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2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1124
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.2%
in alpha space · 59.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000098849-10.51%0.00009929-10.11%0.1876✓1.95766k2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.726984-10.13%0.9875+22.08%0.1455✗1.63160k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.676669-9.90%0.841+11.98%0.0701✓1.503,2002022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.4886-7.03%21.84+31.09%0.2428✗1.03501k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3618-6.08%1.55+6.90%0.1001✗0.30575k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.940656-6.03%0.944-5.69%0.1750✓1.81635k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.185383-5.95%0.19653-0.30%0.2320✓2.958572022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.4139-5.78%30.04+83.62%0.5032✗1.67463k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.809639-5.75%0.898+4.54%0.0839✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.692885-5.44%0.69895-4.61%0.1542✓1.66108k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.439837-5.26%0.48293+4.02%0.0225✓0.7255k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.22479-5.11%0.3126+31.95%0.2314✗1.00440k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.02-5.03%2.498+17.44%0.0676✗1.47123k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.5642-4.51%3.0082+12.02%0.0020✓1.644,8022022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.413431-4.30%0.42996-0.47%0.0837✓1.25155k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.020852-4.29%0.023579+8.23%0.0210✓1.048342022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.4846-4.26%4.095+57.80%0.3262✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.4156-4.14%6.031+69.27%0.5107✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.770166-3.84%1.1662+45.61%0.3115✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.023292-3.75%0.03513+45.17%0.2446✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5753.5678-3.60%62.01+11.59%0.0060✓1.4328k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8581.9484-3.59%128.79+51.52%0.3550✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.299841-3.50%0.36941+18.88%0.0734✗1.382,7752022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.451688-3.49%0.553+18.16%0.0929✗1.1111k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.974944-3.47%1.1648+15.33%0.0632✗1.171,6262022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.072623-3.43%0.0737-1.99%0.0922✓1.0999k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.090033-3.40%0.0896-3.86%0.1341✓1.31179k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.9418-3.30%2.141+6.62%0.0350✓1.35997k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.5238-3.03%4.8-15.73%0.1612✓0.21291k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.040192-2.92%0.0454+9.66%0.0031✓1.27134k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.192806-2.82%0.2677+34.93%0.1935✗1.373,2022022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.982239-2.51%1.0662+5.83%0.0408✓1.25252k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8215-2.37%3.99+38.06%0.2374✗1.11560k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011338-2.35%0.00001229+5.86%0.0437✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.3041-2.23%8.791+36.34%0.1989✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01855.7907-2.15%62.317+9.29%0.0281✗0.84525k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6514-2.13%3.052+12.66%0.0243✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.191205-2.00%0.2282+16.97%0.0263✗1.532,7942022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.9738-1.98%4.125+35.96%0.2648✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1326.6092-1.92%31.49+16.07%0.0760✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.101307-1.66%0.08629-16.24%0.2588✓1.00343k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.563824-1.60%1.899+231.41%1.0469✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.267927-1.50%0.23-15.44%0.3047✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.412764-1.49%0.4659+11.19%0.0391✓1.63208k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.4932-1.34%2.626+3.92%0.0387✓0.92148k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.07168-1.32%0.08965+23.42%0.1449✗0.802,3812022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020866-1.25%0.029+37.25%0.2235✗1.0796k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01421.0028-1.12%1.4281+40.81%0.2170✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.125123-1.09%0.1674+32.33%0.1931✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019318-1.08%0.01763-9.73%0.1660✓0.76414k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.550984-1.08%0.697+25.13%0.0982✗1.3999k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.3012-1.08%8.84+38.78%0.2896✗0.50872k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.011043-0.96%0.01044-6.37%0.1605✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.7852-0.91%5.62+47.12%0.3335✗0.63778k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.51691-0.88%0.5796+11.14%0.0064✓1.1074k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.904-0.85%11.817+31.59%0.1506✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.7256-0.83%2.74+57.47%0.3492✗1.15114k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1834-0.83%3.05-4.98%0.0810✓0.3982k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.426249-0.80%0.561+30.56%0.1763✗1.00202k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.899372-0.77%1.0855+19.76%0.0551✗1.35557