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2022-06-03 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1229
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.4%
in alpha space · 43.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000095480.000096578+1.15%0.00007028-26.39%0.2513✗3.223.3M2022-06-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8440.852767+1.04%0.763-9.60%0.0754✗1.73652k2022-06-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7331.751+1.04%1.597-7.85%0.0577✗1.6692k2022-06-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9723.1862+0.94%22.05-4.01%0.0166✗1.6353.9M2022-06-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,417.337,486.65+0.93%7,054.39-4.89%0.0323✗1.313.9M2022-06-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1779.2583+0.89%8.097-11.77%0.1027✗1.5117.5M2022-06-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3747.4347+0.82%6.816-7.57%0.0553✗1.533.2M2022-06-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7338+0.80%1.64-4.65%0.0160✗1.92580k2022-06-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12520.126186+0.79%0.178+42.17%0.3644✓0.98299k2022-06-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.832.8521+0.78%2.648-6.43%0.0392✗1.70271k2022-06-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.064087+0.77%0.0768+20.75%0.2057✓1.20406k2022-06-10
KSMKusamaHydration67.9968.5085+0.76%58.55-13.88%0.1294✗1.341.6M2022-06-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.2338.5196+0.76%37.13-2.88%0.0046✓1.55117.0M2022-06-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6090.613268+0.70%0.581-4.60%0.0205✗1.62177k2022-06-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8476.8911+0.64%8.033+17.32%0.1841✓1.4927.1M2022-06-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0673.0863+0.63%2.767-9.78%0.0796✗1.431.6M2022-06-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010878+0.63%0.00001012-6.38%0.0426✗1.431.0M2022-06-10
MOVRMoonriverBase20.684520.8123+0.62%18.4412-10.85%0.0881✗1.59239k2022-06-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06540.065796+0.61%0.0651-0.46%0.0264✓1.791.9M2022-06-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2911.2988+0.60%1.16-10.15%0.0711✗2.03445k2022-06-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6121.6215+0.59%1.875+16.32%0.1804✓1.70369k2022-06-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.07340.073816+0.57%0.0691-5.86%0.0266✗1.91154k2022-06-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12440.125102+0.56%0.1193-4.10%0.0220✗1.2313k2022-06-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012570.001264+0.56%0.001105-12.09%0.1005✗1.641.8M2022-06-10
XVGVergenative0.004670.004696+0.56%0.004-14.35%0.1267✗1.63773k2022-06-10
COMPCompoundEthereum56.9257.2379+0.56%51.66-9.24%0.0706✗1.5431k2022-06-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.15280.15365+0.56%0.1482-3.01%0.0055✓1.481,8812022-06-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.031.0355+0.54%1.32+28.16%0.2620✓0.93163k2022-06-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.9057.9474+0.54%6.093-22.92%0.2305✗1.709.4M2022-06-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008610.008654+0.51%0.00856-0.58%0.0066✓0.85180k2022-06-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.9812.0365+0.47%11.21-6.43%0.0448✗1.27563k2022-06-10
STXStacksnative0.53570.538155+0.46%0.4956-7.49%0.0582✗1.17180k2022-06-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1731.1783+0.46%1.027-12.45%0.1085✗1.406.4M2022-06-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.363010.36466+0.45%0.35202-3.03%0.0053✗1.45648k2022-06-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5611.6121+0.45%10.91-5.62%0.0412✗1.02446k2022-06-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.498233+0.45%0.42-15.32%0.1331✗1.82739k2022-06-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.5905+0.45%4.67+2.19%0.0562✓1.891.7M2022-06-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.2054+0.45%1.2+0.00%0.0192✓1.1492k2022-06-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.97970.983699+0.41%0.8884-9.32%0.0652✗1.78958k2022-06-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.5051.5111+0.40%1.454-3.39%0.0036✓1.681.0M2022-06-10
