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2022-07-10 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1664
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.0%
in alpha space · 63.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000096893-12.64%0.00009678-12.74%0.2083✓1.97766k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.724133-9.92%0.9531+18.56%0.1030✓1.64160k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.636804-9.80%0.763+8.07%0.0236✓1.503,2002022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.453-6.86%1.53-1.92%0.0278✓0.23575k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.0115-5.83%2.87-32.63%0.3646✓0.2882k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.783785-5.80%0.856+2.88%0.1114✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.897849-5.69%0.949-0.32%0.1348✓1.81620k2022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7114.8352-5.57%20.57+30.94%0.2190✗1.03501k2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.23694-5.30%0.3038+21.42%0.1436✗1.00436k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.649357-4.74%0.66521-2.41%0.1497✓1.66120k2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.0249-4.53%0.03215+23.27%0.0817✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5613.9472-4.21%39.35+170.26%0.8615✗1.67463k2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.165857-4.14%0.19092+10.35%0.1711✓2.978572022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.9657-4.11%2.337+14.00%0.0186✓1.47114k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.020443-4.07%0.022829+7.13%0.0036✓1.028952022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.314-4.02%6.461+87.11%0.6079✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.3511-3.76%3.812+56.04%0.2987✗1.763.4M2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.756159-3.58%1.1027+40.61%0.2689✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.393893-3.48%0.43525+6.66%0.0315✓1.25155k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02750.991866-3.46%1.1054+7.58%0.0123✓1.151,9162022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.403644-3.11%0.48156+15.60%0.0998✗0.7355k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.089443-3.10%0.0881-4.55%0.1503✓1.29179k2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3155-3.09%2.8956+21.19%0.0503✗1.654,8022022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.29535-2.97%0.35509+16.66%0.0399✗1.372,9402022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8494-2.71%1.96+3.10%0.0815✓1.33953k2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038474-2.60%0.0428+8.35%0.0264✓1.27112k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.4923-2.58%5.0218-10.92%0.1092✓0.19291k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.069904-2.50%0.0712-0.70%0.0916✓1.05108k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3252.0559-2.37%59.24+11.10%0.0183✓1.4127k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4379.511-2.36%125.81+54.50%0.3546✗0.992.5M2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.188059-2.05%0.2183+13.70%0.0105✓1.522,7942022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.939-1.87%4.013+33.99%0.2452✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.2368-1.86%59.719+10.09%0.0269✗0.84488k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.348515-1.83%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.1231-1.78%8.439+35.37%0.1790✗1.355.4M2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.154162-1.75%0.1365-13.00%0.2614✓1.3334k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.525018-1.68%1.618+203.00%0.9467✗1.701.5M2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019586-1.68%0.0175-12.15%0.1934✓0.77414k2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.5719-1.65%2.945+12.62%0.0138✓1.16969k2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011024-1.57%0.00001205+7.59%0.0428✓1.261.3M2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.922955-1.52%1.0382+10.78%0.0142✓1.26284k2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.261979-1.51%0.219-17.67%0.3385✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017149-1.48%0.020161+15.83%0.1033✗0.56291k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.6997-1.47%4.387+60.11%0.3689✗1.11552k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.100306-1.40%0.08946-12.06%0.2194✓1.00347k2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.172203-1.32%0.236+35.24%0.1685✗1.403,2022022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.5593-1.24%29.88+15.46%0.0584✗0.9311.6M2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.6996-1.08%5.26+40.64%0.2871✗0.62755k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7373-1.02%4.564+20.87%0.1344✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.1967-1.01%8.51+35.94%0.2662✗0.49815k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.413399-0.86%0.519+24.46%0.1107✗1.1111k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.388432-0.81%0.4317+10.24%0.0634✓1.61208k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1638-0.77%3.0659+40.61%0.2653✗0.791.1M2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.019968-0.76%0.02632+30.82%0.1641✗1.0798k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.399249-0.71%0.5163+28.40%0.1521✗1.00179k2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.489239-0.56%0.5171+5.10%0.0608✓1.1167k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.7218-0.56%11.389+29.85%0.1267✗1.3313.1M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7006-0.55%2.63+53.80%0.3164✗1.14114k2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.947219-0.52%1.2926+35.75%0.1655✗1.384.5M2022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.9277-0.51%42.65+93.51%0.5603✗1.00126