8=======>

2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3153
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.2%
in alpha space · 87.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9783.4607+0.59%70.96-14.48%0.1033✗1.466.2M2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012422-0.78%0.01008-19.49%0.1840✓0.62233k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.503342-0.91%0.41049-19.19%0.1516✓1.3041k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066841-1.56%0.06122-9.84%0.0493✓0.9625k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.441934-1.57%0.319-28.95%0.2793✓1.164,5592022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011958-1.60%0.010334-14.96%0.1125✓0.83882k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056258-1.65%0.0499-12.76%0.0875✓0.8090k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059666-1.67%0.060975+0.48%0.0398✗0.45123k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.0621-1.76%51.09-13.55%0.0890✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063514-1.80%0.05314-17.84%0.1426✓0.897802022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.206296-1.90%0.1528-27.34%0.2704✓0.7467k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0621-1.96%4.3617+5.27%0.1004✗0.72696k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.608698-2.14%0.53-14.79%0.0945✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.203996-2.16%0.1796-13.86%0.0907✓0.9159k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019624-2.22%0.01727-13.95%0.1041✓0.59173k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.302722-2.24%0.327+5.60%0.1029✗0.64326k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.45193-2.29%0.4211-8.95%0.0256✓1.12366k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6114.7173-2.45%108.8-7.48%0.0067✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.0226-2.46%0.02101-9.32%0.0320✓1.022,9582022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.19406-2.48%0.1711-14.02%0.0851✓1.01132k2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048344-2.53%0.0541+9.07%0.1473✗0.86234k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.8097-2.57%14.3-5.92%0.0035✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005744-2.63%0.005472-7.24%0.0228✓0.641,9622022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,696.90-2.67%19,353.70-4.37%0.0194✓0.9215k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001478-2.68%0.001497-1.45%0.0425✗0.74353k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.47e-7-2.68%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0670✓0.6915k2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.372-2.69%1.66+17.73%0.1862✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,531.16-2.77%1,286.96-18.27%0.1210✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.36e-7-2.77%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0539✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.88748-2.80%0.847-7.23%0.0013✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.260401-2.80%0.2551-4.78%0.0192✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.993562-2.81%0.9674-5.37%0.0071✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089795-2.82%0.0998+8.01%0.1464✗1.01336k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.9909-2.84%9.399+1.57%0.0776✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7569-2.94%2.79+54.14%0.4811✗0.4656k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.093922-2.97%0.0743-23.24%0.2055✓0.722,9132022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.5184-3.04%4.61-1.07%0.0537✗0.83839k2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035-3.05%0.0319-11.63%0.0523✓1.0190k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,556.05-3.07%19,378.65-3.95%0.0311✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.209448-3.08%0.225+4.12%0.1066✗0.87527k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.4248-3.14%8.67-10.89%0.0300✓1.33288k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8089-3.24%4.2295-14.90%0.1249✓0.09119k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.851037-3.25%0.7636-13.19%0.0596✓1.21899k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005446-3.26%0.0048-14.74%0.0998✓0.66911k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.2501-3.29%15.65-17.06%0.0995✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4832-3.36%1.3832-9.88%0.0286✓1.02246k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.279523-3.41%0.246962-14.66%0.0846✓0.97487k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.706529-3.41%0.63573-13.09%0.0622✓1.08624k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.159338-3.43%0.1439-12.79%0.0566✓1.131,7442022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44140.4224-3.45%142.89-1.75%0.0573✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1299-3.45%1.2571+7.42%0.1507✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.8637-3.47%30.49-7.63%0.0042✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.131742-3.49%0.1133-17.00%0.1298✓0.5283k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.120897-3.51%0.1164-7.10%0.0068✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.7515-3.52%50.036-2.97%0.0399✗0.85246k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.103717-3.61%0.0911-15.33%0.0957✓0.84188k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.9506-3.63%23.44-9.46%0.0223✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.129868-3.63%0.12034-10.70%0.0303✓1.14151k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6198-3.65%2.183-19.71%0.1230✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035133-3.69%0.03232-11.40%0.0549✓0.712,2982022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.6989-3.77%50.94-13.54%0.0626✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.298761-3.78%0.277-10.79%0.0356✓0.9982