8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2147
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.1%
in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.817424-7.95%0.776-12.61%0.0858✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.3795-7.42%1.64+10.07%0.1616✗0.69166k2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.681503-5.83%0.8024+10.87%0.1435✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.020787-5.34%0.02299+4.69%0.0685✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.018914-4.42%0.021277+7.52%0.0977✗1.208,7652022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.0026-4.16%3.087-1.47%0.0157✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.7377-3.91%3.597+26.25%0.2636✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.4814-3.80%3.872+6.99%0.0949✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.500049-3.47%0.582+12.36%0.1351✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.3351-3.37%2.5474+5.42%0.0575✗1.7717k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43252.7768-3.04%53.662-1.41%0.0019✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.3635-2.88%2.5042+2.90%0.0395✗1.102.9M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.485092-2.85%0.4817-3.52%0.0237✓1.00161k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9187-2.70%5.2307+3.48%0.0574✗0.24226k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000056954-2.69%0.0001015+73.42%0.5417✗2.171.6M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.329169-2.69%0.38262+13.11%0.1288✗1.30105k2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.23361-2.66%0.203-15.42%0.1676✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.077871-2.66%0.0857+7.13%0.0722✗1.41334k2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0869-2.61%6.82+9.12%0.1051✗0.512.0M2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.539191-2.59%0.44441-19.71%0.2234✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3058-2.55%1.244-7.16%0.0736✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.3552-2.39%2.355-2.40%0.0168✓1.0075k2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.0961-2.32%2.2375+4.27%0.0502✗0.903.1M2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.588-2.30%2.624-0.94%0.0071✓1.251.1M2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.8743-2.17%4.32+9.09%0.0972✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.01509-1.97%0.017915+16.38%0.1617✗0.60469k2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.287368-1.95%0.28874-1.48%0.0202✓1.5012k2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.049535-1.91%0.051428+1.84%0.0261✗0.6965k2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6102-1.90%3.91+6.25%0.0697✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.708-1.89%2.043+17.35%0.1640✗0.912.8M2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.8023-1.89%17.39+57.95%0.4481✗1.68322k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.883353-1.85%0.81-10.00%0.0992✓0.75186k2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020069-1.62%0.02009-1.52%0.0170✓1.08137k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.8789-1.41%3.223+10.38%0.0986✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.751305-1.27%0.777+2.10%0.0179✗0.941.7M2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.861394-1.04%0.9894+13.66%0.1178✗1.246,0082022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0878-1.03%3.47+11.22%0.1034✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.060669-1.03%0.071+15.82%0.1312✗1.56409k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.6849-0.93%3.268+20.59%0.1778✗1.12663k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.1299-0.90%27.61+13.39%0.1193✗0.929.9M2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017626-0.81%0.01857+4.50%0.0405✗0.70608k2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.0398-0.75%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.83205-0.74%0.83755-0.09%0.0167✓1.39725k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.219177-0.69%0.2371+7.43%0.0591✗1.17100k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.120595-0.66%0.1168-3.79%0.0487✓1.003.3M2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.06111-0.63%0.0706+14.80%0.1245✗1.19147k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.039694-0.51%0.040555+1.64%0.0005✓1.3226k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.38382-0.45%0.43709+13.36%0.1185✗0.69256k2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.613473-0.41%0.896+45.45%0.3491✗1.781.6M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012005-0.36%0.012404+2.95%0.0181✗0.872.0M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.2136-0.32%9.37+13.71%0.1037✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.384414-0.15%0.64+66.23%0.4837✗1.563,5232022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.05605-0.13%0.0772+37.56%0.3035✗1.001,5532022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.130289-0.08%0.0943-27.68%0.3402✓1.01255k2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.829-0.08%14.51+4.84%0.0237✗1.462.2M2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.486635-0.03%0.4477-8.03%0.1069✓1.4171.0M2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.265986-0.01%0.273+2.63%0.0047✗1.285.1M2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028223+0.08%0.0363+28.