2022-03-04 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0949

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-7.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.8%

in alpha space · 67.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.11%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.216	8.6952	-5.65%	7.075	-23.23%	0.1911	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.51	8.1076	-4.73%	7.84	-7.87%	0.0248	✓	0.78	480k	2022-03-11
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.37e-7	7.06e-7	-4.23%	0.000001164	+57.99%	0.5117	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.72	2.6051	-4.22%	2.19	-19.49%	0.1624	✓	1.00	443k	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	83.49	80.2915	-3.83%	88.28	+5.74%	0.1105	✗	1.40	5.0M	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.317	3.192	-3.77%	5.761	+73.68%	0.5963	✗	0.52	955k	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.4	16.8779	-3.00%	13.84	-20.46%	0.1918	✓	0.60	2.8M	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0566	0.054946	-2.92%	0.0576	+1.77%	0.0664	✗	1.73	66.8M	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.76	1.7119	-2.73%	1.51	-14.20%	0.1127	✓	1.15	411k	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7304	0.710683	-2.70%	0.6706	-8.19%	0.0436	✓	1.29	2.7M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.438	0.426556	-2.61%	0.3924	-10.41%	0.0606	✓	2.05	2.3M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5067	2.4434	-2.53%	2.5749	+2.72%	0.0615	✗	0.81	2.9M	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.311	6.1603	-2.39%	4.776	-24.32%	0.2481	✓	0.58	7.0M	2022-03-11
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7326	2.6693	-2.32%	8.8928	+225.43%	1.2146	✗	1.00	12.7M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011391	0.01115	-2.11%	0.011862	+4.13%	0.0730	✗	1.00	13k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.066496	-2.07%	0.06831	+0.60%	0.0372	✗	0.92	13k	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.799	1.7625	-2.03%	1.662	-7.62%	0.0487	✓	0.89	68k	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3464	0.339629	-1.95%	0.3152	-9.01%	0.0566	✓	1.62	14.3M	2022-03-11
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.36	2.3148	-1.92%	2.09	-11.44%	0.0937	✓	0.76	393k	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4243	1.3971	-1.91%	1.4867	+4.38%	0.0765	✗	1.29	293k	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.18	-1.83%	10.59	+2.12%	0.0461	✗	0.59	984k	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.17	1.1491	-1.79%	1.06	-9.40%	0.0695	✓	1.00	770k	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9091	1.8753	-1.77%	2.1155	+10.81%	0.1313	✗	0.96	82k	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.51	29.9737	-1.76%	27.47	-9.96%	0.0740	✓	1.19	52.8M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	14.994	-1.74%	13.72	-10.09%	0.0735	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-03-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.09	3.0368	-1.72%	2.42	-21.68%	0.2146	✓	1.11	660k	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.027224	-1.72%	0.02301	-16.93%	0.1547	✓	1.21	503k	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03451	0.03392	-1.71%	0.04078	+18.17%	0.1926	✗	0.75	1.1M	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0177	2.9661	-1.71%	3.4608	+14.68%	0.1625	✗	0.74	3.6M	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.004	0.003933	-1.66%	0.00353	-11.75%	0.0902	✓	1.61	6.6M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.105	0.103286	-1.63%	0.111	+5.71%	0.0787	✗	0.60	44k	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7817	0.769006	-1.62%	0.7156	-8.46%	0.0686	✓	0.31	1.2M	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.438	4.3686	-1.56%	4.326	-2.52%	0.0011	✓	0.78	463k	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.82	5.7314	-1.52%	5.57	-4.30%	0.0133	✓	1.37	829k	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2576	1.2384	-1.52%	1.1514	-8.44%	0.0573	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0093	2.964	-1.50%	3.707	+23.18%	0.2320	✗	0.74	2.4M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.0935	-1.48%	1.36	+22.52%	0.2311	✗	1.17	517k	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.7	48.9654	-1.48%	45.9	-7.65%	0.0501	✓	1.30	6.3M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.0304	2.0005	-1.47%	2.0529	+1.11%	0.0340	✗	0.73	25k	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1472	0.145051	-1.46%	0.1489	+1.15%	0.0375	✗	1.01	330k	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.72	3.6664	-1.44%	3.44	-7.53%	0.0504	✓	1.20	1.7M	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.68	28.2698	-1.43%	27.91	-2.68%	0.0023	✓	0.94	1.5M	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,591.90	39,033.48	-1.41%	38,852.80	-1.87%	0.0061	✓	0.96	59k	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04735	0.046686	-1.40%	0.0472	-0.32%	0.0237	✗	1.15	605k	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	60.2327	59.4036	-1.38%	48.7591	-19.05%	0.1822	✓	1.37	223k	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5292	0.522028	-1.36%	0.5009	-5.35%	0.0322	✓	0.82	545k	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.97	0.956972	-1.34%	0.93	-4.12%	0.0249	✓	0.33	277k	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.346	1.3281	-1.33%	1.157	-14.04%	0.1243	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.63	27.263	-1.33%	