8=======>

2022-04-14 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0037
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.7%
in alpha space · 44.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.72.4524-9.17%1.72-36.30%0.3668✓0.92166k2022-04-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.50824.3367-3.80%4.6644+3.46%0.0631✗0.753.7M2022-04-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2480.239112-3.58%0.211-14.92%0.1337✓0.6685k2022-04-21
COMPCompoundEthereum144.31140.3447-2.75%135.61-6.03%0.0502✓1.2271k2022-04-21
APEApeCoinEthereum12.27211.9732-2.44%14.295+16.48%0.1641✗1.0052.4M2022-04-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.4465.3455-1.85%5.3424-1.90%0.0076✓0.545.7M2022-04-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0365020.035875-1.72%0.033102-9.31%0.0952✓1.124.4M2022-04-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025780.000025344-1.69%0.00002434-5.59%0.0554✓1.142.8M2022-04-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.819610.805869-1.68%0.80691-1.55%0.0118✓1.00182k2022-04-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0942.0594-1.65%2.539+21.25%0.1955✗1.053.6M2022-04-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9114.6747-1.58%13.75-7.78%0.0801✓1.151.5M2022-04-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0281090.027675-1.54%0.026267-6.55%0.0612✓0.69194k2022-04-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5380.529861-1.51%0.597+10.97%0.1044✗1.147.0M2022-04-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.7873.7306-1.49%3.882+2.51%0.0212✗1.42741k2022-04-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.42e-7-1.43%0.000001109+29.78%0.2793✗-0.32607k2022-04-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.43380.42869-1.18%0.4332-0.14%0.0088✓1.47488k2022-04-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.240084-1.16%0.2524+3.91%0.0318✗1.39368k2022-04-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8113.6551-1.12%13.46-2.53%0.0197✓0.412.0M2022-04-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11870.117444-1.06%0.1082-8.85%0.0959✓1.06579k2022-04-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147610.014607-1.05%0.015473+4.82%0.0458✗0.9051k2022-04-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07760.076863-0.95%0.0759-2.19%0.0234✓0.8350k2022-04-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.66675.6192-0.84%7.2187+27.39%0.2346✗1.2115.1M2022-04-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.396.3376-0.82%6.528+2.16%0.0149✗1.12356k2022-04-21
DIADIAEthereum0.880.873318-0.76%0.87-1.14%0.0100✓0.47186k2022-04-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6526.4564-0.73%26.48-0.64%0.0110✓0.90651k2022-04-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7437230.738983-0.64%0.946533+27.27%0.2329✗1.113.2M2022-04-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.45912.4436-0.63%2.4399-0.78%0.0117✓0.7711k2022-04-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75255.7176-0.61%6.006+4.41%0.0430✗0.47186k2022-04-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00841.0024-0.60%0.9632-4.48%0.0584✓1.42231k2022-04-21
XMRMoneroMonero229.43228.2816-0.50%278.56+21.41%0.1869✗0.931.6M2022-04-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.64.58-0.44%4.545-1.20%0.0211✓1.03120k2022-04-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1439330.143375-0.39%0.136348-5.27%0.0615✓0.864.8M2022-04-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.72080.718173-0.36%0.7515+4.26%0.0317✗1.04201k2022-04-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011690.011652-0.32%0.011-5.90%0.0659✓0.6335k2022-04-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075950.075725-0.30%0.07557-0.50%0.0159✓1.05121k2022-04-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.266265-0.28%0.273+2.25%0.0137✗0.8639k2022-04-21
