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2022-07-27 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1366
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.5%
in alpha space · 66.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.750199-7.95%0.517-36.56%0.1814✓1.513,1392022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.010275-7.35%0.00765-31.02%0.1343✓1.27352k2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.8179-7.30%2.25-25.99%0.0837✓1.12175k2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9430.799-6.50%33.91+2.94%0.2712✗1.391.3M2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.4194-5.96%4.774-30.06%0.0798✓1.7111.5M2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.00009314-5.84%0.00012306+24.40%0.5189✗1.90692k2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.9109-5.57%17.22+2.20%0.1901✗0.882.4M2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.2514-5.56%1.0529-20.54%0.0152✓1.495.2M2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.401-5.53%2.1662-14.77%0.0953✗1.579,9702022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0510.993729-5.45%1.019-3.04%0.2607✗1.871.1M2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.923638-5.26%0.8001-17.93%0.0643✗1.65209k2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2620.1527-5.21%37.39+75.87%0.8017✗1.46482k2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.690432-5.16%0.67-7.97%0.1877✗1.735.2M2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.349-5.00%1.36-4.23%0.0389✓0.24283k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.5692-4.82%2.723-27.39%0.0498✓1.753.8M2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.1556-4.67%4.149+25.35%0.3505✗0.611.5M2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.134.891-4.66%5.23+1.95%0.1462✗0.63713k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.1824-4.53%1.632-28.61%0.1089✓1.44144k2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.183.9914-4.51%4.47+6.94%0.2044✗0.72612k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.286166-4.42%0.2645-11.66%0.0672✗1.16331k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.924296-4.42%0.7053-27.06%0.0491✓1.75551k2022-08-26
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.378582-4.35%–pending––0.863902022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.168035-4.25%0.15418-12.15%0.2096✗2.341,1272022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.8232-4.24%12.27-20.74%0.0053✓1.461.4M2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.073297-4.17%0.07015-8.29%0.1227✗1.3227k2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.7096-4.05%6.154-23.41%0.0495✓1.396.2M2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum97.193.4218-3.79%98.23+1.16%0.1781✗1.014.0M2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9252.8848-3.71%45.92-16.39%0.0355✓1.4032k2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.439378-3.65%0.3983-12.65%0.0280✓1.00222k2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3169.9428-3.62%11.554+12.00%0.3240✗1.3813.7M2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.1688-3.41%5.0866+126.54%0.9648✗0.89971k2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.7806-3.38%5.692+45.46%0.4781✗0.552.0M2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.2658-3.34%4.7881+104.26%0.8468✗0.78884k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.04468-3.33%0.04458-3.55%0.1131✗0.9115k2022-08-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03090.996582-3.33%–pending––1.0211k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.2725-3.30%0.9578-27.22%0.1266✓1.251.2M2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration62.360.2735-3.25%44.52-28.54%0.1519✓1.20244k2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019346-3.25%0.023198+16.01%0.2453✗0.51163k2022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.0190.985934-3.24%0.86751-14.86%0.0130✓1.129,1202022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.53420.516913-3.24%0.5343+0.02%0.1813✗1.171.5M2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3355-3.23%1.0685-22.57%0.0410✓1.44966k2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.152671-3.19%0.1396-11.48%0.0703✗1.27395k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1516.926-3.15%5.748-19.62%0.0252✓1.285.5M2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.944679-3.12%0.9592-1.63%0.1319✗0.923.6M2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.473213-3.03%0.431-11.68%0.0524✗1.1612k2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.017511-2.99%0.01586-12.13%0.0036✓0.76284k2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.4744-2.96%2.16-15.29%0.0562✗1.52192k2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.071171-2.93%0.06625-9.64%0.0213✓0.741,4882022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.4652-2.93%5.97+29.78%0.3683✗0.62579k2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.6217-2.90%2.681-28.12%0.1887✓0.89711k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.559063-2.87%0.4773-17.08%0.0083✓1.19624k2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.034723-2.74%0.0358+0.28%0.1853✗1.2368k2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.148426-2.74%0.1273-16.58%0.0077✓1.282.8M2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.997.7718-2.73%8.31+4.01%0.1316✗0.51808k2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.457777-2.72%0.3879-17.57%0.0251✓1.1142k2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.09291-2.72%0.08526-10.73%0.0402✗1.00785k2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.026176-2.69%0.02186-18.74%0.0172✓1.5611.5M2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011231-2.68%0.00001243+7.71%0.2592✗1.25986k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.6004-2.62%1.4828-9.77%0.0828✗1.26492k2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.422.8085-2.53%20.68-11.62%0.1053✗1.6127.5M2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.634196-2.48%0.55641