k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057128-3.82%0.0671+12.96%0.2033✗1.0578k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0121-3.84%0.8006-23.93%0.1751✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.160861-3.89%0.14863-11.20%0.0509✓0.703542022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.366236-3.92%0.39142+2.69%0.1049✗0.9531k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3232-3.93%3.53-21.56%0.1799✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.8924-3.94%3.961-35.43%0.3746✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.119377-3.96%0.1168-6.03%0.0206✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3969-3.99%1.407-3.30%0.0502✗1.0771k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.7917-4.02%6.15+1.92%0.1142✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.2398-4.04%12.53-15.57%0.0789✓1.2275k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040451-4.06%0.038379-8.97%0.0164✓0.9028k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.156202-4.08%0.13775-15.41%0.0840✓1.04271k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.181984-4.12%0.141-25.71%0.2140✓1.02101k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038221-4.14%0.035845-10.10%0.0424✓0.5423k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.57037-4.14%0.563-5.38%0.0271✓1.00178k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.444478-4.15%0.3769-18.72%0.1261✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.100282-4.18%0.1121+7.11%0.1464✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.435-4.18%10.1346-15.08%0.0813✓0.9821k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.47235-4.19%0.426-13.59%0.0556✓1.1877k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.960557-4.21%0.905877-9.66%0.0276✓0.7741k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.00001157-4.30%0.00001039-14.06%0.0686✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.632105-4.31%0.5935-10.16%0.0030✓1.49210k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.1233-4.32%5.03-21.41%0.1577✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.3546-4.37%40.69-12.27%0.0453✓1.02363k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.06611-4.37%0.071+2.71%0.0794✗0.20354k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043215-4.39%0.0333-26.33%0.2263✓0.85142k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.8424-4.40%40.41-7.68%0.0066✓1.03312k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8793.5578-4.41%160.75+64.25%0.5785✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032176-4.44%0.02754-18.21%0.1134✓1.0532k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1005-4.47%0.978-15.10%0.0804✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001462-4.48%0.001276-16.66%0.1092✓0.676,5532022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,404.44-4.55%1,248.14-15.17%0.0777✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.080936-4.56%0.082-3.30%0.0519✗0.9711k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.283082-4.56%0.3194+7.69%0.1591✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.250959-4.58%0.23-12.55%0.0576✓0.74534k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.524969-4.62%0.4902-10.94%0.0442✓0.60871k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.413884-4.63%0.38-12.44%0.0435✓1.047,9852022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.382086-4.67%0.3093-22.83%0.1713✓0.99202k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9481-4.68%3.061-26.10%0.2397✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005924-4.70%0.00599-3.64%0.0246✓0.3330k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.04202-4.72%0.0344-22.00%0.1534✓1.16546k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.056814-4.73%0.059662+0.04%0.0875✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4794-4.74%1.479-4.76%0.0277✓0.6929k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.806029-4.75%0.761919-9.97%0.0224✓0.8446k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003626-4.83%0.00324-14.96%0.0749✓0.9495k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.6984-4.85%1.495-16.25%0.0625✓1.6265k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8864-4.86%4.551-11.39%0.0185✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.040652-4.86%0.03722-12.89%0.0606✓0.6814k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8231-4.87%19.43+33.72%0.3778✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010461-4.88%0.009275-15.67%0.0801✓1.006682022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003203-4.95%0.00306-9.20%0.0080✓0.94483k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9212-4.99%1.535-24.09%0.1763✓1.1930k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.381339-5.00%0.3269-18.56%0.1080✓1.1467k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.803798-5.02%0.8267-2.32%0.0875✗1.4894k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019394-5.07%0.0198-3.08%0.0621✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2008-5.14%1.85-20.26%0.1491✓0.61247k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.148057-5.15%0.153-1.99%0.0803✗1.189132022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.8967-5.18%2.773-9.23%0.0280✓0.39759k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.6939-5.19%1.5752-11.84%0.0286✓1.1025k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.038202-5.21%0.0342-15.14%0.0790✓0.799,5132022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9266-5.23%1.5924-21.67%0.1478✓1.0613k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.1688-5.24%11.342-18.39%0.0991✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.8675-5.26%3.097-24.13%0.2016✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.39787-5.27%0.35148-16.32%0.0863✓0.93392k2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008059-5.30%