8=======>

2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3117
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012994-0.51%0.01132-13.32%0.0491✓0.72228k2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.0347-0.76%73.6-20.64%0.0477✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.063547-1.61%0.06275-2.84%0.0635✗0.62129k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.54555-1.95%0.4444-20.13%0.0539✓1.2239k2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020598-2.20%0.01855-11.92%0.0139✓0.73223k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058449-2.26%0.048-19.73%0.0886✓0.8881k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3261.8364-2.34%52.63-16.88%0.0436✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.067357-2.54%0.06086-11.94%0.0135✓0.936022022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2136-2.55%4.3574+0.77%0.1263✗0.75702k2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.206056-2.62%0.1844-12.85%0.0329✗1.16139k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.073986-2.62%0.06087-19.89%0.0576✓1.1125k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024801-2.63%0.02272-10.80%0.0862✗1.412,9582022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.223611-2.74%0.161-29.97%0.2337✓0.7767k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8378-2.76%2.42+28.04%0.3377✗0.5161k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8071-2.80%4.0725-17.65%0.1541✓0.09115k2022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.501563-2.80%0.347-32.75%0.2264✓1.154,5592022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.660879-2.81%0.559-17.79%0.0276✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.214579-2.82%0.1907-13.63%0.0037✓0.9257k2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3893-2.84%1.59+11.19%0.1287✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012694-2.84%0.010998-15.83%0.0680✓0.61929k2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049352-2.85%0.0551+8.46%0.2326✗0.99234k2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.49135-2.88%0.4416-12.71%0.0286✓1.09384k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.84e-7-2.88%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0451✓0.7515k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0038-2.93%0.9327-9.81%0.0107✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006114-2.96%0.006061-3.80%0.0761✗0.692,0442022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.322447-2.97%0.34896+5.01%0.1677✗0.72327k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.948511-3.02%0.844-13.70%0.0327✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,720.96-3.03%1,290.06-27.31%0.1269✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.4592-3.24%8.752-10.47%0.0358✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,007.49-3.34%19,152.00-11.87%0.0240✓0.9413k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.126218-3.43%0.1201-8.11%0.0488✓0.0183k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038049-3.43%0.0329-16.50%0.0408✓0.8584k2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.22135-3.47%0.2229-2.79%0.1116✗0.85503k2022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.17955-3.52%0.1562-16.07%0.0264✓1.341,5202022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.808-3.54%4.65-22.77%0.1704✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4716.8484-3.56%15.09-13.62%0.0262✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23653.2357-3.62%48-13.10%0.0135✓0.73284k2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006001-3.64%0.006179-0.79%0.0836✗0.4433k2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.96e-7-3.70%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0563✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5220,836.17-3.77%19,132.83-11.63%0.0384✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.283653-3.81%0.2601-11.80%0.0266✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.5251-3.88%9.1-16.89%0.0052✓1.22298k2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.164611-3.90%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001485-4.09%0.00151-2.45%0.1116✗0.77343k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.094832-4.11%0.1072+8.39%0.2328✗0.89336k2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.03814-4.12%0.03408-14.33%0.0188✓0.762,2982022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4375-4.16%3.91-15.55%0.0646✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64127.0734-4.20%111.62-15.85%0.0080✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.386284-4.30%0.38835-3.79%0.1211✗0.9431k2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.299147-4.33%0.258723-17.26%0.0226✓0.99514k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.09908-4.36%0.0821-20.75%0.1007✓0.712,6892022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51150.4607-4.48%142.31-9.65%0.0692✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.943081-4.50%0.8062-18.36%0.0167✓1.13899k2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.4709-4.56%31.95-8.90%0.0819✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.109261-4.58%0.0951-16.94%0.0432✓0.77169k2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.137049-4.64%0.12369-13.94%0.0355✓1.12157k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.5885-4.67%1.3702-17.77%0.0196✓1.04241k2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.01046-4.68%0.010135-7.65%0.0921✗1.006082022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.127321-4.70%0.1203-9.96%0.0746✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,591.92-4.70%1,251.04-25.11%0.1173✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3362.2586-4.70%52.65-19.41%0.0224✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.550519-4.74%0.5363-7.20%0.0651✗0.74826k2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001525-4.77%0.001375-14.12%0.0223✓0.666,5532022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.109211-4.79%0.123692+7.83%0.2274✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.199921-4.80%0.1511-28.05%0.1374✓1.15108k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.00564-4.89%0.00482-18.72%0.0796✓0.63911k2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0173-4.90%0.956518-10.58%0.0373✓0.8034k2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.892163-4.92%0.772633-17.66%0.0472✓0.7849k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003061-4.95%0.00326+1.24%0.1794✗0.94481k2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.3179-4.96%