8=======>

2022-04-01 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3039
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.0%
in alpha space · 92.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.71%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2570.235365-8.42%0.234-8.95%0.0453✓0.5625k2022-04-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.3030.287272-5.19%0.198-34.65%0.2689✓1.132.4M2022-04-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.92116.5822-4.90%6.2411-9.83%0.0449✓1.0823.4M2022-04-08
XVSVenusEthereum15.8415.2514-3.72%11.07-30.11%0.2239✓1.063.2M2022-04-08
RADRadworksEthereum6.316.0878-3.52%5.39-14.58%0.0348✓0.95400k2022-04-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4836.2565-3.49%5.046-22.17%0.1262✓0.97102k2022-04-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.7127.4506-3.39%5.22-32.31%0.2455✓1.215.1M2022-04-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032720.031672-3.20%0.02635-19.47%0.0460✓1.5152.9M2022-04-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.880.852031-3.18%0.72-18.18%0.0312✓1.50363k2022-04-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.661.6075-3.16%1.23-25.90%0.1653✓1.12631k2022-04-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.17.8451-3.15%6.27-22.59%0.0911✓1.46528k2022-04-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03840.037208-3.10%0.02806-26.93%0.1841✓1.08210k2022-04-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18781.1529-2.94%0.9636-18.88%0.0551✓1.36273k2022-04-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166990.016211-2.92%0.015019-10.06%0.0034✓0.8715k2022-04-08
MOVRMoonriverBase72.880270.7646-2.90%65.1748-10.57%0.0421✗1.36159k2022-04-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6110.593286-2.90%0.474-22.42%0.1263✓1.087.0M2022-04-08
GITCOINGITCOIN8.0357.8036-2.88%6.18-23.09%0.1021✓1.4421k2022-04-08
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.566304-2.86%0.404-30.70%0.2363✓1.113.2M2022-04-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64360.625272-2.85%0.4279-33.51%0.2123✓1.832.2M2022-04-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.075.9033-2.75%4.4-27.51%0.1678✓1.38729k2022-04-08
AAVEAaveEthereum244.76238.0657-2.74%183.44-25.05%0.1473✓1.2411.1M2022-04-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana8.798.5505-2.72%6.457-26.54%0.2205✓0.661.6M2022-04-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8551.8046-2.72%1.651-11.00%0.0322✗1.33433k2022-04-08
COMPCompoundEthereum156.99152.7654-2.69%138.28-11.92%0.0008✓1.1061k2022-04-08
BANDBandEthereum5.1144.9767-2.69%4.054-20.73%0.1055✓1.09614k2022-04-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50040.487001-2.68%0.3632-27.42%0.1783✓1.261.5M2022-04-08
LUNATerraTerra 2105.91103.0826-2.67%94.58-10.70%0.0352✗1.339.1M2022-04-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004530.004412-2.60%0.00463+2.21%0.1669✗1.305.6M2022-04-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.60912.5423-2.56%2.6916+3.16%0.1241✗0.7312k2022-04-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.06771.0405-2.55%0.8348-21.81%0.1847✓0.39676k2022-04-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0310920.030311-2.51%0.027223-12.44%0.0293✓0.86185k2022-04-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.264.5522-2.49%50.74-23.35%0.1228✓1.295.3M2022-04-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07170.06993-2.47%0.0551-23.15%0.0865✓1.6744.1M2022-04-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.48090.46909-2.46%0.3597-25.20%0.1310✓1.488.9M2022-04-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69630.679234-2.45%0.7246+4.06%0.1861✗1.33608k2022-04-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.07754.9545-2.42%5.2483+3.36%0.1105✗0.584.3M2022-04-08
