8=======>

2022-02-25 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1825
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.9%
in alpha space · 69.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 273.270.2338-4.05%83.49+14.06%0.1754✗1.394.5M2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06960.066818-4.00%0.0566-18.68%0.1624✓1.9272.8M2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum7.096.8382-3.55%6.311-10.99%0.0796✓0.372.0M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum1.961.8922-3.46%1.76-10.20%0.0694✓1.63539k2022-03-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.00e-76.76e-7-3.38%7.37e-7+5.26%0.0875✗1.001.4M2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1380.133807-3.04%0.105-23.91%0.2407✓0.9551k2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.64421.5969-2.88%1.4243-13.37%0.1117✓1.44251k2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4190.409136-2.35%0.438+4.53%0.0720✗2.072.1M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0117130.011496-1.85%0.011391-2.75%0.0072✓1.1135k2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,386.5038,688.34-1.77%39,591.90+0.52%0.0248✗0.9649k2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027214-1.76%0.0277+0.00%0.0204✗1.46497k2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035460.034838-1.75%0.03451-2.68%0.0079✓0.871.5M2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1681.1475-1.75%1.039-11.04%0.0971✓1.241.0M2022-03-04
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0025-1.71%0.97-4.90%0.0329✓0.03286k2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0486660.047859-1.66%0.044148-9.28%0.0785✓1.228.1M2022-03-04
ORCAOrcaSolana2.732.6866-1.59%2.36-13.55%0.1278✓1.00544k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88330.869981-1.51%0.7817-11.50%0.1059✓0.571.4M2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.8418-1.50%18.21-13.94%0.1321✓1.59325k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5330.525094-1.48%0.5292-0.71%0.0095✓0.93643k2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14680.144882-1.31%0.1472+0.27%0.0178✗1.06446k2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.326.9445-1.30%30.51+11.76%0.1263✗1.1252.8M2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.24741.2314-1.29%1.2576+0.81%0.0237✗1.442.6M2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.2724.9474-1.28%22.86-9.54%0.0847✓1.481.8M2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.92.8634-1.26%2.877-0.79%0.0065✓0.94477k2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.2416-1.24%5.82-7.91%0.0673✓1.411.2M2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.2622-1.14%3.04-7.88%0.0681✓1.357.1M2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06460.063865-1.14%0.0679+5.11%0.0632✗1.0713k2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum43.0942.6-1.14%40.5-6.01%0.0484✓1.1523.5M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0173.9714-1.14%3.618-9.93%0.0908✓1.312.4M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.2629.9209-1.12%28.68-5.22%0.0405✓1.021.7M2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.70230.694603-1.10%0.65401-6.88%0.0576✓1.44224k2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018130.017931-1.10%0.01761-2.87%0.0160✓1.112.2M2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase67.124966.3981-1.08%60.2327-10.27%0.0947✓1.49231k2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012020.011892-1.06%0.01211+0.75%0.0195✗0.7615k2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85951.8398-1.06%2.5067+34.81%0.3106✗0.672.7M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046090.045618-1.02%0.04735+2.73%0.0395✗1.24703k2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3652.3409-1.02%2.252-4.78%0.0359✓1.5313.2M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03890.038505-1.02%0.03781-2.80%0.0162✓1.0730k2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero153.74152.2585-0.96%159.78+3.93%0.0501✗1.00966k2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2587-0.93%2.22-2.63%0.0154✓1.01270k2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9418.7646-0.93%18.82-0.63%0.0053✓1.269.1M2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.5181-0.92%17.62-0.34%0.0079✓1.1522.7M2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000075230.000074549-0.91%0.00007061-6.14%0.0521✓1.184.5M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35130.348123-0.90%0.3464-1.39%0.0018✓1.7015.9M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.12012.1014-0.88%2.0304-4.23%0.0327✓0.8827k2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.874234-0.88%0.78-11.56%0.1115✓1.372.1M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.91735.8652-0.88%5.5379-6.41%0.0567✓0.42433k2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.451.4373-0.87%1.358-6.34%0.0540✓1.53941k2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73860.732195-0.87%0.71-3.87%0.0288✓1.109.6M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12920.