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2022-07-15 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1935
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.7%
in alpha space · 63.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.742342-11.56%1.0019+19.36%0.0502✓1.61192k2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000095683-10.93%0.00010014-6.79%0.2563✓1.95682k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.583003-8.19%0.753+18.58%0.0239✓1.503,6872022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.5772-6.63%4.154+8.43%0.0260✓0.80488k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4652-5.47%1.5-3.23%0.0161✓0.26485k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.250706-5.21%0.2996+13.27%0.0392✓1.40439k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.872108-5.21%0.981+6.63%0.1606✓1.80528k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.739328-5.09%0.874+12.20%0.1193✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5315.7077-4.97%39.27+137.57%0.6591✗1.66421k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.4299.3879-4.82%118.61+13.59%0.0182✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.652799-4.49%0.71015+3.91%0.1694✓1.64131k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7214.0968-4.23%21.24+44.29%0.2575✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.445-3.93%3.821+50.14%0.1771✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.4837-3.50%6.354+76.01%0.5172✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.168624-3.41%0.1917+9.81%0.2974✓2.758962022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9703-3.23%2.187+7.42%0.1269✓1.49112k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.022719-3.20%0.02926+24.67%0.0015✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.776844-3.06%1.1212+39.91%0.2089✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.394182-3.02%0.49265+21.21%0.1057✗0.7654k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071375-2.89%0.0721-1.90%0.1465✓1.01181k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.0759-2.78%1.3892+25.53%0.0334✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.4623-2.74%5.06+42.13%0.2664✗0.73572k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01880.991274-2.70%1.2058+18.36%0.0189✓1.144,5462022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020267-2.68%0.025582+22.84%0.0771✗1.011,2172022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.378606-2.63%0.44475+14.38%0.0319✓1.25128k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2954.0033-2.33%63.04+14.02%0.0590✓1.3829k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.6037-2.31%8.97+32.69%0.2291✗0.50657k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2495-2.25%3.077+33.71%0.0626✗1.624,8022022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.173273-2.16%0.2284+28.97%0.0623✗1.382,2022022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.374492-2.09%0.4905+28.24%0.1150✗1.004832022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.6421-2.05%8.882+30.98%0.0761✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.175514-2.00%0.2112+17.92%0.0433✓1.472,7232022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.084628-1.94%0.0854-1.04%0.1868✓1.26171k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.1949-1.88%4.102+25.98%0.1507✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.8017-1.87%2.387+30.01%0.0790✗1.31816k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8395-1.80%5.42+38.62%0.2462✗0.64672k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43351.499-1.78%62.391+18.99%0.0620✗0.84410k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.073367-1.69%0.08115+8.74%0.0273✓0.831,9712022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035431-1.58%0.0428+18.89%0.0055✓1.2695k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3785-1.53%1.48+5.71%0.1665✓1.53768k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.6985-1.30%3.865+41.37%0.1852✗1.12534k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.317-1.21%6.12+40.05%0.2497✗0.64555k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.5619-1.20%3.446+32.90%0.1223✗1.12830k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.2855-1.20%0.36752+27.19%0.0429✗1.353,2762022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.092855-1.19%0.08572-8.78%0.2348✓1.00394k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7826.4651-1.18%30.84+15.16%0.0074✓0.9410.7M2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.2445-1.11%5.1274-3.32%0.0510✓0.18335k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2272-1.10%3.5378+57.10%0.3381✗0.80922k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016928-0.97%0.019846+16.11%0.0785✗0.52179k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.890712-0.90%1.4588+62.31%0.3013✗1.24838k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010743-0.89%0.00001688+55.72%0.2590✗1.251.1M2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.145055-0.85%0.171+16.88%0.0379✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.392635-0.85%0.534+34.85%0.1357✗1.119,9052022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1643-0.81%2.98-6.58%0.1305✓0.4678k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.479189-0.79%1.44+198.14%0.8378✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.7915-0.75%5.932+55.29%0.3506✗0.631.6M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4923.3234-0.71%43.26+84.16%0.4629✗1.00127k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.3166-0.70%3.944+69.05%0.3907✗0.9188k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.017963-0.70%0.01762-2.60%0.1391✓0.77381k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.404201-0.69%0.5199+27.74%0.0968✗1.00202k