8=======>

2022-03-02 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0232
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 81.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum8.4217.9448-5.66%8.061-4.28%0.0795✗1.421.9M2022-03-09
LUNATerraTerra 292.4388.5841-4.16%99.22+7.35%0.1786✗1.434.8M2022-03-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.704178-3.42%0.7336+0.62%0.1049✗1.402.5M2022-03-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.485846-3.39%0.4297-14.56%0.0310✓2.012.2M2022-03-09
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.1613-3.38%1.786-20.16%0.1548✓0.7976k2022-03-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.6836-3.30%3.1069+11.96%0.1864✗0.882.7M2022-03-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.7027-2.99%8+0.76%0.0798✗0.92461k2022-03-09
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.0838-2.96%5.441-25.47%0.2410✓0.504.1M2022-03-09
PROPropyEthereum1.821.7672-2.90%1.67-8.24%0.0015✓1.21411k2022-03-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.5762-2.86%1.5521-4.34%0.0425✗1.27293k2022-03-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.063691-2.76%0.0648-1.07%0.0980✗1.7772.8M2022-03-09
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.4362-2.75%4.63-17.17%0.1151✓1.00828k2022-03-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.01191-2.50%0.011931-2.33%0.0490✗1.0414k2022-03-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.14e-7-2.37%0.000001482+135.47%0.9260✗1.001.1M2022-03-09
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5569.9942-2.17%54.9209-23.24%0.1795✓1.38231k2022-03-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.03325-2.12%0.0398+17.16%0.2205✗0.891.1M2022-03-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.918-2.10%2.007+2.44%0.0928✗1.0477k2022-03-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.734667-2.04%0.66-12.00%0.0289✓1.721.0M2022-03-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.395168-2.02%0.3619-10.27%0.0131✓1.6414.7M2022-03-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2531.6095-1.99%30.07-6.76%0.0024✓1.1550.3M2022-03-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.113719-1.97%0.104-10.34%0.0642✓0.5544k2022-03-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.8394-1.92%2.61-9.84%0.0248✓1.30584k2022-03-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.045916-1.87%0.041988-10.26%0.0407✓1.078.1M2022-03-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.5981-1.85%2.159-18.44%0.1188✓1.4513.6M2022-03-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.711004-1.82%0.76+4.94%0.0822✗0.341.2M2022-03-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2333-1.78%5.1595+56.73%0.5130✗1.0019.7M2022-03-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9369-1.78%3.427+14.62%0.1972✗0.94792k2022-03-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3648-1.74%1.2223-12.00%0.0486✓1.352.8M2022-03-09
XMRMoneroMonero177.46174.3943-1.73%188.71+6.34%0.1246✗1.001.2M2022-03-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012098-1.72%0.01242+0.89%0.0896✗1.392.8M2022-03-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.556912-1.69%0.5284-6.73%0.0107✓0.92607k2022-03-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.0623-1.66%2.89-7.19%0.0195✓0.84477k2022-03-09
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.3538-1.65%3.19-6.45%0.0075✓1.266.8M2022-03-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.5329-1.61%6.31-4.97%0.0297✗1.41942k2022-03-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9122-1.61%4.727+18.89%0.2456✗1.242.2M2022-03-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0043,556.93-1.59%41,967.60-5.18%0.0073✓0.9753k2022-03-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.070269-1.58%0.073+2.24%0.0842✗1.0113k2022-03-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5954.715-1.57%48.63-12.52%0.0586✓1.306.5M2022-03-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.4338-1.57%20.31-2.17%0.0597✗1.44328k2022-03-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026379-1.57%0.024-10.45%0.0340✓1.33500k2022-03-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018626-1.55%0.01738-8.14%0.0194✓1.092.2M2022-03-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.157022-1.55%0.1627+2.01%0.0823✗1.03420k2022-03-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5241-1.55%1.394-9.95%0.0233✓1.45842k2022-03-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.851-1.54%5.8487-1.58%0.0137✓0.31385k2022-03-09
STXStacksnative1.251.231-1.52%1.12-10.40%0.0398✓1.20585k2022-03-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.467-1.51%5.1-8.12%0.0273✓0.9271k2022-03-09
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9555-1.51%3.737-6.95%0.0031✓1.311.8M2022-03-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.097611-1.50%0.0841-15.14%0.0811✓1.49613k2022-03-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.127969-1.49%0.1245-4.16%0.0316✗1.303.2M2022-03-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.04803-1.48%0.04842-0.68%0.0629✗1.20641k2022-03-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9016-1.47%1.79-7.25%0.0002✓1.332.0M2022-03-09
