8=======>

2022-02-25 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1030
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.5%
in alpha space · 70.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.961.8916-3.49%1.76-10.20%0.0691✓1.63539k2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.096.8501-3.38%6.311-10.99%0.0813✓0.372.0M2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.00e-76.77e-7-3.30%7.37e-7+5.26%0.0867✗1.001.4M2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06960.067328-3.26%0.0566-18.68%0.1700✓1.9272.8M2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64421.5934-3.09%1.4243-13.37%0.1096✓1.44251k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5330.517231-2.96%0.5292-0.71%0.0246✓0.93643k2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 273.271.2918-2.61%83.49+14.06%0.1605✗1.394.5M2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035460.034543-2.59%0.03451-2.68%0.0006✓0.871.5M2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4190.408461-2.52%0.438+4.53%0.0736✗2.072.1M2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1681.1388-2.50%1.039-11.04%0.0894✓1.241.0M2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85951.814-2.45%2.5067+34.81%0.3247✗0.672.7M2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.1733-2.32%5.82-7.91%0.0563✓1.411.2M2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2238-2.31%3.04-7.88%0.0562✓1.357.1M2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027063-2.30%0.0277+0.00%0.0259✗1.46497k2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3151.2855-2.24%1.346+2.36%0.0485✗1.371.8M2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase67.124965.6325-2.22%60.2327-10.27%0.0831✓1.49231k2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227120.022227-2.13%0.018594-18.13%0.1765✓1.06114k2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3652.3147-2.13%2.252-4.78%0.0246✓1.5313.2M2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.326.7289-2.09%30.51+11.76%0.1344✗1.1252.8M2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.135179-2.04%0.105-23.91%0.2509✓0.9551k2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0486660.047685-2.01%0.044148-9.28%0.0748✓1.228.1M2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum4.9384.8394-2.00%9.216+86.63%0.6459✗0.931.9M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.624.5298-1.95%4.05-12.34%0.1091✓1.54432k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88330.866088-1.95%0.7817-11.50%0.1015✓0.571.4M2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018130.01778-1.93%0.01761-2.87%0.0076✓1.112.2M2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0004-1.93%0.97-4.90%0.0308✓0.03286k2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07340.072002-1.90%0.0692-5.72%0.0371✓1.401.0M2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.349-1.87%17.62-0.34%0.0176✓1.1522.7M2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.21313.155-1.81%3.0789-4.18%0.0220✓1.352.1M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.2629.7174-1.79%28.68-5.22%0.0337✓1.021.7M2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.26320.258501-1.79%0.2623-0.34%0.0171✓1.39451k2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.24741.2252-1.78%1.2576+0.81%0.0287✗1.442.6M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.7875-1.76%18.21-13.94%0.1295✓1.59325k2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.90190.886031-1.76%0.9048+0.32%0.0233✗1.271.8M2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73672.6887-1.75%2.4781-9.45%0.0792✓1.313.2M2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero153.74151.0502-1.75%159.78+3.93%0.0580✗1.00966k2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010160.009983-1.75%0.01111+9.35%0.1097✗1.502.5M2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.6793.6154-1.73%3.72+1.11%0.0309✗1.301.9M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12920.12697-1.73%0.1169-9.52%0.0802✓1.313.1M2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.029220.028725-1.69%0.0266-8.97%0.0754✓0.794.4M2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2724.8478-1.67%22.86-9.54%0.0807✓1.481.8M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046090.045331-1.65%0.04735+2.73%0.0459✗1.24703k2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.451.4262-1.64%1.358-6.34%0.0462✓1.53941k2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4470.439678-1.64%0.412-7.83%0.0625✓1.384.6M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35130.345548-1.64%0.3464-1.39%0.0056✓1.7015.9M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0117130.011522-1.63%0.011391-2.75%0.0094✓1.1135k2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0173.9517-1.63%3.618-9.93%0.0858✓1.312.4M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73860.726672-1.61%0.71-3.87%0.0212✓1.109.6M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,386.5038,752.12-1.61%39,591.90+0.52%0.0232✗0.9649k2