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2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1952
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.4608-16.71%5.147-21.49%0.0925✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.333-14.71%1.454-6.97%0.2787✗1.2343k2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.055372-14.47%0.05596-13.56%0.2060✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.0886-14.08%0.747-41.04%0.1113✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.191.899-13.29%1.67-23.74%0.0710✓1.27227k2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000260373-13.21%0.00028659-4.47%0.1381✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9326.0774-12.87%24.34-18.68%0.1917✗1.66159k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.478,511.41-12.72%7,877.53-19.22%0.1445✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.8359-12.66%1.558-25.88%0.0579✓1.42967k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.58819-12.21%0.556-17.01%0.1105✓1.07111k2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.261719-12.06%0.2122-28.70%0.0407✓1.0874k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.360947-11.81%0.2554-37.60%0.2186✓0.8189k2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.62e-7-11.65%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1350✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3410.9485-11.28%13.627+10.43%0.2776✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.8149-11.04%4.8842-36.24%0.2939✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.426.6083-10.94%5.66-23.72%0.0167✓1.10224k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2571-10.85%1.1-21.99%0.0326✓1.0668k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.045835-10.65%0.0392-23.59%0.0258✓1.16178k2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.020543-9.90%0.02101-7.85%0.1894✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2183-9.89%1.105-18.27%0.1022✓1.28323k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2212.8188-9.85%11.54-18.85%0.0806✓1.19925k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.349823-9.82%0.3107-19.90%0.0489✓1.07314k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.514721-9.54%0.457-19.68%0.0603✓1.1466k2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.116342-9.53%0.0876-31.88%0.0876✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.195884-9.48%0.128-40.85%0.3083✓0.7526k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.781957-9.47%0.6656-22.95%0.0228✓1.17946k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6646.9394-9.46%6.173-19.45%0.0659✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.140458-9.21%0.1346-12.99%0.1158✗1.01336k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14881.9523-9.15%1.672-22.19%0.0216✓1.1313k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.267392-9.14%0.21464-27.07%0.0783✓0.9015k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.918745-9.04%0.873-13.56%0.0129✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.6355-8.75%14.98-17.83%0.0213✓0.53396k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.0791-8.71%6.054-9.09%0.2158✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002841-8.54%0.002075-33.19%0.1712✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.104682-8.49%0.067-41.43%0.3525✓0.60188k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.321954-8.38%0.2656-24.42%0.0091✓1.1772k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.783102-8.33%0.75156-12.02%0.0824✓0.7913k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.2818-8.29%1.0849-22.37%0.0027✓1.08922k2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4535.2948-8.21%23.79-38.13%0.1479✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.0277-8.06%2.7159-17.53%0.0539✓1.0419k2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.135-8.03%7.147-7.88%0.1792✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.060185-7.97%0.0544-16.82%0.0894✗1.22563k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.2032-7.88%3.0801-32.50%0.2148✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.1778-7.65%3.802-15.96%0.0533✓0.94273k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.7892-7.54%1.505-22.22%0.0951✗1.7160k2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.482-7.47%4.2544-39.27%0.4054✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.7255-7.39%2.065-29.83%0.0347✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.045577-7.36%0.0357-27.44%0.0601✓1.18546k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.0172-7.02%2.859-11.90%0.0044✓0.37676k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.187403-6.95%0.1899-5.71%0.1673✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.3282-6.95%6.78-24.25%0.1134✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.6793-6.86%1.584-12.15%0.1008✗1.02627k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.1191-6.79%4.714-14.17%0.1364✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.47838-6.73%0.3722-27.43%0.1169✓0.86396k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.026-6.68%1.571-27.64%0.0550✓1.2732k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.312612-6.57%0.28-16.32%0.0528✓1.0482k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.331269-6.52%0.28328-20.06%0.0124✓1.0833k2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000043006-6.45%0.00003798-17.38%0.0136✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.007795-6.42%0.00592-28.93%0.0911✓1.18428k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.257408-6.40%0.234-14.91%0.0254✓0.77563k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.557-6.29%3.8083-21.69%0.0543✓1.49122k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.142277-6.27%0.1213-20.09%0.0032✓1.00119k2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.839382-6.19%0.8317-7.05%0.2361✗1.5789k