2022-02-13 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2287

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.91%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

48.0%

in alpha space · 93.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.76%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.6747	-0.29%	8.95	+2.87%	0.1527	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.083714	-0.34%	0.0729	-13.21%	0.0251	✓	1.24	195k	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	92.5337	-0.42%	90.78	-2.30%	0.0971	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.476	-0.53%	6.2326	-4.27%	0.0944	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	116.3319	-0.68%	108.11	-7.70%	0.0430	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.064145	-0.69%	0.06201	-3.99%	0.0505	✗	0.92	344k	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,853.12	-0.69%	2,622.47	-8.72%	0.0193	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.890404	-0.70%	0.8455	-5.71%	0.0516	✗	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9854	-0.73%	1.73	-13.50%	0.0168	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.0989	-0.73%	1.9689	-6.88%	0.0483	✗	1.22	486k	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.801606	-0.74%	0.70618	-12.56%	0.0119	✗	1.51	299k	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.271	-0.76%	9.36	-9.57%	0.0302	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.6911	-0.77%	15.23	-9.45%	0.0686	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	331.1402	-0.80%	302.87	-9.27%	0.0049	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.147534	-0.80%	0.136714	-8.08%	0.0191	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.60444	-0.81%	0.570834	-6.33%	0.0505	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	120.9626	-0.83%	107.71	-11.69%	0.0215	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.109067	-0.85%	0.0988	-10.18%	0.0010	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,715.67	-0.85%	38,389.03	-8.76%	0.0086	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.87247	-0.86%	0.796	-9.55%	0.0354	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.2701	-0.87%	1.82	-20.52%	0.1318	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.402673	-0.87%	0.3917	-3.57%	0.0952	✗	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.034	-0.87%	0.9319	-10.66%	0.0003	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.042215	-0.88%	0.03914	-8.10%	0.0286	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.4622	-0.88%	14.6	-6.41%	0.0534	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.02978	-0.90%	0.02715	-9.65%	0.0125	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7124	-0.90%	1.6203	-6.23%	0.0476	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.208362	-0.93%	0.194647	-7.45%	0.0277	✗	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	124.5013	-0.93%	110.69	-11.92%	0.0007	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	101.0702	-0.94%	98.1	-3.85%	0.0751	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.8821	-0.94%	1.44	-24.21%	0.1590	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	39.7776	-0.95%	34.75	-13.47%	0.0090	✓	1.57	400k	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.739811	-0.96%	0.7	-6.29%	0.0462	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	51.3614	-1.02%	49.33	-4.93%	0.0905	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.005731	-1.02%	0.00465	-19.69%	0.0234	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.529033	-1.02%	0.516	-3.46%	0.0961	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.481	-1.03%	52.1	-10.30%	0.0159	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.438401	-1.04%	0.3961	-10.59%	0.0368	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.070648	-1.05%	0.0654	-8.40%	0.0256	✗	1.12	17k	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	14.9694	-1.06%	12.98	-14.21%	0.0452	✓	1.06	483k	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.4932	-1.06%	2.28	-9.52%	0.0055	✓	1.04	415k	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6423	-1.06%	1.49	-10.24%	0.0187	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1212	-1.07%	0.98512	-13.08%	0.0324	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	18.9203	-1.08%	18.962	-0.86%	0.1276	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.000080881	-1.09%	0.00007437	-9.05%	0.0219	✗	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.93964	-1.09%	0.94	-1.05%	0.0921	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3267	-1.12%	7.17	-3.24%	0.0057	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.90462	-1.15%	0.8239	-9.97%	0.0480	✗	1.54	637k	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.101318	-1.15%	0.091	-11.22%	0.0374	✗	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010863	-1.16%	0.00962	-12.47%	0.0070	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.287602	-1.17%	0.24	-17.53%	0.0942	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3422	-1.17%	2.48	+4.64%	0.1762	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.5812	-1.17%	1.454	-9.13%	0.0235	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.169836	-1.18%	0.15607	-9.19%	0.0650	✗	1.63	36k	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	0.997816	-1.20%	1.1176	+10.66%	0.2234	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.492894	-1.22%	0.471	-5.61%	0.0890	✗	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.548	-1.24%	6.14	-7.39%	0.0184	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	161.4749	-1.26%	138.87	-15.08%	0.0394	✓	1.22	930k	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.5344	-1.26%	23.63	-8.62%	0.0632	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	3.021	-1.27%	2.76	-9.80%	0.0013	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.265342	-1.29%	0.2213	-17.67%	0.0384	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.621495	-1.29%	0.5079	-19.33%	0.0593	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.5074	-1.29%	16.92	-9.76%	0.0360	✗	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.8136	-1.30%	4.65	-21.05%	0.1223	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.0462	-1.30%	0.9	-15.09%	0.0213	✓	1.41	655k	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	41,541.70	-1.31%	38,642.80	-8.19%	0.0168	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2276	-1.32%	1.063	-14.55%	0.0282	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	76.9265	-1.34%	77.39	-0.74%	0.1307	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.027304	-1.35%	0.025474	-7.97%	0.0489	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.277377	-1.36%	0.2525	-10.21%	0.0091	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.198139	-1.37%	0.1863	-7.27%	0.0688	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.6793	-1.38%	6.2563	-7.62%	0.0165	✗	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.716	-1.38%	2.5	-9.22%	0.0412	✗	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.042716	-1.39%	0.051219	