IMXImmutableEthereum2.4932.4328-2.42%2.105-15.56%0.0553✓0.9810.0M2022-04-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum8.4348.2349-2.36%6.531-22.56%0.1389✓1.02448k2022-04-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.92165.7846-2.31%4.6882-20.83%0.1277✓0.90264k2022-04-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.827.162-2.29%21.52-22.59%0.1152✓1.29247k2022-04-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.71790.701565-2.28%0.5315-25.96%0.2126✓0.71376k2022-04-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.532.4728-2.26%1.98-21.74%0.1057✓1.28903k2022-04-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.5324.9549-2.25%21.28-16.65%0.0632✓1.056.6M2022-04-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8152880.797186-2.22%0.77782-4.60%0.0711✗1.051.8M2022-04-08
SCSiacoinnative0.013550.013252-2.20%0.01086-19.85%0.0956✓1.13469k2022-04-08
SUSHISushiEthereum4.514.4122-2.17%3.39-24.83%0.1559✓1.186.9M2022-04-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative47.246.1963-2.13%40.64-13.90%0.0339✓1.036.2M2022-04-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.13220.129409-2.11%0.1243-5.98%0.0699✗1.21648k2022-04-08
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0421.9994-2.08%1.647-19.34%0.1153✓0.8653k2022-04-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.372.3207-2.08%1.98-16.46%0.0965✓0.68268k2022-04-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.8228.2304-2.05%23.94-16.93%0.0458✓1.31750k2022-04-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.8012.7439-2.04%2.341-16.42%0.0372✓1.339.1M2022-04-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1986.0723-2.03%5.445-12.15%0.0716✓0.417.0M2022-04-08
XVGVergenative0.014490.014199-2.01%0.01103-23.88%0.1494✓1.132.0M2022-04-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.8821.8455-1.94%1.577-16.21%0.0700✓0.96983k2022-04-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08870.086984-1.94%0.0728-17.93%0.0719✓1.16352k2022-04-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.28590.28044-1.91%0.2744-4.02%0.0931✗1.261.8M2022-04-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.473.4047-1.88%3.733+7.58%0.1990✗1.17417k2022-04-08
XTZTezosTezos3.90893.8358-1.87%3.1689-18.93%0.0958✓1.041.0M2022-04-08
SOLSolanaSolana134.55132.062-1.85%109.97-18.27%0.0700✓1.2489.9M2022-04-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.26231.239-1.85%1.0672-15.46%0.0361✓1.2415.0M2022-04-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9580.940301-1.85%0.842-12.11%0.0286✓0.901.8M2022-04-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166470.163422-1.83%0.15937-4.27%0.0511✗0.8414k2022-04-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.9717.6449-1.81%15.51-13.69%0.0870✓0.463.1M2022-04-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.37621.3513-1.81%1.1179-18.77%0.0891✓1.10125k2022-04-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.63522.5882-1.78%2.1576-18.12%0.1070✓0.82183k2022-04-08
STXStacksnative1.471.4444-1.74%1.23-16.33%0.0738✓0.95610k2022-04-08
NANOnanopayBase2.53282.4887-1.74%2.4304-4.04%0.0774✗1.11178k2022-04-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48540.477033-1.72%0.3944-18.75%0.0868✓1.1311.4M2022-04-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.094910.093275-1.72%0.07657-19.32%0.1065✓1.00101k2022-04-08
ZENHorizenBase51.2750.3986-1.70%40.04-21.90%0.1128✓1.29508k2022-04-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6941.6655-1.68%1.528-9.80%0.0271✗1.243.7M2022-04-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.021450.021092-1.67%0.01903-11.28%0.0122✓0.991.8M2022-04-08
FTTFTXEthereum50.4949.6526-1.66%44.68-11.51%0.0111✓1.0414.1M2022-04-08
MINAMina Protocolnative2.762.7145-1.65%3.25+17.75%0.2713✗1.00736k2022-04-08
UNIUniswapEthereum11.5911.4002-1.64%9.74-15.96%0.0640✓1.026.3M2022-04-08
UMAUMAEthereum7.9797.8513-1.60%6.996-12.32%0.0002✓1.275.5M2022-04-08
KSMKusamaHydration189.39186.3697-1.59%171.96-9.20%0.0194✗1.10901k2022-04-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.43364.3636-1.58%4.5829+3.37%0.1068✗0.635.5M2022-04-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.091990.090544-1.57%0.07793-15.28%0.0792✓0.7830k2022-04-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.894240.880256-1.56%0.73954-17.30%0.0794✓1.04192k2022-04-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026140.000025732-1.56%0.00002381-8.91%0.0263✗1.142.2M2022-04-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.37520.369347-1.56%0.2995-20.18%0.1099✓1.09347k2022-04-08