72%0.2295✓1.33197k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3641+0.17%2.52+6.78%0.0362✓1.66311k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.506114+0.22%0.5072+0.44%0.0200✗1.33767k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3751+0.23%1.382+0.73%0.0211✗1.56407k2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.852769+0.28%0.78631-7.53%0.0949✗0.828792022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1219+0.29%4.78+16.30%0.1359✓0.731.4M2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.1736+0.33%5.15+23.80%0.1822✓1.681.6M2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.047954+0.34%0.05194+8.68%0.0532✓1.601.6M2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3823+0.39%1.3548-1.61%0.0414✗1.281.5M2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0481+0.49%2.171+6.53%0.0329✓1.5288k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.763088+0.54%0.9124+20.21%0.1523✓1.583.3M2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.125121+0.58%0.1532+23.15%0.1787✓1.434.4M2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5597+0.62%1.71+10.32%0.0721✓1.19270k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.006988+0.63%0.006838-1.54%0.0344✗0.76167k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.475693+0.64%0.66332+40.33%0.3091✓1.4163k2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046502+0.65%0.0416-9.96%0.1372✗1.5516k2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.150306+0.74%0.1784+19.57%0.1509✓1.223,2772022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038276+0.83%0.00004004+5.48%0.0228✓1.332.8M2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.287+0.86%1.778+39.34%0.2980✓1.51891k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.047+0.92%0.04502-3.33%0.0602✗1.0315k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009214+0.93%0.0091-0.33%0.0287✗0.9711.3M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.240136+0.98%0.2537+6.69%0.0340✓1.2631k2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.349592+1.04%0.511+47.69%0.3603✓1.1616k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.203229+1.06%0.2123+5.57%0.0228✓1.25656k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.00679+1.19%0.00645-3.87%0.0686✗1.03540k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095432+1.20%0.1055+11.88%0.0797✓1.24803k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.057496+1.23%0.0507-10.74%0.1522✗1.59142k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009082+1.25%0.00892-0.56%0.0355✗1.051.4M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.060579+1.30%0.067437+12.77%0.0908✓0.98887k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.380923+1.31%0.3774+0.37%0.0343✗1.50146k2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8867+1.38%1.8014-3.21%0.0687✗1.3455k2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052726+1.40%0.0505-2.88%0.0675✗1.461.7M2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8491+1.45%5.95+24.48%0.1821✓1.35400k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.09984+1.46%0.0979-0.51%0.0441✗1.475.0M2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090513+1.47%0.1027+15.13%0.1011✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.289+1.48%16.55+17.54%0.1223✓1.4755k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987831.0033+1.57%1.0511+6.40%0.0266✓1.1949k2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.448009+1.59%0.497+12.70%0.0796✓1.45108k2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.650424+1.63%0.9377+46.52%0.3415✓1.46182k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027192+1.65%0.02736+2.28%0.0167✗1.3719k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.368798+1.68%0.4404+21.42%0.1536✓1.431.1M2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95984.0266+1.69%4.0915+3.33%0.0045✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.600074+1.71%0.644+9.15%0.0534✓1.03365k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.094046+1.78%0.1105+19.59%0.1417✓1.17686k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.8661+1.83%54.43+11.15%0.0667✓1.25986k2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1874+1.84%2.018+73.07%0.5055✓1.4979k2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.108575+1.85%0.1096+2.81%0.0085✓1.085,8092022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.4332+1.88%5.689+6.68%0.0238✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7477+1.91%2.653+54.69%0.3885✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.26839+1.92%0.32185+22.22%0.1603✓1.28453k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.113949+1.92%0.106625-4.63%0.0846✗1.0911.1M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.4794+1.94%6.345-0.17%0.0430✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.271265+1.98%0.282+6.02%0.0209✓1.08847k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3367+2.03%1.46+11.45%0.0612✓1.62596k2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.151641+2.05%0.1663+11.91%0.0681✓1.45917k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5344.4535+2.12%45.92+5.49%0.0136✓1.13810k2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9314.0158+2.16%6.943+76.62%0.5249✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.624381+2.19%0.667+9.17%0.0429✓1.38531k2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.297736+2.31