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4431-1.46%3.1801-8.98%0.0211✓1.281.9M2022-03-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1515.9164-1.45%14.6-9.60%0.0542✓0.702.3M2022-03-09
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.4838-1.44%2.2-12.70%0.0757✓1.00445k2022-03-09
HIVEHivenative0.99880.984618-1.42%0.9131-8.58%0.0214✓1.182.1M2022-03-09
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0055-1.42%0.94-7.84%0.0548✓0.28282k2022-03-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.436-1.42%18.83-9.17%0.0309✓1.129.1M2022-03-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.3958-1.41%2.3-5.35%0.0048✓1.00268k2022-03-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.776205-1.40%0.7395-6.06%0.0018✓1.109.7M2022-03-09
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45120.7435-1.39%108.96-11.02%0.0470✓1.2258k2022-03-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,043.66-1.36%20,404.96-8.69%0.0327✓0.985.9M2022-03-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.0481-1.36%17.47-9.53%0.0338✓1.1520.0M2022-03-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2528-1.35%1.23-3.15%0.0292✗1.04824k2022-03-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.076452-1.35%0.0717-7.48%0.0048✓1.301.0M2022-03-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.2014-1.35%25.07-5.61%0.0186✗1.381.5M2022-03-09
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.5454-1.33%42.75-7.39%0.0146✓1.0722.8M2022-03-09
ZECZcashZcash125.91124.2397-1.33%141.65+12.50%0.1823✗1.127.4M2022-03-09
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.319-1.32%2.39+1.70%0.0758✗1.00422k2022-03-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3548-1.32%3.9867-9.66%0.0364✓1.14244k2022-03-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.369285-1.31%0.3463-7.46%0.0024✓1.368.7M2022-03-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.7212-1.27%0.68283-6.52%0.0078✓1.37200k2022-03-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7184-1.26%2.4947-9.39%0.0311✓1.203.3M2022-03-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3729.9882-1.26%28.87-4.94%0.0045✓0.931.5M2022-03-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.5933-1.22%4.25-8.60%0.0087✓1.51471k2022-03-09
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.4623-1.22%0.407-13.03%0.0685✓1.294.2M2022-03-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6292-1.20%6.19-7.75%0.0453✓0.511.2M2022-03-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.1661-1.20%28.04-5.01%0.0098✓1.085.2M2022-03-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1502-1.19%1.024-12.03%0.0675✓1.071.4M2022-03-09
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075039-1.19%0.00007564-0.40%0.0581✗1.104.5M2022-03-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.5314-1.16%13.1-4.31%0.0177✗1.10331k2022-03-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1614.9854-1.15%14.69-3.10%0.0474✗1.482.4M2022-03-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03222.9973-1.15%2.9836-1.60%0.0353✗0.873.6M2022-03-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025612-1.15%0.00002383-8.03%0.0150✓1.253.9M2022-03-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.062-1.14%0.98649-8.17%0.0131✓1.33187k2022-03-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4538-1.14%4.263-5.37%0.0054✓0.84453k2022-03-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4794-1.11%1.376-8.02%0.0217✓1.11939k2022-03-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001938-1.11%0.00000186-5.10%0.0110✓0.6613.7M2022-03-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3441-1.10%1.287-5.30%0.0147✗1.272.0M2022-03-09
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.4922-1.10%41.61+6.91%0.1438✗1.45280k2022-03-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012216-1.09%0.01282+3.81%0.0820✗0.7413k2022-03-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.071794-1.08%0.07646+5.35%0.1201✗1.2569k2022-03-09
XVGVergenative0.010370.010258-1.08%0.01052+1.45%0.0822✗1.251.3M2022-03-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02972.9972-1.07%2.9949-1.15%0.0395✗0.882.4M2022-03-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.907292-1.06%0.921+0.44%0.0735✗1.282.4M2022-03-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5737-1.03%1.586-0.25%0.0603✗1.152.0M2022-03-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9497-1.02%2.732-8.32%0.0362✓0.89223k2022-03-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.291537-1.01%0.2736-7.10%0.0034✓1.32317k2022-03-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.4235-1.00%17.86-4.03%0.0243✗1.2128.4M2022-03-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.800197-0.99%0.741-8.31%0.0108✓1.45270k2022-03-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2754-0.98%2.232-2.87%0.0223✗0.9123k2022-03-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4497-0.98%1.602+9.43%0.1481✗1.063.4M2022-03-09