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019259-0.67%0.02573+32.70%0.1261✗1.0699k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.9095-0.67%3.6932+92.10%0.5248✗0.87845k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0589.002-0.62%11.588+27.93%0.0428✗1.3512.7M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.394682-0.53%0.4793+20.79%0.0491✓1.57197k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.65e-7-0.53%0.00000101+16.09%0.0004✓1.0033k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.7786-0.51%8.001+17.44%0.0398✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.692-0.47%2.55+50.00%0.2375✗1.12117k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.040295-0.37%0.053806+33.03%0.1109✗1.1515k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260065-0.36%0.2611+0.04%0.1509✓1.0037k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4190.203-0.23%107.44+18.84%0.0858✓1.6810.2M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.472315-0.17%0.5344+12.96%0.0476✓1.1052k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.207743-0.12%0.225+8.17%0.1629✓1.57964k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.463729-0.05%0.40475-12.76%0.3708✓1.52945k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119379-0.02%0.1641+37.44%0.1612✗1.013.9M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.051926+0.00%0.056453+8.72%0.0130✗0.6214k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.048126+0.05%0.0541+12.47%0.0760✗1.25257k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.164+0.08%6.42+24.42%0.0087✗1.461.2M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9714.0095+0.28%18.56+32.86%0.0707✓1.361.3M2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.060506+0.36%0.0883+46.46%0.1633✓1.3925k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.904744+0.40%1.0962+21.65%0.0330✗1.451.4M2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.434549+0.45%0.6213+43.62%0.1622✓1.261.2M2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.491+0.47%2.039+37.40%0.1581✓1.00180k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.027003+0.49%0.03229+20.17%0.0492✗1.471,7332022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.2615+0.56%14.53+57.76%0.2247✓1.461.1M2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.773462+0.58%0.932+21.20%0.0652✓0.781.3M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.5904+0.59%44.89+20.12%0.0279✗1.3383.9M2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.85227+0.59%1.0735+26.71%0.0235✓1.34411k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4558+0.68%3.1608+29.58%0.0974✓1.001.1M2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.6336+0.71%6.368+38.40%0.0468✓1.7512.2M2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.817983+0.71%1.207+48.61%0.2527✓0.883642022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,198.90+0.75%11,226.83+82.47%0.3862✓1.344.2M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3754.7809+0.76%58.87+8.28%0.1107✗1.18235k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2794+0.82%1.445+13.87%0.0818✗1.312.5M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.505124+0.82%0.699+39.52%0.1093✓1.3985k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.8413+0.86%6.17+28.54%0.1385✓0.67609k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.157405+0.90%0.1842+18.08%0.0505✗1.34349k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.273149+0.94%0.3467+28.12%0.0537✓1.193.0M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6021,383.73+1.05%24,209.70+14.40%0.0291✗0.9943k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009287+1.05%0.01037+12.84%0.0488✗1.034.9M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4459+1.11%1.75+22.38%0.0361✗1.47153k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.2214+1.11%2.773+26.22%0.0015✓1.4247k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3565+1.14%3.06+31.33%0.0202✓1.56216k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.674891+1.18%0.887+32.98%0.0773✓1.27120k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.2205+1.20%1.341+11.19%0.0872✗1.171.4M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012385+1.22%0.015677+28.12%0.1088✓0.821.2M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.240527+1.23%0.2868+20.71%0.0056✓1.1060k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.107712+1.23%0.1284+20.68%0.0054✓1.10380k2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.072605+1.26%0.0765+6.69%0.1698✗1.43299k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.447751+1.32%0.5701+29.01%0.0451✓1.2746.2M2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.820753+1.33%0.81+0.00%0.1282✗0.74111k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006834+1.42%0.00672-0.28%0.1058✗0.5772k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.706+1.53%10.26+82.56%0.3753✓1.36256k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.100115+1.54%0.1393+41.28%0.1213✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.050269+1.55%0.067+35.35%0.0767✓1.36837k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.102386+1.57%0.1166+15.67%0.0823✗1.37547k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.316265+1.58%0.37655+20.94%0.0212✗1.26411k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.6003+1.65%1.8226+15.77%0.0677✗1.28555k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.068133+1.65%0.070349+4.96%0.0945✗0.82433k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0316.3116+1.76%20.14+25.64%0.0088✓1.4274k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000039927+1.80%0.00004614+17.64%0.0428✗1.211.9M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009175+1.83%0.00825-8.44%0.2488✗0.921.2M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.068+1.93%1.2606+20.30%0.0032✓1.0948k