8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2890
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 57.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,255.20+3.92%1,114.26-7.75%0.0023✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93131.8623+3.89%102.54-19.22%0.1269✗1.194.4M2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.71e-7+3.74%3.58e-7+0.16%0.0570✓0.881.1M2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4544.9531+3.46%49.5+13.92%0.2213✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.6426+3.43%18.81+16.90%0.2775✓1.4849.3M2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.166168+3.40%0.1823+13.44%0.2502✓1.50196k2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.200893+3.02%0.2274+16.62%0.2718✓1.41432k2022-07-13
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7336.7856+2.95%48.39+35.43%0.4275✓1.4630k2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.382449+2.90%0.63818+71.70%0.6744✓1.5461k2022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.5972+2.85%6.493+19.31%0.2986✓1.4310.6M2022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7461.2394+2.51%79.78+33.55%0.4436✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000848087+2.43%0.0009324+12.61%0.2398✓1.381.8M2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.103621+2.29%0.127+25.37%0.3557✓1.4549k2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.28e-7+2.25%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1081✓0.895.5M2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5829.2071+2.19%34.94+22.25%0.3248✓1.39104.0M2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.354568+2.18%0.3774+8.76%0.2035✓1.34165k2022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.794409+2.11%0.606-22.11%0.1515✗1.131.0M2022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.862153+1.92%0.863212+2.05%0.1273✓1.20120k2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.003087+1.88%0.0034+12.21%0.2491✓1.45628k2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.100843+1.76%0.1028+3.73%0.1359✓1.117,2892022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6650.5315+1.75%84.78+70.72%0.6207✓0.982.0M2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.895063+1.71%0.4603-47.69%0.5483✗1.1168k2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.132697+1.68%0.1644+25.98%0.3393✓1.192,3482022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.1492+1.67%6.464-8.08%0.0358✓1.3013.5M2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.5985+1.59%8.218+26.53%0.3580✓1.3215.2M2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.675,030.08+1.58%5,907.64+19.31%0.2951✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.134652+1.56%0.12248-7.63%0.0783✓1.65260k2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.4817+1.46%8.12-2.87%0.0784✓1.16502k2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2726+1.40%1.417+12.91%0.2877✓1.71236k2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.00289+1.40%0.002746-3.65%0.0702✓1.152.1M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054909+1.36%0.061838+14.15%0.2494✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003639+1.36%0.0039+8.64%0.2323✓1.55213k2022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.8435+1.33%11.9814-18.21%0.0718✗1.35222k2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.108402+1.31%0.0741-30.75%0.2406✗1.334,0262022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.066243+1.29%0.0503-23.09%0.1927✗0.79299k2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.336096+1.23%0.376+13.25%0.2368✓1.1915k2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.255077+1.20%0.283091+12.32%0.2578✓1.462.3M2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4176+1.20%1.5191+8.45%0.2084✓1.33914k2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9877+1.19%6.172+4.31%0.1686✓1.3237.2M2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4866.2612+1.19%54.92-16.13%0.0428✗1.383.6M2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5943.0759+1.14%42.39-0.47%0.1036✓1.14837k2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.980719+1.11%1.24+27.84%0.4012✓1.591.1M2022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.702+1.09%6.118+67.07%0.6419✓1.332.7M2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.861787+1.03%1.169+37.05%0.4100✓1.001.5M2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.046084+1.02%0.05517+20.93%0.3238✓1.3760k2022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.306978+1.01%0.3097+1.91%0.1372✓1.2214.4M2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.8199+0.97%8.937-23.65%0.1635✗1.105.3M2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008096+0.95%0.00001053+31.30%0.3958✓1.26850k2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.3015+0.89%1.38+6.98%0.2309✓1.64574k2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.128302+0.87%0.1355+6.53%0.2043✓1.42169k2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.258212+0.86%0.282+10.16%0.2046✓1.11847k2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56133.6984+0.86%124.11-6.37%0.0445✓1.131.7M2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.5146+0.85%4.58+31.42%0.4660✓1.9117.0M2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1587+0.84%1.75+52.31%0.5638✓1.44826k2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.724007+0.84%1.0482+45.99%0.5167✓1.405.1M2022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