128099-0.85%0.1169-9.52%0.0891✓1.313.1M2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.029220.028972-0.85%0.0266-8.97%0.0840✓0.794.4M2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,170.9620,000.35-0.85%19,859.01-1.55%0.0053✓1.005.7M2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.6165-0.84%17.4+18.05%0.1756✗0.711.9M2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1650.7321-0.84%49.7-2.85%0.0181✓1.357.3M2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4470.443304-0.83%0.412-7.83%0.0707✓1.384.6M2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.14690.14571-0.81%0.1405-4.36%0.0349✓0.81321k2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4531.4412-0.81%1.348-7.23%0.0647✓1.19963k2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8714.7504-0.80%15.26+2.62%0.0368✗1.522.3M2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07340.072812-0.80%0.0692-5.72%0.0483✓1.401.0M2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum4.9384.8994-0.78%9.216+86.63%0.6335✗0.931.9M2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.151.1412-0.76%1.11-3.48%0.0253✓1.30695k2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3362.3182-0.76%3.317+41.99%0.3606✗1.25727k2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum139.7138.6382-0.76%124.3-11.02%0.1065✓1.466.5M2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.0127.799-0.75%27.63-1.36%0.0040✓1.124.9M2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36110.358381-0.75%0.34-5.84%0.0500✓1.438.4M2022-03-04
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001886-0.74%0.00000183-3.68%0.0289✓0.6914.7M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.93923.9102-0.74%3.9678+0.73%0.0168✗1.20284k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0914.061-0.73%4.438+8.48%0.0903✗0.82414k2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227120.022547-0.73%0.018594-18.13%0.1908✓1.06114k2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.26320.261291-0.73%0.2623-0.34%0.0064✓1.39451k2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3151.3055-0.72%1.346+2.36%0.0331✗1.371.8M2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9334.8978-0.71%4.97+0.75%0.0161✗0.8365k2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73672.7181-0.68%2.4781-9.45%0.0901✓1.313.2M2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1451.1376-0.64%1.114-2.71%0.0186✓1.302.8M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.624.5903-0.64%4.05-12.34%0.1224✓1.54432k2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.6793.6556-0.64%3.72+1.11%0.0198✗1.301.9M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.661.6495-0.63%1.72+3.61%0.0443✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8312.7497-0.63%12.38-3.51%0.0275✓1.02340k2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2826.2433-0.62%5.851-6.86%0.0624✓1.3828k2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.2817.1752-0.61%16.79-2.84%0.0202✓1.3326.4M2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085970.085451-0.60%0.08893+3.44%0.0419✗1.1146k2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6031-0.59%1.9091+18.38%0.1765✗1.0072k2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.1872.1741-0.59%2.134-2.42%0.0167✓1.0519k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum112.66112.0154-0.57%108.79-3.44%0.0268✓1.3058k2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.77330.769009-0.55%0.7354-4.90%0.0419✓1.53299k2022-03-04
DASHDashDash92.992.3857-0.55%89.59-3.56%0.0287✓1.131.5M2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.31346.2787-0.55%6.6818+5.84%0.0637✗0.793.0M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2970.295385-0.54%0.274-7.74%0.0726✓1.392.1M2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.35.2713-0.54%8.51+60.57%0.4805✗0.86435k2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.158690.157842-0.53%0.15063-5.08%0.0443✓1.3728k2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.884.3542-0.53%79.36-6.42%0.0594✓0.89946k2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.09850.097995-0.51%0.096-2.54%0.0186✓1.0538k2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.336.2987-0.50%6.1-3.63%0.0313✓0.421.2M2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative19.46619.3745-0.47%18.238-6.31%0.0585✓1.079.6M2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase34.7334.5673-0.47%33.61-3.22%0.0253✓1.49309k2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5395390.537021-0.47%0.495114-8.23%0.0791✓1.173.1M2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.90190.897833-0.45%0.9048+0.32%0.0101✗1.271.8M2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0594790.059211-0.45%0.058264-2.04%0.0146✓0.83286k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.379.328-0.45%10.37+10.67%0.1071✗0.68853k2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.83120.827477-0.45%0.7605-8.51%0.0822✓1.2222.9M2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash106.72106.2499-0.44%117.05+9.68%0.0989✗1.137.6M2