8=======>

2022-02-08 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0747
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.0%
in alpha space · 66.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.790371-7.62%0.6393-25.28%0.2329✓1.851.8M2022-02-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57987.067-6.77%5.9474-21.54%0.1759✓0.31389k2022-02-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8315.5682-4.51%5.179-11.18%0.0837✓1.001.0M2022-02-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.2684-3.83%1.3864+5.11%0.0716✗1.54106k2022-02-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.032996-3.72%0.029039-15.27%0.1418✓1.25114k2022-02-15
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.4832-3.59%4.43-4.73%0.0273✓1.368.3M2022-02-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0142-3.41%1.11+5.71%0.0685✗1.931.0M2022-02-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000030071-2.90%0.00003122+0.81%0.0219✓1.391.4M2022-02-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.3116-2.88%1.3014-3.63%0.0190✓1.002.1M2022-02-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.077607-2.87%0.0729-8.76%0.0812✓1.6627.8M2022-02-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.033456-2.74%0.0343-0.29%0.0080✓1.50490k2022-02-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2316.7728-2.65%17.36+0.75%0.0266✓0.70919k2022-02-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.5784-2.52%3.776+2.86%0.0439✗0.8827k2022-02-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.658.4359-2.47%7.99-7.63%0.0581✓0.341.6M2022-02-15
PROPropyEthereum2.232.1758-2.43%2.37+6.28%0.0742✗1.001.7M2022-02-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.084426-2.40%0.0929+7.40%0.0801✗1.38548k2022-02-15
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.4489-2.36%7.889-8.83%0.0722✓0.3238k2022-02-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.045199-2.34%0.04668+0.86%0.0210✓1.005.0M2022-02-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.015003-2.32%0.0136-11.46%0.1150✓1.491.7M2022-02-15
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.2933-2.26%4.1483-5.56%0.0491✓1.312.3M2022-02-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.2089-2.26%1.92-15.04%0.1556✓1.373.3M2022-02-15
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.3912-2.24%3.335-3.86%0.0277✓0.982.8M2022-02-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.3664-2.21%6.39-1.84%0.0074✓0.981.9M2022-02-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.4089-2.19%5.09-7.96%0.0744✓1.222.7M2022-02-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.120316-2.18%0.121-1.63%0.0056✓1.0081k2022-02-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4229.757-2.18%29.01-4.64%0.0379✓1.1198.1M2022-02-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.3472-2.13%3.18-7.02%0.0669✓1.3920.8M2022-02-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.04808-2.12%0.054953+11.88%0.1204✗1.178.8M2022-02-15
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97144.8621-2.10%136.04-8.06%0.0772✓1.2865k2022-02-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.532858-2.08%0.4669-14.20%0.1524✓1.8040.2M2022-02-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.8796-2.01%2.1748+13.38%0.1390✗0.612.9M2022-02-15
MOVRMoonriverBase101.761699.7961-1.93%98.6528-3.05%0.0274✓1.42320k2022-02-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9925.4903-1.92%23.7-8.81%0.0905✓1.57405k2022-02-15
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000092628-1.92%0.00008792-6.90%0.0650✓1.145.5M2022-02-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.220253-1.92%0.17939-20.11%0.2230✓1.5936k2022-02-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.968485-1.90%0.8985-8.99%0.0867✓1.0413.5M2022-02-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5042,104.72-1.89%44,051.40+2.65%0.0344✗0.9641k2022-02-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.160763-1.85%0.1666+1.71%0.0240✗1.04362k2022-02-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1325,059.13-1.84%24,489.02-4.08%0.0336✓0.9411.8M2022-02-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.779-1.84%4.65+20.78%0.2038✗0.321.5M2022-02-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.4549-1.83%4.0137+14.05%0.1392✗0.952.0M2022-02-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.57-1.82%6.115-8.62%0.0819✓0.9081k2022-02-15
STXStacksnative1.691.6594-1.81%1.58-6.51%0.0603✓1.001.2M2022-02-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.0719-1.81%1.971-6.59%0.0643✓1.281.3M2022-02-15
XMRMoneroMonero179175.801-1.79%182.65+2.04%0.0266✗1.041.6M2022-02-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0222.6132-1.77%21.78-5.39%0.0505✓1.1526.9M2022-02-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.624.174-1.73%22.33-9.23%0.0927✓1.1910.5M2022-02-15
MINAMina Protocolnative32.9486-1.71%2.77-7.67%0.0769✓1.28407k2022-02-15