0.00533-37.37%0.3771✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.304098-5.38%0.29812-7.24%0.0216✓1.0333k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.331081-5.41%0.319-8.86%0.0014✓0.961,1592022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.589-5.42%1.553-7.56%0.0151✓0.94627k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1784-5.42%3.04-31.19%0.2778✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023349-5.44%0.024977+1.15%0.0691✗0.04471k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007522-5.51%0.00571-28.27%0.2312✓1.10463k2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4737-5.51%2.208-15.66%0.0813✓0.80523k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001166-5.65%0.0008937-27.71%0.2339✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.458669-5.72%0.3679-24.38%0.1878✓0.81422k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.776372-5.86%0.73564-10.80%0.0243✓0.7313k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3765-6.01%3.81-33.39%0.3234✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7506-6.04%4.46-27.12%0.2333✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.5956-6.11%7.028+0.04%0.1080✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8352.4123-6.12%54.83-1.79%0.0907✗1.138,6412022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.055387-6.12%0.053-10.17%0.0042✓1.20568k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.018948-6.16%0.01784-11.64%0.0349✓0.6312k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.666215-6.17%0.52-26.76%0.2379✓0.2442k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016149-6.17%0.013771-19.99%0.1190✓1.001,0292022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.310273-6.21%0.2586-21.83%0.1378✓1.1072k2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.327961-6.22%0.3005-14.07%0.0449✓1.06313k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3155-6.24%3.7246-19.08%0.0941✓1.32118k2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.0623-6.30%5.61-13.29%0.0580✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041168-6.33%0.00003711-15.56%0.0703✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002647-6.37%0.002098-25.79%0.1960✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8336-6.38%0.9616-50.90%0.6163✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8291-6.42%2.6695-11.70%0.0174✓1.0120k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.3249-6.49%11.09-15.86%0.0603✓1.12925k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.129999-6.61%0.1172-15.80%0.0643✓0.98128k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6013-6.63%6.113-13.54%0.0323✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.752777-6.67%0.6504-19.37%0.1014✓1.11946k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.484779-6.77%0.439-15.58%0.0545✓1.1166k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.248382-6.94%0.20766-22.20%0.1435✓0.8815k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.6318-6.95%14.34-14.64%0.0635✓0.57396k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.8358-6.95%23.01-34.80%0.2951✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100411-7.20%0.0879-18.76%0.0814✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1124-7.29%6.57-24.91%0.1884✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.102204-7.42%0.0666-39.67%0.4056✓0.56182k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0791-7.61%3.9876-39.40%0.4151✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.274978-7.73%0.2072-30.47%0.2441✓0.9774k2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.422-7.86%6.09-12.63%0.0107✓1.05224k2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1449-7.89%1.0884-12.43%0.0067✓1.09922k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.847434-7.99%0.836-9.23%0.0049✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.177696-8.12%0.1844-4.65%0.0742✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.132638-8.15%0.1342-7.06%0.0509✓0.97336k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.6115-8.20%24.71-11.43%0.0260✓1.54159k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.7923-8.22%2.9712-28.09%0.2176✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.8579-8.41%3.817-9.38%0.0264✓0.92245k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.315321-8.44%0.2499-27.44%0.1966✓0.8989k2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1372-8.59%1.068-14.15%0.0137✓1.22323k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.043724-8.72%0.0379-20.88%0.0985✓1.10177k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.853-8.72%1.6-21.18%0.0980✓1.21227k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.6959-9.02%1.511-18.94%0.0594✓1.39967k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.178291-9.17%0.1351-31.18%0.2466✓0.7730k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,179.07-9.29%7,725.27-14.33%0.0028✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1775-9.42%1.06-18.46%0.0641✓1.0258k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.552335-9.45%0.536-12.13%0.0120✓1.04114k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2735-9.68%1.531+8.58%0.2322✗1.1943k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.0675-9.68%0.732-38.07%0.3128✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053541-10.03%0.05517-7.29%0.0783✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.8205-10.52%13.225+9.37%0.2155✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.4684-10.59%4.5312-37.37%0.3444✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.22e-7-10.62%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1986✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.19-11.60%5.141-12.43%0.0295✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.00030117-15.89%0.00027827-22.28%0.0752✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.