k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049219-0.77%0.0543+9.48%0.0232✓1.23266k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.844833-0.72%1.084+27.38%0.1689✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7736-0.72%4.707+23.84%0.1567✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.1585-0.68%3.2115+47.77%0.3155✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.016314-0.66%0.018974+15.54%0.0961✗0.56337k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.484815-0.61%0.6064+24.31%0.0980✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.965666-0.54%1.2133+24.97%0.0828✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.2218-0.54%6.92+31.81%0.1347✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259673-0.51%0.2614+0.15%0.0918✓1.0054k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.929-0.47%8.259+18.63%0.0437✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.110.0559-0.44%16.74+65.74%0.3673✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.145466-0.43%0.1804+23.48%0.0893✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4722.3856-0.38%45.63+103.07%0.6138✗1.00110k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.116-0.34%5.71+38.26%0.2637✗0.65721k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.2392-0.33%5.02+54.46%0.3694✗0.70770k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.041994-0.21%0.052476+24.70%0.1073✗1.1712k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3821-0.16%2.9+21.54%0.0581✗1.4167k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6465-0.13%3.02+13.96%0.0232✓1.58255k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0075.0063-0.01%7.314+46.08%0.2040✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.8306+0.02%3.4773+90.00%0.5592✓0.84954k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5704+0.02%1.85+17.83%0.0187✓1.48338k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.512195+0.06%0.42203-17.56%0.3484✗1.571.6M2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9497+0.06%4.04+37.04%0.2383✓0.78622k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.028328+0.06%0.03333+17.73%0.0019✓1.632,0362022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,508.07+0.17%11,448.81+76.21%0.4348✓1.324.5M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.981+0.18%10.19+70.69%0.4023✓1.33278k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.114518+0.19%0.1267+10.85%0.0076✗1.10401k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.1695+0.19%18.67+23.32%0.0737✓1.361.5M2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.6143+0.20%2.06+27.87%0.1454✓1.00180k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.4528+0.22%2.9975+22.47%0.0969✓1.051.3M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3441+0.23%1.438+7.23%0.0673✗1.373.0M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.255118+0.24%0.2624+3.10%0.0893✗1.19682k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.052729+0.26%0.05725+8.86%0.0184✓0.6515k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.289884+0.38%0.3474+20.29%0.0627✓1.203.0M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.146858+0.38%0.1447-1.09%0.1497✗1.3734k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.253588+0.39%0.2733+8.19%0.0378✗1.1463k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.479865+0.45%0.5372+12.46%0.0141✗1.2948.1M2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0838.2743+0.51%42.2+10.82%0.0322✗1.3290.8M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.5018+0.52%2.889+16.07%0.0219✗1.6890k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.87486+0.56%0.79-9.20%0.1728✗0.72133k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.061288+0.67%0.08557+40.56%0.1979✓1.3827k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.113425+0.73%0.1317+16.96%0.0502✓1.017,0862022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.848079+0.83%1.1739+39.57%0.2408✓0.862472022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013235+0.89%0.016131+22.97%0.1160✓0.831.4M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1316+0.90%1.2304+9.71%0.0250✗1.1065k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.161915+0.94%0.1759+9.66%0.0487✗1.34355k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.2367+1.04%1.351+10.38%0.0260✗1.161.7M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8817.0568+1.05%19.15+13.45%0.0240✗1.4272k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007185+1.06%0.00911+28.13%0.1383✓1.01412k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.70551+1.08%0.894+28.08%0.1074✓1.32172k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2545+1.17%1.56+25.81%0.0688✓1.52755k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.6441+1.21%1.894+16.60%0.0162✓1.27582k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0683.0965+1.26%102.58+25.01%0.0485✓1.658.5M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6794+1.29%6.04+30.74%0.1905✓0.66836k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4932+1.44%1.875+27.38%0.0845✓1.45453k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.007002+1.48%0.0063-8.70%0.1653✗0.61100k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000042245+1.50%0.00004589+10.26%0.0398✗1.252.5M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7948.5234+1.53%56.22+17.64%0.0391✓1.10698k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.070587+1.57%0.070056+0.81%0.1273✗1.222.2M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.107177+1.59%0.1491+41.33%0.1977✓1.352.8M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009283+1.67%0.00837-8.32%0.1974✗0.951.2M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0554.9609+1.69%62.61