8=======>

2022-03-20 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2853
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.5%
in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETHEthereumEthereum2,862.442,836.12-0.92%3,296.29+15.16%0.0184✗1.04492.6M2022-03-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.633444-1.02%0.745+16.41%0.0475✗0.912.0M2022-03-27
KCSKuCoinnative18.20518.0175-1.03%19.247+5.72%0.0478✓0.906.2M2022-03-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615510.060843-1.15%0.069166+12.37%0.0476✗0.64259k2022-03-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0685-1.16%6.49+5.70%0.0229✓0.711.3M2022-03-27
XYMSymbolnative0.13580.134186-1.19%0.1543+13.62%0.0406✗0.78296k2022-03-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.682.6478-1.20%2.864+6.87%0.0678✓1.16514k2022-03-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001820.000001797-1.25%0.00000214+17.58%0.0957✗0.6212.1M2022-03-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1973290.194832-1.27%0.229866+16.49%0.0400✗0.9918.0M2022-03-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.2272.1987-1.27%2.589+16.26%0.0642✗0.7820k2022-03-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.8583.7503-1.30%89.91+5.96%0.0952✓1.31116.0M2022-03-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24720.24392-1.33%0.275+11.25%0.0152✗0.832.1M2022-03-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.5614.3616-1.36%16.87+15.87%0.0265✗1.0633.9M2022-03-27
QNTQuantEthereum118.64116.9991-1.38%148.67+25.31%0.1228✗0.924.2M2022-03-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.316.2213-1.41%7.01+11.09%0.0284✗0.721.6M2022-03-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1941.177-1.43%1.444+20.94%0.0780✗1.002.8M2022-03-27
XVSVenusEthereum8.968.8299-1.45%10.9+21.65%0.0792✗1.043.0M2022-03-27
XVGVergenative0.009320.009185-1.45%0.01253+34.44%0.1649✗1.151.6M2022-03-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51580.508259-1.46%0.585+13.42%0.0458✗0.75399k2022-03-27
XEMNEMnative0.09950.09804-1.47%0.1176+18.19%0.0751✗0.8540k2022-03-27
SCSiacoinnative0.009180.009044-1.49%0.0124+35.08%0.1754✗1.11441k2022-03-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07480.073664-1.52%0.0851+13.77%0.0252✗0.94146k2022-03-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1060.10437-1.54%0.114+7.55%0.0204✗0.5432k2022-03-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191240.117228-1.59%0.144798+21.55%0.1082✗0.822.7M2022-03-27
ADACardanoCardano0.8790.864995-1.59%1.1845+34.76%0.1869✗1.0162.5M2022-03-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.1191.1008-1.63%1.2328+10.17%0.0509✓1.301.9M2022-03-27
SOLSolanaSolana88.6487.1968-1.63%107.09+20.81%0.0468✗1.2692.6M2022-03-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,287.2440,612.99-1.63%46,850.01+13.47%0.0165✗1.00680.6M2022-03-27
MANADecentralandEthereum2.39922.3598-1.64%2.7417+14.27%0.0019✓1.171.3M2022-03-27
HIVEHivenative0.90640.891486-1.65%1.1454+26.37%0.1086✗1.122.1M2022-03-27
GTGateEthereum6.44756.3399-1.67%6.5917+2.24%0.0417✓0.643.4M2022-03-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041130.040442-1.67%0.0495+20.35%0.0956✗0.8424k2022-03-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.352.3105-1.68%2.73+16.17%0.0435✗0.98142k2022-03-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2440.239892-1.68%0.271+11.07%0.0198✗0.8129k2022-03-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6219.2873-1.70%24.3+23.85%0.0634✗1.33246k2022-03-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.88112.8911-1.73%129.68+12.88%0.0125✓1.0025.9M2022-03-27
DIADIAEthereum0.940.923651-1.74%1.07+13.83%0.1009✗0.37258k2022-03-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011720.011515-1.75%0.01417+20.90%0.0529✗1.223.2M2022-03-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.7716.4747-1.76%21.9+30.59%0.1567✗1.0114.0M2022-03-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6618.3304-1.77%22.48+20.47%0.0676✗1.0824.4M2022-03-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44720.439275-1.77%0.7181+60.58%0.3301✗1.28440k2022-03-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,609.4040,864.50-1.79%46,722.30+12.29%0.0127✓0.9646k2022-03-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20350.199734-1.85%0.2692+32.29%0.1522✗1.162.3M2022-03-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025430.024955-1.87%0.03351+31.77%0.1574✗1.09248k2022-03-27
