8=======>

2022-09-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 193 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3523
192 of 193 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.3%
in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (193 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.7385.9878-11.13%4.1834-37.91%0.3644✓0.2711.2M2022-10-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.04e-74.49e-7-10.78%4.61e-7-8.39%0.0105✓0.751.2M2022-10-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain17.38415.5553-10.52%11.499-33.85%0.3095✓0.3514.5M2022-10-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.64083.3011-9.33%2.9511-18.94%0.1273✓0.725.6M2022-10-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000225730.000204702-9.32%0.00023035+2.05%0.1169✗0.054.2M2022-10-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.26530.244511-7.84%0.1927-27.37%0.2583✓0.953.1M2022-10-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.93775.474-7.81%3.9893-32.81%0.3181✓0.088.6M2022-10-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.0976-6.76%5.61-14.22%0.1071✓1.1290k2022-10-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.061070.056964-6.72%0.05935-2.82%0.0147✓1.24754k2022-10-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.27574.9243-6.66%3.607-31.63%0.3381✓1.26100k2022-10-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.6467-6.64%4.28+9.58%0.1382✗1.03138k2022-10-24
AURORAAuroraEthereum1.1491.073-6.62%0.772-32.81%0.3505✓1.0060k2022-10-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5755.2206-6.36%4.949-11.23%0.0748✓1.015.1M2022-10-24
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR3.6983.4648-6.31%2.917-21.12%0.1934✓1.00910k2022-10-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,220.837,734.62-5.91%7,627.03-7.22%0.0431✓1.363.5M2022-10-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.686.2889-5.86%5.71-14.52%0.1075✓0.511.5M2022-10-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2371.1658-5.75%1.5+21.26%0.2263✗1.2121k2022-10-24
BANDBandEthereum1.191.1218-5.73%1.052-11.60%0.0910✓1.26246k2022-10-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38530.363398-5.68%0.3148-18.30%0.1639✓0.966.4M2022-10-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.1731.1073-5.60%1.0413-11.23%0.0817✓0.95423k2022-10-24
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum4.7374.4729-5.58%5.071+7.05%0.1042✗1.00125k2022-10-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.181.1151-5.50%1.03-12.71%0.1022✓1.0738k2022-10-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.63812.9023-5.39%11.649-14.58%0.1292✓1.2721.7M2022-10-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.27690.262044-5.36%0.2607-5.85%0.0238✓0.8788k2022-10-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.7084-5.33%4.38-27.36%0.2780✓0.621.7M2022-10-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064170.006079-5.27%0.00573-10.71%0.0646✓0.2624k2022-10-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1390.131701-5.25%0.1308-5.90%0.0270✓0.95261k2022-10-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8740.828412-5.22%0.806-7.78%0.0386✓0.532.2M2022-10-24
FLOWFlownative1.6781.5905-5.21%1.48-11.80%0.1010✓1.361.1M2022-10-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260130.024661-5.20%0.022323-14.19%0.0970✓-0.12480k2022-10-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04140.039277-5.13%0.0331-20.05%0.1945✓1.10117k2022-10-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.114.3285-5.11%14.65-2.98%0.0114✓0.51280k2022-10-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08640.082001-5.09%0.0707-18.17%0.1600✓0.55164k2022-10-24
FISStafiEthereum0.28070.26649-5.06%0.3401+21.16%0.2251✗0.886202022-10-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13010.123517-5.06%0.1175-9.68%0.0715✓1.0187k2022-10-24
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0153120.014549-4.98%0.014347-6.30%0.0353✓1.001,0232022-10-24
QNTQuantEthereum114.65109.0111-4.92%176.76+54.17%0.4643✗0.893.6M2022-10-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.811.7212-4.91%1.56-13.81%0.1251✓1.26165k2022-10-24
COMPCompoundEthereum60.657.656-4.86%49.83-17.77%0.1672✓1.006,9422022-10-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4255.1626-4.84%4.507-16.92%0.1624✓1.256.8M2022-10-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6257.2595-4.79%6.91-9.38%0.0722✓1.0719.0M2022-10-24
PROPropyEthereum0.60.571599-4.73%0.49-18.33%0.1580✓0.1933k2022-10-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.337.9366-4.72%6.62-20.53%0.1941✓0.602.2M2022-10-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5910.563121-4.72%0.532-9.98%0.0777✓0.9891k2022-10-24
XVGVergenative0.003210.00306-4.68%0.0031-3.43%0.0061✓0.90413k2022-10-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.154358-4.66%0.1368-15.50%0.1438✓1.089402022-10-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022750.021693-4.65%0.01694-25.54%0.2701✓1.079.2M2022-10-24