003337+0.83%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.604877+0.81%0.7812+30.20%0.3713✓1.1060k2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006364+0.70%0.00629-0.47%0.1015✓1.08607k2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,616.82+0.69%20,220.23-9.98%0.0069✗1.00582.4M2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0099+0.65%2.535+26.94%0.3717✓1.331.1M2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.4921+0.64%14.41+0.07%0.1303✓1.292.6M2022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.394506+0.64%0.647+65.05%0.6642✓1.614,2732022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.3718+0.63%49.06+6.47%0.1844✓1.221.0M2022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.162002+0.56%0.1458-9.50%0.0466✓1.45805k2022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.107305+0.51%0.105275-1.39%0.0949✓1.0810.3M2022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5937+0.49%1.511-4.73%0.0518✓1.00608k2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035969+0.47%0.0457+27.65%0.3897✓1.43383k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1755+0.44%14.62+79.61%0.6917✓1.05283k2022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029184+0.29%0.036+23.71%0.3525✓1.36247k2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.377137+0.17%0.3692-1.94%0.1395✓1.53160k2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.301438+0.15%0.3891+29.27%0.4345✓1.71496k2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.8106+0.14%2.1+16.15%0.3133✓1.5797k2022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,503.36+0.14%20,219.90-10.02%0.0033✗0.9929k2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1927+0.13%2.2+0.46%0.1888✓1.76294k2022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5351+0.11%5.49+21.19%0.3425✓1.44411k2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.094606+0.11%0.1019+7.83%0.2037✓1.23795k2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5215+0.10%1.62+6.58%0.1926✓1.24270k2022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7787+0.09%2.7241-1.88%0.1056✓1.1933k2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.883+0.08%5.07+30.67%0.4445✓1.691.5M2022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.091444+0.05%0.1027+12.36%0.2406✓1.18733k2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.043276-0.03%0.04367+0.88%0.1272✗1.1214k2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056061-0.07%0.0719+28.16%0.3820✗1.27153k2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.938394-0.07%1.014+7.98%0.2074✗1.2448k2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.590331-0.11%0.885+49.75%0.5956✗1.811.8M2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.051841-0.11%0.0614+18.30%0.3177✗1.41405k2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1437-0.12%1.798+57.03%0.6086✗1.4973k2022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.856954-0.12%0.603-29.72%0.1590✓1.83319k2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.3196-0.18%5.295-0.64%0.1364✗1.342.5M2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.257633-0.23%0.29183+13.02%0.2650✗1.34453k2022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.0867-0.24%15.29+8.29%0.2343✗1.4565k2022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.1829-0.33%0.2049+11.66%0.2512✗1.31585k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.596732-0.38%0.594-0.83%0.1086✗1.08365k2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.35704-0.38%0.4221+17.77%0.3193✗1.451.1M2022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.050594-0.41%0.0428-15.75%0.0104✓1.491.6M2022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026242-0.41%0.02673+1.44%0.1633✗1.3817k2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.219567-0.42%0.2391+8.44%0.2234✗1.3131k2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.092168-0.47%0.0868-6.26%0.1008✗1.531.2M2022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009007-0.48%0.00888-1.88%0.0969✗1.061.5M2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.038811-0.50%0.038841-0.42%0.1418✗1.3431k2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2329-0.54%1.2847+3.64%0.1731✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.657738-0.64%0.655-1.06%0.1431✗1.40578k2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.460504-0.67%0.4382-5.48%0.0987✗1.4152.0M2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.377532-0.67%0.39062+2.77%0.1042✗0.67271k2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.187666-0.71%0.209+10.58%0.2859✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.012868-0.71%0.017797+37.31%0.3784✗0.52375k2022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.132465-0.78%0.0903-32.36%0.2809✓0.97258k2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.026-0.78%2.139+4.75%0.2094✗1.48126k2022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.488807-0.85%0.4944+0.28%0.1587✗1.40886k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007266-0.87%0.006749-7.93%0.0103✗0.80153k2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.442499-1.01%0.484+8.28%0.2440✗1.47116k2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.00003786-1.07%0.00003864+0.97%0.1616✗1.343.0M2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8633-1.13%1.7394-7.71%0.0733✗1.3558k2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3029-1.15%1.285-2.50%0.1506✗1.56342