AAVEAaveEthereum152.83149.9478-1.89%169.24+10.74%0.0411✓1.288.0M2022-03-27
XMRMoneroMonero194.71190.9961-1.91%216.11+10.99%0.0054✓0.931.7M2022-03-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.23320.228748-1.91%0.2635+12.99%0.0150✓1.00176k2022-03-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8470.830688-1.93%1.058+24.91%0.0740✗1.332.0M2022-03-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0928.5288-1.93%31.17+7.15%0.0263✓0.91767k2022-03-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.20560.201597-1.95%0.2582+25.58%0.0843✗1.291.8M2022-03-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.2211.982-1.95%14.36+17.51%0.1171✗0.511.8M2022-03-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.339.1474-1.96%11.42+22.40%0.0923✗1.036.0M2022-03-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.025520.02502-1.96%0.02786+9.17%0.0120✓0.762.7M2022-03-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74180.727164-1.97%0.9498+28.04%0.1397✗1.0116.6M2022-03-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.08041.059-1.98%1.3301+23.12%0.0815✗1.16128k2022-03-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.881.8427-1.98%2.28+21.28%0.0505✗1.291.1M2022-03-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75170.736717-1.99%0.875+16.40%0.0480✗0.987.2M2022-03-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095090.093183-2.01%0.11008+15.76%0.0556✗0.8828k2022-03-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5661.5339-2.05%1.952+24.65%0.1150✗1.002.2M2022-03-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.09110.089233-2.05%0.1288+41.38%0.2127✗1.22522k2022-03-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3013.2333-2.05%3.779+14.48%0.0644✗0.72894k2022-03-27
FTTFTXEthereum44.0343.1159-2.08%51.99+18.08%0.0566✗1.0314.3M2022-03-27
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0759-2.08%2.79+31.60%0.1647✗1.04343k2022-03-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9654.8612-2.09%6.005+20.95%0.1291✗0.65629k2022-03-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23220.227328-2.10%0.27+16.28%0.0456✗1.00387k2022-03-27
KSMKusamaHydration152.19148.9636-2.12%173.98+14.32%0.0136✓1.12671k2022-03-27
ZENHorizenBase41.0240.1495-2.12%50.08+22.09%0.0554✗1.31267k2022-03-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash327.61320.6448-2.13%376.78+15.01%0.0436✗0.936.7M2022-03-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,923.1719,499.38-2.13%22,263.59+11.75%0.0025✓1.075.7M2022-03-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8415.4959-2.17%18.45+16.48%0.0107✓1.302.4M2022-03-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.0383.1796-2.18%95+11.73%0.0381✗0.751.0M2022-03-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.152.1031-2.18%2.621+21.91%0.0506✗1.349.5M2022-03-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.06385.9312-2.19%6.1368+1.20%0.0177✓0.41179k2022-03-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.14352.0962-2.21%2.4727+15.36%0.0637✗0.80130k2022-03-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01250.012221-2.23%0.01382+10.56%0.0339✗0.709,3002022-03-27
XTZTezosTezos3.33623.2611-2.25%3.8564+15.59%0.0309✗1.081.1M2022-03-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.29940.292662-2.25%0.3422+14.30%0.0130✓1.13183k2022-03-27
SUSHISushiEthereum3.243.1662-2.28%3.99+23.15%0.0837✗1.176.0M2022-03-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2186.0764-2.28%7.661+23.21%0.1053✗1.00462k2022-03-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.49560.484234-2.29%0.5415+9.26%0.0146✓1.001.4M2022-03-27
