8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0012
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.0%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.072737-0.36%0.0657-10.00%0.0251✗0.99160k2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.132929-0.39%0.116934-12.38%0.0071✓0.943.7M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107557-0.50%0.0935-13.51%0.0153✓0.9740k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.2785-0.55%8.37-10.29%0.0535✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.1964-0.64%0.169685-14.16%0.0088✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9255-0.65%1.6162-16.61%0.0227✓1.19179k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.0693-0.66%98.35-13.59%0.0055✓1.1329.3M2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.234295-0.72%0.231-2.12%0.0953✗0.8559k2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7498.9976-0.74%81.66-18.13%0.0288✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.0264-0.75%12.7-16.12%0.0163✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.4433-0.76%5.712-12.02%0.0512✗1.34184k2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.7324-0.80%109.5-7.74%0.0733✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.5199.6533-0.85%85.9-14.54%0.0025✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74114.742-0.86%110.5-4.53%0.0887✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6787.8959-0.87%76.42-13.82%0.0313✓0.85905k2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,897.46-0.88%2,491.58-14.76%0.0168✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061241-0.88%0.058556-5.23%0.0541✗0.77286k2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5405-0.90%6.17-6.52%0.0072✓0.511.1M2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.954903-0.94%0.7932-17.72%0.0418✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.068836-0.96%0.0671-3.45%0.1030✗1.0012k2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27336.0113-0.96%273.86-19.28%0.0781✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,774.75-0.97%37,994.00-12.04%0.0097✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041525-0.99%0.03834-8.58%0.0482✗1.0029k2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.859735-1.00%0.7277-16.20%0.0197✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004345-1.03%0.00392-10.71%0.1059✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.164605-1.07%0.14835-10.84%0.0515✗1.2127k2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.488-1.13%1.274-15.35%0.0114✓1.12931k2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025493-1.15%0.00002279-11.63%0.0472✗1.243.8M2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.6323-1.16%6.77+0.89%0.1117✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.688903-1.16%0.649-6.89%0.0784✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8378-1.19%1.7-8.60%0.0911✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077737-1.21%0.0000689-12.44%0.0209✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1831-1.22%1.84-16.74%0.0200✓1.18343k2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.3881-1.22%39.76-13.47%0.0058✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012158-1.23%0.012-2.52%0.0825✗0.7512k2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6951-1.23%1.8793+9.50%0.2326✗1.0172k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5515-1.24%1.435-8.66%0.0692✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.567893-1.24%0.472233-17.88%0.0381✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.866013-1.25%0.762-13.11%0.0370✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.15117-1.26%0.1333-12.93%0.0208✓0.82295k2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.731793-1.27%0.63315-14.57%0.0317✗1.38206k2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.229096-1.29%0.1993-14.13%0.0511✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.494146-1.31%0.4144-17.24%0.0003✓1.37484k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.56211-1.31%0.6711+17.82%0.3470✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5434-1.32%1.585+1.34%0.1615✗1.053.4M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.4025-1.33%17.761-14.10%0.0101✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.38899-1.35%0.3195-18.97%0.0123✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0555-1.36%0.93-13.08%0.0916✓0.27286k2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,533.40-1.40%37,523.40-13.01%0.0002✓0.9846k2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1747-1.41%3.6598-13.57%0.0150✗1.14244k2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0278-1.42%0.89059-14.58%0.0272✗1.33162k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28128.4228-1.43%120.6-7.43%0.0838✗1.14930k2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.3779-1.44%8.31-21.08%0.0696✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.084459-1.45%0.0802-6.42%0.1363✗1.47613k2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.371736-1.45%0.3298-12.57%0.0560✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.1453-1.46%13.71-10.80%0.0909✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.00000196-1.50%0.00000177-11.06%0.0162✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.3402-1.50%33.73-11.03%0.0833✗1.44280k2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.7866-1.51%4.783-18.59%0.0544✓1.06189k2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028921-1.53%0.02497-14.98%0.0465✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5330.0593-1.54%26.15-14.35%0.0000✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.01768-1.56%0.01158-35.52%0.2247✓1.5512.5M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1456-1.58%1.085-6.79%0.1010✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.241519-1.58%0.2184-11.00%0.0154✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.159.9892-1.58%10.23+0.79%0.1094✗0.67928k2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1575-1.61%1.9115-12.83%0.0304✓0.7126k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.809614-1.63%0.7051-14.33%0.0483✗1.45270k2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.0102-1.64%0.00883-14.85%0.0159✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.9278-1.64%22.43-14.91%0.0324✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.090609-1.65%0.08764-4.87%0.1034✗1.0745k2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83143.4202-1.65%116.88-19.85%0.0311✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.128147-1.65%0.1105-15.20%0.0164✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.6361-1.66%16.4-13.46%0.0289✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5983.1761-1.67%71.75-15.18%0.0363✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009517-1.68%0