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2022-05-09 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1464
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-79.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
13.9%
in alpha space · 11.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3532.9576+8.59%0.0002-100.00%11.9969✗1.957.1M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.927551+6.62%0.628-27.82%0.3799✗1.2732k2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.288491+6.06%0.213-21.69%0.2931✗1.294.2M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.1799+6.06%1.6704-18.73%0.2576✗1.0810.0M2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.17+5.69%1.3834-32.62%0.4437✗0.814.8M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.466286+5.49%0.37002-16.29%0.2198✗1.431.3M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.4233+5.19%8.069+0.76%0.0251✓2.2576.4M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.522753+4.55%0.35987-28.03%0.3623✗1.39398k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.4034+4.42%1.249-7.07%0.1069✗1.2117.4M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005668+4.38%0.00432-20.44%0.2654✗0.7720k2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.1076+4.37%4.56-33.04%0.4389✗0.632.8M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.177501+4.29%0.1577-7.34%0.1054✗1.621.1M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.5732+4.21%2.5916-24.42%0.3110✗1.287.7M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.524636+4.18%0.34-32.49%0.4239✗1.2395k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.3649+4.17%4.54-11.84%0.1568✗1.282.8M2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.2397+4.17%1.5881-26.13%0.3374✗0.812.5M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460528.5996+4.15%23.5002-14.42%0.1854✗1.39188k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.431362+4.11%0.38073-8.11%0.1143✗1.3347k2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.291484+4.10%0.19391-30.75%0.3962✗1.43250k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.4036+4.05%1.805-21.86%0.2764✗1.262.6M2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.026312+4.00%0.0152-39.92%0.5329✗1.9922.0M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.9392+3.88%4.95-25.90%0.3328✗0.631.2M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.3638+3.85%2.723-15.93%0.1985✗1.617.1M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7644+3.79%1.289-24.18%0.3014✗1.58582k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7951+3.76%1.27-26.59%0.3351✗1.373.6M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.169309+3.62%0.139-14.93%0.1853✗1.506.0M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.646412+3.56%0.53418-14.42%0.1802✗1.3288k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.9339+3.55%11.07-11.37%0.1457✗1.2519.4M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.199243+3.45%0.1872-2.80%0.0510✗1.42634k2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.7289+3.41%1.733-34.33%0.4498✗0.532.2M2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.6852+3.40%1.976-23.91%0.2932✗1.701.2M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.306585+3.30%0.3018+1.68%0.0067✓1.13486k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0945+3.24%1.1653+9.93%0.0729✓1.28760k2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.232286+3.24%0.151-32.89%0.4203✗1.314.7M2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.749439+3.23%0.61-15.98%0.1954✗1.321.7M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.066963+3.18%0.0537-17.26%0.2128✗0.992.0M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.789228+3.17%0.699-8.63%0.1105✗1.37327k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.107633+3.10%0.0809-22.51%0.2745✗1.383.7M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.0580.05979+3.09%0.0583+0.52%0.0162✓1.1469k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014374+3.04%0.00001196-14.27%0.1745✗1.181.2M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2142.4619+3.04%32.49-21.16%0.2574✗1.2944.2M2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.650.669702+3.03%0.56-13.85%0.1705✗1.05260k2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.796984+2.97%0.619-20.03%0.2436✗1.1546k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1325+2.95%0.81-26.36%0.3240✗1.40842k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.103983+2.95%0.068-32.67%0.4190✗0.72124k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018779+2.94%0.015316-16.04%0.1958✗1.014.2M2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.8809+2.94%3.52-6.63%0.0924✗0.66804k2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013706+2.82%0.01387+4.05%0.0193✓0.942.9M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.136725+2.80%0.1137-14.51%0.1745✗1.251.2M2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.65e-7+2.73%6.93e-7+7.12%0.0441✓0.28855k2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000054824+2.73%0.00004677-12.37%0.1498✗1.146.7M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.8168+2.70%1.433-18.99%0.2293✗1.008.8M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.039227+2.69%0.0317-17.02%0.2033✗1.22179k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044625+2.68%0.03