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.6844-0.98%8.93-8.69%0.0257✓1.213.5M2022-03-09
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009478-0.96%0.00949-0.84%0.0588✗1.26563k2022-03-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.50951-0.95%0.4455-13.39%0.0715✓1.37484k2022-03-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020876-0.94%0.015975-24.19%0.2280✓0.87135k2022-03-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004646-0.93%0.0039-16.84%0.1005✓1.649.6M2022-03-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5182-0.93%5.23-6.10%0.0147✓0.85540k2022-03-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1909-0.92%1.185-1.41%0.0491✗1.192.9M2022-03-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.228676-0.92%0.2116-8.32%0.0107✓1.472.5M2022-03-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.305187-0.91%0.279-9.42%0.0301✓1.312.2M2022-03-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0385.984-0.89%5.029-16.71%0.1261✓1.05166k2022-03-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0501-0.89%10.46+3.16%0.0701✗0.66928k2022-03-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040419-0.88%0.04098+0.49%0.0590✗0.9929k2022-03-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.254855-0.87%0.2319-9.80%0.0528✓0.912.0M2022-03-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2117-0.87%2.1758-2.48%0.0161✗0.7126k2022-03-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,532.83-0.86%41,953.97-4.46%0.0087✗1.00632.3M2022-03-09
DASHDashDash100.9100.0341-0.86%99.72-1.17%0.0483✗1.131.5M2022-03-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.565759-0.85%0.524645-8.06%0.0238✓1.132.8M2022-03-09
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6431-0.85%6.28-6.27%0.0072✓1.3927k2022-03-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.090247-0.83%0.09322+2.44%0.0807✗1.0643k2022-03-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3772-0.82%6.1-5.13%0.0042✓0.88478k2022-03-09
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7136.5838-0.81%127.5-7.41%0.0076✓1.346.8M2022-03-09
GTGateEthereum6.8036.7494-0.79%6.654-2.19%0.0178✗0.702.8M2022-03-09
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4357-0.79%6.0487-6.75%0.0008✓1.34257k2022-03-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028098-0.78%0.02596-8.33%0.0439✓0.774.0M2022-03-09
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.1137-0.77%1.89-11.27%0.0588✓1.16354k2022-03-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.195551-0.74%0.2005+1.78%0.0873✗1.362.8M2022-03-09
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.147921-0.72%0.1415-5.03%0.0074✓0.81294k2022-03-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.394167-0.71%0.3204-19.29%0.1422✓1.421.3M2022-03-09
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061074-0.70%0.060814-1.12%0.0308✗0.77307k2022-03-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4282.8689-0.66%77.65-6.92%0.0001✓1.43120.2M2022-03-09
XEMNEMnative0.10640.105703-0.66%0.101-5.08%0.0011✓0.9740k2022-03-09
UNIUniswapEthereum10.059.9865-0.63%9.21-8.36%0.0269✓1.1910.4M2022-03-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.5735-0.62%83.31-3.25%0.0116✗0.84905k2022-03-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.698632-0.62%0.662-5.83%0.0048✓1.082.6M2022-03-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132258-0.62%0.121511-8.69%0.0418✓0.943.7M2022-03-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.23-0.61%18.777-7.75%0.0294✓0.999.1M2022-03-09
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.933775-0.60%0.8495-9.57%0.0433✓1.1296.3M2022-03-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.245728-0.52%0.237-4.05%0.0028✓0.8566k2022-03-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43318.7928-0.51%307.25-4.11%0.0074✗0.977.3M2022-03-09
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.2225-0.50%88.1-12.54%0.0715✓1.26131.2M2022-03-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.816272-0.50%0.7672-6.48%0.0104✓1.1319.9M2022-03-09
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.6244-0.50%135.22-2.23%0.0348✗1.151.0M2022-03-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2148-0.49%14.02-8.31%0.0281✓1.1850.8M2022-03-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.164701-0.43%0.15435-6.69%0.0109✓1.1822k2022-03-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35109.8791-0.43%106.99-3.04%0.0244✗1.1229.5M2022-03-09
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.4896-0.39%118.86+0.77%0.0568✗0.996.3M2022-03-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016278-0.38%0.01383-15.36%0.0935✓1.5212.7M2022-03-09
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,939.52-0.31%2,727.60-7.49%0.0272✓1.04581.4M2022-03-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075205-0.26%0.0713-5.44%0.0081✓0.99157k2022-03-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.19319-0.22%0.188762-2.51%0.0257✗1.0719.8M2022-03-09
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8751-0.17%1.7476-6.95%0.0167✓1.18179k2022-03-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.