NANOnanopayBase1.11981.1243+0.40%1.0563-5.67%0.0348✗1.33174k2022-06-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.000001074+0.39%0.00000101-5.61%0.0432✗0.897.5M2022-06-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00930.009335+0.38%0.00811-12.80%0.1176✗1.12943k2022-06-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash182.82183.4795+0.36%167.29-8.49%0.0662✗1.274.5M2022-06-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.194370.19507+0.36%0.17724-8.81%0.0576✗1.85298k2022-06-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.011410.01145+0.35%0.01094-4.12%0.0224✗1.121.8M2022-06-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005450.005468+0.34%0.0049-10.09%0.0748✗1.69269k2022-06-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037860.037986+0.33%0.03478-8.14%0.0584✗1.4421k2022-06-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34650.347597+0.32%0.3219-7.10%0.0479✗1.407.2M2022-06-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004130.004143+0.31%0.00408-1.21%0.0095✓1.202.2M2022-06-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03410.034204+0.30%0.0355+4.11%0.0701✓1.59269k2022-06-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,773.251,778.55+0.30%1,660.78-6.34%0.0459✗1.09383.9M2022-06-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019770.019828+0.29%0.02013+1.82%0.0644✓2.3837.9M2022-06-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.3659.3925+0.29%8.652-7.61%0.0510✗1.5014.0M2022-06-10
QNTQuantEthereum65.2465.4276+0.29%61.16-6.25%0.0429✗1.192.4M2022-06-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38090.381904+0.26%0.3688-3.18%0.0064✗1.3817.7M2022-06-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.122212+0.26%0.1136-6.81%0.0435✗1.431.1M2022-06-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.5339+0.25%1.38-9.80%0.0700✗1.721.8M2022-06-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14750.147872+0.25%0.137-7.12%0.0414✗1.696.4M2022-06-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90411.908+0.21%1.9644+3.17%0.0567✓1.33967k2022-06-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.732.7351+0.19%3.5+28.21%0.2898✓2.09300k2022-06-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.5462.6542+0.18%56.62-9.47%0.0745✗1.3019.4M2022-06-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015460.015488+0.18%0.01425-7.83%0.0585✗1.203.0M2022-06-10
XEMNEMnative0.0496450.049735+0.18%0.046679-5.97%0.0317✗1.5337k2022-06-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3640.364627+0.17%0.336-7.69%0.0561✗1.241.0M2022-06-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.9419.9715+0.16%18.02-9.63%0.0689✗1.643.0M2022-06-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.1750.175268+0.15%0.1674-4.34%0.0151✗1.49242k2022-06-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.477655+0.14%0.456-4.40%0.0205✗1.2519k2022-06-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12830.128455+0.12%0.1214-5.38%0.0295✗1.30951k2022-06-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.830968+0.12%0.81-2.41%0.0021✗1.1486k2022-06-10
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0675.0714+0.09%4.808-5.11%0.0234✗1.452.6M2022-06-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32720.327484+0.09%0.3078-5.93%0.0294✗1.5836k2022-06-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41332.4152+0.08%2.4885+3.11%0.0584✓1.3877k2022-06-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28050.280705+0.07%0.2842+1.32%0.0410✓1.38318k2022-06-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.570640.570939+0.05%0.50769-11.03%0.0845✗1.5968k2022-06-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.515405+0.04%0.4786-7.10%0.0398✗1.66177k2022-06-10
ZENHorizenBase19.819.8009+0.00%17.79-10.15%0.0730✗1.6585k2022-06-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09370.093687-0.01%0.0965+2.99%0.0680✗1.86451k2022-06-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1226.1209-0.02%5.168-15.58%0.1224✓2.2630.0M2022-06-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7182-0.03%2.45-9.89%0.0609✓2.073.6M2022-06-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13690.136852-0.03%0.133-2.85%0.0067✗1.703.6M2022-06-10
DASHDashDash58.1558.1248-0.04%53.86-7.38%0.0502✓1.261.0M2022-06-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60720.606903-0.05%0.6583+8.42%0.1117✗1.473.7M2022-06-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.81793.8154-0.07%3.674-3.77%0.0118✓1.2557k2022-06-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.378090.377805-0.08%0.36298-4.00%0.0115✓1.38146k2022-06-10
