8=======>

2022-05-13 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4459
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.8%
in alpha space · 59.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000077688-35.26%0.00013+8.33%0.5215✗2.567.8M2022-05-20
TRXTRONTron0.07420.073324-1.18%0.071236-3.99%0.0267✓0.821.1M2022-05-20
GTGateEthereum5.55845.5229-0.64%5.6554+1.75%0.0251✗0.544.9M2022-05-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.0667-0.46%4.9926-1.91%0.0140✓0.27284k2022-05-20
FTTFTXEthereum30.8330.8023-0.09%29.72-3.60%0.0333✓0.9615.2M2022-05-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.133064+0.76%0.126231-4.42%0.0499✗1.0713.8M2022-05-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.820466+0.79%0.792-2.70%0.0324✗1.103.3M2022-05-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,471.00+0.82%29,155.75-0.26%0.0081✓1.00672.6M2022-05-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.921842+0.86%0.915+0.11%0.0045✓1.11729k2022-05-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,022.75+0.86%1,956.58-2.44%0.0306✗1.03494.1M2022-05-20
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.6193+0.87%15.424+23.28%0.2031✓0.934.1M2022-05-20
ZECZcashZcash93.8194.6537+0.90%106.98+14.04%0.1257✓1.245.1M2022-05-20
PROPropyEthereum1.191.2007+0.90%1.05-11.76%0.1323✗0.71495k2022-05-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,597.99+0.91%29,101.40-0.79%0.0144✗0.9858k2022-05-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009543+0.91%0.00877-7.26%0.0817✗1.0428k2022-05-20
QNTQuantEthereum68.5869.222+0.94%66.22-3.44%0.0416✗1.033.5M2022-05-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.9089+1.05%3.8087-1.54%0.0228✗1.20135k2022-05-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7868.5404+1.12%68.48+1.03%0.0021✓1.1517.8M2022-05-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94204.2602+1.15%189.86-5.98%0.0702✗1.135.3M2022-05-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.7457+1.18%1.6507-4.33%0.0543✗0.6516k2022-05-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.407+1.22%1.35-2.88%0.0385✗1.08140k2022-05-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.088317+1.28%0.0885+1.49%0.0043✓0.85169k2022-05-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.7441+1.34%20.11-1.76%0.0278✗1.264.4M2022-05-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.4487+1.38%0.4329-2.19%0.0327✗1.1812.8M2022-05-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013689+1.40%0.01308-3.11%0.0427✗1.063.4M2022-05-20
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.070892+1.42%0.0658-5.87%0.0726✗0.74568k2022-05-20
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.2036+1.43%5.1-0.58%0.0170✗1.203.9M2022-05-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.5897+1.43%9.66-7.47%0.0885✗1.2911.9M2022-05-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8952.6647+1.49%49.12-5.34%0.0672✗0.961.9M2022-05-20
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058881+1.52%0.0531-8.45%0.1001✗1.24127k2022-05-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7314.9582+1.55%15.54+5.50%0.0416✓1.31822k2022-05-20
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.3236+1.58%1.308+0.38%0.0093✓1.005.3M2022-05-20
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.536498+1.59%0.5155-2.39%0.0366✗1.2843.7M2022-05-20
DASHDashDash57.9858.9258+1.63%57.22-1.31%0.0263✗1.181.1M2022-05-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.08969+1.64%0.083757-5.08%0.0655✗1.117.1M2022-05-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001139+1.73%0.0000011-1.79%0.0331✗0.797.9M2022-05-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.8384+1.73%2.787-0.11%0.0156✓1.0390k2022-05-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.4404+1.84%7.77-16.18%0.1910✗1.438.0M2022-05-20
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.7987+1.84%1.742-1.36%0.0287✗1.26878k2022-05-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.677963+1.90%0.6439-3.22%0.0479✗1.416.1M2022-05-20
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0416+1.92%1.0623+3.95%0.0236✓1.47970k2022-05-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.390786+1.97%0.37974-0.91%0.0254✗1.26188k2022-05-20
XMRMoneroMonero143.73146.6927+2.06%173.53+20.73%0.1707✓1.023.2M2022-05-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.31e-7+2.09%7.56e-7+22.23%0.1815✓0.551.4M2022-05-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013592+2.12%0.020574+54.58%0.4165✓0.77200k2022-05-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.238465+2.17%0.2512+7.63%0.0556✓1.37180k2022-05-20
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.6924+2.24%20.11-0.64%0.0246✗1.52173k2022-05-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.6027+2.27%10.05+7.03%0.0494✓1.47134k2022-05-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.9503+2.27%3.679+27.53%0.2251✓1.657.0M2022-05-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000013102+2.28%0.0000116-9.45%0.1183✗1.331.3M2022-05-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.093815+2.31%0.082-10.58%0.1302✗1.69215k2022-05-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.5355+2.31%2.4005-3.14%0.0515✗1.23177k2022-05-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.2988+2.37%6.86-3.79%0.0586✗1.3119.6M2022-05-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.18522+2.50%0.1835+1.55%0.0055✓1.45640k2022-05-20
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.7446+2.52%7.748-9.17%0.1141✗2.6594.8M2022-05-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.7610.0069+2.53%13.03+33.50%0.2681✓1.575.9M2022-05-20