+15.84%0.0144✓1.1818.8M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.154.0049+1.70%64.6+21.66%0.0627✓1.18396k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.071026+1.76%0.070047+0.36%0.0965✗0.84531k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.6705+1.79%11.72+23.37%0.0771✓1.17316k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.054178+1.80%0.11272+111.80%0.5862✓1.49902k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.047883+1.92%0.05269+12.15%0.0026✓0.955,7282022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.42273+1.96%0.5085+22.65%0.0595✓1.27345k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.105165+2.00%0.1526+48.01%0.2610✓1.13540k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.296198+2.06%0.33107+14.08%0.0145✓1.28465k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.098591+2.06%0.1199+24.12%0.0610✓1.37701k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.067674+2.07%0.0607-8.45%0.2522✗1.46325k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3022,010.29+2.12%23,846.60+10.64%0.0172✓0.9946k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.30e-7+2.15%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0211✓0.855.7M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.531475+2.25%0.6657+28.07%0.1043✓1.23642k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.252022+2.28%0.2624+6.49%0.0872✗1.30220k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.415499+2.29%0.4704+15.81%0.0113✓1.3895k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.9319+2.34%8.73+50.62%0.2715✓1.172.3M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8516.222+2.35%38.06+140.13%0.7367✓1.181.8M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4833+2.36%2.058+42.03%0.1814✓1.48169k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.933295+2.37%1.0843+18.93%0.0469✓1.0597k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.712297+2.49%0.835+20.14%0.0683✓0.92419k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.920.4004+2.51%27.92+40.30%0.1645✓1.5229.2M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.33952+2.56%0.363104+9.68%0.0575✗1.272.3M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.329734+2.59%0.3629+12.91%0.0210✓1.199.4M2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9884+2.60%2.385+23.07%0.0586✓1.2540k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.031003+2.76%0.0332+10.04%0.0602✗1.3124k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.7446+2.81%3.023+78.14%0.4318✓1.20297k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.4565+2.86%9.276+27.96%0.0955✓1.2511.8M2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.051228+2.87%0.068+36.55%0.1493✓1.36922k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.00354+2.90%0.00377+9.59%0.0724✗1.38670k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.4325+2.90%1.6087+15.56%0.0155✓1.34727k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.155527+3.07%0.163+8.02%0.0796✗1.29105k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.001019+3.09%0.001192+20.58%0.0279✓1.312.6M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004279+3.10%0.00474+14.22%0.0327✗1.37169k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.057137+3.14%0.062+11.91%0.0656✗1.50131k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.6866+3.19%8.607+32.82%0.1260✓1.2921.1M2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.26769+3.20%0.5111+97.03%0.5311✓1.1831k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.116269+3.21%0.130156+15.54%0.0132✓1.019.3M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.293141+3.22%0.339+19.37%0.0443✓1.03663k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.137552+3.64%0.17585+32.50%0.0856✓1.63186k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.1407+3.69%4.1656+37.53%0.1729✓1.1132k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.003041+3.71%0.003433+17.09%0.0185✓1.041.4M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.100685+4.01%0.1545+59.61%0.3495✓0.80167k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94634.105+4.02%4.9055+24.31%0.1071✓0.721.2M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-74.16e-7+4.03%3.37e-7-15.82%0.3205✗1.11566k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001213.5642+4.33%19.4666+49.73%0.2424✓1.21316k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.04735+4.52%0.0517+14.13%0.0492✗1.3910k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2164.1171+4.75%77.53+26.66%0.0582✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.212475+4.77%0.2285+12.67%0.0739✗1.49151k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29133.3662+4.77%167.1+31.28%0.1126✓1.151.3M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9922,741.51+5.36%23,815.65+10.34%0.0522✓1.00493.8M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.728806+5.78%0.767+11.32%0.1055✗1.59222k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.006277+6.29%0.006716+13.72%0.0302✓0.993,1492022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.63710.252+6.38%10.767+11.73%0.0607✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.056512+6.43%0.0826+55.56%0.3027✓0.78213k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,308.18+7.51%1,777.36+46.07%0.1915✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36119.7999+7.58%143.54+28.90%0.0688✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.089122+8.69%0.1038+26.59%0.0285✓1.267,1372022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.738647+9.59%0.774+14.84%0.0729✓1.22952k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.564601+11.69%0.6088+20.44%0.0358✓1.13249k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.