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0107990.010301-4.61%0.01059-1.94%0.0064✓1.001,5092022-10-24
XECeCashnative0.000039740.000037908-4.61%0.00003685-7.27%0.0463✓0.854.2M2022-10-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9173.7422-4.46%3.061-21.85%0.2132✓0.581.6M2022-10-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29030.27737-4.45%0.2175-25.08%0.2663✓1.0950k2022-10-24
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.878119-4.45%0.839-8.71%0.0786✓1.552.4M2022-10-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015150.001448-4.42%0.001183-21.91%0.2192✓0.804,1352022-10-24
METISMetisEthereum24.6623.5709-4.42%28.56+15.82%0.1596✗1.52120k2022-10-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.74050.708017-4.39%0.5387-27.25%0.2963✓1.08632k2022-10-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.077670.074286-4.36%0.05448-29.86%0.3148✓0.22296k2022-10-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011240.000010753-4.33%0.00000992-11.74%0.1007✓0.94683k2022-10-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010570.001011-4.29%0.0008199-22.40%0.2275✓0.831.3M2022-10-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.712.156-4.28%8.4-33.86%0.3930✓1.10773k2022-10-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.3810.364694-4.28%0.29288-23.13%0.2388✓0.92392k2022-10-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.308950.295996-4.19%0.27708-10.32%0.0873✓1.0034k2022-10-24
NANOnanopayBase0.7960.763048-4.14%0.711538-10.61%0.0891✓0.9044k2022-10-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.1002-4.13%3.67-31.02%0.3382✓0.431.9M2022-10-24
XLMStellarStellar0.118140.113295-4.10%0.110331-6.61%0.0462✓0.927.5M2022-10-24
QTUMQtumQtum2.8492.7321-4.10%2.6847-5.77%0.0396✓1.0422k2022-10-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04180.040089-4.09%0.0338-19.14%0.1880✓0.82121k2022-10-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.3982.2999-4.09%2.156-10.09%0.0820✓0.82330k2022-10-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.13590.130343-4.09%0.1617+18.98%0.1940✗1.017772022-10-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4510.432715-4.05%0.45-0.22%0.0155✓1.1176k2022-10-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.63620.610514-4.04%0.46-27.70%0.3138✓1.44161k2022-10-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.246020.236101-4.03%0.20387-17.13%0.1655✓0.8821k2022-10-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0631760.060645-4.01%0.059482-5.85%0.0382✓0.88988k2022-10-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10060.096576-4.00%0.0796-20.87%0.2237✓1.431.9M2022-10-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03920.037637-3.99%0.0355-9.44%0.0762✓0.849,9472022-10-24
STXStacksnative0.33170.318502-3.98%0.3013-9.16%0.0776✓1.03203k2022-10-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.6627.5268-3.95%22.65-20.97%0.2298✓1.639.4M2022-10-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379420.364562-3.92%0.30538-19.51%0.1901✓0.61340k2022-10-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.12.0178-3.92%1.97-6.19%0.0360✓0.57100k2022-10-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0196850.018919-3.89%0.017931-8.91%0.0694✓0.7412k2022-10-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007080.006808-3.85%0.0059-16.67%0.1677✓1.16374k2022-10-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.034920.033576-3.85%0.03212-8.02%0.0601✓0.741,7012022-10-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.079261-3.81%0.0803-2.55%0.0058✓0.899,4762022-10-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9233.775-3.77%3.026-22.87%0.2291✓0.371.3M2022-10-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85160.819677-3.75%0.8838+3.78%0.0408✗1.6275k2022-10-24
DIADIAEthereum0.377510.363487-3.71%0.39661+5.06%0.0671✗0.9431k2022-10-24
HIVEHivenative0.50080.482427-3.67%0.4741-5.33%0.0295✓0.57772k2022-10-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003560.003431-3.62%0.00321-9.83%0.0864✓0.9380k2022-10-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.941.87-3.61%2.28+17.53%0.1851✗0.6259k2022-10-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.163990.158072-3.61%0.17106+4.31%0.0641✗0.703402022-10-24
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,270.061,224.24-3.61%1,302.43+2.55%0.0381✗1.123.4M2022-10-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0022110.002131-3.60%0.002248+1.67%0.0318✓1.011.8M2022-10-24
ADACardanoCardano0.45110.435084-3.55%0.3574-20.77%0.2176✓0.9833.8M2022-10-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3681.3202-3.49%1.421+3.87%0.0501✗1.1047k2022-10-24
DODODODOEthereum0.12780.123372-3.46%0.1289+0.86%0.0200✓1.121.1M2022-10-24
