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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2857
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.2%
in alpha space · 37.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6225-11.97%1.054-42.81%0.0451✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5337.1884-8.24%30.93-23.69%0.0921✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.137-7.55%5.5537+63.68%0.7449✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.903229-6.67%0.7842-18.97%0.1782✗1.63205k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010722-5.45%0.00825-27.25%0.0151✓1.26355k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.1707-5.42%37.2+58.70%0.7883✗1.38534k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,287.84-5.36%8,473.37-22.05%0.0773✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8267-5.28%2.966-26.58%0.0851✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.789628-5.21%0.489-41.30%0.1888✓1.482,9182022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.00009425-4.80%0.0001251+26.36%0.6680✗1.96646k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.6648-4.57%7.2-20.70%0.0814✗1.36256k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.854136-3.81%0.645-27.36%0.0571✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.7814-3.61%16.67-4.25%0.1649✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.310334-3.26%0.2638-17.77%0.0584✗1.13309k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5225-3.02%1.39-11.46%0.0431✓0.24268k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.07726-2.96%0.06229-21.77%0.0791✗1.50768k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.4193-2.89%4.82-36.91%0.1580✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3885-2.86%0.9934-30.51%0.0412✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.085714-2.63%0.06897-21.65%0.0442✗1.3428k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.552-2.59%2.08-20.61%0.0060✓1.07175k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.958729-2.37%0.6463-34.19%0.0502✓1.76516k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.4223-2.36%8.09-16.17%0.0499✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.4194-2.25%5.809+28.49%0.3800✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8868-2.20%5.4352+84.14%0.7841✗0.77941k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0532.0081-2.19%1.36-33.76%0.1096✓1.43220k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.029318-2.14%0.02162-27.84%0.0047✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.9672-1.93%2.0034-33.78%0.0847✓1.5711k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.9139-1.88%5.739-36.83%0.1664✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3421-1.84%1.511-36.67%0.1609✓1.42169k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.180494-1.64%0.15977-12.93%0.3324✗2.321,1272022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.478263-1.51%0.36304-25.24%0.1236✓0.7855k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0966-1.44%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.3402-1.44%9.51-24.04%0.0225✓1.22241k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.521702-1.38%0.412-22.12%0.0116✓1.1513k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.220095-1.30%0.1592-28.61%0.0512✓1.391,0652022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.0397-1.26%51.793-21.37%0.0618✓0.85398k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.9605-1.23%6.275-22.15%0.0077✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.4755-1.16%5.16-6.86%0.0615✗0.62786k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.95985-1.11%0.9334-3.83%0.1477✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.5984-1.07%4.649-30.30%0.0196✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.29105.1651-1.06%92.31-13.15%0.0684✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.8112-1.03%3.876+0.65%0.1893✗0.88754k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.4878-0.97%11.33-22.56%0.0378✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.201436-0.92%0.1381-32.07%0.1095✓1.371,5612022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.171422-0.80%0.1182-31.60%0.1245✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.6561-0.72%4.34-7.46%0.0694✗0.71759k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.663914-0.70%0.52437-21.57%0.0612✗1.5279k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8355-0.66%4.096+6.09%0.1823✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077188-0.61%0.06712-13.57%0.0045✓0.741,2712022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.5313-0.51%29.26-20.32%0.1568✗1.93194k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0406-0.45%0.84626-19.04%0.0090✗1.109,6842022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.1799-0.44%13.16-27.93%0.0578✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.398444-0.39%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.406886-0.38%0.32806-19.68%0.0224✗1.21118k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.06724-0.24%0.0554-17.80%0.0059✓0.96183k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17111.1532-0.16%10.559-5.48%0.2130✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6958.6827-0.01%43.85-25.29%0.0198✓1.3928k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.521253-0.01%0.32-38.62%0.2921✓1.00234k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.983919-0.01%1.201+22.05%0.4288✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049728+0.01%0.042995-13.53%0.0871✓1.1935k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1521+0.04%5.87+13.98%0.2501✓0.61587k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.8067+0.10%3.998+5.13%0.1869✓0.70670k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