26.5	-4.09%	0.0168	✓	1.04	5.2M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.877	2.839	-1.32%	2.869	-0.28%	0.0194	✗	0.80	457k	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15063	0.148656	-1.31%	0.15536	+3.14%	0.0545	✗	0.93	21k	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.641689	-1.28%	0.59	-9.23%	0.0653	✓	1.68	988k	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.5	39.9848	-1.27%	40.81	+0.77%	0.0327	✗	1.10	19.7M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0692	0.068331	-1.26%	0.0661	-4.48%	0.0193	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	159.78	157.7818	-1.25%	170.68	+6.82%	0.0896	✗	0.99	1.4M	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.252	2.2239	-1.25%	1.97	-12.52%	0.1053	✓	1.43	12.7M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.5379	5.4702	-1.22%	5.8362	+5.39%	0.0690	✗	0.38	300k	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.82	18.5944	-1.20%	17.37	-7.70%	0.0567	✓	1.02	9.1M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01761	0.0174	-1.19%	0.01714	-2.67%	0.0033	✓	1.05	2.2M	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007061	0.000069775	-1.18%	0.0000731	+3.53%	0.0583	✗	1.05	4.5M	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6818	6.6046	-1.16%	6.328	-5.29%	0.0350	✓	0.69	2.8M	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.05	115.7047	-1.15%	153.51	+31.15%	0.2949	✗	1.10	7.4M	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5	4.9431	-1.14%	4.594	-8.12%	0.0625	✓	0.96	166k	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9678	3.9227	-1.14%	4.0628	+2.39%	0.0472	✗	1.09	244k	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.04	3.0055	-1.13%	2.89	-4.93%	0.0258	✓	1.20	6.5M	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.72	1.7007	-1.12%	1.64	-4.65%	0.0216	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08893	0.087935	-1.12%	0.09115	+2.50%	0.0467	✗	0.97	42k	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.358	1.3428	-1.12%	1.307	-3.76%	0.0104	✓	1.49	797k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01211	0.011976	-1.10%	0.01186	-2.06%	0.0013	✓	0.76	13k	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2623	0.259413	-1.10%	0.2585	-1.45%	0.0102	✓	1.23	284k	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.05	4.0068	-1.07%	3.82	-5.68%	0.0312	✓	1.48	458k	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.62	17.4349	-1.05%	16.01	-9.14%	0.0730	✓	1.10	19.5M	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.27	6.2041	-1.05%	6.28	+0.16%	0.0213	✗	0.82	518k	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.618	3.5804	-1.04%	4.165	+15.12%	0.1647	✗	1.21	2.1M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.412	0.407723	-1.04%	0.385	-6.55%	0.0442	✓	1.18	4.1M	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.79	107.6615	-1.04%	102.07	-6.18%	0.0402	✓	1.17	57k	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044148	0.043691	-1.04%	0.040059	-9.26%	0.0752	✓	1.04	8.1M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000183	0.000001811	-1.03%	0.00000178	-2.73%	0.0102	✓	0.64	13.7M	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.237537	-1.03%	0.226	-5.83%	0.0410	✓	0.79	66k	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.86	22.6291	-1.01%	22.89	+0.13%	0.0266	✗	1.35	1.4M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.3265	-0.99%	5.49	+2.04%	0.0394	✗	0.82	584k	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002353	0.000023299	-0.98%	0.00002206	-6.25%	0.0409	✓	1.24	3.9M	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.0404	-0.98%	5.85	-4.10%	0.0234	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65401	0.647721	-0.96%	0.65584	+0.28%	0.0272	✗	1.32	180k	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.011004	-0.95%	0.01151	+3.60%	0.0599	✗	1.34	2.9M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.348	1.3352	-0.95%	1.321	-2.00%	0.0007	✓	1.03	917k	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,859.01	19,672.56	-0.94%	18,538.11	-6.65%	0.0486	✓	0.97	5.8M	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.34	0.336826	-0.93%	0.3189	-6.21%	0.0401	✓	1.31	8.7M	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1952	0.193398	-0.92%	0.1931	-1.08%	0.0125	✗	1.26	2.7M	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.71	0.703454	-0.92%	0.7111	+0.15%	0.0222	✗	1.02	9.6M	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.883	2.8566	-0.92%	2.741	-4.93%	0.0320	✓	0.83	276k	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.21	18.0437	-0.91%	17.81	-2.20%	0.0022	✓	1.37	325k	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1169	0.115833	-0.91%	0.1144	-2.14%	0.0010	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.97	4.9247	-0.91%	4.778	-3.86%	0.0197	✓	0.94	72k	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7354	0.728724	-0.91%	0.6978	-5.11%	0.0271	✓	1.45	227k	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.0246	-0.90%	4.44	-12.43%	0.1127	✓	0.98	862k	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.413	1.4004	-0.89%	1.464	+3.61%	0.0564	✗	1.08	1.8M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9048	0.896905	-0.87%	0.8661	-4.28%	0.0215	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4781	2.4565	-0.87%	2.3033	-7.05%	0.0502	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06438	0.063821	-0.87%	0.07118	+10.56%	0.1222	✗	1.17	60k	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.22	2.2015	-0.83%	2.16	