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8407-6.18%1.5946-18.73%0.0323✓1.1223k2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.179764-6.18%0.1135-40.76%0.4380✓0.1483k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.020677-6.09%0.018543-15.78%0.0119✓0.6212k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.077-6.05%15.95-25.36%0.0146✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.511-5.99%5.07-26.80%0.0938✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.609432-5.95%0.57-12.04%0.0932✗1.02178k2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.444-5.87%1.389-9.45%0.1374✗1.1371k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.2442-5.79%17.14+13.36%0.3418✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001247-5.79%0.0009175-30.67%0.1772✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008528-5.76%0.0055-39.23%0.2910✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2062-5.69%1.022-20.09%0.0196✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.699687-5.69%0.628-15.35%0.1330✗1.54210k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.6503-5.63%55.48+1.37%0.2707✗1.278,6412022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3224-5.59%1.91-22.36%0.1003✓0.61261k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.037705-5.50%0.0353-11.53%0.0731✗0.899,1922022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.6771-5.49%11.739-24.41%0.0228✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.512258-5.49%0.428-21.03%0.0113✓1.2277k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.00587-5.48%0.0049-21.10%0.0813✓0.63911k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.046623-5.43%0.0378-23.33%0.0766✓0.85145k2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.3458-5.43%5.67-15.50%0.0354✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.751172-5.42%0.64761-18.46%0.0284✓1.13624k2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.7104-5.41%4.7-5.62%0.1333✗0.87839k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011354-5.41%0.009569-20.28%0.0145✓1.006492022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1744.6225-5.40%41.74-11.51%0.1007✗1.07312k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.167828-5.35%0.14279-19.47%0.0076✓1.08271k2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4626.9422-5.33%23.36-17.92%0.0164✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.3065-5.31%0.3135-3.15%0.1764✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.420041-5.31%0.3394-23.49%0.0288✓1.1875k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2149.4433-5.30%40.13-23.14%0.0477✓1.03363k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.040418-5.28%0.035794-16.12%0.0379✓0.5323k2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.455695-5.26%0.377-21.62%0.0263✓1.047,9852022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017524-5.22%0.014341-22.43%0.0439✓1.009912022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.070153-5.20%0.06929-6.36%0.0087✓0.13378k2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.0836-5.20%0.8202-28.24%0.0367✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003386-5.16%0.00312-12.61%0.0732✗0.99483k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.127757-5.15%0.1193-11.43%0.1012✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.060663-5.15%0.05987-6.39%0.1450✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.692439-5.15%0.54-26.03%0.2110✓0.2444k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.063271-5.14%0.0689+3.30%0.2493✗1.0579k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.035383-5.14%0.02798-24.99%0.0687✓1.0635k2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6149-5.12%2.24-18.72%0.0247✓0.83523k2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.54-5.06%1.463-9.80%0.0636✗0.7329k2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4635.5712-5.04%31.16-16.82%0.0591✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65101.3085-5.01%153.65+44.07%0.5628✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8166-5.00%1.0233-46.49%0.4415✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.476461-4.97%0.3813-23.95%0.0654✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.6692-4.92%12.49-24.21%0.0307✓1.2579k2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.044416-4.91%0.039427-15.59%0.0206✓0.8928k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.418645-4.91%0.30131-31.56%0.1752✓0.98379k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.8427-4.91%3.153-38.09%0.2726✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0675-4.90%4.67-26.80%0.1796✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.388142-4.87%0.3171-22.28%0.0318✓1.09202k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2078-4.86%1.1675-8.03%0.1448✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.195409-4.82%0.1515-26.21%0.0789✓1.12108k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022881-4.80%0.024833+3.32%0.0958✗0.09465k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.125572-4.80%0.1178-10.69%0.1205✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.0799-4.79%3.305-22.87%0.1532✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.15643-4.73%0.1486-9.50%0.1540✗1.319132022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9259.9583-4.71%51.73-17.78%0.0349✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.914455-4.65%0.7783-18.85%0.0369✓1.27899k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004005-4.63%0.00336-20.00%0.0283✓0.94103k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.305608-4.63%0.252468-21.21%0.0367✓0.99471k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5806-4.58%1.3516-18.41%0.0094✓1.06241k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0861-4.58%4.06-23.83%0.1244✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.108666-4.56%0.116277+2.12%0.2068✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