ZECZcashZcash174.15170.1337-2.31%210.67+20.97%0.0903✗0.9813.0M2022-03-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400720.039147-2.31%0.043509+8.58%0.0160✓0.964.1M2022-03-27
NANOnanopayBase2.212.1581-2.35%2.5487+15.33%0.0216✓1.15139k2022-03-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39050.381193-2.38%0.4313+10.45%0.0277✓1.208.9M2022-03-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4615.3307-2.39%6.421+17.58%0.0674✗0.9479k2022-03-27
QTUMQtumQtum6.97876.8114-2.40%8.5079+21.91%0.0821✗1.1197k2022-03-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049680.048485-2.41%0.05681+14.35%0.0202✓1.09459k2022-03-27
COMPCompoundEthereum116.01113.2171-2.41%126.01+8.62%0.0397✓1.1648k2022-03-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22750.222019-2.41%0.2272-0.13%0.1033✓1.001.8M2022-03-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78090.761917-2.43%0.9207+17.90%0.1460✗0.34626k2022-03-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6232.5591-2.44%2.913+11.06%0.0031✓1.0053k2022-03-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40420.394312-2.45%0.5139+27.14%0.0210✓1.932.1M2022-03-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.80113.708-2.45%4.1683+9.66%0.0400✗0.613.9M2022-03-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023120.000022554-2.45%0.00002557+10.60%0.0229✓1.172.5M2022-03-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.8327.1473-2.45%29.95+7.62%0.0443✓1.1340.2M2022-03-27
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7299-2.48%5.33+9.90%0.0096✓0.87567k2022-03-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4441.4078-2.51%1.796+24.38%0.0711✗1.36492k2022-03-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5494240.535645-2.51%0.728031+32.51%0.1750✗1.041.6M2022-03-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4651.428-2.52%1.595+8.87%0.0522✓1.293.6M2022-03-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33940.330824-2.53%0.3911+15.23%0.0166✓1.469.9M2022-03-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5551.5151-2.56%1.749+12.48%0.0158✓1.01639k2022-03-27
DASHDashDash115.63112.6549-2.57%133.07+15.08%0.0424✗0.981.7M2022-03-27
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.408213-2.57%0.49+16.95%0.0426✗1.112.8M2022-03-27
XECeCashnative0.000079410.000077362-2.58%0.0000982+23.66%0.1174✗0.964.7M2022-03-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.7734.6495-2.59%5.854+22.65%0.1507✗0.637.4M2022-03-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.5248-2.61%13.48+4.82%0.0213✓0.413.0M2022-03-27
STXStacksnative1.261.2271-2.61%1.45+15.08%0.0479✗0.94444k2022-03-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018610.018121-2.63%0.02076+11.55%0.0043✓1.041.4M2022-03-27
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.6035-2.64%1.995+21.13%0.1157✗0.8155k2022-03-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.7577-2.66%8.4+5.40%0.0093✓0.702.6M2022-03-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15220.148143-2.67%0.1655+8.74%0.0202✓1.04205k2022-03-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.821070.798846-2.71%0.90403+10.10%0.0179✓1.12111k2022-03-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.6517.1722-2.71%23.71+34.33%0.1998✗0.975.7M2022-03-27
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.0918-2.71%2.33+8.37%0.0226✓0.67182k2022-03-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34290.33352-2.74%0.4246+23.83%0.0739✗1.33965k2022-03-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.60040.58378-2.77%0.62+3.26%0.0662✓1.005,0372022-03-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.153170.148908-2.78%0.16715+9.13%0.0066✓0.8614k2022-03-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003650.003548-2.79%0.00436+19.45%0.0295✗1.405.2M2022-03-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.4371.3968-2.80%1.768+23.03%0.1077✗1.011.4M2022-03-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0886-2.80%1.54+37.50%0.2173✗1.03522k2022-03-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12470.121168-2.83%0.168+34.72%0.1770✗1.192.1M2022-03-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075180.073024-2.87%0.08788+16.89%0.0507✗1.0657k2022-03-27