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.9491-0.08%27.6+6.28%0.0822✗0.999.9M2022-06-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0802370.080168-0.09%0.075288-6.17%0.0373✓1.231.9M2022-06-10
ZECZcashZcash90.1790.0859-0.09%88.85-1.46%0.0137✗1.334.6M2022-06-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069090.069024-0.10%0.06606-4.39%0.0184✓1.2318k2022-06-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12160.121477-0.10%0.1197-1.56%0.0209✗1.721.3M2022-06-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7012.6981-0.11%3.447+27.62%0.2890✗2.1316k2022-06-10
DIADIAEthereum0.458660.458036-0.14%0.49556+8.05%0.0922✗0.65176k2022-06-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3938390.393288-0.14%0.360192-8.54%0.0573✓1.482.6M2022-06-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0667-0.16%2.05-0.97%0.0180✗1.26247k2022-06-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8711.8675-0.19%1.751-6.41%0.0252✓1.90379k2022-06-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.05106.8461-0.19%87.95-17.84%0.1575✓1.798.9M2022-06-10
ADACardanoCardano0.55950.558394-0.20%0.5737+2.54%0.0598✗1.5849.8M2022-06-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7860.784308-0.22%0.782-0.51%0.0223✗1.222.4M2022-06-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08590.085709-0.22%0.0874+1.75%0.0350✗0.75299k2022-06-10
XECeCashnative0.000047730.00004762-0.23%0.00004786+0.27%0.0349✗1.443.7M2022-06-10
HIVEHivenative0.54040.539147-0.23%0.5051-6.53%0.0362✓1.401.6M2022-06-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,670.8529,600.20-0.24%29,063.11-2.05%0.0024✓1.00707.3M2022-06-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7542.7466-0.27%2.92+6.03%0.0847✗1.1463k2022-06-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7080.706035-0.28%0.622-12.15%0.0912✓1.721.3M2022-06-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.063.0513-0.28%3.64+18.95%0.1988✗1.08642k2022-06-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.870.867262-0.31%0.757-12.99%0.1118✓1.17566k2022-06-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.255.2333-0.32%5.42+3.24%0.0515✗0.792.3M2022-06-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1460160.145537-0.33%0.132961-8.94%0.0653✓1.2111.9M2022-06-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004660.004645-0.33%0.00433-7.08%0.0439✓1.278,8452022-06-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027120.027029-0.33%0.02592-4.42%0.0211✓1.01184k2022-06-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.877037-0.34%0.87-1.14%0.0274✗1.71251k2022-06-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31830.317122-0.37%0.2708-14.92%0.1298✓1.36371k2022-06-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.96e-7-0.41%4.20e-7-39.87%0.4849✓0.951.0M2022-06-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0574860.057244-0.42%0.054376-5.41%0.0345✓0.82106k2022-06-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.4910.445-0.43%15.78+50.43%0.4539✗1.99226k2022-06-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21030.209386-0.43%0.2306+9.65%0.1288✗1.56501k2022-06-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.016050.015979-0.44%0.015267-4.88%0.0311✓0.70198k2022-06-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.32561.3198-0.44%1.2336-6.94%0.0429✓1.1952k2022-06-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1951.1895-0.46%1.173-1.84%0.0087✗1.091.2M2022-06-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16320.162427-0.47%0.1424-12.75%0.0993✓1.5680k2022-06-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.8221.7119-0.50%19.99-8.39%0.0552✓1.323.2M2022-06-10
GTGateEthereum5.37375.3443-0.55%5.3641-0.18%0.0156✗0.574.0M2022-06-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.36.2655-0.55%6.54+3.81%0.0739✗1.50427k2022-06-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021050.020923-0.60%0.02258+7.27%0.0893✗0.63452k2022-06-10