DASHDashDash41.640.1625-3.46%40.13-3.53%0.0237✓1.08233k2022-10-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6313.1622-3.43%16.96+24.43%0.2314✗1.042.1M2022-10-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0232.9201-3.40%3.047+0.79%0.0374✗0.24886k2022-10-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.006970.006733-3.40%0.00448-35.72%0.4278✓0.962.9M2022-10-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10640.102789-3.39%0.1-6.02%0.0479✓0.96353k2022-10-24
STEEMSteemnative0.22680.219132-3.38%0.2342+3.26%0.0478✗0.88543k2022-10-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04060.039229-3.38%0.03684-9.26%0.0807✓0.8415k2022-10-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.470.454207-3.36%0.416-11.49%0.1136✓1.2163k2022-10-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.72981.6719-3.35%1.56-9.81%0.0937✓1.1532k2022-10-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.081.0439-3.34%0.987-8.61%0.0771✓0.991.1M2022-10-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.4161.3686-3.34%1.383-2.33%0.0032✓0.6426k2022-10-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5781.5256-3.32%1.645+4.25%0.0520✗1.10378k2022-10-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.147040.142172-3.31%0.13651-7.16%0.0628✓1.04282k2022-10-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6070.586918-3.31%0.566-6.75%0.0594✓1.09166k2022-10-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36260.35062-3.30%0.2937-19.00%0.2035✓1.2445k2022-10-24
MOVRMoonriverBase10.810410.454-3.30%10.5463-2.44%0.0110✓0.9318k2022-10-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13180.127463-3.29%0.1411+7.06%0.0845✗0.80173k2022-10-24
LSKLiskEthereum0.9485520.917552-3.27%0.95575+0.76%0.0233✓0.8230k2022-10-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.29670.287032-3.26%0.246-17.09%0.1775✓1.0946k2022-10-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19611.1575-3.23%0.8387-29.88%0.3371✓0.701.2M2022-10-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0575.8632-3.20%4.815-20.51%0.2166✓0.923.3M2022-10-24
XEMNEMnative0.040640.039356-3.16%0.037728-7.17%0.0630✓0.9823k2022-10-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.056168-3.16%0.067+15.52%0.1569✗0.9161k2022-10-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05530.053562-3.14%0.052-5.97%0.0569✓1.28470k2022-10-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.16970.164375-3.14%0.1492-12.08%0.1183✓1.0161k2022-10-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.803860.778862-3.11%0.77899-3.09%0.0160✓0.7614k2022-10-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.41530.402406-3.10%0.405-2.48%0.0119✓0.86392k2022-10-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3980.385728-3.08%0.405+1.76%0.0277✓0.996,9542022-10-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.92130.89302-3.07%0.8766-4.85%0.0496✓1.463.5M2022-10-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.29990.290783-3.04%0.2795-6.80%0.0612✓1.0259k2022-10-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10010.097063-3.03%0.0916-8.49%0.0747✓0.79250k2022-10-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.276.0809-3.02%5.914-5.68%0.0515✓1.119.4M2022-10-24
SOLSolanaSolana33.3832.3735-3.02%28.31-15.19%0.1612✓1.2737.4M2022-10-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724840.264401-2.97%0.24383-10.52%0.1036✓1.06378k2022-10-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.11880.115282-2.96%0.1071-9.85%0.0836✓0.4793k2022-10-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.30747.8661-2.92%46.563-5.57%0.0471✓0.92204k2022-10-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03350.032536-2.88%0.0334-0.30%0.0054✓0.9884k2022-10-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.31970.310612-2.84%0.3128-2.16%0.0087✓0.74157k2022-10-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.707940.687841-2.84%0.60295-14.83%0.1546✓1.08519k2022-10-24
ZENHorizenBase14.0913.6912-2.83%12.92-8.30%0.0840✓1.2260k2022-10-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2520.244879-2.83%0.231-8.33%0.0751✓0.79404k2022-10-24
KSMKusamaHydration41.1439.9798-2.82%34.16-16.97%0.1795✓1.04318k2022-10-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6521.6059-2.79%1.446-12.47%0.1373✓1.5245k2022-10-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001515-2.76%0.001323-15.08%0.1482✓0.60330k2022-10-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20520.199566-2.75%0.1886-8.09%0.0763✓0.9350k2022-10-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.379.1129-2.74%8.69-7.26%0.0759✓1.33168k2022-10-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.26954.1533-2.72%4.0772-4.50%0.0234✓0.23215k2022-10-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030060.029243-2.72%0.02804-6.72%0.0661✓1.1316k2022-10-24