-14.44%0.0633✗1.5479k2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.46e-7-2.47%7.57e-7+113.21%0.9016✗0.95212k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.580285-2.47%0.509-14.45%0.0485✗1.4283k2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum33.6432.8126-2.46%31.1-7.55%0.0726✗1.00172k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.6744-2.43%2.7-1.50%0.1493✗1.11597k2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.5547-2.41%1.773+11.30%0.2076✗0.60229k2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.180395-2.33%0.1562-15.43%0.0298✗1.381,5612022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.111545-2.32%0.2077+81.87%0.7621✗1.11617k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum94.792.5803-2.24%82.72-12.65%0.0985✗1.678.3M2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.603-2.20%1.386-15.44%0.0342✗1.42212k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003031-2.20%0.00312+0.68%0.1552✗1.001.0M2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.7151-2.16%1.683-3.99%0.1441✗1.29626k2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.12694.0393-2.12%3.1205-24.39%0.1202✓1.0926k2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.439693-2.09%0.3397-24.36%0.0708✓1.48220k2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.4389-2.09%13.3-20.79%0.0368✓1.391.3M2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.053051-2.04%0.045497-15.99%0.0758✓0.6220k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.3521-2.04%4.124+20.51%0.2954✗0.70488k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.029379-2.04%0.0246-17.97%0.0106✓1.321,3002022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.936554-2.03%0.77813-18.61%0.0144✓1.35392k2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.004175-1.99%0.00391-8.22%0.1022✗1.33106k2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.331122-1.93%0.34+0.70%0.1780✗1.20407k2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.1493-1.92%7.32+16.75%0.3383✗1.30248k2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.424528-1.91%0.36828-14.91%0.0447✓0.7752k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97356.8642-1.91%52.147-10.05%0.0192✓0.84369k2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.395509-1.88%0.33161-17.73%0.0033✓1.42592k2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.3298-1.86%1.151-15.06%0.0196✗1.302.4M2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.049285-1.82%0.0433-13.75%0.0238✗1.21256k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4166-1.80%1.7235+19.47%0.3767✗1.43561k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative1.7761.7442-1.79%1.851+4.22%0.2198✗1.27413k2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.020897-1.77%0.020726-2.58%0.1165✗0.997,5982022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.240601-1.76%0.2213-9.64%0.0636✗1.17701k2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.233378-1.74%0.2082-12.34%0.0428✗1.24117k2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum29.4328.9266-1.71%25.97-11.76%0.0129✓0.9610.5M2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5056-1.70%2.035-20.16%0.0270✓1.4343k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.047378-1.70%0.043805-9.11%0.0723✗1.1926k2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.054.9657-1.67%6.04+19.60%0.2776✗0.65514k2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.4976-1.67%1.223-19.70%0.0213✓1.44316k2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0495-1.63%2.49-19.68%0.1421✓0.4877k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.821399-1.63%0.928+11.14%0.2117✗0.711.2M2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.6828-1.62%1.942-28.79%0.1008✓1.7692k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008961-1.53%0.00848-6.81%0.0689✗0.984.4M2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.8494-1.52%11.744+200.43%1.1918✗0.611.1M2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.124088-1.52%0.1207-4.21%0.1369✗1.3054k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.064418-1.50%0.0574-12.23%0.0084✓0.98183k2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4048-1.48%4.225+73.08%0.6801✗0.9293k2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.028247-1.48%0.03689+28.67%0.4256✗1.2614k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.303654-1.48%0.28099-8.83%0.0895✗1.3210k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.112123-1.47%0.1029-9.58%0.0503✗1.08362k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.147,067.78-1.43%8,981.54+25.26%0.4074✗1.334.0M2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.186962-1.39%0.1619-14.61%0.0266✗1.351,0652022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014396-1.38%0.01333-8.68%0.0351✗0.891.2M2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.294034-1.36%0.2792-6.34%0.0992✗1.202.7M2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4796-1.36%1.29-14.00%0.0389✗1.39114k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.081211-1.32%0.0634-22.96%0.0943✓1.22157k2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.2437-1.25%5.13-3.39%0.1562✗1.41939k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.101624-1.24%0.0887-13.80%0.0315✗1.33491k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.020046-1.20%0.02334+15.03%0.2822✗1.03136k2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.72159.8101-1.18%142.81-11.69%0.0274✗1.111.3M2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.7004-1.13%10.53+19.66%0.3353✗1.14241k2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.710943-1.12%0.647-10.01%0.0634✗1.25149k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5022,651.83-1.05%20,587.80-10.06%0.0278✗0.9819k2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.204963-0.98%0.17-17.87%0.0050✓1.52803k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.506322-0.97%0.4317-15.57%0.0007✓1.2743.2M2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,620.53-0.97%1,508.02-7.85%0.0869✗1