.553757-4.56%0.5112-11.89%0.0166✓0.62836k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0415-4.53%0.929799-14.78%0.0071✓0.7736k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.135711-4.50%0.12114-14.76%0.0759✗1.21151k2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.0977-4.48%10.3905-17.96%0.0076✓1.0221k2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.843-4.44%14.49-12.61%0.0330✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,543.42-4.44%1,254.87-22.31%0.0504✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001554-4.41%0.001688+3.81%0.2056✗0.79374k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.874038-4.39%0.760819-16.78%0.0041✓0.8649k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098194-4.39%0.1026-0.10%0.2027✗1.01336k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.045415-4.33%0.03857-18.75%0.0617✓0.6514k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.109167-4.32%0.0931-18.40%0.0215✓0.88188k2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.00158-4.30%0.001361-17.57%0.0430✓0.685,8832022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87123.3992-4.25%111.75-13.28%0.0850✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0596-4.21%3.141-25.88%0.1749✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012341-4.19%0.00001016-21.12%0.0359✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.097144-4.10%0.0774-23.59%0.1081✓0.762,7302022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.347942-4.07%0.3109-14.28%0.0528✗1.061,1592022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77157.2383-3.99%144.74-11.62%0.0685✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.28047-3.85%0.2577-11.66%0.0743✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.384852-3.73%0.3906-2.29%0.1734✗1.0131k2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.3803-3.73%3.72-18.24%0.0682✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60952.5736-3.73%48.073-11.97%0.0491✗0.88264k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,587.94-3.64%19,155.92-14.49%0.0370✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.67e-7-3.62%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0035✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038555-3.61%0.03373-15.68%0.0245✓0.702,2982022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.166536-3.49%0.1565-9.31%0.0571✗0.765152022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.088405-3.38%0.0807-11.80%0.0628✗0.9814k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6586-3.28%8.85-19.69%0.0246✓1.34288k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.00603-3.27%0.00603-3.27%0.0580✗0.3730k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.227809-3.27%0.2291-2.72%0.1422✗0.87527k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.226945-3.26%0.1864-20.55%0.0563✓0.9057k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.4007-3.24%9.053-6.81%0.0974✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.7567-3.22%4.066-31.64%0.2471✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038449-3.15%0.0326-17.88%0.0057✓1.0289k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012743-3.13%0.010459-20.49%0.0666✓0.84882k2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8021,628.33-3.10%19,167.20-14.13%0.0230✓0.9213k2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.17843-2.97%0.147-20.07%0.0137✓1.151,7442022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.652226-2.94%0.549-18.30%0.0059✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.307012-2.91%0.33712+6.61%0.2019✗0.69326k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050124-2.86%0.052+0.78%0.1870✗0.96234k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.976158-2.82%0.9569-4.74%0.0693✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,670.60-2.69%1,294.33-24.60%0.0428✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.94505-2.57%0.833-14.12%0.0598✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7929-2.56%2.23+21.20%0.2916✗0.4758k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006196-2.51%0.005602-11.86%0.0008✓0.641,9622022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.87e-7-2.51%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0123✓0.7415k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.220047-2.50%0.1479-34.47%0.2784✓0.7667k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.471131-2.46%0.328-32.09%0.1725✓1.214,2692022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3951-2.44%1.52+6.29%0.0643✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.482815-2.42%0.4253-14.05%0.0542✗1.16384k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9237-2.41%4.1434-17.87%0.1625✓0.06119k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.2795-2.38%4.405+0.48%0.1448✗0.74688k2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.201495-2.33%0.1782-13.62%0.0475✗1.09135k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.13-2.08%52.23-14.95%0.0225✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.070515-2.05%0.06138-14.74%0.0179✓1.0025k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024375-2.03%0.02169-12.82%0.0526✗1.082,9582022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.06777-2.00%0.05545-19.81%0.0547✓0.938202022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020624-1.89%0.01798-14.46%0.0424✓0.61191k2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059035-1.61%0.0499-16.83%0.0354✓0.8590k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.554022-1.59%0.42113-25.20%0.0649✓1.3439k2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.06298-1.41%0.061673-3.46%0.0520✗0.47123k2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.8479-0.16%71.52-21.40%0.0002✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012948+0.06%0.01098-15.15%0.0623✗0.65233k2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.