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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2479
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.0129-0.23%0.0104-19.57%0.1258✓0.66233k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6391.163-0.51%71.42-22.06%0.0357✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.063165-1.60%0.06166-3.94%0.0425✗0.49123k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.545448-1.73%0.42218-23.94%0.0740✓1.3439k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.059855-2.04%0.0499-18.33%0.0655✓0.8682k2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020852-2.11%0.0178-16.43%0.0767✓0.60206k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.8013-2.22%52.01-16.36%0.0144✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.073604-2.46%0.06085-19.36%0.0525✓1.0124k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2226-2.48%4.365+0.81%0.1328✗0.73690k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.208466-2.63%0.1798-16.02%0.0000✓1.09138k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024824-2.65%0.02204-13.57%0.0345✗1.132,9142022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.225037-2.67%0.1522-34.17%0.2868✓0.7766k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3816-2.71%1.52+7.04%0.0762✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.85e-7-2.75%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0372✓0.7515k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.847-2.79%2.27+19.47%0.2711✗0.4861k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.497628-2.81%0.4268-16.64%0.0066✓1.18384k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049351-2.85%0.0515+1.38%0.1708✗0.94234k2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9178-2.86%4.1004-19.01%0.1733✓0.06117k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.656581-2.87%0.553-18.20%0.0161✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.997283-2.94%0.9454-7.99%0.0243✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.945333-2.94%0.833-14.48%0.0366✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012804-2.95%0.010365-21.44%0.0965✓0.85920k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,714.83-2.95%1,279.94-27.56%0.1061✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.499738-2.96%0.336-34.76%0.2299✓1.234,2692022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.177541-2.98%0.148-19.13%0.0232✓1.171,7442022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006341-2.99%0.005604-14.27%0.0325✓0.672,0442022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.321392-3.02%0.33684+1.64%0.1424✗0.70326k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,008.35-3.02%19,028.40-12.16%0.0256✓0.9213k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.223073-3.14%0.1864-19.06%0.0580✓0.8957k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4406-3.22%8.744-10.36%0.0407✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038009-3.29%0.0324-17.56%0.0210✓1.0288k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.070596-3.39%0.05605-23.29%0.0985✓0.977022022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.122616-3.45%0.1155-9.06%0.0591✓0.0183k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.9236-3.51%4.3-29.96%0.2306✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.77e-7-3.61%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0421✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.226516-3.61%0.2305-1.91%0.1355✗0.87503k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.00608-3.63%0.006021-4.56%0.0425✗0.3830k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45452.4572-3.67%47.915-12.01%0.0272✓0.87275k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.8173-3.67%8.81-21.55%0.0202✓1.36298k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.9536-3.78%14.48-12.67%0.0098✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,005.30-3.79%19,058.11-12.70%0.0386✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.281161-3.81%0.2614-10.57%0.0651✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.459-3.90%3.71-20.04%0.0999✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001496-3.98%0.001486-4.62%0.0976✗0.77353k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.167107-4.04%0.15473-11.15%0.0295✓0.783512022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038-4.04%0.03308-16.46%0.0449✓0.692,1832022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.090219-4.12%0.0796-15.41%0.0092✓0.9914k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095568-4.14%0.105+5.32%0.2310✗1.01336k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35124.9295-4.16%111.17-14.71%0.0444✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.388112-4.23%0.38304-5.48%0.1247✗1.0132k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.098213-4.37%0.0794-22.69%0.1082✓0.772,6892022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.299981-4.40%0.252068-19.67%0.0400✓0.99471k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22152.2031-4.41%144.57-9.20%0.0820✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.1104-4.50%0.0922-20.24%0.0611✓0.88169k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.0000124-4.54%0.00001023-21.25%0.0541✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.4105-4.57%30.8-12.03%0.0827✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.930051-4.59%0.7788-20.11%0.0049✓1.27899k2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.137207-4.60%0.12111-15.79%0.0400✓1.21151k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,580.17-4.63%1,240.98-25.10%0.1058✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.2896-4.63%10.4764-18.70%0.0207✓1.0222k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.2867-4.64%51.54-19.81%0.0130✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.127025-4.71%0.118-11.48%0.0875✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