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2022-07-30 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2496
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.5%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.6321-9.78%1.174-35.10%0.0269✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0329.3423-8.39%35+9.27%0.3879✗1.38563k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4836.7821-6.83%33.55-15.02%0.1239✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,972.92-6.79%9,081.72-22.85%0.0236✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.909731-6.63%0.7824-19.70%0.1002✗1.64202k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.794884-5.37%0.525-37.50%0.1863✓1.493,1392022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.00009325-4.96%0.0001317+34.22%0.6426✗1.94635k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.06-4.87%6.102+14.72%0.2709✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.9627-4.11%5.7778+87.00%0.8047✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.081469-4.09%0.06651-21.70%0.0269✓1.50768k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4994-4.05%3.47-4.85%0.2564✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.85164-3.66%0.684-22.62%0.0449✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.5773-3.56%17.22+0.17%0.1727✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032023-3.52%0.02267-31.70%0.1113✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.222297-3.05%0.164-28.48%0.0946✓1.371,5612022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4645-3.01%1.44-4.64%0.0167✓0.22268k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.288995-2.66%0.2566-13.57%0.0550✗1.13309k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.950085-2.66%0.6813-30.19%0.0616✓1.77513k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3253-2.45%1.0799-20.51%0.0254✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.01002-2.43%0.00853-16.94%0.0321✗1.26355k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.559751-1.97%0.3367-41.03%0.2928✓1.40234k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2833-1.92%1.615-30.63%0.1292✓1.42169k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.080154-1.83%0.07284-10.79%0.1107✗1.3528k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.188852-1.81%0.15839-17.65%0.1798✗2.321,1512022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.1364-1.71%6.682-19.28%0.0051✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.6395-1.60%6.339-27.80%0.0954✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3719-1.58%2.13-11.62%0.0579✗1.08207k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.6006-1.44%4.983-25.59%0.0152✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.429449-1.32%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.5658-1.32%12.6-14.63%0.0735✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5168-1.31%5.31-5.01%0.0563✗0.62956k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.8786-1.26%13.83-27.67%0.1049✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.9331-1.26%6.015-25.13%0.1119✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.0363-1.24%8.46-7.54%0.0147✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.9604-1.24%7.74-3.97%0.1806✗1.36256k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.939163-1.19%0.9656+1.59%0.1648✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.499023-1.18%0.441-12.67%0.0528✗1.1513k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.784-1.14%2.1453-23.82%0.0198✓1.5711k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.35105.1476-1.13%101.16-4.88%0.1166✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.7496-1.09%3.276-13.58%0.0013✓0.89754k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0991-1.09%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071295-0.98%0.0606-15.83%0.0160✓0.96183k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.216488-0.97%0.1725-21.09%0.0136✓1.391,0652022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020687-0.91%0.023085+10.58%0.1889✗0.52167k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.077175-0.87%0.06742-13.40%0.0222✓0.741,1722022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.670582-0.86%0.55401-18.10%0.0410✗1.5181k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,413.91-0.79%20,303.80-17.49%0.0341✓0.9817k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.457924-0.76%0.3855-16.45%0.0520✓0.7857k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6862.2208-0.73%54.194-13.54%0.0085✓0.84386k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.8112-0.71%6.0774+114.64%0.8897✗0.77978k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.169804-0.70%0.1311-23.33%0.0662✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9543-0.60%1.495-23.96%0.0493✓1.42234k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0448-0.45%0.87542-16.59%0.0082✓1.109,9742022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.13138-0.39%0.1063-19.41%0.0011✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.404558-0.24%0.3476-14.29%0.0337✗1.21118k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1845-0.21%0.8693-26.76%0.0939✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.5232-0.15%4.53+0.00%0.1107✗0.71912k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.7434-0.15%4.266+13.79%0.2217✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.04906-0.12%0.044565-9.27%0.0864✗1.1935k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4934.4775-0.04%32.49-5.80%0.2402✗1.95213k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.7626+0.04%5.12-24.26%0.0643✗1.391.0M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.7157+0.05%11.438+6.80%0.2755✓1.3715.0M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.981179+0.12%1.2628+28.86%0