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0423-1.67%0.99-6.60%0.0627✓1.00287k2022-02-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.077323-1.62%0.0747-4.96%0.0467✓1.0921k2022-02-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.739298-1.62%0.6605-12.11%0.1299✓1.53969k2022-02-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.5443-1.61%33.49+4.46%0.0480✗1.064.0M2022-02-15
FTTFTXEthereum46.3945.6557-1.58%47.17+1.68%0.0195✗1.1733.0M2022-02-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.5834-1.58%3.581-1.65%0.0105✓0.87536k2022-02-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.016623-1.58%0.017306+2.47%0.0271✗1.182.0M2022-02-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.1341-1.55%4.9639-4.81%0.0474✓1.22442k2022-02-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.590036-1.55%0.5957-0.60%0.0025✓1.071.3M2022-02-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2499-1.53%1.3318+4.92%0.0501✗1.182.3M2022-02-15
XEMNEMnative0.11630.114532-1.52%0.1143-1.72%0.0137✓1.0435k2022-02-15
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15181.3684-1.51%172.28-6.45%0.0671✓1.399.8M2022-02-15
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.1334-1.50%2.46+13.57%0.1312✗1.0066k2022-02-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.03941-1.50%0.03447-13.85%0.1465✓1.119.1M2022-02-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8461-1.49%6.62-4.75%0.0426✓0.81463k2022-02-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.4499.928-1.49%97.61-3.78%0.0336✓0.901.5M2022-02-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.1724-1.48%1.21+1.68%0.0167✗1.33523k2022-02-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.5213-1.45%7.558-0.97%0.0064✓1.00460k2022-02-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.5241-1.44%2.475-3.36%0.0315✓1.0522k2022-02-15
RADRadworksEthereum6.136.0457-1.37%5.66-7.67%0.0776✓1.04867k2022-02-15
ZECZcashZcash133.12131.3079-1.36%126.04-5.32%0.0552✓1.276.6M2022-02-15
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.00000222-1.35%0.00000222-1.33%0.0110✓1.0015.3M2022-02-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.058285-1.34%0.05586-5.45%0.0586✓1.431.3M2022-02-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.61799-1.34%0.5812-7.22%0.0762✓1.322.7M2022-02-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7965.9188-1.30%63.31-5.21%0.0541✓1.228.1M2022-02-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.302512-1.30%0.2864-6.56%0.0721✓1.544.1M2022-02-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.7351-1.27%29.09+7.42%0.0736✗0.96543k2022-02-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.468192-1.25%0.4932+4.03%0.0373✗1.319.3M2022-02-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.1628-1.24%2.16-1.37%0.0158✓1.302.2M2022-02-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.8117-1.24%2.887+1.40%0.0114✓1.341.1M2022-02-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.012987-1.24%0.01398+6.31%0.0648✗0.7912k2022-02-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.3274-1.23%1.2264-8.75%0.0908✓1.03292k2022-02-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.5223-1.22%4.772+4.24%0.0444✗0.83346k2022-02-15
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1647-1.20%1.1327-3.92%0.0443✓1.461.9M2022-02-15
GTGateEthereum6.81116.7295-1.20%6.9311+1.76%0.0195✗0.894.1M2022-02-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.7696-1.19%1.767-1.34%0.0144✓1.151.6M2022-02-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.156429-1.18%0.151784-4.12%0.0417✓1.037.1M2022-02-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.91291-1.18%0.86024-6.88%0.0760✓1.48311k2022-02-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2228-1.17%3.286+0.77%0.0104✓0.81206k2022-02-15
LUNATerraTerra 257.2256.562-1.15%56.85-0.65%0.0107✓1.418.8M2022-02-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5943,580.92-1.14%44,583.52+1.13%0.0115✗1.00682.8M2022-02-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.3514-1.13%11.15+6.49%0.0665✗0.70660k2022-02-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.278332-1.13%0.2792-0.82%0.0090✓1.081.7M2022-02-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.4371-1.12%20.19-6.87%0.0751✓1.3539.2M2022-02-15
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.1633-1.11%1.1087-5.75%0.0605✓1.11113.2M2022-02-15
QNTQuantEthereum147.49145.8701-1.10%132.67-10.05%0.1061✓1.007.8M2022-02-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.4064-1.09%1.33-6.47%0.0698✓1.243.4M2022-02-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82132.3658-1.09%131.74-1.55%0.0193✓1.3032.4M2022-02-15
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.011634-1.07%0.01107-5.87%0.0610✓1.00588k2022-02-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.101095-1.07%0.09827-3.84%0.0402✓1.0549k2022-02-15