API3Api3Ethereum5.2395.1573-1.56%4.555-13.06%0.0723✓0.574.3M2022-04-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16280.160269-1.55%0.1518-6.76%0.0391✗1.02215k2022-04-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1721.1539-1.54%0.887-24.32%0.1442✓1.302.5M2022-04-08
HIVEHivenative1.22171.203-1.53%0.9279-24.05%0.1632✓1.062.0M2022-04-08
XECeCashnative0.000096880.000095409-1.52%0.00010114+4.40%0.1489✗0.996.8M2022-04-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3050.300456-1.49%0.285-6.56%0.0230✗0.8333k2022-04-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0430130.042373-1.49%0.037773-12.18%0.0260✓0.984.0M2022-04-08
DIADIAEthereum1.111.0935-1.49%0.93-16.22%0.1271✓0.38165k2022-04-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123610.121778-1.48%0.1001-19.02%0.1204✓0.8328k2022-04-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.8531.8262-1.45%1.271-31.41%0.2806✓0.901.3M2022-04-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.529.3828-1.44%8.41-11.66%0.0432✓0.732.7M2022-04-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.6916-1.41%2.5-8.42%0.0145✗0.97142k2022-04-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.2483.2024-1.40%2.47-23.95%0.1841✓0.8356k2022-04-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.28063.2346-1.40%3.9971+21.84%0.2811✗0.763.9M2022-04-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89130.878865-1.40%0.722-18.99%0.1043✓1.017.5M2022-04-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053320.052577-1.39%0.04543-14.80%0.0712✓0.8228k2022-04-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.41071.3911-1.39%1.088-22.88%0.1200✓1.38199k2022-04-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.9390.925989-1.39%0.7596-19.11%0.1127✓0.9417.2M2022-04-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042250.041665-1.38%0.03805-9.94%0.0283✓0.681.1M2022-04-08
ADACardanoCardano1.16541.1493-1.38%1.0245-12.09%0.0256✓0.9863.3M2022-04-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.3816.1592-1.35%13.97-14.71%0.0372✓1.19900k2022-04-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0075.9265-1.34%5.346-11.00%0.0137✓0.9887k2022-04-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.28150.277782-1.32%0.2306-18.08%0.0809✓1.153.0M2022-04-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.64862.6141-1.30%2.2709-14.26%0.0374✓1.131.3M2022-04-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055280.054567-1.29%0.0513-7.20%0.0320✗1.03605k2022-04-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5421.5221-1.29%1.305-15.37%0.0724✓0.892.8M2022-04-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.6121.3323-1.29%18.02-16.61%0.0807✓0.9718.2M2022-04-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.01025.933-1.28%5.8799-2.17%0.0343✗0.47176k2022-04-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4318.1947-1.28%15.1-18.07%0.0665✓1.322.9M2022-04-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,217.3045,630.78-1.27%42,170.00-8.76%0.0091✓0.9725k2022-04-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.25340.250191-1.27%0.2423-4.38%0.0591✗1.001.2M2022-04-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.63860.630561-1.26%0.5123-19.78%0.2029✓0.055,2242022-04-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.4129.0433-1.25%26.91-8.50%0.0223✗1.0837.8M2022-04-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.056.9623-1.24%5.206-26.16%0.1995✓1.003.2M2022-04-08
XEMNEMnative0.12290.121394-1.23%0.1014-17.49%0.1044✓0.8345k2022-04-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.612.578-1.22%2.98+14.18%0.1820✗0.41410k2022-04-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.8894.7102-1.22%85.87-10.44%0.0272✓0.782.2M2022-04-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.956.8677-1.18%6.22-10.50%0.0329✓0.73935k2022-04-08