.26371.8M2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.6126-0.97%6.922-9.95%0.0646✗1.279.0M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.389763-0.97%0.33605-14.61%0.0065✓1.23118k2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.259198-0.92%0.2611-0.19%0.0085✓0.0131k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.110236-0.87%0.1024-7.91%0.1010✗1.392.5M2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.881166-0.86%1.2489+40.52%0.4983✗1.191.2M2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.118685-0.85%0.1012-15.46%0.0325✓1.015,4502022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.062764-0.85%0.0599-5.37%0.1331✗1.43337k2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.1088-0.81%12.1201-8.29%0.0717✗1.1970k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.006712-0.77%0.006665-1.46%0.0607✗0.5442k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.311056-0.75%0.3323+6.03%0.2142✗1.1773k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.246675-0.73%0.2433-2.09%0.1243✗1.0962k2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00571.9928-0.64%1.7741-11.55%0.0379✗1.2222k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.00004190.000041634-0.64%0.00003668-12.46%0.0219✗1.181.7M2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana40.2439.987-0.63%31.74-21.12%0.0585✓1.3781.8M2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003560.003539-0.59%0.00303-14.89%0.0111✗1.32505k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.05189-0.40%0.0472-9.40%0.0725✗1.33765k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.16e-7-0.40%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0538✗0.845.9M2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.16e-7-0.39%8.60e-7-6.52%0.0627✗1.0025k2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.327621-0.33%0.2831-13.87%0.0004✓1.167.7M2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.8466-0.25%6.504-5.24%0.1089✗1.2716.2M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144148-0.24%0.143-1.04%0.1497✗1.2587k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0467-0.21%15.52-3.48%0.1388✗1.3697k2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.693569-0.21%0.662-4.75%0.0771✗0.98360k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0458.9474-0.16%52.71-10.72%0.0335✗1.1513.5M2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008527-0.15%0.00657-23.07%0.1460✓0.911.6M2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.052952-0.13%0.06321+19.22%0.3603✗1.45766k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.889436-0.05%0.7751-12.90%0.0431✗1.431.4M2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.225625-0.03%0.2245-0.53%0.1826✗1.4999k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779894-0.01%0.73-6.41%0.0118✗0.6279k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.1078+0.03%1.0508-5.12%0.0836✓1.0843k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.068925+0.04%0.0626-9.14%0.0385✓1.07284k2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.308081+0.07%0.289082-6.10%0.0990✓1.291.0M2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.294264+0.09%0.274-6.80%0.0607✓1.05620k2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.4333+0.11%3.69+51.81%0.5410✓0.99806k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.712967+0.14%0.546-23.31%0.0755✗1.5280k2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.19394.2014+0.18%4.3799+4.44%0.1319✓0.72930k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.041103+0.23%0.03783-7.75%0.0390✓0.971,9372022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.129662+0.28%0.1246-3.63%0.0877✓1.013.1M2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.259+0.34%9.232-9.70%0.0334✓1.102.1M2022-08-26
DASHDashDash48.0648.2308+0.36%44.3-7.82%0.0551✓1.11570k2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001071+0.43%0.001375+28.91%0.4145✓1.311.6M2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.968737+0.52%0.8801-8.68%0.0279✓0.9851k2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.398039+0.57%0.3556-10.16%0.0572✓1.3586k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.6905+0.63%5.671+0.28%0.1354✓1.101.9M2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.2394+0.79%5.1494-0.94%0.0082✓0.20214k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.154667+0.83%0.13148-14.28%0.0341✓1.56191k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.113648+0.87%0.103859-7.82%0.0364✓1.006.8M2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.069375+0.91%0.061552-10.47%0.0199✗0.79376k2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.086482+1.03%0.1006+17.52%0.2587✓0.85153k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39128.7158+1.04%116.16-8.82%0.0425✓1.153.9M2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.067945+1.20%0.063531-5.37%0.0784✓1.151.7M2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.043825+1.21%0.0378-12.70%0.0227✓1.357,1312022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5923,248.05+1.24%20,240.72-11.85%0.0124✓1.00414.2M2022-08-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.025253+1.42%0.0259+4.02%0.0892✓0.5145k2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.41350.419853+1.54%0.3612-12.65%0.0080✓1.26606k2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash61.7562.817+1.73%61.1-1.05%0.1355✓1.291.4M2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.722938+2.11%0.925+30.65%0.3992✓1.21776k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.052494+2.13%0.0498-3.11%0.1324✓1.47109k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001536+3.34%0.001486+0.00%0.0980✓1.0420k2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.006138+3.46%0.005538-6.65%0.0086✓0.883,8542022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.083838+3.63%0.0857+5.93%0.1747✓1.215,6912022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.535179+3.84%0.4491-12.86%0.0328✓1.13350k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.