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.531+2.55%1.342-10.11%0.1291✗1.008.8M2022-05-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.051336+2.57%0.04991-0.28%0.0256✗0.9825k2022-05-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.009776+2.58%0.00923-3.15%0.0545✗1.111.0M2022-05-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1673+2.59%1.1374-0.04%0.0232✓1.0598k2022-05-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.125885+2.60%0.1367+11.41%0.0867✓1.63109k2022-05-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.044109+2.65%0.04468+3.98%0.0154✓0.958,5302022-05-20
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.1053+2.69%1.0935+1.59%0.0075✓1.25161k2022-05-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.0510,195.44+2.71%9,118.66-8.13%0.1086✗1.162.6M2022-05-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.475673+2.72%0.4818+4.04%0.0167✓1.47307k2022-05-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4521.025+2.81%20.69+1.17%0.0124✓1.423.8M2022-05-20
SOLSolanaSolana48.8950.2741+2.83%49.37+0.98%0.0145✓1.3987.4M2022-05-20
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4570.408+2.86%66.33-3.10%0.0561✗1.3630k2022-05-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.5911+2.99%5.761+65.21%0.4754✓1.031.5M2022-05-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3514+3.01%1.125-14.25%0.1797✗1.425.8M2022-05-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.692369+3.03%0.664-1.19%0.0380✗1.47344k2022-05-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033898+3.03%0.0326-0.91%0.0355✗1.34189k2022-05-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.114398+3.06%0.1175+5.86%0.0303✓1.351.2M2022-05-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.291599+3.11%0.2182-22.84%0.2887✗0.48458k2022-05-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.325778+3.13%0.3196+1.17%0.0159✓1.238.5M2022-05-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.024539+3.15%0.02615+9.92%0.0662✓0.9927k2022-05-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024747+3.15%0.02613+8.92%0.0572✓1.06214k2022-05-20
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7743+3.15%1.673-2.73%0.0550✗1.44537k2022-05-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.3742+3.19%3.62+10.70%0.0722✓0.72770k2022-05-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.1315+3.32%12.75+0.31%0.0271✓0.91555k2022-05-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2885.0394+3.35%90.03+9.42%0.0609✓1.498.6M2022-05-20
KSMKusamaHydration73.8476.3305+3.37%75.45+2.18%0.0084✓1.221.2M2022-05-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.144668+3.41%0.1282-8.36%0.1167✗1.576.2M2022-05-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016525+3.41%0.03292+106.01%0.6910✓0.70400k2022-05-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.154222+3.44%0.1808+21.26%0.1626✓1.38372k2022-05-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.004822+3.47%0.005+7.30%0.0401✓1.44403k2022-05-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.114027+3.47%0.1073-2.63%0.0567✗1.571.8M2022-05-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.260671+3.48%0.3103+23.18%0.1775✓1.25480k2022-05-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.226114+3.48%0.2592+18.63%0.1392✓1.002.1M2022-05-20
STXStacksnative0.520.538166+3.49%0.5-3.85%0.0707✗1.09274k2022-05-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.739.0391+3.54%7.92-9.28%0.1289✗1.257.5M2022-05-20
HIVEHivenative0.45490.471073+3.56%0.4773+4.92%0.0163✓1.231.5M2022-05-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.03644+3.58%0.03664+4.15%0.0090✓1.3594k2022-05-20
XVGVergenative0.004720.004889+3.58%0.00514+8.90%0.0535✓1.35885k2022-05-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.196512+3.59%0.2023+6.64%0.0317✓1.032,9402022-05-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.059389+3.65%0.0611+6.63%0.0313✓1.13415k2022-05-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1733.3438+3.65%28.76-10.60%0.1441✗1.4445.0M2022-05-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.072981+3.67%0.0659-6.39%0.0994✗1.003.9M2022-05-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.095+3.70%1.096+3.79%0.0034✓0.9725k2022-05-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.356764+3.71%0.36+4.65%0.0117✓1.021.1M2022-05-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.066647+3.75%0.06984+8.72%0.0495✓1.0319k2022-05-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.015138+3.78%0.016125+10.55%0.0661✓1.104.4M2022-05-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.402+3.82%4.91+15.80%0.1130✓1.432.9M2022-05-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.6987+3.87%11.19+8.64%0.0484✓1.3320.9M2022-05-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.010233+3.89%0.00979-0.61%0.0422✗0.79246k2022-05-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.632752+3.90%0.562-7.72%0.1154✗1.2042k2022-05-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.229452+3.92%0.2478+12.23%0.0801✓1.22292k2022-05-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9482.0256+3.98%1.964+0.82%0.0265✓1.6699k2022-05-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.519554+3.99%0.53909+7.90%0.0406✓1.4291k2022-05-20
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000043799+3.99%0.00004532+7.60%0.0377✓1.386.7M2022-05-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.127184+3.99%0.125+2.21%0.0149✓0.9319k2022-05-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.2165+4.09%4.29+38.83%0.2905✓0.94817k2022-05-20