DASHDashDash128.12126.6095-1.18%110.95-13.40%0.0472✓0.932.4M2022-04-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,488.5923,212.35-1.18%20,530.30-12.59%0.0215✓1.116.0M2022-04-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.0721.8159-1.15%19.44-11.92%0.0189✓1.0619.8M2022-04-08
APEApeCoinEthereum12.81712.6733-1.12%10.786-15.85%0.0701✓1.0077.6M2022-04-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.3081.2934-1.11%1.12-14.37%0.0232✓1.321.4M2022-04-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.33e-79.23e-7-1.10%8.81e-7-5.55%0.0800✓-0.371.1M2022-04-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013990.013837-1.09%0.01168-16.51%0.0632✓1.173.3M2022-04-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1412310.139695-1.09%0.142546+0.93%0.0953✗0.822.7M2022-04-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0742.0516-1.08%1.656-20.15%0.1272✓0.953.0M2022-04-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.8252.7945-1.08%2.338-17.24%0.1082✓0.7719k2022-04-08
ZECZcashZcash186.01184.0085-1.08%165.89-10.82%0.0177✓0.9416.0M2022-04-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3617.1789-1.04%15.14-12.79%0.0354✓1.0026.1M2022-04-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.30110.298035-1.02%0.2696-10.46%0.0256✓0.821.7M2022-04-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash377.35373.5246-1.01%323.38-14.30%0.0586✓0.948.3M2022-04-08
QNTQuantEthereum141.54140.1059-1.01%121.66-14.05%0.0581✓0.914.2M2022-04-08
XMRMoneroMonero218.3216.1724-0.97%217.03-0.58%0.0881✗0.921.6M2022-04-08
PROPropyEthereum1.631.6143-0.96%1.41-13.50%0.0423✓1.02185k2022-04-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.0882-0.94%3.891-5.72%0.0097✗0.652.8M2022-04-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.198.1148-0.92%6.2-24.30%0.2009✓0.751.9M2022-04-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.027370.027121-0.91%0.02449-10.52%0.0325✓0.763.2M2022-04-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9131.6274-0.89%28.38-11.06%0.0267✓0.90665k2022-04-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.28930.286769-0.87%0.2442-15.59%0.0695✓1.00483k2022-04-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.56450.559671-0.86%0.46-18.51%0.1049✓1.00978k2022-04-08
QTUMQtumQtum8.43818.3674-0.84%6.8163-19.22%0.1028✓1.12143k2022-04-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4214.3002-0.83%14.18-1.66%0.0273✗0.393.0M2022-04-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013201-0.82%0.01226-7.89%0.0136✓0.6611k2022-04-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.26150.259455-0.78%0.2136-18.32%0.1055✓0.98215k2022-04-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.88123.9215-0.77%110.73-11.33%0.0200✓1.0226.1M2022-04-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9623.935-0.68%3.66-7.62%0.0014✓0.782.3M2022-04-08
TRXTRONTron0.0749760.074466-0.68%0.062571-16.55%0.1170✓0.63289k2022-04-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2327050.23117-0.66%0.202197-13.11%0.0456✓0.9719.3M2022-04-08
GTGateEthereum6.8616.8166-0.65%6.6348-3.30%0.0271✗0.594.5M2022-04-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0870.086463-0.62%0.1266+45.52%0.4680✗0.95178k2022-04-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.90320.7791-0.59%19.402-7.18%0.0107✗0.875.1M2022-04-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,296.3446,028.10-0.58%42,262.02-8.71%0.0058✗1.00680.6M2022-04-08
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002168-0.57%0.00000195-10.55%0.0461✓0.6611.5M2022-04-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.8796.3642-0.52%83.69-13.61%0.0242✓1.28103.6M2022-04-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,456.483,440.49-0.46%3,192.54-7.64%0.0224✗1.07491.5M2022-04-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.676.6528-0.26%6.11-8.40%0.0200✓0.711.6M2022-04-08
XYMSymbolnative0.1460.145631-0.25%0.1257-13.90%0.0829✓0.71672k2022-04-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.