+18.24%	0.2953	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7128	-1.39%	1.532	-11.80%	0.0091	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.5946	-1.40%	4.211	-9.64%	0.0091	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.6123	-1.45%	4.0929	-12.55%	0.0066	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8157	-1.48%	5.516	-6.56%	0.0277	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.3939	-1.48%	5.7	-12.17%	0.0375	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	155.9357	-1.49%	137.55	-13.10%	0.0038	✓	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.051876	-1.51%	0.0487	-7.54%	0.0663	✗	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.000002088	-1.51%	0.00000197	-7.08%	0.0336	✗	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.414302	-1.52%	0.3785	-10.03%	0.0732	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.896136	-1.52%	0.78	-14.29%	0.0411	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4156	-1.54%	5.01	-8.91%	0.0033	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.165999	-1.54%	0.154	-8.66%	0.0091	✓	0.72	388k	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.030186	-1.55%	0.02116	-30.98%	0.2533	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	91.0826	-1.55%	84.46	-8.71%	0.0075	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.3988	-1.57%	2.039	-16.33%	0.0708	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.2379	-1.57%	19.82	-3.60%	0.0906	✗	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013406	-1.57%	0.01266	-7.05%	0.0153	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.15856	-1.58%	0.1362	-15.46%	0.0556	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.145135	-1.60%	0.1343	-8.95%	0.0479	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010193	-1.61%	0.00912	-11.97%	0.0162	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.3977	-1.62%	4.06	-9.17%	0.0334	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.093639	-1.62%	0.08575	-9.91%	0.0117	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4219	-1.63%	3.02	-13.18%	0.0215	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	27.6756	-1.65%	27.93	-0.75%	0.0981	✗	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.074094	-1.65%	0.06754	-10.35%	0.0232	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.834014	-1.70%	0.7859	-7.37%	0.0395	✗	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	81.265	-1.70%	74.3242	-10.09%	0.0447	✗	1.46	315k	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.0538	-1.70%	0.9158	-14.57%	0.0045	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	21.017	-1.70%	18.79	-12.11%	0.0316	✗	1.57	375k	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	43.5537	-1.73%	40.84	-7.85%	0.0444	✗	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.372404	-1.74%	0.3	-20.84%	0.0909	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	31.9336	-1.74%	27.23	-16.22%	0.0618	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4343	-1.76%	1.23	-15.75%	0.0620	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.061477	-1.79%	0.0531	-15.18%	0.0138	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	10.8667	-1.84%	9.77	-11.74%	0.0399	✓	0.72	660k	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.3498	-1.84%	7.05	+29.36%	0.3754	✗	1.08	701k	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.115815	-1.85%	0.127	+7.63%	0.1839	✗	1.00	71k	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.3237	-1.87%	3.107	-8.27%	0.0150	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021064	-1.89%	0.019255	-10.31%	0.0230	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.3428	-1.89%	2.067	-13.44%	0.0261	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.1343	-1.89%	6.591	-9.36%	0.0470	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	170.6978	-1.90%	153.87	-11.57%	0.0076	✓	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	3.9827	-1.90%	4.38	+7.88%	0.2100	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,448.58	-1.93%	20,667.46	-9.71%	0.0055	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.271656	-1.96%	0.2401	-13.35%	0.0238	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.8906	-1.99%	5.36	-10.82%	0.0006	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	6.9114	-1.99%	5.697	-19.21%	0.0991	✓	1.03	407k	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.5017	-2.01%	14.71	-17.64%	0.1072	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	19.3732	-2.01%	18.7	-5.41%	0.0718	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.6947	-2.01%	2.55	-7.27%	0.0749	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011689	-2.02%	0.01078	-9.64%	0.0606	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	25.6486	-2.07%	26.09	-0.38%	0.1218	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.073	-2.10%	2.798	-10.86%	0.0182	✓	0.82	215k	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	121.7717	-2.14%	116.98	-5.99%	0.0779	✗	1.29	54k	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.6905	-2.16%	2.57	-6.55%	0.0459	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.7618	-2.17%	2.6921	-4.64%	0.0681	✗	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000029454	-2.18%	0.00002547	-15.41%	0.0153	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.6854	-2.18%	2.9539	-21.60%	0.1327	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.4696	-2.20%	6.97	+52.52%	0.4747	✗	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.7194	-2.30%	5.735	-2.03%	0.0318	✗	0.32	430k	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030412	-2.53%	0.028	-10.26%	0.0510	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.084411	-2.53%	0.0744	-14.09%	0.0014	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	3.9278	-2.54%	3.63	-9.93%	0.0477	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8321	-2.55%	1.41	-25.00%	0.1346	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.2601	-2.67%	0.95	-26.62%	0.2006	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.2814	-2.69%	1.8141	+37.77%	0.4932	✗	1.59	120k	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.7504	-2.70%	3.2624	-15.36%	0.0191	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.3267	-2.72%	2.1375	-37.50%	0.3607	✓	0.89	30k	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.0718	-2.73%	6.57	-9.63%	0.0404	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.7695	-2.94%	2.0176	+10.67%	0.1881	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.547806	-2.94%	0.4602	-18.46%	0.0013	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.554255	-3.15%	0.5119	-10.55%	0.0174	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.015799	-3.22%	0.01318	-19.26%	0.0722	✓	1.19	573k	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.043764	-3.24%	0.03634	-19.66%	0.1195	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.1198	-3.64%	1.96	-10.91%	0.1042	✗	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.5225	-4.21%	2.828	-40.10%	0.3852	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.