XTZTezosTezos1.47841.4384-2.71%1.3523-8.53%0.0835✓1.02186k2022-10-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.88760.863635-2.70%0.7354-17.15%0.1874✓1.25868k2022-10-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.454.3314-2.67%3.24-27.19%0.3032✓0.601.0M2022-10-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9310.906947-2.58%0.942+1.18%0.0153✓1.061.4M2022-10-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124330.121142-2.56%0.12231-1.62%0.0119✓1.01110k2022-10-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0374610.036512-2.53%0.03913+4.46%0.0560✗0.6224k2022-10-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.4795.3467-2.41%3.841-29.90%0.3421✓0.542.2M2022-10-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.272278-2.34%0.2478-11.12%0.1155✓1.003.1M2022-10-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.0691.0442-2.32%1.4201+32.84%0.2847✗1.071.2M2022-10-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11320.110626-2.27%0.1197+5.74%0.0563✗1.062.2M2022-10-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.7391.6999-2.25%1.498-13.86%0.1522✓1.2119k2022-10-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021710.021223-2.24%0.02075-4.42%0.0402✓0.832,7972022-10-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.004930.00482-2.23%0.00482-2.23%0.0146✓0.68878k2022-10-24
ZECZcashZcash55.6454.4013-2.23%51.99-6.56%0.0684✓1.081.1M2022-10-24
KCSKuCoinnative8.9098.7119-2.21%9.516+6.81%0.0726✗0.741.2M2022-10-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,923.2018,507.83-2.20%19,330.41+2.15%0.0222✗1.00493.0M2022-10-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,988.8018,572.61-2.19%19,321.50+1.75%0.0200✓0.9211k2022-10-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06390.062529-2.15%–pending––0.731,0282022-10-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91690.897731-2.09%1.0562+15.19%0.1525✗0.471.9M2022-10-24
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.74e-7-2.08%7.80e-7-1.27%0.0068✓0.711.7M2022-10-24
FTTFTXEthereum23.6823.1907-2.07%22.8-3.72%0.0381✓0.997.6M2022-10-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,317.251,290.56-2.03%1,343.71+2.01%0.0126✓1.30536.5M2022-10-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.03790.037134-2.02%0.0334-11.87%0.1316✓1.20529k2022-10-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3913-2.02%1.69+19.01%0.1909✗0.1770k2022-10-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17520.17171-1.99%0.1902+8.56%0.0828✗0.9195k2022-10-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.30e-78.14e-7-1.98%7.70e-7-7.23%0.0701✓0.7115k2022-10-24
TRXTRONTron0.0599220.058747-1.96%0.06134+2.37%0.0326✗0.50129k2022-10-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.004970.004875-1.90%0.006228+25.31%0.2314✗0.631,5952022-10-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09080.089119-1.85%0.1913+110.68%0.7475✗0.772,6232022-10-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.9514.674-1.85%14.25-4.68%0.0478✓0.871.3M2022-10-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7945.6896-1.80%6.14+5.97%0.0476✗1.346.4M2022-10-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43690.429039-1.80%0.4242-2.91%0.0327✓1.01302k2022-10-24
GITCOINGITCOIN1.81741.7865-1.70%1.56-14.16%0.1585✓1.0814k2022-10-24
XMRMoneroMonero141.98139.5815-1.69%143.32+0.94%0.0071✓0.911.3M2022-10-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5928-1.65%4.58-1.93%0.0212✓0.86710k2022-10-24
GTGateEthereum4.24794.1846-1.49%4.4105+3.83%0.0395✗0.61677k2022-10-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.465990.45907-1.49%0.41-12.02%0.1381✓1.1824k2022-10-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05440.053613-1.45%0.05-8.09%0.0840✓0.6772k2022-10-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019240.018962-1.44%0.01741-9.51%0.0974✓0.57124k2022-10-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.617.3464-1.44%15.76-10.45%0.1243✓1.3315.3M2022-10-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5640.556098-1.40%0.524-7.09%0.0806✓0.992.5M2022-10-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3870.381944-1.31%0.275-28.94%0.3553✓1.262,6282022-10-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.010370.010235-1.30%0.0092-11.28%0.1172✓0.50173k2022-10-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.04640.045853-1.18%0.0488+5.17%0.0473✗0.70219k2022-10-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.26116.0987-0.99%107.86-8.02%0.0991✓1.203.4M2022-10-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.4352.9231-0.95%52.55-1.65%0.0272✓0.9515.7M2022-10-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.412.392-0.75%2.191-9.09%0.1184✓1.442.1M2022-10-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117960.011756-0.34%0.011563-1.98%0.0353✓0.88793k2022-10-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.16350.163181-0.19%0.1563-4.40%0.0494✓0.3056k2022-10-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062770.06276-0.02%0.06106-2.72%0.0458✓0.8626k2022-10-24
AAVEAaveEthereum74.9475.4986+0.75%85.19+13.68%0.0900✓1.445.0M2022-10-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.