.12751+0.17%0.0992-22.07%0.0180✓1.372.5M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,885.56+0.24%19,646.40-17.55%0.0037✗0.9819k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.6741+0.30%2.9825-36.00%0.2349✗1.0932k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.034181+0.38%0.0242-28.93%0.0888✗1.311,3182022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.019176+0.45%0.022963+20.29%0.2767✓0.49165k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.2366+0.47%25.35-18.46%0.0220✗0.9510.8M2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9825+0.49%2.607-12.16%0.0831✓1.11619k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.022006+0.53%0.020386-6.87%0.1155✓0.989,0542022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.089215+0.58%0.0619-30.21%0.1319✗1.19155k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.4675+0.64%12.382+178.94%1.1340✓0.591.2M2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.322462+0.77%0.29294-8.46%0.1610✓1.3111k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8717+0.83%1.944-31.74%0.1113✗1.4243k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.5128+0.85%1.0043-33.05%0.1282✗1.441.0M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8764.4811+0.96%45.4-28.92%0.1190✗1.18257k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.696.5795+1.02%78.57-17.81%0.1190✓1.6610.0M2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8903+1.03%1.6-14.48%0.0822✓1.27626k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.166055+1.07%0.1337-18.62%0.0289✓1.25411k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.019149+1.10%0.01478-21.96%0.1113✗0.75258k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.956.0175+1.13%6.04+1.51%0.1338✓0.66554k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.610127+1.18%0.488-19.07%0.0507✓1.4084k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.478129+1.19%0.3261-30.98%0.0942✗1.47220k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.543556+1.20%0.5282-1.66%0.1982✓1.161.5M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8664+1.21%3.6555+29.07%0.4346✓0.98917k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.628826+1.28%0.4996-19.54%0.0021✓1.16624k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.132678+1.28%0.0996-23.97%0.0927✗0.995,4502022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.137018+1.34%0.1202-11.09%0.0638✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.022069+1.37%0.02214+1.70%0.2056✓1.03149k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.973.0136+1.47%1.95-34.34%0.1365✗1.53192k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.039379+1.49%0.0345-11.08%0.1065✓1.2268k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043895+1.54%0.03732-13.67%0.0252✓0.962,4262022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015287+1.54%0.013002-13.64%0.0112✓0.881.2M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011925+1.57%0.00001177+0.26%0.2292✓1.24951k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5124.9052+1.61%18.53-24.40%0.0167✓1.5927.5M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.211+1.61%2.33-26.27%0.2229✗0.5082k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5784+1.63%4.106+61.84%0.6459✓0.92105k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0785+1.65%0.7744-27.01%0.0535✗1.421.4M2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9442.6355+1.66%30.45-27.40%0.0699✗1.3681.8M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3721+1.72%1.129-16.31%0.0531✓1.272.4M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.056801+1.79%0.0455-18.46%0.0330✓1.30787k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.095303+1.93%0.08638-7.61%0.0465✗0.26910k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.990188+1.96%0.74832-22.94%0.0204✗1.33431k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.77806+1.97%0.631-17.30%0.0161✓0.99360k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.2753+1.98%5.175+0.04%0.0214✓0.21210k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.769+2.10%1.828-32.60%0.0714✗1.7692k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.119751+2.18%0.1013-13.57%0.0413✓1.07352k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.055998+2.19%0.0419-23.54%0.0479✗1.24263k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.81e-7+2.19%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0642✓1.0025k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.509418+2.25%0.3673-26.27%0.1074✗1.1242k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.267475+2.28%0.261-0.19%0.0223✓0.0130k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6998+2.40%1.23-25.90%0.0537✗1.38114k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.220182+2.41%0.164-23.72%0.0010✓1.51786k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.316485+2.42%0.2731-11.62%0.0849✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.7151+2.46%1.192-28.79%0.0802✗1.45316k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.048375+2.47%0.04418-6.42%0.0858✓0.9015k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.9074+2.49%1.733-6.88%0.0275✓0.63223k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.5597+2.53%12.062-15.06%0.0431✓1.1870k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.132544+2.59%0.2102+62.69%0.6772✓1.10617k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6565+2.59%1.6656+3.16%0.2849✓1.43609k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.6003+2.59%14.8-18.37%0.0414✓1.38108k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.53579+2.60%0.4291-17.83%0.0229✓1.2543.2M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.440998+2.61%0.31363-27.03%0.0678✗1.39592k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.791381+2.64%0.525-31.91%0.1170✗1