1158-23.42%0.1127✗1.0934k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.350092+2.37%0.284-16.96%0.0415✗1.03794k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003203+2.36%0.002993-4.35%0.0965✓1.01999k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.313093+2.35%0.3098+1.27%0.1735✓1.1375k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01158.6363+2.34%148.87-3.96%0.1159✓1.101.3M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.31974+2.25%0.34582+10.60%0.2682✓1.17398k2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000044808+2.21%0.00004589+4.68%0.2119✓1.161.9M2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.8231+2.20%7.008-18.82%0.0288✗1.249.4M2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.238849+2.12%0.2211-5.47%0.1637✓1.4897k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001109+2.05%0.001348+24.02%0.4035✓1.281.5M2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002548+2.05%0.001548-38.01%0.3360✗1.001.9M2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5736+2.04%1.7301+12.18%0.3300✓1.45589k2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.3343+2.01%0.9513-27.27%0.1367✗1.241.2M2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004651+1.99%0.00402-11.84%0.0675✓1.31112k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.26841+1.94%0.2442-7.25%0.0802✓1.0865k2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.218125+1.93%0.169-21.03%0.0096✓1.51803k2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.5263+1.90%0.453-12.29%0.0529✓1.2541.9M2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.261117+1.88%0.226-11.82%0.0397✓1.13701k2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.434576+1.86%0.31982-25.04%0.0806✗1.39592k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9861.0035+1.78%0.994+0.81%0.1041✓0.701.3M2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.993723+1.77%0.77064-21.08%0.0396✗1.32487k2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9577+1.75%2.012+4.57%0.2338✓1.27415k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.03109+1.73%0.02474-19.04%0.0162✓1.311,3342022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.058056+1.73%0.042966-24.71%0.2036✗0.6022k2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.47e-7+1.72%0.000001089+218.95%1.2976✓0.95178k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.049902+1.72%0.04661-4.99%0.0776✓0.9015k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.265682+1.72%0.2608-0.15%0.0167✓0.0128k2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.030809+1.71%0.03529+16.51%0.3370✓1.2414k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010486+1.70%0.00864-16.20%0.0370✗0.964.7M2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003773+1.70%0.00292-21.29%0.0443✗1.31570k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.785858+1.66%0.671-13.20%0.0421✓1.23212k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.7087+1.65%1.233-26.65%0.0909✗1.45327k2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.322676+1.63%0.2879-9.32%0.0785✓1.193.0M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.097787+1.60%0.08237-14.42%0.1331✗0.241.1M2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.85e-7+1.57%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0495✓1.0024k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.11131+1.56%0.0889-18.89%0.0141✓1.30472k2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9519.2328+1.49%15.8-16.62%0.0258✓1.37116k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.130256+1.45%0.097-24.45%0.1340✗0.995,2722022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7144+1.44%1.32-21.89%0.0388✗1.37114k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.054961+1.40%0.0429-20.85%0.0439✗1.25269k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.511425+1.39%0.4301-14.73%0.0088✓1.1245k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.8175+1.37%1.823+1.67%0.1069✓0.64206k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.6324+1.36%1.89-27.22%0.0463✗1.7592k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.7545+1.31%6.14+8.10%0.1720✓0.66588k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.771941+1.30%0.652-14.44%0.0089✓0.98360k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.122273+1.30%0.1027-14.91%0.0018✓1.06352k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3958+1.15%1.188-13.91%0.0459✓1.282.4M2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0943+1.12%0.8324-23.08%0.0448✗1.411.4M2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.7535+1.10%3.8429+41.10%0.4919✓0.981.0M2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7524+1.05%19.38-18.40%0.0451✓1.5927.5M2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3897+1.00%3.795+60.40%0.6117✓0.92105k2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011837+1.00%0.00001218+3.92%0.2286✓1.23951k2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.807927+0.99%0.519-35.13%0.2004✗1.4980k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3842.7829+0.95%31.48-25.72%0.0861✗1.3681.1M2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.392069+0.94%0.298969-23.03%0.0599✗1.301.0M2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.9568+0.83%12.3167-16.97%0.0032✓1.1870k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.144798+0.76%0.1325-7.79%0.0714✓0.993.5M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.467288+0.71%0.3341-28.00%0.0969✗1.47273k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.618181+0.68%0.515-16.12%0.0448✓1.4086k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.4169+0.58%4.86-23.82%0.0508✗1.401.0M2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.038817+0.56%0.0353-8.55%0.1027✓1.2268k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.22+0.53%12.481+197.31%1.1793✓0.581.2M2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8838+0.48%2.775-3.31%0.1426✓1.11619k2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.627692+0.46%0.5123-18.01%0.0157✗1.15624k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4459+0.41%1.0506-27.04%0.0858✗1.441.1M2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.514+0.41%26.6-12.47%0.0176✓0.9510.2M2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9557+0.40%1.632-16.22%0.0252✓1.27637k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.4034+0.39%2.07-38.94%0.4174✗0.4981k2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021293+0.39%0.02405+13.39%0.2897✓1.03159k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.016+0.29%0.013148-17.59%0.0526✗0.881.2M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.863.9736+0.27%47.47-25.60%0.1060✗1.18303k2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.531534+0.27%0.5489+3.55%0.2201✓1.161.4M2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