k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260128-0.49%0.2613-0.04%0.1005✓1.0046k2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3142-0.44%1.43+8.33%0.0725✓1.50784k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068125-0.43%0.0825+20.58%0.1062✗0.812,3072022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4288-0.42%2.539+4.10%0.0525✓0.92148k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.2066-0.42%4.82+49.69%0.3344✗0.70765k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.01059-0.37%0.00987-7.15%0.1786✓1.035.5M2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0848-0.30%6.51+27.65%0.0927✗1.471.3M2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119062-0.28%0.1765+47.82%0.2891✗1.004.0M2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0208-0.23%5.51+36.72%0.2475✗0.64689k2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.804686-0.16%1.018+26.30%0.1503✗0.811.6M2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8222-0.16%3.2816+79.80%0.4989✗0.85954k2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.86766-0.13%1.0198+17.37%0.0201✗1.35547k2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.464166-0.05%0.6067+30.64%0.1335✗1.281.2M2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.525768-0.04%0.67+27.38%0.0966✗1.3999k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.297053-0.02%0.3286+10.60%0.0232✓1.183.0M2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.480423+0.07%0.40504-15.63%0.3342✗1.561.4M2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046752+0.11%0.0538+15.20%0.0101✓1.24264k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.9138+0.12%1.1074+21.33%0.0398✓1.452.0M2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.9037+0.13%3.927+35.41%0.2221✓0.76583k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.255489+0.19%0.2601+2.00%0.0995✗1.1262k2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.4221+0.24%15.57+65.64%0.3501✓1.451.1M2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7946+0.24%7.024+46.85%0.1946✓1.7816.6M2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040515+0.25%0.049307+22.00%0.0738✓1.1714k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.02685+0.26%0.03179+18.71%0.0029✗1.642,0362022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.052034+0.26%0.055293+6.54%0.0068✗0.6415k2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5343+0.28%2.101+37.32%0.2094✓1.00178k2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4186+0.32%2.8368+17.67%0.0529✓1.021.3M2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.4569+0.33%17.58+22.00%0.0523✓1.371.5M2022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.278+0.47%1.365+7.31%0.0777✗1.372.9M2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.134963+0.49%0.1714+27.62%0.1042✓1.282.8M2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5277+0.50%1.71+12.50%0.0413✗1.47284k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2532+0.64%2.744+22.55%0.0479✓1.4266k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.9371+0.67%40.35+9.98%0.0491✗1.3190.8M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.465772+0.77%0.513+10.99%0.0374✗1.2846.7M2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4295+0.81%2.89+19.92%0.0081✓1.58236k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.857262+0.85%0.78-8.24%0.1697✗0.72129k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.4418+0.89%7.825+22.55%0.0525✓1.355.5M2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.109304+0.93%0.1232+13.76%0.0042✓1.10401k2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,092.42+0.98%11,188.01+85.45%0.4684✓1.334.5M2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0217.1949+1.03%19.92+17.04%0.0005✓1.4176k2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.05835+1.11%0.08598+48.99%0.2414✓1.3927k2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012677+1.31%0.015341+22.60%0.1033✓0.831.4M2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6474+1.33%1.8057+11.07%0.0423✗1.28555k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.266564+1.36%0.2512-4.49%0.1927✗1.27220k2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.155434+1.39%0.1697+10.70%0.0521✗1.33353k2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.5374+1.42%10.31+88.83%0.4809✓1.34264k2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.67963+1.44%0.954+42.39%0.2037✓1.29157k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1783+1.49%1.294+11.46%0.0290✗1.171.7M2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.5473+1.50%5.85+30.58%0.1828✓0.66795k2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.797947+1.52%1.1451+45.68%0.2726✓0.842472022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006934+1.52%0.00871+27.53%0.1227✓1.00407k2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0908+1.60%1.1689+8.87%0.0465✗1.1065k2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000041015+1.65%0.0000434+7.56%0.0721✗1.232.4M2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.3412+1.75%2.702+17.43%0.0339✗1.6990k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006847+1.77%0.006181-8.13%0.1635✗0.5897k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009324+1.79%0.00825-9.93%0.2208✗0.941.2M2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.101715+1.82%0.1396+39.74%0.1755✓1.342.8M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9450.8635+1.85%60.26+20.66%0.0460✓1.18333k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.052065+1.91%0.10285+101.31%0.5249✓1.49847k2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.046542+1.93%0.05077+11.19%0.0106✓0.935,7282022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.106734+1.94%0.127+21.30%0.0699✓0.997,0862022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