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.1872.1519-1.60%2.134-2.42%0.0064✓1.0519k2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.91735.824-1.58%5.5379-6.41%0.0496✓0.42433k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum139.7137.4996-1.58%124.3-11.02%0.0982✓1.466.5M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00880.008662-1.57%0.00847-3.75%0.0201✓1.29546k2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.0579.7878-1.56%75.82-6.45%0.0483✓1.49106.7M2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14680.144515-1.56%0.1472+0.27%0.0204✗1.06446k2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.00000187-1.55%0.00000183-3.68%0.0206✓0.6914.7M2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1650.3708-1.54%49.7-2.85%0.0109✓1.357.3M2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2448-1.54%2.22-2.63%0.0093✓1.01270k2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9334.8571-1.54%4.97+0.75%0.0245✗0.8365k2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.232.1958-1.54%2.72+21.97%0.2159✗1.00639k2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum4.514.4419-1.51%5.07+12.42%0.1339✗0.91696k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum112.66110.9591-1.51%108.79-3.44%0.0174✓1.3058k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14690.144685-1.51%0.1405-4.36%0.0279✓0.81321k2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8341.8064-1.51%1.799-1.91%0.0023✓1.0076k2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2970.292641-1.47%0.274-7.74%0.0633✓1.392.1M2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.5238-1.47%17.4+18.05%0.1820✗0.711.9M2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1451.1283-1.46%1.114-2.71%0.0103✓1.302.8M2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.732.6903-1.45%2.36-13.55%0.1291✓1.00544k2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.009530.009392-1.45%0.00944-0.94%0.0075✓1.291.2M2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2817.0301-1.45%16.79-2.84%0.0118✓1.3326.4M2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,170.9619,879.27-1.45%19,859.01-1.55%0.0008✓1.005.7M2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22330.220075-1.44%0.235+5.24%0.0675✗1.001.9M2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5712.5343-1.43%2.883+12.14%0.1304✗0.83207k2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.151.1336-1.42%1.11-3.48%0.0187✓1.30695k2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum43.0942.4775-1.42%40.5-6.01%0.0456✓1.1523.5M2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2826.1935-1.41%5.851-6.86%0.0544✓1.3828k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.379.2387-1.40%10.37+10.67%0.1168✗0.68853k2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0127.6288-1.36%27.63-1.36%0.0021✓1.124.9M2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72992.6928-1.36%3.0093+10.23%0.1129✗0.982.3M2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.77330.76281-1.36%0.7354-4.90%0.0338✓1.53299k2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8714.6685-1.36%15.26+2.62%0.0423✗1.522.3M2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085970.084807-1.35%0.08893+3.44%0.0495✗1.1146k2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.35.2283-1.35%8.51+60.57%0.4887✗0.86435k2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73112.6944-1.34%3.0177+10.49%0.1150✗0.932.9M2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3362.3049-1.33%3.317+41.99%0.3663✗1.25727k2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.710478-1.32%0.65-9.72%0.0854✓1.92995k2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.870362-1.32%0.78-11.56%0.1071✓1.372.1M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration124.6122.9596-1.32%120.67-3.15%0.0166✓1.20930k2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.46619.2165-1.28%18.238-6.31%0.0503✓1.079.6M2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9418.7006-1.26%18.82-0.63%0.0087✓1.269.1M2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36110.356643-1.23%0.34-5.84%0.0452✓1.438.4M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024524-1.23%0.00002353-5.24%0.0389✓1.353.8M2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.31346.2363-1.22%6.6818+5.84%0.0704✗0.793.0M2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012020.011875-1.21%0.01211+0.75%0.0210✗0.7615k2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17410.172065-1.17%0.1952+12.12%0.1287✗1.412.8M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0820.081049-1.16%0.0851+3.78%0.0516✗1.55668k2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0659-1.15%2.02-3.35%0.0202✓1.23343k2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46340.458065-1.15%0.4504-2.81%0.0142✓1.48572k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5575-1.14%5.38+16.70%0.1674✗0.78459k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000075230.000074382-1.13%0.00007061-6.14%0.0499✓1.184.5M