.00866-10.54%0.0670✗1.26546k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.8253-1.70%5.3807-9.20%0.0397✓0.31385k2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.048426-1.70%0.041733-15.29%0.0113✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0827-1.72%3.62-12.86%0.0386✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4855-1.74%4.234-7.25%0.0517✗0.85435k2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.782711-1.76%0.694-12.89%0.0203✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5385-1.76%1.307-16.54%0.0227✗1.45863k2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.189117-1.76%0.1942+0.88%0.2026✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.070744-1.76%0.06777-5.89%0.1159✗1.2469k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.736768-1.76%0.6-20.00%0.0146✓1.72995k2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.452857-1.77%0.381-17.35%0.0083✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31167.2716-1.78%157.95-7.26%0.0700✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1752-1.79%2.878-10.98%0.0133✓0.87477k2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.6289-1.79%5.615-16.81%0.0134✓1.4027k2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.7793-1.80%18.4-13.04%0.0626✗1.44325k2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3034-1.84%1.1872-10.59%0.0813✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.962247-1.84%0.8412-14.19%0.0169✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.302288-1.85%0.268-12.99%0.0471✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.3258-1.86%28.16-8.87%0.0459✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.7596-1.86%4.4-9.28%0.0495✗1.00828k2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5907-1.87%2.28-13.64%0.0005✓1.00490k2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,185.47-1.87%18,376.27-14.88%0.0161✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.8015-1.88%1.725-6.05%0.0687✗0.8776k2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.15811-1.92%0.1422-11.79%0.0263✗1.03446k2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.7957-1.93%2.3622-17.14%0.0131✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0593-1.93%2.8817-7.63%0.0533✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.3001-1.93%17.82-17.96%0.0328✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.129444-1.94%0.1-24.24%0.1843✓0.5844k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2119-1.95%0.976-21.04%0.0790✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3334-1.95%1.13-16.91%0.0291✓1.06932k2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.047758-1.95%0.04852-0.39%0.1712✗1.21686k2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.358453-1.98%0.3173-13.23%0.0853✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.8589-1.98%17.31+6.98%0.1799✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.9162-2.00%12.47-12.18%0.0317✗1.10331k2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.225-2.00%1.04-16.80%0.0105✓1.19610k2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.7626-2.00%3.97-18.31%0.0128✓1.52430k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.076424-2.02%0.0672-13.85%0.0406✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.7202-2.04%16.42-18.43%0.0324✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75118.2504-2.07%98.5-18.43%0.0273✓1.2164k2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.286-2.08%46.15-15.20%0.0217✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.742532-2.09%0.73-3.74%0.0287✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.288328-2.10%0.2527-14.19%0.0376✗1.32367k2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4243-2.13%2.085-15.83%0.0314✓0.9321k2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010753-2.16%0.01182+7.55%0.2728✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.8484-2.18%3.496-11.13%0.0698✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.6956-2.18%28.29-9.85%0.0664✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3853-2.24%2.11-13.52%0.0064✓1.01254k2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.02833-2.31%0.0248-14.48%0.0386✗1.34494k2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.0378-2.34%2.8397-8.70%0.0467✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76366.1778-2.34%52.8584-22.00%0.0457✓1.40214k2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3204-2.34%1.243-8.06%0.1086✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.4605-2.36%2.32-7.94%0.0695✗1.00486k2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.4952-2.39%4.618-17.98%0.0537✓0.9468k2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.3824-2.44%1.98-18.92%0.0022✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.4389-2.44%5.93-10.15%0.0319✗0.89452k2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4529-2.46%2.88-18.64%0.0182✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.3743-2.46%5.01-9.07%0.0403✗0.86510k2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4601-2.49%2.9274-17.50%0.0013✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011844-2.50%0.011201-7.80%0.0765✗1.0316k2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.545887-2.64%0.4925-12.16%0.0137✓0.91641k2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.6101-2.65%5.62-17.23%0.0198✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020821-2.71%0.01691-20.98%0.0663✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0303-2.72%2.706-13.13%0.0021✓0.90218k2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.5913-2.73%2.56-3.90%0.1593✗1.34584k2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022034-2.74%0.017437-23.03%0.1240✓0.86117k2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.490083-2.76%0.4075-19.15%0.0720✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.068314-2.82%0.0544-22.62%0.0006✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6235-3.10%1.3125-21.66%0.0494✓1.27272k2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.033877-3.29%0.03434-1.97%0.1296✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.2793-3.32%5.302-29.58%0.2564✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2051-3.37%3.353+1.09%0.1692✗0.97741k2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 291.3888.2038-3.48%77.85-14.81%0.0619✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.17e-7-3.57%0.000001442+125.18%0.9763✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3515-3.59%2.469+1.23%0.1614✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.2765-3.62%7.76+2.78%0.1794✗0.90461k2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7725-3.67%1.59-13.59%0.0478✗1.22483k2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.9167-4.31%7.8+7.91%0.2934✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.