791-12.77%0.1535✗1.2070k2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014378+2.67%0.012762-8.87%0.1138✗0.69195k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45102.0701+2.63%83.79-15.75%0.1861✗1.418.3M2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.343406+2.60%0.2098-37.32%0.4891✗0.46514k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.2735+2.58%8.29-24.57%0.2982✗1.156.6M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.9113+2.55%10.62-0.19%0.0176✓1.1911.7M2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6394+2.55%2.66-25.05%0.3032✗1.30186k2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.302073+2.54%0.2463-16.40%0.1956✗1.07305k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013616+2.53%0.00903-32.00%0.4042✗0.81222k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.401+2.51%13.03-18.56%0.2232✗0.87468k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.086739+2.49%0.07067-16.50%0.1980✗0.8618k2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.513046+2.48%0.401596-19.78%0.2351✗1.235.6M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2399+2.47%0.92-23.97%0.2921✗0.79151k2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.1539+2.46%8.1-18.26%0.2159✗1.268.0M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.4188+2.45%20.95-15.56%0.1825✗1.363.8M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.308835+2.43%0.284-5.80%0.0759✗1.002.9M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.1226+2.43%6.06-23.58%0.2839✗1.14666k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.4107+2.42%2.26-32.13%0.3987✗1.62339k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.105484+2.41%0.0861-16.41%0.1919✗1.40192k2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002396+2.40%0.00133-43.16%0.5788✗1.253.9M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1763+2.38%3.379-17.16%0.2054✗0.801.5M2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.147019+2.38%0.1449+0.91%0.0030✓1.45108k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.4274+2.37%2.298-31.36%0.3872✗1.5819k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration94.2696.486+2.36%73.47-22.06%0.2633✗1.161.1M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014842+2.36%0.01489+2.69%0.0150✓1.4845.5M2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.490178+2.33%0.307-35.91%0.4560✗1.501.6M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.006068+2.33%0.00517-12.82%0.1498✗1.30373k2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3784+2.33%1.178-12.55%0.1502✗0.8624k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1694+2.31%0.872-23.71%0.2822✗1.428.2M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6482.4941+2.30%68.67-14.84%0.1733✗1.2831k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.270032+2.28%0.1988-24.70%0.3000✗0.792,9402022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3807+2.27%1.042-22.81%0.2717✗1.23755k2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.530.541915+2.25%0.37994-28.31%0.3503✗0.6170k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.118893+2.23%0.0795-31.64%0.3887✗1.74232k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.398069+2.23%0.3587-7.88%0.0950✗1.158.1M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010814+2.22%0.00978-7.56%0.0925✗1.011.0M2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2517+2.21%1.504-31.73%0.3969✗0.83763k2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.006110.006244+2.20%0.00486-20.46%0.2411✗1.19885k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.2772+2.19%7.41-8.52%0.1008✗1.2518.3M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.147133+2.18%0.149+3.47%0.0205✓1.001.1M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3855+2.10%1.1933-12.06%0.1416✗0.9784k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.556375+2.09%0.4618-15.27%0.1755✗1.36296k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.076141+2.07%0.068-8.85%0.1079✗0.65619k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.1535+2.05%3.15-22.60%0.2703✗0.79835k2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash92.6894.5659+2.03%102.47+10.56%0.0900✓1.235.1M2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.191877+2.01%0.1733-7.87%0.0916✗1.29372k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.364+1.94%2.53-23.33%0.2781✗0.86565k2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.57750.588579+1.92%0.4896-15.22%0.1750✗1.141.5M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.737272+1.89%0.6732-6.97%0.0804✗1.326.1M2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.2439+1.86%1.602-27.28%0.3262✗1.36504k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.2813+1.85%1.446-35.45%0.4500✗0.74975k2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.146845+1.83%0.1097-23.93%0.2801✗1.451.8M2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana62.1363.2624+1.82%53.69-13.58%0.1538✗1.2985.8M2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020776+1.79%0.01902-6.81%0.0837✗0.58405k2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.123398+1.73%0.0764-37.02%0.4715✗1.003.9M2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.949+1.71%2.4311-16.15%0.1839✗1.17177k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9999+1.69%1.93-34.58%0.4342✗0.87443k2