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.12012.0962-1.13%2.0304-4.23%0.0303✓0.8827k2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8312.6856-1.13%12.38-3.51%0.0225✓1.02340k2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.89970.889744-1.11%0.845-6.08%0.0495✓1.1697.3M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6355.5729-1.10%5-11.27%0.1067✓0.99223k2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.70230.694567-1.10%0.65401-6.88%0.0575✓1.44224k2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.595-1.10%1.9091+18.38%0.1816✗1.0072k2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.93923.8959-1.10%3.9678+0.73%0.0205✗1.20284k2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.92.8682-1.10%2.877-0.79%0.0048✓0.94477k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004340.004293-1.09%0.004-7.83%0.0672✓1.8512.3M2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06490.064192-1.09%0.06438-0.80%0.0052✓1.2374k2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37270.368658-1.08%0.35-6.09%0.0492✓1.471.3M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5361.5195-1.07%1.32-14.06%0.1387✓1.103.4M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4295-1.07%1.413-2.21%0.0094✓1.201.6M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03890.038494-1.04%0.03781-2.80%0.0160✓1.0730k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0914.0484-1.04%4.438+8.48%0.0934✗0.82414k2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4531.438-1.03%1.348-7.23%0.0624✓1.19963k2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5916-1.03%6.27+10.97%0.1160✗0.84430k2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.955960.946114-1.03%0.94943-0.68%0.0061✓1.41165k2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.647355-1.02%0.69+5.50%0.0659✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.661.6432-1.02%1.72+3.61%0.0481✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.13266.071-1.00%5.9254-3.38%0.0216✓1.45184k2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5395390.534303-0.97%0.495114-8.23%0.0740✓1.173.1M2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.158690.157151-0.97%0.15063-5.08%0.0399✓1.3728k2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06460.063977-0.96%0.0679+5.11%0.0615✗1.0713k2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase34.7334.3967-0.96%33.61-3.22%0.0204✓1.49309k2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.21210.210066-0.96%0.209-1.46%0.0023✓1.533.3M2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48210.477562-0.94%0.7304+51.50%0.4273✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.1661-0.91%8.81-4.76%0.0372✓1.3410.8M2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0594790.058943-0.90%0.058264-2.04%0.0101✓0.83286k2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.3914.2616-0.89%13.74-4.52%0.0350✓1.2459.6M2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.884.0444-0.89%79.36-6.42%0.0557✓0.89946k2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83120.823916-0.88%0.7605-8.51%0.0779✓1.2222.9M2022-03-04
DASHDashDash92.992.1032-0.86%89.59-3.56%0.0256✓1.131.5M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,238.4838,904.95-0.85%39,166.51-0.18%0.0085✓1.00632.3M2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,769.522,746.52-0.83%2,623.07-5.29%0.0440✓1.08561.7M2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.2788-0.81%6.1-3.63%0.0281✓0.421.2M2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.2002-0.81%1.17-3.31%0.0232✓1.28885k2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash309.04306.6007-0.79%290.67-5.94%0.0515✓1.007.3M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum112.52111.6601-0.76%118.5+5.31%0.0613✗1.036.4M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018190.018051-0.76%0.01443-20.67%0.2210✓1.6012.7M2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash106.72105.9397-0.73%117.05+9.68%0.1018✗1.137.6M2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.33108.5645-0.70%101.05-7.57%0.0695✓1.1929.5M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.29.1358-0.70%8.58-6.74%0.0604✓1.293.2M2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1911420.189842-0.68%0.17606-7.89%0.0733✓1.1120.5M2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2290.227545-0.64%0.24+4.80%0.0549✗0.8557k2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana92.8492.3233-0.56%88.32-4.87%0.0420✓1.29132.7M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.87731.8672-0.54%1.7529-6.63%0.0609✓1.23196k2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.09850.098022-0.49%0.096-2.54%0.0189✓1.0538k2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277810.127164-0.48%0.122392-4.22%0.0364✓1.003.7M2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06890.068875-0.04%0.0671-2.61%0.0242✓1.05168k2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.392.39-0.00%3.09+29.29%0.2595✗1.41572k2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.