DODODODOEthereum0.16460.163584-0.62%0.1644-0.12%0.0393✗1.662.6M2022-06-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.90024.8699-0.62%5.5099+12.44%0.1305✗0.34289k2022-06-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05910.058727-0.63%0.0542-8.29%0.0448✓1.7159k2022-06-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9660.959692-0.65%0.889-7.97%0.0390✓1.813.7M2022-06-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.05374-0.67%0.0497-8.13%0.0484✓1.44640k2022-06-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4163.3923-0.69%3.847+12.62%0.1449✗0.921.6M2022-06-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.413930.410946-0.72%0.36944-10.75%0.0732✓1.6118k2022-06-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,681.7029,467.04-0.72%29,029.00-2.20%0.0052✓0.9777k2022-06-10
KCSKuCoinnative17.04616.9181-0.75%15.538-8.85%0.0633✓1.056.9M2022-06-10
XMRMoneroMonero193.73192.2539-0.76%174.19-10.09%0.0760✓1.102.5M2022-06-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.009290.009219-0.77%0.0097+4.41%0.0740✗1.122,4432022-06-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.8310.7457-0.78%10.4-3.97%0.0067✓1.905.1M2022-06-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.596798-0.86%0.525-12.79%0.0921✓1.757,9632022-06-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012060.011945-0.95%0.01084-10.12%0.0629✓1.6520.5M2022-06-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08270.081901-0.97%0.078-5.68%0.0172✓1.53166k2022-06-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028310.028034-0.97%0.025632-9.46%0.0657✓1.1612k2022-06-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.27991.267-1.01%1.1674-8.79%0.0574✓1.187,1582022-06-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066240.065548-1.04%0.06235-5.87%0.0041✓2.222.8M2022-06-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2734-1.08%4.94+14.35%0.1619✗0.82792k2022-06-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.963.9159-1.11%4.58+15.66%0.1723✗0.761.2M2022-06-10
TRXTRONTron0.0810010.080094-1.12%0.078732-2.80%0.0008✓0.871.4M2022-06-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05090.050274-1.23%0.05-1.77%0.0164✗1.063,9502022-06-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.26954.573-1.26%57.265+3.61%0.0699✗1.051.2M2022-06-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15253.1121-1.28%2.9432-6.64%0.0220✓1.636.1M2022-06-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.02591.9995-1.30%1.7732-12.47%0.0917✓1.373.7M2022-06-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15350.151497-1.30%0.1451-5.47%0.0224✓1.003,4222022-06-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.833.7784-1.35%4.21+9.92%0.1270✗0.911.0M2022-06-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.997155-1.47%0.907-10.38%0.0466✓2.332.9M2022-06-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43812.4023-1.47%2.5751+5.62%0.0910✗1.043.0M2022-06-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3671.3465-1.50%1.678+22.75%0.2518✗1.535.1M2022-06-10
FLOWFlownative2.4152.3782-1.52%2.285-5.38%0.0193✓1.00798k2022-06-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.217.0997-1.53%7.81+8.32%0.1057✗0.501.3M2022-06-10
PROPropyEthereum0.920.903754-1.77%0.99+7.61%0.1092✗0.87188k2022-06-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26180.257065-1.81%0.2497-4.62%0.0040✓1.60629k2022-06-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6212.5704-1.93%2.655+1.30%0.0531✗1.00131k2022-06-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.32470.317998-2.06%0.2712-16.48%0.1311✓1.36129k2022-06-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.23812.1917-2.07%2.2942+2.51%0.0666✗1.013.6M2022-06-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7332.6691-2.34%3.786+38.53%0.3682✗0.901.2M2022-06-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2860.279174-2.39%0.246-13.99%0.0870✓1.911.4M2022-06-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53311.4923-2.66%1.3861-9.59%0.0576✓0.794,8222022-06-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064670.062928-2.69%0.05774-10.72%0.0625✓1.1415k2022-06-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8272.75-2.72%4.059+43.58%0.4027✗0.651.8M2022-06-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6644.4674-4.21%4.469-4.18%0.0138✓0.654.1M2022-06-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.811080.776507-4.26%0.65587-19.14%0.1241✓2.16748k2022-06-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0680.983777-7.89%1.242+16.29%0.2764✗2.102.5M2022-06-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.