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.476888+1.68%0.316-32.62%0.4049✗0.831.1M2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.268865+1.57%0.254-4.04%0.0473✗1.20186k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1874+1.44%2.988-27.62%0.3254✗1.521.8M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.758507+1.40%0.477-36.23%0.4536✗1.29954k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8737+1.40%1.9-32.96%0.4017✗1.5179k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero173.09175.5119+1.40%161.82-6.51%0.0732✗1.013.0M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031033+1.38%0.03061+0.00%0.0064✓0.92227k2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.7742+1.38%70.49+0.97%0.0041✓1.023.4M2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.07803+1.34%0.0702-8.83%0.0982✗0.95416k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.446739+1.34%0.3914-11.22%0.1228✗1.18141k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,614.83+1.24%30,058.30-0.60%0.0107✓0.9738k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.0066+1.23%0.00527-19.17%0.2161✗1.121.7M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0331+1.21%1.7722-11.78%0.1278✗1.20855k2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.103+1.21%0.087881-13.65%0.1507✗1.017.1M2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.803+1.19%1.69-38.99%0.4940✗1.50355k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92220.4809+1.18%197.37-9.43%0.1023✗1.074.9M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.052395+1.15%0.0461-11.00%0.1211✗0.8710k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7523.0045+1.12%20.77-8.70%0.0927✗1.204.4M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.241524+1.10%0.1736-27.33%0.3199✗1.306.5M2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3832+1.06%1.0859-20.66%0.2327✗1.17153k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063144+0.98%0.05342-14.57%0.1601✗0.8926k2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.607625+0.97%0.5561-7.59%0.0789✗1.2241.1M2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7456+0.96%2.54-31.54%0.3824✗0.76470k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,616.22+0.96%9,743.68-22.03%0.2496✗1.102.5M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.7381+0.96%13.821+1.57%0.0128✓0.854.0M2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.862947+0.93%0.753-11.93%0.1277✗1.083.2M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,347.58+0.90%29,839.89-0.79%0.0089✓1.00580.1M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase24.424.6183+0.89%20.3-16.80%0.1813✗1.45173k2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.956.0018+0.87%5.03-15.46%0.1676✗1.144.1M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.5997+0.86%14.58-16.45%0.1781✗1.27608k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.198616+0.82%0.1178-40.20%0.5169✗0.6821k2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.3828+0.77%31.82+5.54%0.0536✓0.9311.7M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.7024+0.73%1.11-34.32%0.4229✗0.60242k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash69.8970.3708+0.69%57.82-17.27%0.1877✗1.091.0M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.141572+0.68%0.136163-3.16%0.0310✗1.0113.6M2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5703+0.66%1.41-9.62%0.0993✗1.05134k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030618+0.65%0.02818-7.36%0.0758✗0.9031k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.6368+0.59%67.13-11.89%0.1238✗1.0917.3M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.6715+0.57%9.27-26.43%0.3023✗1.29134k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,240.46+0.54%2,020.58-9.33%0.0953✗1.01437.0M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4481+0.53%3.9461-10.82%0.1106✗1.15120k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010527+0.45%0.008554-18.38%0.1999✗0.9738k2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.528+0.37%2.907-17.30%0.1857✗0.9973k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.4322+0.35%53.59-11.01%0.1131✗0.892.0M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0134+0.24%0.916-9.40%0.0920✗1.13547k2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.7371+0.12%10.65-22.38%0.2432✗1.432.8M2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.103025+0.12%0.0887-13.80%0.1430✗0.84152k2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6791+0.07%1.367-18.53%0.1977✗1.005.3M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0094+0.02%1.7113-14.81%0.1557✗0.6216k2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.00000143+0.01%0.00000111-22.38%0.2476✗0.737.7M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.570394-0.59%0.4598-19.87%0.2068✓1.1012.4M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5197-0.68%1.13-26.14%0.2915✓0.60528k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.899-0.68%1.361-28.82%0.3223✓1.365.1M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.1995-0.70%4.961-5.26%0.0449✓0.26278k2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.68145.6405-0.72%5.4363-4.31%0.0331✓0.474.5M2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.071727-1.18%0.069019-4.92%0.0319✓0.82402k2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.