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.48210.480173-0.40%0.7304+51.50%0.4219✗1.332.0M2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.955960.952185-0.39%0.94943-0.68%0.0003✓1.41165k2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72992.7194-0.38%3.0093+10.23%0.1031✗0.982.3M2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.0580.7452-0.38%75.82-6.45%0.0602✓1.49106.7M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024830.000024738-0.37%0.00002353-5.24%0.0476✓1.353.8M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.259.2165-0.36%8.81-4.76%0.0426✓1.3410.8M2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277810.127325-0.36%0.122392-4.22%0.0377✓1.003.7M2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.13266.1108-0.36%5.9254-3.38%0.0282✓1.45184k2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.06490.064677-0.34%0.06438-0.80%0.0023✓1.2374k2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash309.04307.9899-0.34%290.67-5.94%0.0560✓1.007.3M2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6355.617-0.32%5-11.27%0.1145✓0.99223k2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.00880.008773-0.31%0.00847-3.75%0.0327✓1.29546k2022-03-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004340.004327-0.31%0.004-7.83%0.0751✓1.8512.3M2022-03-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.232.2231-0.31%2.72+21.97%0.2035✗1.00639k2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4406-0.30%1.413-2.21%0.0172✓1.201.6M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.009530.009502-0.29%0.00944-0.94%0.0042✓1.291.2M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana92.8492.5742-0.29%88.32-4.87%0.0447✓1.29132.7M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,238.4839,126.40-0.29%39,166.51-0.18%0.0029✓1.00632.3M2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.0844-0.27%2.02-3.35%0.0291✓1.23343k2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.21313.2046-0.27%3.0789-4.18%0.0375✓1.352.1M2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.3914.3525-0.26%13.74-4.52%0.0413✓1.2459.6M2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.33109.0728-0.24%101.05-7.57%0.0742✓1.1929.5M2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano0.89970.89764-0.23%0.845-6.08%0.0583✓1.1697.3M2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.73112.7251-0.22%3.0177+10.49%0.1037✗0.932.9M2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.21210.211668-0.20%0.209-1.46%0.0099✓1.533.3M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37270.371994-0.19%0.35-6.09%0.0582✓1.471.3M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum9.29.1829-0.19%8.58-6.74%0.0655✓1.293.2M2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.6016-0.18%5.38+16.70%0.1577✗0.78459k2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.652833-0.18%0.69+5.50%0.0575✗1.162.0M2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22330.222904-0.18%0.235+5.24%0.0547✗1.001.9M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase1.87731.874-0.17%1.7529-6.63%0.0646✓1.23196k2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.6405-0.17%6.27+10.97%0.1073✗0.84430k2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5712.5672-0.15%2.883+12.14%0.1176✗0.83207k2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum4.514.5037-0.14%5.07+12.42%0.1201✗0.91696k2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.719211-0.11%0.65-9.72%0.0977✓1.92995k2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46340.463226-0.04%0.4504-2.81%0.0254✓1.48572k2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,769.522,769.13-0.01%2,623.07-5.29%0.0522✓1.08561.7M2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration124.6124.624+0.02%120.67-3.15%0.0300✗1.20930k2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1911420.191188+0.02%0.17606-7.89%0.0804✗1.1120.5M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0820.082037+0.04%0.0851+3.78%0.0395✓1.55668k2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum112.52112.5804+0.05%118.5+5.31%0.0531✓1.036.4M2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010160.010171+0.11%0.01111+9.35%0.0911✓1.502.5M2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17410.174367+0.15%0.1952+12.12%0.1155✓1.412.8M2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.2137+0.31%1.17-3.31%0.0343✗1.28885k2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06890.069122+0.32%0.0671-2.61%0.0278✗1.05168k2022-03-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8341.8434+0.51%1.799-1.91%0.0226✗1.0076k2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2290.230347+0.59%0.24+4.80%0.0426✓0.8557k2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5361.5546+1.21%1.32-14.06%0.1616✗1.103.4M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018190.018506+1.74%0.01443-20.67%0.2459✗1.6012.7M2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.392.4377+1.99%3.09+29.29%0.2397✓1.41572k2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.