.240706+1.95%0.2508+6.23%0.0849✗1.20695k2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4641+1.96%1.767+23.05%0.0358✓1.45428k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.107273+1.97%0.1457+38.50%0.1888✓1.12551k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7379.2907+2.01%97.96+26.03%0.0389✓1.648.9M2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.09917+2.03%0.1129+16.15%0.0106✓1.34696k2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.3358+2.03%11.36+24.15%0.0736✓1.17307k2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.068606+2.08%0.069028+2.71%0.1205✗1.212.3M2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0953.2035+2.14%59.18+13.61%0.0173✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9021,219.94+2.17%23,209.60+11.75%0.0141✓0.9946k2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.504394+2.25%0.6234+26.37%0.0847✓1.21634k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.069165+2.31%0.068465+1.27%0.0974✗0.83611k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1646.2156+2.34%52.97+17.29%0.0218✓1.09739k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-79.12e-7+2.43%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0260✗0.845.7M2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.401423+2.56%0.4499+14.95%0.0287✗1.3694k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.289789+2.56%0.3489+23.48%0.0524✓1.27464k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.064723+2.57%0.0589-6.66%0.2462✗1.45322k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.416181+2.61%0.4778+17.80%0.0050✓1.27354k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.6634+2.63%27.43+43.16%0.1732✓1.5227.8M2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.5325+2.66%36.4+140.58%0.7280✓1.181.7M2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.6352+2.76%8.044+46.68%0.2355✓1.152.2M2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.319437+2.84%0.3452+11.14%0.0469✗1.199.4M2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.353+2.89%1.5258+16.03%0.0234✓1.37685k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.905627+2.91%1.0376+17.91%0.0281✓1.0393k2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6889+2.92%2.997+82.63%0.4481✓1.19297k2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.047965+2.93%0.0642+37.77%0.1486✓1.36897k2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.00104+3.02%0.001479+46.46%0.2170✓1.292.7M2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003482+3.02%0.00368+8.88%0.0869✗1.35664k2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.266798+3.05%0.4453+72.00%0.3919✓1.1531k2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.322403+3.14%0.344184+10.11%0.0674✗1.262.3M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.9214+3.15%2.2956+23.24%0.0476✓1.2437k2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.4042+3.32%2.032+49.52%0.2148✓1.47170k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8497.0786+3.35%8.902+29.98%0.0991✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.029491+3.41%0.03156+10.66%0.0687✗1.3024k2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.283378+3.42%0.328+19.71%0.0392✓1.02600k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004221+3.45%0.00451+10.54%0.0761✗1.36169k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.154869+3.45%0.1548+3.41%0.1339✗1.27102k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.660033+3.45%0.808+26.65%0.1055✓0.92419k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.4061+3.47%8.75+41.33%0.1777✓1.2820.5M2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.93e-7+3.49%3.29e-7-13.34%0.2938✗1.11543k2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.102365+3.50%0.1336+35.09%0.1810✓0.81157k2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.054869+3.53%0.0599+13.02%0.0688✗1.49118k2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.111321+3.67%0.122043+13.66%0.0144✓1.019.2M2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002949+3.88%0.003356+18.21%0.0208✓1.031.3M2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94283.0576+3.90%4.0145+36.42%0.1568✓1.1030k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91894.0731+3.93%4.7738+21.81%0.0838✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.129678+4.13%0.17382+39.58%0.1227✓1.62198k2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44135.1462+4.41%158.78+22.67%0.0404✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.045206+4.64%0.0475+9.95%0.0936✗1.369,9202022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.207825+4.65%0.2261+13.85%0.0699✗1.47146k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6362.4267+4.69%79.81+33.84%0.1070✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.665+5.17%17.0389+41.49%0.1715✓1.19316k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6521,984.22+5.44%23,158.27+11.07%0.0529✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.689046+6.17%0.716+10.32%0.1262✗1.57214k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.8468+6.22%10.536+13.66%0.0500✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.055046+6.27%0.0811+56.56%0.3063✓0.77209k2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.006077+7.32%0.006485+14.53%0.0355✓0.963,1492022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,254.37+7.42%1,703.35+45.87%0.1831✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77115.0899+7.79%134.7+26.16%0.0381✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.085787+9.01%0.0977+24.14%0.0019✓1.267,1372022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.68165+9.59%0.81+30.23%0.0443✓1.22952k2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.538079+11.52%0.5918+22.65%0.0224✓1.12252k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.