MANADecentralandEthereum2.11972.1147-0.24%2.0258-4.43%0.0579✓1.141.6M2022-04-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19460.194147-0.23%0.1873-3.75%0.0518✓1.219.4M2022-04-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.082.0752-0.23%1.96-5.77%0.0745✓1.331.6M2022-04-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045170.045087-0.18%0.04393-2.75%0.0376✓0.8855k2022-04-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14224.1353-0.17%3.998-3.48%0.0426✓0.675.7M2022-04-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,027.2039,965.32-0.15%40,499.20+1.18%0.0007✓0.9628k2022-04-21
GTGateEthereum6.58696.5767-0.15%6.4547-2.01%0.0264✓0.594.5M2022-04-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash337.54337.1144-0.13%315.62-6.49%0.0788✓0.998.9M2022-04-21
API3Api3Ethereum3.9873.9825-0.11%4.516+13.27%0.1174✗0.633.5M2022-04-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5231.5213-0.11%1.439-5.52%0.0730✓1.33555k2022-04-21
KCSKuCoinnative19.58919.5697-0.10%20.612+5.22%0.0406✗0.865.6M2022-04-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.01731.0164-0.09%0.97907-3.76%0.0545✓1.301.5M2022-04-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050720.050689-0.06%0.04626-8.79%0.1050✓1.04574k2022-04-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8823.8964+0.07%25.74+7.79%0.0571✓1.31833k2022-04-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8648+0.08%5.68-3.07%0.0414✗0.721.5M2022-04-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9914.996+0.10%5.74+15.01%0.1261✓0.9779k2022-04-21
RADRadworksEthereum4.594.5965+0.14%4.49-2.18%0.0359✗0.95741k2022-04-21
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8728+0.15%2.02+8.02%0.0663✓0.71238k2022-04-21
BANDBandEthereum3.7783.785+0.19%3.662-3.07%0.0493✗1.24772k2022-04-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.631181+0.19%0.61-3.17%0.0537✗1.50539k2022-04-21
UMAUMAEthereum6.3286.3406+0.20%6.16-2.65%0.0480✗1.463.1M2022-04-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06670.066879+0.27%0.066-1.05%0.0289✗1.19555k2022-04-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.865.8767+0.28%6.1+4.10%0.0278✓0.731.1M2022-04-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036350.036454+0.28%0.03402-6.41%0.0778✗0.66942k2022-04-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142450.142878+0.30%0.13921-2.27%0.0363✗0.7820k2022-04-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.483397+0.33%0.4437-7.91%0.0885✗0.227,0452022-04-21
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001947+0.34%0.00000189-2.58%0.0388✗0.719.8M2022-04-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.14162.151+0.44%2.178+1.70%0.0010✓0.87100k2022-04-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.215.2685+0.45%14.38-5.39%0.0664✗0.493.7M2022-04-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.11490.11544+0.47%0.1152+0.26%0.0173✗1.16952k2022-04-21
XEMNEMnative0.09880.099265+0.47%0.0986-0.20%0.0188✗0.9255k2022-04-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.25290.254126+0.48%0.2314-8.50%0.1110✗1.323.5M2022-04-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.07811.0834+0.49%1.1033+2.33%0.0031✓1.15150k2022-04-21
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.5124+0.50%2.47-1.20%0.0239✗0.52497k2022-04-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5141.5218+0.52%1.491-1.52%0.0339✗1.031.3M2022-04-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7873.807+0.53%3.476-8.21%0.1009✗0.762.4M2022-04-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.19760.198729+0.57%0.1893-4.20%0.0635✗1.14304k2022-04-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.7141.9583+0.60%42.13+1.01%0.0093✗1.0214.2M2022-04-21
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8335.8685+0.61%5.977+2.47%0.0011✓1.4818k2022-04-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026610.026776+0.62%0.02244-15.67%0.1918✗1.15344k2022-04-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52574.5545+0.64%4.5914+1.45%0.0047✓0.98275k2022-04-21
QTUMQtumQtum6.52646.568+0.64%6.5452+0.29%0.0188✗1.17206k2022-04-21
STXStacksnative1.181.1876+0.65%1.15-2.54%0.0453✗1.00470k2022-04-21