-2.70%	0.0079	✓	1.00	242k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.209	0.207287	-0.82%	0.1962	-6.12%	0.0388	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.851	5.804	-0.80%	5.556	-5.04%	0.0286	✓	1.35	25k	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03781	0.037508	-0.80%	0.03906	+3.31%	0.0507	✗	0.91	29k	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.096	0.095243	-0.79%	0.0935	-2.60%	0.0085	✓	0.89	40k	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		79.36	78.7374	-0.78%	78.04	-1.66%	0.0002	✓	0.82	908k	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.271891	-0.77%	0.262	-4.38%	0.0231	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.114	1.1055	-0.77%	1.113	-0.09%	0.0185	✗	1.05	3.0M	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.122392	0.121466	-0.76%	0.11539	-5.72%	0.0412	✓	0.90	3.7M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0789	3.0562	-0.74%	2.9889	-2.92%	0.0084	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,166.51	38,879.69	-0.73%	38,732.04	-1.11%	0.0073	✓	1.00	706.4M	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0266	0.026412	-0.71%	0.02468	-7.22%	0.0592	✓	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1405	0.13954	-0.68%	0.1335	-4.98%	0.0352	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.00944	0.009376	-0.68%	0.00939	-0.53%	0.0147	✗	1.18	1.4M	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.61	33.3823	-0.68%	37.86	+12.65%	0.1416	✗	1.41	280k	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.38	12.2981	-0.66%	12.74	+2.91%	0.0475	✗	1.10	312k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.134	2.1201	-0.65%	2.114	-0.94%	0.0065	✓	0.84	23k	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058264	0.05789	-0.64%	0.060203	+3.33%	0.0474	✗	0.74	307k	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.78	0.775039	-0.64%	0.807	+3.46%	0.0543	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.79	16.6849	-0.63%	17.7	+5.42%	0.0721	✗	1.17	26.4M	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	118.5	117.7625	-0.62%	113.22	-4.46%	0.0280	✓	1.01	6.3M	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	89.59	89.0444	-0.61%	94.95	+5.98%	0.0762	✗	1.07	1.5M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.69	0.685813	-0.61%	0.636	-7.83%	0.0647	✓	0.96	2.6M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.02	2.0084	-0.58%	1.75	-13.37%	0.1252	✓	1.12	354k	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008423	-0.55%	0.00879	+3.78%	0.0557	✗	1.17	546k	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	124.3	123.6121	-0.55%	116.61	-6.19%	0.0438	✓	1.30	7.2M	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0851	0.084633	-0.55%	0.0787	-7.52%	0.0560	✓	1.50	592k	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9254	5.893	-0.55%	5.8755	-0.84%	0.0111	✗	1.26	226k	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.35	0.348096	-0.54%	0.2924	-16.46%	0.1590	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.039	1.0335	-0.53%	0.959	-7.70%	0.0637	✓	0.99	1.2M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.94943	0.944515	-0.52%	0.96652	+1.80%	0.0372	✗	1.27	162k	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7605	0.756577	-0.52%	0.7014	-7.77%	0.0632	✓	1.12	19.7M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.238	18.1447	-0.51%	18.17	-0.37%	0.0126	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	290.67	289.188	-0.51%	287.73	-1.01%	0.0055	✗	0.94	7.3M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.845	0.840777	-0.50%	0.7884	-6.70%	0.0521	✓	1.09	92.2M	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.233844	-0.49%	0.2186	-6.98%	0.0574	✓	0.90	2.0M	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.495114	0.492681	-0.49%	0.48841	-1.35%	0.0034	✓	1.08	2.8M	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.82	75.4561	-0.48%	71.25	-6.03%	0.0419	✓	1.39	123.1M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.81	8.769	-0.47%	8.51	-3.41%	0.0175	✓	1.12	9.2M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	88.32	87.9267	-0.45%	80.7	-8.63%	0.0716	✓	1.27	121.6M	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.74	13.679	-0.44%	13.05	-5.02%	0.0342	✓	1.15	50.1M	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	101.05	100.6547	-0.39%	104.55	+3.46%	0.0499	✗	1.07	29.3M	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4504	0.448689	-0.38%	0.4152	-7.82%	0.0619	✓	1.40	452k	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7529	1.7477	-0.30%	1.6874	-3.74%	0.0226	✓	1.12	171k	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,623.07	2,615.85	-0.28%	2,556.42	-2.54%	0.0109	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	120.67	120.3488	-0.27%	124.19	+2.92%	0.0440	✗	1.12	910k	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17606	0.17578	-0.16%	0.183591	+4.28%	0.0552	✗	1.05	19.8M	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.58	8.5664	-0.16%	8.54	-0.47%	0.0101	✗	1.18	3.6M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.018594	0.018566	-0.15%	0.01489	-19.92%	0.2113	✓	0.84	143k	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0671	0.067028	-0.11%	0.0696	+3.73%	0.0487	✗	0.99	159k	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.32	1.3187	-0.10%	1.705	+29.17%	0.2686	✗	1.04	3.4M	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01443	0.01453	+0.69%	0.0143	-0.90%	0.0004	✓	1.47	12.7M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.