%0.3946+35.60%0.2557✓1.56376k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.13407+2.34%0.1386+5.80%0.0102✓1.38166k2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.8287+2.35%4.969+32.83%0.2291✓1.8915.8M2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.809+2.37%2.9505+7.53%0.0293✓1.1939k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.047102+2.42%0.06269+36.31%0.2635✓1.3470k2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0346+2.44%1.4+38.61%0.2760✓1.591.1M2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.2264+2.45%14.48+80.32%0.5485✓1.02267k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.7265+2.48%19.22+33.75%0.2448✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.317742+2.50%0.3365+8.55%0.0366✓1.2414.4M2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036608+2.54%0.0496+38.94%0.2803✓1.41364k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008375+2.63%0.0000107+31.13%0.2242✓1.25813k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.879908+2.67%1.182+37.92%0.2785✓1.001.5M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0021,015.40+2.73%21,043.20+2.87%0.0152✓0.9929k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.11498+2.84%0.126+12.70%0.0678✓1.4250k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.4781+2.88%6.919-4.81%0.1002✗1.3513.8M2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.5571+2.89%8.915+39.89%0.2848✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.67917+2.90%1.0786+63.42%0.4394✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.058529+2.90%0.062984+10.74%0.0522✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.4292+2.98%1.5731+13.34%0.0739✓1.32914k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6931.6265+3.05%38.63+25.87%0.1765✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.4348+3.05%9.07-18.26%0.2497✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.4362+3.18%1.564+12.36%0.0686✓1.00541k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.393876+3.19%0.3859+1.10%0.0427✗1.33195k2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7828+3.23%2.164+25.30%0.1673✓1.5992k2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.276714+3.30%0.294596+9.97%0.0391✓1.412.4M2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,956.86+3.49%6,069.87+26.73%0.1808✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003664+3.52%0.00394+11.30%0.0470✓1.53239k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.9926+3.53%9.05+17.23%0.1043✓1.19468k2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006272+3.57%0.005648-6.73%0.1225✗1.062,5622022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.83745+3.59%0.90356+11.77%0.0573✓1.12119k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.220867+3.60%0.2316+8.63%0.0240✓1.41462k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5264.7751+3.61%59.43-4.94%0.1087✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.133333+3.66%0.13279+3.24%0.0308✓1.60246k2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002852+3.70%0.002791+1.49%0.0404✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.6403+3.74%7.225+32.89%0.2239✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.723213+3.76%0.621-10.90%0.1811✗1.73303k2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.508938+3.86%0.8755+78.67%0.5226✓1.1956k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.3328+3.88%1.537+19.80%0.1164✓1.57223k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8621,251.38+3.93%20,791.74+1.68%0.0385✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624912.0969+4.06%13.2428+13.92%0.0684✓1.32194k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.003028+4.07%0.00353+21.31%0.1287✓1.47645k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5549.4978+4.10%55.74+17.22%0.0987✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.003025+4.16%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.061094+4.26%0.054-7.85%0.1366✗0.79313k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16119.3091+4.51%135.99+19.12%0.1119✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5648.6776+4.55%98.86+112.33%0.6917✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8334.3663+4.68%54.86+67.10%0.4431✓1.4726k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.96e-7+4.69%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1085✓0.885.3M2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.7386+4.75%20.62+29.04%0.1841✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.50e-7+4.79%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0053✓0.88951k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3160.073+4.82%88.27+54.02%0.3568✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000817158+5.17%0.0009901+27.43%0.1690✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.682276+5.62%0.602-6.81%0.1448✗1.18977k2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.173845+5.75%0.2071+25.97%0.1504✓1.48191k2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.084851+6.20%0.0796-0.38%0.0871✗1.394,6642022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,153.90+6.28%1,338.20+23.25%0.1294✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36128.9853+6.28%109.99-9.37%0.1795✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.602991+7.68%0.4787-14.52%0.2503✗1.1771k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.