.4315✓1.171.2M2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2358.3204+0.16%48.57-16.59%0.0304✓1.3932k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022261+0.28%0.020994-5.42%0.0915✓0.989,2332022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0455+0.31%6.29+25.05%0.3144✓0.61605k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9734+0.45%2.856-3.51%0.1305✓1.11619k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.7028+0.51%4.177+13.38%0.2313✓0.721.1M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.169265+0.51%0.1447-14.07%0.0343✓1.25446k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1131.2768+0.54%27.34-12.12%0.0116✓0.9510.8M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.089785+0.54%0.0637-28.67%0.1629✗1.18155k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.6675+0.58%10.28-11.38%0.0594✓1.21241k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.630828+0.61%0.527-15.95%0.0347✓1.4086k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4995+0.64%1.1021-26.03%0.0876✗1.441.1M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9445+0.70%1.729-10.46%0.0773✓1.27637k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.320093+0.74%0.30106-5.25%0.1400✓1.3111k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.146785+0.74%0.1306-10.36%0.0341✓0.983.5M2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.067+0.76%0.946-10.67%0.0138✗0.691.3M2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.163.6053+0.80%50.12-20.57%0.0564✗1.19257k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2696.0369+0.82%85.76-9.97%0.1420✓1.6610.0M2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018828+0.85%0.0151-19.12%0.1042✗0.76254k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.059111+0.87%0.0491-16.21%0.0142✓1.30787k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.532119+0.88%0.5461+3.53%0.2036✓1.161.4M2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021694+0.90%0.02336+8.65%0.2325✓1.03149k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015759+0.93%0.013701-12.25%0.0042✓0.881.2M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.8303+0.94%2.089-25.50%0.0853✗1.4243k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.043443+0.98%0.03792-11.85%0.0118✓0.961,9372022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.8164+1.19%1.263-29.64%0.1417✗1.45316k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.2296+1.24%2.24-29.78%0.2893✗0.5077k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.464427+1.25%0.3499-23.72%0.0575✗1.47242k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.2937+1.27%12.777+201.34%1.1806✓0.591.3M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8444.4001+1.28%32.41-26.07%0.1067✗1.3681.8M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.039014+1.34%0.0365-5.19%0.1201✓1.2268k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2524.6084+1.48%19.33-20.29%0.0033✓1.6027.5M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000012111+1.51%0.00001248+4.61%0.2187✓1.23951k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0252+1.63%0.79536-21.16%0.0515✗1.32431k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.5078+1.65%4.203+70.37%0.6574✓0.92105k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.4014+1.70%1.189-13.72%0.0314✓1.282.4M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.092137+1.72%0.08429-6.94%0.0469✗0.27985k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.129289+1.72%0.101-20.54%0.0950✗0.995,2722022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.3961+1.73%3.1823-26.36%0.1559✗1.0933k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.9567+1.74%12.6602-13.88%0.0140✓1.1870k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.816016+1.75%0.553-31.05%0.1602✗1.4980k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.119966+1.75%0.1045-11.37%0.0251✓1.06337k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.602266+1.84%0.523-11.57%0.0364✓1.16624k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.7644+1.87%3.8811+43.02%0.4893✓0.981.0M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6761+1.87%1.955-25.58%0.0446✗1.7692k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.516489+1.87%0.4238-16.41%0.0257✗1.1245k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.780447+1.89%0.672-12.27%0.0016✓0.99360k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.808375+1.94%0.698-11.98%0.0422✓1.23210k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.266459+2.01%0.2615+0.11%0.0170✓0.0129k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.7547+2.03%6.38+13.12%0.2047✓0.66554k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.67e-7+2.06%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0020✓0.95188k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.80e-7+2.07%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0459✓1.0024k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.9197+2.09%2.15-24.83%0.0722✗1.52192k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.323244+2.13%0.291-8.06%0.0768✓1.192.9M2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.059101+2.19%0.044446-23.15%0.1930✗0.6022k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.054684+2.21%0.0441-17.57%0.0221✗1.26263k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.048298+2.22%0.04816+1.93%0.1353✓0.9015k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.112308+2.28%0.0924-15.85%0.0039✓1.30491k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.44193+2.33%0.33586-22.23%0.0609✗1.39583k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.030444+2.33%0.02554-14.15%0.0255✓1.311,3342022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.221135+2.38%0.174-19.44%0.0079✓1.51786k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.539265+2.39%0.4505-14.47%0.0116✓1.2543.2