.108983-4.72%0.116096+1.49%0.1835✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.551619-4.76%0.5306-8.39%0.0457✓0.62826k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.883587-4.76%0.762754-17.79%0.0288✓0.8749k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001558-4.78%0.001366-16.50%0.0388✓0.686,5532022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1926-4.82%3.254-26.13%0.1800✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1434-4.84%3.34-23.29%0.1650✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1669-4.84%4.18-23.02%0.1221✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.333128-4.85%0.3202-8.54%0.1033✗1.057782022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6036-4.86%1.3396-20.52%0.0354✓1.06241k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0334-4.86%0.922593-15.07%0.0089✓0.7734k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061347-4.89%0.0631-2.17%0.1684✗1.0379k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044349-4.91%0.03846-17.54%0.0549✓0.6414k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.003983-4.93%0.00336-19.81%0.0417✓0.95103k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2378-5.00%1.2564-3.57%0.1711✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.484404-5.04%0.3906-23.43%0.0782✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.4849-5.04%23.25-16.64%0.0082✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.199978-5.04%0.1451-31.10%0.1641✓1.15108k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.6482-5.06%3.171-35.23%0.2466✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.6361-5.06%12.5-24.10%0.0536✓1.2584k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.159434-5.10%0.1567-6.73%0.1627✗1.321,0012022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8399-5.10%4.82-5.49%0.1133✗0.86859k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.168754-5.14%0.14363-19.26%0.0164✓1.07268k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.044369-5.16%0.039437-15.71%0.0036✓0.8928k2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.13067-5.17%0.1203-12.70%0.0695✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060407-5.17%0.060216-5.47%0.1341✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.762143-5.18%0.64753-19.44%0.0083✓1.14584k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5691-5.19%1.496-9.61%0.0537✗0.7536k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022726-5.20%0.025016+4.35%0.1059✗0.07455k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6358-5.26%2.134-23.29%0.1044✓0.79586k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.6019-5.26%15.96-22.86%0.0192✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070233-5.27%0.07114-4.05%0.0312✓0.14378k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1206-5.28%0.8192-30.75%0.1014✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.402967-5.30%0.313-26.44%0.1022✓1.11202k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.420825-5.33%0.355-20.13%0.0111✓1.1781k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82102.9877-5.36%153.96+41.48%0.5316✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.43212-5.40%0.30021-34.28%0.2276✓1.01379k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.0978-5.40%40.86-21.27%0.0457✓1.02395k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3545.7373-5.40%41.25-14.68%0.0432✓1.08321k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.308655-5.44%0.3177-2.67%0.1630✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010698-5.45%0.009663-14.59%0.0341✓1.006302022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035748-5.45%0.02814-25.58%0.0939✓1.0745k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1823-5.49%1.022-18.31%0.0188✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.039992-5.51%0.036015-14.90%0.0330✓0.5323k2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.03515-5.51%0.0355-4.57%0.1287✗0.877,8252022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.512934-5.54%0.426-21.55%0.0194✓1.2274k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.694347-5.54%0.6398-12.96%0.1267✗1.53226k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4328-5.55%1.432-5.60%0.1521✗1.1271k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2045-5.56%4.92-25.11%0.1582✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.046896-5.64%0.0383-22.94%0.0869✓0.85138k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.612267-5.66%0.562-13.41%0.0542✓1.03178k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.678937-5.70%0.56-22.22%0.1611✓0.2346k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.7942-5.76%12.174-22.45%0.0188✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.7927-5.78%16.63+5.92%0.2549✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017221-5.80%0.014339-21.56%0.0473✓1.008742022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8913-5.80%1.0218-49.11%0.5000✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.9886-5.90%55.84+1.07%0.2465✗1.298,9662022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7465-5.95%5.226-27.14%0.1181✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.3284-5.97%5.78-14.12%0.0224✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008874-6.00%0.00556-41.10%0.3365✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001285-6.03%0.000927-32.21%0.2122✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.312216-6.19%0.2783-16.38%0.0273✓1.0575k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006199-6.21%0.00472-28.59%0.1856✓0.64911k2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8044-6.22%1.6014-16.77%0.0328✓1.1223k2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.833189-6.23%0.8294-6.65%0.2086✗1.5794k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4626-6.36%1.94-26.24%0.1541✓0.62262k