018457+0.26%0.01422-22.76%0.1371✗0.76248k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6397.8588+0.23%84.38-13.57%0.1217✓1.6610.2M2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.088576+0.20%0.0625-29.30%0.1577✗1.18146k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.323746+0.18%0.29332-9.24%0.1143✓1.3111k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.058804+0.18%0.0484-17.55%0.0169✓1.30787k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8764+0.12%2.049-28.68%0.1081✗1.4247k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.044234+0.10%0.03799-14.03%0.0038✓0.962,3002022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.53+0.09%10.09-12.41%0.0637✓1.21241k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.9337-0.19%47-17.60%0.0342✗1.3932k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.992936-0.20%1.1881+19.42%0.3690✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.167062-0.20%0.1389-17.03%0.0180✗1.25475k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.3318-0.24%11.928+15.17%0.3666✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.384713-0.28%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.022543-0.31%0.021461-5.10%0.1093✗0.989,2332022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.399019-0.41%0.33647-16.02%0.0260✗1.21113k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.127436-0.44%0.103-19.53%0.0105✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.066601-0.45%0.0579-13.45%0.0157✗0.96229k2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6618-0.47%4.11+11.72%0.2120✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6923-0.48%4.099+10.49%0.2217✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.049153-0.52%0.043415-12.13%0.0688✗1.1938k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.205909-0.53%0.1811-12.51%0.0984✗1.401,1792022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0406-0.58%6.03+18.93%0.2782✗0.61668k2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.1808-0.60%2.07-35.31%0.1832✓1.52192k2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.7135-0.73%7.98+2.70%0.2554✗1.36256k2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,219.43-0.77%19,869.30-15.09%0.0036✓0.9814k2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0703-0.82%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6134.3101-0.87%31.05-10.29%0.2150✗1.94229k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17960.6324-0.89%51.582-15.69%0.0243✓0.85369k2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7493-0.93%6.0023+116.28%0.9066✗0.77978k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7433-0.98%4.47-6.68%0.0558✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9606-1.03%1.43-27.81%0.0843✓1.42234k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.8728-1.04%13.86-23.26%0.0351✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.61101.541-1.04%95.63-6.80%0.1048✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.456167-1.26%0.37644-18.52%0.0649✓0.7863k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.170973-1.29%0.1276-26.33%0.0887✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1056-1.31%0.88331-21.16%0.0465✓1.1010k2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.908968-1.33%0.9633+4.57%0.2033✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.676021-1.38%0.5402-21.19%0.0213✗1.5188k2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.2098-1.41%6.174-25.86%0.0575✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009458-1.47%0.00806-16.04%0.0451✗1.26355k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.115-1.50%12.2-14.86%0.0852✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.7524-1.54%3.133-17.79%0.0361✓0.89754k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.9563-1.58%8.31-8.68%0.0104✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.6463-1.80%5.19-9.74%0.0155✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.190495-1.92%0.15379-20.82%0.1619✗2.311,2222022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.07933-1.95%0.06652-17.79%0.0572✓0.731,0512022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020959-1.97%0.022785+6.57%0.1673✗0.52167k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.5985-2.00%4.809-28.58%0.0347✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.553478-2.04%0.3252-42.44%0.3039✓1.40234k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.516618-2.16%0.425-19.51%0.0090✓1.1513k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.081706-2.27%0.07109-14.96%0.0790✗1.3429k2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.5934-2.68%5.751+21.84%0.3144✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2816-2.75%1.0635-19.30%0.0571✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.220593-2.82%0.1487-34.49%0.1725✓1.371,6972022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.285569-2.87%0.2461-16.29%0.0342✗1.13303k2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5062-3.23%2.06-20.46%0.0219✓1.07258k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.922876-3.36%0.6566-31.25%0.0532✓1.77513k2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.6732-3.40%6.257-30.31%0.1242✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4176-3.41%1.556-37.83%0.2113✓1.41172k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.0588-3.47%2.0768-34.46%0.1333✓1.5611k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.928-3.68%5.6189+84.85%0.7968✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4822-3.75%1.61+4.55%0.1179✗0.22268k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.828442-3.78%0.669-22.30%0.0662✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.080787-3.85%0.06327-24.70%0.0009✓1.50768k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.032847-4.04%0.02038-40.46%0.2295✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.4109-4.27%2.977-16.45%0.1446✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,366.96-4.57%8,874.58-18.31%0.0705✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3724.9953-5.21%22.31-15.40%0.1124✗1.39585k2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000092954-5.22%0.00015837+61.49%0.8450✗1.92592k2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.826965-5.49%0.497-43.20%0.2674✓1.493,1392022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.534.381-5.81%32.31-11.48%0.1673✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.865937-6.55%0.9192-0.80%0.3259✗1.64202k2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.1275-6.76%5.711-41.66%0.2961✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.5657-7.14%17.33-17.75%0.0193✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.4556-8.05%1.083-31.59%0.0267✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.