XTZTezosTezos3.10123.1214+0.65%3.0332-2.19%0.0424✗1.051.1M2022-04-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13660.137517+0.67%0.1372+0.44%0.0157✗1.03227k2022-04-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.022470.022622+0.68%0.02445+8.81%0.0672✓0.804.9M2022-04-21
DODODODOEthereum0.4060.408815+0.69%0.408+0.49%0.0173✗1.177.4M2022-04-21
SCSiacoinnative0.010550.010626+0.72%0.01051-0.38%0.0265✗1.19565k2022-04-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72690.73221+0.73%0.7187-1.13%0.0310✗0.9418.7M2022-04-21
UNIUniswapEthereum9.489.5493+0.73%8.86-6.54%0.0888✗1.068.8M2022-04-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017740.01787+0.74%0.01814+2.25%0.0019✓1.002.1M2022-04-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.2370.238748+0.74%0.2182-7.93%0.1056✗1.193.3M2022-04-21
TRXTRONTron0.0601420.060606+0.77%0.0709+17.89%0.1483✓0.65262k2022-04-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.38108.2222+0.78%106.69-0.64%0.0276✗1.0224.7M2022-04-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004070.004102+0.79%0.00402-1.23%0.0366✗1.259.7M2022-04-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.262.2781+0.80%2.311+2.26%0.0038✓0.8026k2022-04-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6423.6721+0.83%3.492-4.12%0.0590✗0.662.8M2022-04-21
XECeCashnative0.000092110.000092874+0.83%0.00009025-2.02%0.0418✗1.009.6M2022-04-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24650.248646+0.87%0.2419-1.87%0.0387✗0.851.9M2022-04-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1772.1961+0.88%1.964-9.78%0.1246✗0.99100k2022-04-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.0637.3865+0.88%34.95-5.69%0.0818✗1.1016.0M2022-04-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88370.891573+0.89%0.9224+4.38%0.0160✓1.37870k2022-04-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094340.095196+0.91%0.09345-0.94%0.0299✗0.8732k2022-04-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.9624.1806+0.92%23.32-2.67%0.0508✗1.1132.2M2022-04-21
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4681.4817+0.93%1.413-3.75%0.0603✗0.9863k2022-04-21
LUNATerraTerra 281.582.2714+0.95%90.84+11.46%0.0822✓1.298.4M2022-04-21
XYMSymbolnative0.11720.11831+0.95%0.1135-3.16%0.0507✗0.70840k2022-04-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.8385.6555+0.97%81.75-3.63%0.0571✗0.803.5M2022-04-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.28610.288892+0.98%0.303+5.91%0.0323✓1.17618k2022-04-21
HIVEHivenative0.91710.926069+0.98%0.9434+2.87%0.0044✓1.082.1M2022-04-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7610.768635+1.00%0.717-5.78%0.0812✗0.892.9M2022-04-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2851+1.03%1.153-9.36%0.1211✗0.963.6M2022-04-21
NANOnanopayBase2.18272.2055+1.05%2.0516-6.01%0.0869✗1.11291k2022-04-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05220.052747+1.05%0.0493-5.56%0.0900✗1.7140.5M2022-04-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,021.783,055.12+1.10%2,983.94-1.25%0.0374✗1.06551.3M2022-04-21
DASHDashDash106.24107.4807+1.17%102.15-3.85%0.0643✗1.032.4M2022-04-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.77740.786482+1.17%0.6734-13.38%0.1612✗0.46796k2022-04-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.2531+1.17%2.198-1.30%0.0425✗1.358.8M2022-04-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.8477.74+1.17%75.03-2.36%0.0521✗1.27103.7M2022-04-21
KSMKusamaHydration161162.8902+1.17%168.86+4.88%0.0221✓1.061.2M2022-04-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.261.2749+1.19%1.202-4.60%0.0724✗1.031.7M2022-04-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.272.2971+1.19%2.22-2.20%0.0475✗1.02163k2022-04-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.9914.1581+1.20%14.53+3.86%0.0086✓1.322.8M2022-04-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50120.507255+1.21%0.518+3.35%0.0105✓0.80482k2022-04-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.845.9108+1.21%5.83-0.17%0.0332✗1.49665k2022-04-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,829.6119,064.28+1.25%18,773.40-0.30%0.0300✗1.126.0M2022-04-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.9923+1.27%19.83-4.34%0.0747✗1.35226k2022-04-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34770.352121+1.27%0.329-5.38%0.0871✗1.4710.2M2022-04-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,954.0840,462.78+1.27%40,480.81+1.32%0.0127✗1.00593.1M2022-04-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.6413.8141+1.28%13.58-0.44%0.0321✗1.1426.2M2022-04-21