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.4792+1.94%1.939+33.63%0.0402✓1.49182k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.110225+1.97%0.1308+21.00%0.0199✓0.986,6852022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4447+2.03%1.6481+16.40%0.0893✗1.43651k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006555+2.11%0.00865+34.74%0.1237✓0.99390k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.506007+2.14%0.6094+23.01%0.0009✓1.21491k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.908125+2.24%1.0568+18.98%0.0063✓1.0268k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.334861+2.25%0.3642+11.21%0.0991✗1.188.3M2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.04626+2.25%0.05538+22.41%0.0375✓0.925,7282022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3969+2.27%1.732+26.79%0.0107✓1.46385k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7652.9441+2.29%63.17+22.04%0.0048✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.7994+2.32%28.19+45.68%0.1146✓1.5425.2M2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.064435+2.33%0.0817+29.74%0.0491✓1.222.0M2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.4107+2.33%41.57+176.03%0.8099✓1.181.2M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.051776+2.34%0.09281+83.46%0.3557✓1.47778k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.108321+2.38%0.1811+71.17%0.3429✓1.10549k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.92e-7+2.57%0.00000101+16.09%0.0073✓0.855.7M2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.2329+2.57%2.808+28.98%0.0329✗1.6984k2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.7804+2.57%11.81+37.97%0.1121✓1.19288k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2444.3536+2.58%55.08+27.38%0.0447✓1.11623k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.00353+2.60%0.00403+17.15%0.0769✗1.35664k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.670194+2.63%0.839+28.48%0.0774✓0.95405k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.23631+2.65%0.2693+16.99%0.0642✗1.26167k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.131372+2.71%0.1477+15.48%0.0900✗1.3434k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.004009+2.79%0.00499+27.95%0.0095✓1.35136k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.38703+2.80%0.4837+28.47%0.0163✓1.3382k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.377+2.89%8.235+57.58%0.2511✓1.131.8M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.39469+3.08%0.4917+28.41%0.0237✓1.27405k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83113.227+3.09%16.2019+26.27%0.0175✓1.20242k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.303242+3.09%0.374117+27.18%0.0143✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002886+3.17%0.00419+49.80%0.2117✓1.041.2M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.70e-7+3.24%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0279✓1.08392k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7947.0186+3.31%8.955+31.81%0.0529✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.001003+3.33%0.001432+47.49%0.1571✓1.281.8M2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.206805+3.35%0.2723+36.08%0.0895✓1.20705k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.133308+3.39%0.1773+37.51%0.0349✓1.62155k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.2947+3.40%0.327+14.74%0.0561✗1.03575k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.248608+3.46%0.4118+71.37%0.3278✓1.1433k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.5398+3.46%8.77+38.74%0.0988✓1.2619.3M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.051223+3.48%0.0703+42.02%0.0878✓1.48102k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.028232+3.49%0.04879+78.85%0.3489✓1.2819k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.6016+3.59%2.832+83.18%0.3823✓1.21287k2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.093972+3.61%0.1275+40.57%0.1787✓0.82145k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94144.0997+3.71%168.04+20.94%0.0221✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.1556+3.72%5.0549+26.16%0.0852✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.111435+3.75%0.125646+16.98%0.0359✓1.017.4M2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.8359+3.84%2.3122+30.78%0.0385✓1.2434k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.898+4.18%4.1906+50.65%0.1988✓1.1026k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.145878+4.27%0.1716+22.66%0.0318✓1.2593k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.207145+4.46%0.2555+28.85%0.0171✓1.47117k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3761.0468+4.59%73.71+26.28%0.0168✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.042783+4.60%0.0472+15.40%0.1112✗1.357,6892022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5521,956.10+5.42%24,316.71+16.75%0.0528✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.648046+5.72%0.7+14.19%0.1597✗1.53112k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.7194+5.76%10.646+15.84%0.0812✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.056204+5.85%0.0809+52.35%0.2430✓0.78204k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,314.99+6.81%1,935.85+57.25%0.2016✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.006092+6.93%0.006713+17.84%0.0453✓0.923,0112022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07114.026+7.50%139.45+31.47%0.0276✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.083301+9.03%0.0995+30.24%0.0133✓1.236,9262022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.630828+9.33%1.008+74.70%0.2820✓1.21867k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.5161+10.49%0.5947+27.32%0.0324✓1.12294k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.