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.329254-6.38%0.2823-19.73%0.0073✓1.0834k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0604-6.43%1.57-28.70%0.0977✓1.2832k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5239-6.67%3.9604-18.29%0.0753✗1.53129k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.1416-6.72%0.122-19.63%0.0126✓1.00110k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000042532-6.77%0.000038-16.70%0.0074✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.020397-6.81%0.018475-15.59%0.0146✓0.6212k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.007862-6.85%0.00619-26.66%0.0789✓1.18406k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.480327-6.86%0.3748-27.32%0.1319✓0.85418k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.265431-6.87%0.233-18.25%0.0241✓0.78563k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.2853-6.98%4.693-17.41%0.0726✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.477169-6.98%0.383-25.34%0.0754✓1.067,7812022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7553-7.01%2.062-30.41%0.0771✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.046582-7.02%0.0362-27.74%0.0938✓1.17536k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.047-7.05%2.858-12.81%0.0131✓0.38720k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7047-7.25%1.592-13.38%0.0708✓1.02627k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.3224-7.32%7.02-21.83%0.0886✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8414-7.47%1.515-23.87%0.0385✓1.7260k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.192742-7.47%0.1946-6.58%0.1456✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.5987-7.67%4.4242-38.10%0.3856✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003517-7.68%0.00325-14.70%0.0584✓1.01481k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4915.9913-7.70%5.992-7.69%0.1902✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002674-7.91%0.002081-28.34%0.1287✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.3875-8.00%7.132-11.18%0.1183✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0417-8.01%2.6817-18.90%0.0160✓1.0419k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.115175-8.15%0.0677-46.01%0.4470✓0.62191k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.2955-8.19%3.1333-33.03%0.2333✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.332182-8.21%0.2662-26.44%0.0609✓1.1872k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.781776-8.22%0.75273-11.63%0.0695✓0.7913k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.060748-8.24%0.0548-17.22%0.0638✓1.23555k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1299-8.25%3.85-14.46%0.0584✓0.95286k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2056-8.29%1.105-15.94%0.0585✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.3572-8.31%23.73-38.46%0.1834✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.302878-8.44%0.255-22.91%0.0684✓0.7684k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.789594-8.85%0.6867-20.73%0.0206✓1.18946k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.2379-8.94%14.03-25.88%0.1317✓0.55384k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.0107-8.98%6.18-19.76%0.0326✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.021225-8.98%0.0222-4.80%0.1893✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.931091-9.07%0.853-16.70%0.0324✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.106069-9.11%0.0886-24.08%0.0119✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.0948-9.15%1.6843-26.95%0.0636✓1.1413k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.2051-9.31%11.52-20.88%0.0253✓1.19925k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.140106-9.32%0.1354-12.36%0.1040✗1.02336k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.263886-9.46%0.21515-26.18%0.0824✓0.9015k2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.538663-9.47%0.454-23.70%0.0136✓1.1664k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.353268-9.49%0.3122-20.01%0.0229✓1.08324k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2307-10.10%1.115-18.55%0.0739✓1.27343k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.636.8363-10.40%5.83-23.59%0.0093✓1.10230k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.046566-10.45%0.0393-24.42%0.0108✓1.17190k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3014-10.86%1.09-25.34%0.0319✓1.0779k2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.260303-11.13%0.2043-30.25%0.0956✓1.0883k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.7443-11.37%5.0794-33.25%0.2493✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.1616-11.37%14.164+12.47%0.2892✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.45e-7-11.64%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1498✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.605219-11.78%0.555-19.10%0.0598✓1.08111k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.8597-12.11%1.581-25.28%0.0314✓1.43967k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.047-12.15%1.67-28.33%0.0283✓1.29227k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9828.0714-12.22%24.24-24.20%0.0847✓1.70168k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.938,924.08-12.47%7,823.46-23.26%0.0640✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2122-13.54%0.738-47.36%0.2617✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056287-13.68%0.05586-14.34%0.1624✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.224979-13.83%0.1306-49.98%0.4347✓0.8024k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4153-14.12%1.424-13.59%0.1748✗1.2443k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.4126-15.65%5.133-20.01%0.0780✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000360972-16.32%0.00028097-34.87%0.2001✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.