.5080k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003757+2.65%0.00289-21.04%0.0059✓1.31539k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3633+2.66%0.9332-29.73%0.1361✗1.241.2M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.11106+2.74%0.0854-21.00%0.0067✓1.31491k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.67e-7+2.74%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9353✓0.94193k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.057684+2.77%0.044396-20.90%0.1432✗0.6120k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.90893+2.82%0.84-4.98%0.0593✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.781749+2.86%0.645-15.13%0.0502✓1.24205k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.258823+2.87%0.2362-6.12%0.1197✓1.0863k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.254762+2.89%0.2183-11.83%0.0688✓1.14643k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.178063+2.93%0.13172-23.86%0.0004✓1.54207k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003253+2.94%0.002987-5.47%0.1114✓1.00999k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009702+3.10%0.00848-9.88%0.0556✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.244583+3.11%0.2134-10.03%0.1533✓1.4892k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25165.3792+3.20%146.4-8.64%0.0928✓1.101.3M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.007216+3.22%0.006708-4.05%0.0314✓0.5339k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.3552+3.24%1.7152-24.81%0.0744✗1.2424k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004533+3.27%0.00393-10.48%0.1150✓1.32103k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.030839+3.31%0.03552+18.99%0.3853✓1.2514k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.9282+3.33%1.692-9.32%0.1188✓1.27382k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000046492+3.34%0.00004676+3.93%0.2342✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.325782+3.38%0.36389+15.47%0.3393✓1.17407k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.071656+3.41%0.061392-11.41%0.0005✓0.79376k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7162.7828+3.41%53.38-12.07%0.0644✓1.1613.5M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009228+3.45%0.00642-28.03%0.1841✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7684+3.46%1.426-16.57%0.0305✓1.25492k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.4716+3.49%6.861-16.19%0.0336✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001122+3.61%0.001346+24.25%0.4336✓1.291.6M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.302785+3.66%0.3044+4.21%0.2275✓1.1375k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8878.1756+3.66%6.251-20.74%0.0213✓1.2616.2M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84157.4092+3.67%112.59-25.85%0.1022✗1.193.9M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6152.4727+3.68%44.14-12.78%0.0452✓1.11594k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0295+3.69%0.862501-13.14%0.0125✓0.9758k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1696+3.71%1.0384-7.92%0.0895✓1.0643k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.071572+3.81%0.06175-10.44%0.0774✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.253655+3.83%0.2024-17.15%0.0150✓1.23101k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.344361+3.98%0.291277-12.05%0.0862✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,791.10+4.00%1,426.63-17.16%0.0190✓1.26387.0M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.315495+4.12%0.275-9.24%0.0663✓1.04766k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.91e-7+4.29%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0105✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.824686+4.39%0.73-7.59%0.0034✓0.6179k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.449405+4.42%0.3529-18.01%0.0028✓1.25606k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.135564+4.44%0.1184-8.78%0.1162✓1.2849k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.441447+4.46%0.34-19.55%0.0009✓1.34104k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.2369+4.54%5.639-5.48%0.1113✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.057478+4.70%0.0493-10.20%0.1289✓1.44119k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.352645+4.70%0.2823-16.18%0.0000✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.083499+5.03%0.0981+23.40%0.3232✓0.83148k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.072783+5.18%0.0604-12.72%0.0226✓1.07308k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.123843+5.19%0.102736-12.74%0.0082✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.625+5.30%4.3228-1.58%0.0741✓0.72986k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.566.9627+5.45%61.17-3.67%0.1571✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.157583+5.48%0.1396-6.56%0.1223✓1.2488k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5025,092.96+5.50%19,554.03-17.79%0.0536✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.7687+5.61%8.816-13.54%0.0125✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.066141+5.66%0.0582-7.03%0.1467✓1.40339k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.0016+6.16%0.001503-0.27%0.1351✓1.0116k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.048631+6.18%0.0357-22.05%0.0469✓1.347,1312022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.762017+6.58%0.916+28.11%0.4210✓1.21806k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.093497+7.47%0.0792-8.97%0.0717✓1.216,3652022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006734+8.46%0.005519-11.11%0.0252✓0.897,2112022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.616816+9.15%0.4349-23.04%0.1266✗1.14350k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.