QNTQuantEthereum112.42113.8634+1.28%107.82-4.09%0.0667✗0.934.1M2022-04-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.08981.1039+1.30%1.2445+14.20%0.1032✓1.2714.9M2022-04-21
XVGVergenative0.010660.010801+1.33%0.01033-3.10%0.0599✗1.171.8M2022-04-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010660.010803+1.34%0.01035-2.91%0.0582✗1.184.3M2022-04-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41580.421373+1.34%0.3653-12.15%0.1668✗1.832.3M2022-04-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1939260.196574+1.37%0.196519+1.34%0.0132✓0.9918.8M2022-04-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2055.2765+1.37%5.868+12.74%0.0891✓1.317.3M2022-04-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.9118.1609+1.40%18.18+1.51%0.0128✓1.0620.9M2022-04-21
SOLSolanaSolana100.76102.2237+1.45%101.78+1.01%0.0208✗1.26147.4M2022-04-21
MOVRMoonriverBase57.079657.9389+1.51%56.9838-0.17%0.0359✗1.47220k2022-04-21
XVSVenusEthereum9.859.9995+1.52%10.35+5.08%0.0194✓1.154.8M2022-04-21
ZENHorizenBase38.0438.6338+1.56%36.2-4.84%0.0827✗1.34467k2022-04-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.847.5511+1.60%44.91-4.04%0.0739✗1.288.8M2022-04-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2677+1.61%4.16-0.95%0.0440✗1.41824k2022-04-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36390.369925+1.66%0.354-2.72%0.0595✗1.1812.3M2022-04-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.57.6253+1.67%6.19-17.47%0.2185✗0.762.0M2022-04-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66320.674871+1.76%0.6632+0.00%0.0310✗1.039.8M2022-04-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6719.0003+1.77%18.85+0.96%0.0225✗1.1110.5M2022-04-21
MINAMina Protocolnative2.32.341+1.78%2.32+0.87%0.0232✗1.091.4M2022-04-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8640.8797+1.82%0.827-4.28%0.0796✗1.362.7M2022-04-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2266.3392+1.82%5.894-5.33%0.0815✗0.661.7M2022-04-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19040.193875+1.83%0.192+0.84%0.0393✗2.26623k2022-04-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7834.872+1.86%4.993+4.39%0.0196✓0.385.3M2022-04-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.516.816+1.92%16.47-0.18%0.0343✗1.0318.5M2022-04-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3511.3779+1.99%1.345-0.44%0.0412✗1.303.8M2022-04-21
ADACardanoCardano0.93250.951664+2.06%0.9102-2.39%0.0577✗1.0168.9M2022-04-21
SUSHISushiEthereum3.213.2785+2.14%3.45+7.48%0.0346✓1.257.2M2022-04-21
ZECZcashZcash144.19147.271+2.14%159.6+10.69%0.0671✓1.0210.2M2022-04-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35660.364527+2.22%0.3492-2.08%0.0601✗1.311.6M2022-04-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5464.6483+2.25%4.545-0.02%0.0448✗1.702.6M2022-04-21
AAVEAaveEthereum172.03175.9027+2.25%173.62+0.92%0.0303✗1.3217.5M2022-04-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.1044+2.26%1.06-1.85%0.0563✗1.17798k2022-04-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57440.587505+2.28%0.5613-2.28%0.0622✗1.26938k2022-04-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.535.6613+2.37%5-9.58%0.1341✗0.751.6M2022-04-21
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8011.8472+2.56%1.882+4.50%0.0046✓1.077.8M2022-04-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018790.019803+5.39%0.02305+22.67%0.1324✓1.4852.9M2022-04-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.