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637623.5691+4.11%21.9198-3.17%0.0687✗1.46195k2022-05-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.116609+4.11%0.1265+12.95%0.0843✓1.111.1M2022-05-20
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.393176+4.34%0.52752+39.99%0.2960✓0.7770k2022-05-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.35914+4.35%0.35985+4.56%0.0062✓1.6135k2022-05-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.085684+4.37%0.0776-5.48%0.0951✗1.523.6M2022-05-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.929107+4.39%0.86-3.37%0.0749✗0.93137k2022-05-20
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0868+4.40%0.984-5.48%0.0958✗1.38755k2022-05-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.9133.0447+4.52%3.082+5.80%0.0166✓1.672.4M2022-05-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.52206+4.62%0.515+3.21%0.0098✓1.46869k2022-05-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.383377+4.63%0.446122+21.75%0.1550✓1.316.1M2022-05-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.857959+4.63%0.89+8.54%0.0407✓1.53815k2022-05-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.7283+4.65%2.524-3.18%0.0734✗1.677.7M2022-05-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.5016+4.67%3.87+61.92%0.4389✓0.96470k2022-05-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6135+4.71%2.85+14.18%0.0906✓1.52216k2022-05-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.6878+4.71%2.5587+58.74%0.4189✓1.102.5M2022-05-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4556+4.72%1.29-7.19%0.1169✗1.494.1M2022-05-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004494+4.76%0.00469+9.32%0.0458✓1.191.7M2022-05-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.871828+4.79%0.857+3.00%0.0132✓1.537.9M2022-05-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.4315+4.81%3.4+46.55%0.3380✓1.05553k2022-05-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.4256+5.00%2.5+8.23%0.0348✓1.74378k2022-05-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.368681+5.11%0.35573+1.41%0.0318✓1.491.4M2022-05-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2551+5.12%1.128-5.53%0.1024✗1.69582k2022-05-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.074673+5.17%0.0573-19.30%0.2621✗1.04115k2022-05-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.394837+5.29%0.3469-7.49%0.1261✗1.2893k2022-05-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.4228+5.34%2.414+4.96%0.0008✓1.7023k2022-05-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.15634+5.42%0.1506+1.55%0.0335✓1.498.1M2022-05-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0041.059+5.47%1.367+36.16%0.2588✓1.3414.9M2022-05-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.865.1277+5.51%7.81+60.70%0.4230✓0.862.7M2022-05-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.7098+5.55%1.773+9.44%0.0400✓1.412.5M2022-05-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.206708+5.55%0.19007-2.95%0.0797✗1.62250k2022-05-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.875.1428+5.60%9.42+93.43%0.6074✓0.811.3M2022-05-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.935+5.74%5.591+205.52%1.0630✓0.721.8M2022-05-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.5291+5.75%2.144+48.27%0.3407✓1.03714k2022-05-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.299685+5.90%0.326+15.19%0.0887✓1.731.8M2022-05-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.6432+5.90%2.6465+70.57%0.4798✓1.219.8M2022-05-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.049038+5.91%0.0541+16.85%0.1013✓1.161.6M2022-05-20
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.161043+5.95%0.139-8.55%0.1434✗1.454.5M2022-05-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.555+5.97%2.4468+66.73%0.4561✓1.084.3M2022-05-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.017379+5.97%0.0226+37.80%0.2685✓2.2426.5M2022-05-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.516092+5.97%0.683+40.25%0.2842✓1.511.7M2022-05-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.003997+6.02%0.00431+14.32%0.0779✓0.9420k2022-05-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.075716+6.04%0.1188+66.39%0.4554✓1.90177k2022-05-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.7604+6.05%1.87+12.65%0.0648✓1.69399k2022-05-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.010496+6.13%0.01123+13.55%0.0719✓1.6644.1M2022-05-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.8902+6.19%1.94+8.99%0.0286✓1.01381k2022-05-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.36108+6.20%0.80478+136.70%0.8057✓1.63351k2022-05-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.8699+6.37%2.124+20.82%0.1326✓1.981.0M2022-05-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001404+6.37%0.00133+0.76%0.0503✓1.493.8M2022-05-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.712768+6.38%0.597-10.90%0.1734✗1.4720k2022-05-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.4117+6.62%1.971+48.87%0.3362✓0.92826k2022-05-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.765.0824+6.77%6.25+31.30%0.2103✓1.34629k2022-05-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.220169+6.88%0.235+14.08%0.0690✓1.474.1M2022-05-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.108821+6.90%0.1382+35.76%0.2438✓1.84734k2022-05-20
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.890608+7.30%1.2+44.58%0.3002✓0.76204k2022-05-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.