M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3703+2.42%0.987-26.23%0.1379✗1.241.2M2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8643+2.43%1.768-2.86%0.0445✓0.64219k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.262788+2.45%0.2484-3.16%0.1089✓1.0863k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.0024+2.48%0.001636-30.15%0.2299✗1.001.8M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8625+2.49%1.5357-15.49%0.0002✓1.26492k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.1781+2.50%5.2836+4.59%0.0526✓0.21210k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003721+2.50%0.00301-17.08%0.0117✓1.31566k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6815+2.53%1.33-18.90%0.0243✓1.37114k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.257564+2.53%0.2257-10.15%0.0418✓1.13681k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9725+2.57%1.919-0.21%0.1678✓1.27413k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.6275+2.58%1.7099+7.77%0.2709✓1.44609k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7218.1796+2.59%16.44-7.22%0.1101✓1.37108k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003257+2.68%0.003238+2.08%0.1493✓1.01999k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.330232+2.72%0.36085+12.24%0.2678✓1.17400k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.242084+2.75%0.2219-5.81%0.1405✓1.4892k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.0306+2.75%0.03677+23.47%0.3739✓1.2414k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.130212+2.77%0.2159+70.40%0.6739✓1.10617k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009882+2.83%0.00891-7.28%0.0449✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001129+2.93%0.001401+27.70%0.4125✓1.281.5M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000045513+3.02%0.00004993+13.01%0.2701✓1.161.9M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.007185+3.05%0.006696-3.96%0.0121✓0.5439k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004504+3.08%0.00407-6.86%0.1005✓1.32103k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85160.7829+3.17%152.71-2.01%0.1176✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.3281+3.26%1.8412-18.34%0.0454✗1.2324k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.4805+3.27%7.276-11.40%0.0375✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.360229+3.29%0.305285-12.47%0.0351✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4762.4986+3.35%55.79-7.74%0.0638✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009313+3.37%0.00649-27.97%0.2206✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0489+3.39%0.918733-9.44%0.0147✓0.9658k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.171795+3.40%0.13956-16.00%0.0294✓1.55207k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.298037+3.45%0.3223+11.87%0.2526✓1.1475k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.071432+3.47%0.063437-8.11%0.0006✓0.77376k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8238.0961+3.49%6.7-14.36%0.0043✓1.2616.2M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.182+3.51%1.0621-6.99%0.0562✓1.0643k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7152.4947+3.52%47.46-6.41%0.0690✓1.11574k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.320407+3.69%0.283-8.41%0.0353✓1.04766k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,762.07+3.77%1,551.65-8.62%0.0657✓1.26387.0M2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.252769+3.81%0.2102-13.68%0.0043✓1.23101k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.072304+3.92%0.063828-8.26%0.0511✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47151.338+4.03%119.61-17.78%0.0528✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.448624+4.04%0.3664-15.03%0.0011✓1.33104k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.448034+4.12%0.3701-13.99%0.0000✓1.25613k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.136959+4.23%0.123-6.39%0.0894✓1.2850k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.80e-7+4.23%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0316✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.78321+4.43%0.74-1.33%0.0362✓0.6179k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.353026+4.45%0.2981-11.80%0.0042✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.058187+4.47%0.0525-5.75%0.1168✓1.43140k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.08177+4.83%0.1032+32.31%0.3593✓0.82148k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.6616+4.89%4.397-1.07%0.0532✓0.73947k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.125561+4.92%0.105918-11.49%0.0178✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1368.4161+5.05%63.75-2.12%0.1217✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.067375+5.11%0.0576-10.14%0.0577✓1.40339k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.070529+5.11%0.0617-8.05%0.0312✓1.08351k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1324,860.95+5.12%20,286.97-14.22%0.0499✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.7106+5.18%9.1-10.64%0.0032✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.155539+5.24%0.148+0.14%0.1408✓1.2488k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001739+5.75%0.001529-7.00%0.0287✓1.0216k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.766432+5.86%0.989+36.60%0.4418✓1.22776k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.047897+5.97%0.0373-17.48%0.0446✓1.347,5232022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.093098+6.52%0.0843-3.55%0.0869✓1.216,3652022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.00664+7.98%0.005874-4.47%0.0153✓0.909,1592022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.62014+8.80%0.4607-19.18%0.1226✗1.14350k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.