k2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.105375-1.15%0.0938-12.01%0.0371✗1.465.4M2022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.80031-1.16%0.94752+17.02%0.3030✗1.285,7412022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.1948-1.17%3.9594-6.72%0.0123✗0.672.1M2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.691777-1.17%0.8829+26.13%0.4143✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.036783-1.23%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059157-1.24%0.0488-18.53%0.0249✓1.59141k2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.8881-1.25%2.515+31.54%0.4755✗1.803.0M2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007529-1.32%0.005549-27.28%0.1952✓1.052,4432022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.253846-1.38%0.2657+3.22%0.1792✗1.276.2M2022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.062821-1.38%0.066231+3.97%0.1528✗0.95715k2022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.670162-1.45%0.8573+26.07%0.3988✗1.45198k2022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.196107-1.55%0.2356+18.27%0.3093✗1.2087k2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7069-1.57%2.789+1.42%0.1468✗1.11686k2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.2725-1.61%13.37-0.89%0.1596✗1.452.3M2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.8971-1.65%8.87+10.46%0.2923✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.133674-1.71%0.1331-2.13%0.1484✗1.453.8M2022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.252517-1.82%0.28736+11.73%0.2853✗1.4811k2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.442217-1.89%0.44497-1.28%0.2147✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009519-1.97%0.00939-3.30%0.1043✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.018458-1.97%0.01912+1.54%0.1527✗1.12151k2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.04705-1.98%0.0426-11.25%0.0619✗1.5323k2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.279282-1.98%0.38474+35.03%0.4525✗1.26105k2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0389-2.07%2.1876+5.07%0.2665✗1.8715k2022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.4666-2.08%16.45+40.48%0.5395✗1.70284k2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0192-2.24%0.72057-30.89%0.2630✓0.809702022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.047826-2.34%0.04954+1.16%0.2055✗1.621.9M2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.80781-2.50%0.81417-1.73%0.1541✗1.39789k2022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.4246-2.54%4.44-2.20%0.0800✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.549521-2.72%0.8034+42.22%0.5051✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.4228-2.76%3.11-11.65%0.0148✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5123.8183-2.82%25+2.00%0.1444✗0.919.1M2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.017742-2.82%0.020208+10.68%0.2594✗1.239,7572022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012439-2.90%0.011938-6.81%0.0554✗0.922.0M2022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019065-3.08%0.01775-9.76%0.0008✓0.69646k2022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.751766-3.12%0.781+0.64%0.1442✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.062656-3.16%0.06699+3.54%0.1720✗1.001,7292022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67745.1935-3.18%51.858+11.10%0.2314✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.3315-3.42%2.185-9.49%0.0400✗1.0063k2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.017662-3.43%0.02366+29.36%0.4929✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.659-3.61%1.7477+1.55%0.1533✗0.963.2M2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.046844-3.61%0.050805+4.54%0.1578✗0.7357k2022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06891.9902-3.80%2.0881+0.93%0.1497✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.523749-3.90%0.475-12.84%0.0074✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0922.9704-3.93%2.799-9.48%0.0325✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0324-3.99%3.94-6.19%0.0528✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.079951-4.02%0.0863+3.60%0.2300✗1.46402k2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.173.9894-4.33%3.55-14.87%0.0610✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2114-4.39%2.2724-1.76%0.1471✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000057624-4.64%0.00009497+57.16%0.7562✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.855925-4.90%0.82-8.89%0.0378✓0.77186k2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3852-4.99%1.197-17.90%0.0107✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0489-5.46%2.862-11.26%0.0152✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.1522-5.48%3.661+9.78%0.2299✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.0044-5.73%5.28-0.54%0.0841✗0.29235k2022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.3941-5.83%6.14-9.57%0.0114✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.0912-5.93%3.371+2.59%0.1451✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.139565-6.33%0.1121-24.77%0.1175✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.860726-8.53%0.765-18.70%0.0956✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4359-10.81%1.55-3.73%0.1467✗0.67166k2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.