ZENHorizenBase47.6247.1099-1.07%43.12-9.45%0.1058✓1.54504k2022-02-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.279974-1.07%0.296+4.59%0.0449✗0.9576k2022-02-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8402-1.06%1.8-3.23%0.0361✓1.251.6M2022-02-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.4948-1.06%28.67-6.98%0.0785✓1.492.0M2022-02-15
DASHDashDash112.75111.5766-1.04%109.33-3.03%0.0331✓1.132.3M2022-02-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022077-1.02%0.022313+0.04%0.0030✓1.212.5M2022-02-15
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.8309-1.00%11.48-3.93%0.0449✓1.3212.9M2022-02-15
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9206-0.99%4.65+17.42%0.1565✗1.261.9M2022-02-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.2178-0.99%7.4+1.51%0.0213✗0.321.1M2022-02-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.31083-0.98%0.3139+0.00%0.0026✓1.11538k2022-02-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.4815-0.98%3.711+5.55%0.0516✗1.092.5M2022-02-15
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7529-0.97%2.48-10.79%0.1148✓0.922.6M2022-02-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.5752-0.97%5.72+1.60%0.0169✗0.78377k2022-02-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.675184-0.97%0.642394-5.78%0.0627✓1.153.5M2022-02-15
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.551625-0.96%0.54-3.05%0.0374✓1.434.6M2022-02-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.085243-0.95%0.08132-5.51%0.0556✓0.7689k2022-02-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.418.2257-0.95%17.35-5.71%0.0626✓1.1976.9M2022-02-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.8509-0.93%1.8634-0.26%0.0056✓1.0978k2022-02-15
XVGVergenative0.011840.011732-0.91%0.01191+0.59%0.0001✓1.361.3M2022-02-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4585.6622-0.91%93.07+7.66%0.0678✗1.3587.1M2022-02-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7547-0.91%2.73-1.80%0.0204✓1.02504k2022-02-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0355-0.91%1.005-3.83%0.0453✓1.372.3M2022-02-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.04492-0.90%0.04542+0.20%0.0014✓1.1130k2022-02-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57332.6183-0.88%343.69+2.42%0.0213✗1.027.9M2022-02-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.132345-0.86%0.1628+21.95%0.1917✗1.373.2M2022-02-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02391.0151-0.86%0.9706-5.21%0.0571✓1.1029.4M2022-02-15
KCSKuCoinnative20.23720.0712-0.82%20.577+1.68%0.0098✗1.3410.5M2022-02-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.524494-0.81%0.4864-8.02%0.0921✓1.492.2M2022-02-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.24043-0.81%0.221086-8.79%0.0954✓1.0324.9M2022-02-15
QTUMQtumQtum7.07857.0216-0.80%7.5634+6.85%0.0581✗1.44179k2022-02-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.7752-0.80%6.91+1.17%0.0099✗0.88416k2022-02-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1516.0205-0.80%16.17+0.12%0.0025✓1.05604k2022-02-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.368085-0.79%0.388+4.58%0.0375✗1.351.8M2022-02-15
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.067542-0.76%0.066837-1.80%0.0205✓0.90362k2022-02-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.7626-0.70%6.26-8.08%0.0896✓1.10789k2022-02-15
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.184545-0.68%0.1761-5.22%0.0548✓0.71423k2022-02-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.22434-0.65%0.2217-1.82%0.0274✓1.393.7M2022-02-15
XVSVenusEthereum9.729.6597-0.62%9.87+1.54%0.0070✗1.292.5M2022-02-15
KSMKusamaHydration192.41191.2693-0.59%176.23-8.41%0.0954✓1.211.0M2022-02-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.007198-0.58%0.00613-15.33%0.1831✓2.0020.0M2022-02-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.119.9936-0.53%18.44-8.26%0.1002✓1.723.8M2022-02-15
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3479-0.47%2.3357-0.99%0.0185✓1.18845k2022-02-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,105.31-0.46%3,186.24+2.14%0.0133✗1.11557.7M2022-02-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.03126-0.45%0.03092-1.53%0.0210✓0.897.0M2022-02-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.805467-0.44%0.826+2.10%0.0129✗1.091.7M2022-02-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0745-0.43%0.9859-8.64%0.1034✓1.54680k2022-02-15
SOLSolanaSolana113.58113.094-0.43%105.61-7.02%0.0824✓1.24182.7M2022-02-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2417-0.37%1.98-12.00%0.1374✓1.181.7M2022-02-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.123847-0.36%0.1078-13.27%0.1563✓1.561.5M2022-02-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.091815-0.09%0.0872-5.11%0.0654✓1.23244k2022-02-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.