BANDBandEthereum3.5843.4802-2.90%4.57+27.51%0.1310✗1.12622k2022-03-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.20464.082-2.92%4.2578+1.27%0.0403✓0.654.7M2022-03-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.24193.1469-2.93%3.1908-1.58%0.0894✓0.824.1M2022-03-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2425.4408-3.05%29.14+11.05%0.0272✓1.29735k2022-03-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.47131.4257-3.10%1.5221+3.45%0.1152✓1.43217k2022-03-27
UMAUMAEthereum7.5747.3348-3.16%7.939+4.82%0.0845✓1.296.0M2022-03-27
AVTAventusEthereum2.432.3498-3.30%2.49+2.47%0.0096✓0.38309k2022-03-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2195.0466-3.30%5.413+3.72%0.0916✓1.282.5M2022-03-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.454.303-3.30%5.47+22.92%0.0619✗1.41375k2022-03-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07490.072419-3.31%0.08599+14.81%0.0716✗0.799,2172022-03-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1033.9625-3.42%4.074-0.71%0.0506✓0.62656k2022-03-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.8748.1502-3.45%68.29+36.94%0.1908✗1.264.8M2022-03-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.86744.6995-3.45%5.4302+11.56%0.0261✓0.94208k2022-03-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92660.894608-3.45%1.3598+46.75%0.2651✗1.224.7M2022-03-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07050.068053-3.47%0.0842+19.43%0.0630✗1.19337k2022-03-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82210.792654-3.58%1.1104+35.07%0.1643✗1.37106k2022-03-27
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4866.2535-3.58%7.352+13.35%0.0113✓1.3725k2022-03-27
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6579-3.61%1.74+1.16%0.0800✓1.02228k2022-03-27
MOVRMoonriverBase59.668557.5023-3.63%67.174+12.58%0.0140✓1.34154k2022-03-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06620.063782-3.65%0.0803+21.30%0.0133✓1.7243.9M2022-03-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.4636-3.67%7.13+6.26%0.0058✓0.73822k2022-03-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.16882.0883-3.71%2.6409+21.77%0.1440✗0.7213k2022-03-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.616184-3.72%0.73+14.06%0.0204✓1.50477k2022-03-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum17.3516.7026-3.73%16.11-7.15%0.1882✓1.20426k2022-03-27
LUNATerraTerra 290.4386.8162-4.00%94.25+4.22%0.0929✓1.399.1M2022-03-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0248050.023797-4.07%0.040217+62.13%0.4301✗0.75202k2022-03-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.8844.6797-4.18%5.701+16.73%0.0783✗0.94102k2022-03-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.496.2179-4.19%7.41+14.18%0.0003✓1.39447k2022-03-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001129-4.30%0.000001225+3.86%0.1358✗-0.431.7M2022-03-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.6925.4444-4.35%6.359+11.72%0.0289✓1.00464k2022-03-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.014170.013534-4.49%0.01504+6.14%0.0083✓0.9011k2022-03-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2385.9563-4.52%6.324+1.38%0.0007✓0.475.1M2022-03-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.044860.042833-4.52%0.04272-4.77%0.0853✓0.65963k2022-03-27
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1862.0721-5.21%2.32+6.13%0.0105✓0.983.8M2022-03-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2136.1728-5.33%48.03+25.70%0.1603✗0.973.8M2022-03-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.032550.030431-6.51%0.03666+12.63%0.0256✓1.6813.3M2022-03-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.8140.740828-8.99%0.617-24.20%0.3294✓1.162.1M2022-03-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.20078.3733-8.99%7.954-13.55%0.1778✓1.0048.8M2022-03-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.