23.56-14.92%0.0091✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.094552-4.97%0.0801-19.50%0.0600✓0.8613k2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.1395-5.00%4.35-19.59%0.1156✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012616-5.00%0.00001021-23.12%0.1006✓0.90951k2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.8539-5.01%4.88-4.50%0.1059✗0.81943k2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.154332-5.03%0.1577-2.95%0.1348✗0.921,0012022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.043821-5.03%0.03912-15.21%0.0258✓0.7114k2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003922-5.04%0.00343-16.95%0.0227✓0.90103k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.06247-5.06%0.0602-8.51%0.0624✗0.8081k2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.5764-5.09%1.54-7.28%0.0691✗0.7544k2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.7813-5.10%10.738-20.27%0.0648✓0.8822k2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.486275-5.10%0.4012-21.70%0.0853✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.5671-5.11%3.218-33.14%0.2265✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1312-5.12%3.411-21.66%0.1515✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.3998-5.14%16.22-20.68%0.0342✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0741-5.17%3.324-22.63%0.1497✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8515.9787-5.17%13.12-22.14%0.0637✓1.0885k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.771545-5.18%0.66749-17.97%0.0420✓0.83584k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1586-5.19%1.035-15.30%0.0040✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.061371-5.19%0.059392-8.25%0.0911✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.170215-5.22%0.14541-19.03%0.0426✓0.93268k2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.068212-5.22%0.06817-5.28%0.0157✓0.13389k2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.420222-5.23%0.3444-22.33%0.0586✓1.1381k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043343-5.23%0.040114-12.29%0.0202✓0.7928k2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.398286-5.26%0.3127-25.62%0.1144✓1.03209k2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.13178-5.26%0.1217-12.51%0.0199✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2646-5.28%1.2607-5.57%0.1337✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6575-5.33%2.188-22.05%0.0951✓0.80630k2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.4799.8436-5.33%151.15+43.31%0.5081✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.045331-5.36%0.0397-17.12%0.0232✓0.88132k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022876-5.43%0.025041+3.51%0.0958✗0.04454k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.304767-5.44%0.3195-0.87%0.1536✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.1105-5.45%41.83-14.23%0.0201✓0.95328k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.040214-5.46%0.036464-14.27%0.0345✓0.5123k2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1758-5.53%0.8515-31.58%0.1402✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.521415-5.54%0.435-21.20%0.0471✓1.0877k2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4294-5.59%1.473-2.71%0.1662✗1.1071k2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.3961-5.59%41.93-19.86%0.0494✓0.93363k2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.035779-5.60%0.0363-4.22%0.1062✗0.747,8252022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.266027-5.60%0.2643-6.21%0.0909✗0.7984k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0650.0778-5.62%57.34+8.07%0.2837✗1.209,0502022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.619856-5.65%0.576-12.33%0.0399✓0.92178k2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.036032-5.68%0.02885-24.48%0.1007✓0.9859k2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.688205-5.73%0.59-19.18%0.1072✓0.3850k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.706019-5.75%0.6445-13.96%0.0771✗1.36210k2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.7576-5.83%5.134+1.62%0.2301✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6512-5.90%16.13+3.60%0.2040✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.0412-5.96%12.445-22.19%0.0484✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.437118-6.00%0.30405-34.62%0.2480✓0.93392k2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008816-6.01%0.00578-38.38%0.3328✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.0712-6.02%5.09-21.21%0.1229✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.6999-6.02%5.318-25.40%0.1268✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001296-6.12%0.0009418-31.79%0.2372✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.368864-6.17%0.3174-19.26%0.0188✓1.067402022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.0836-6.31%1.602-27.97%0.1270✓1.1033k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.017747-6.32%0.014562-23.14%0.0741✓1.006792022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007361-6.35%0.00625-20.48%0.0359✓1.03389k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.194-6.43%5.83-11.93%0.0078✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.00004169-6.44%0.00003879-12.95%0.0250✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.31808-6.47%0.2837-16.58%0.0155✓1.0582k2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.33103-6.51%0.2881-18.63%0.0217✓0.9534k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9139-6.53%1.0487-48.79%0.4941✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4383-6.58%1.98-24.14%0.1272✓0.66262k2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8113-6.58%1.644-15.21%0.0328✓1.0523k2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.842639-6.58%0.8294-8.05%0.1526✗1.3694k2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1574-6.60%3.7704-15.30%0.0902✗1.52129k2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.139101-6.71%0.125-16.16%0.0109✓0.95117k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8131-6.97%2.119-29.93%0.1067✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.488132-7.00%0.3899-25.72%0.1427✓0.66444k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.479802-7.02%0.4-22.48%0.0594✓0.997,7812022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.6628-7.05%1.635-8.61%0.0882✗0.85627k2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.0405-7.07%2.91-11.06%0.0175✓0.50653k2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020046-7.09%0.018973-12.06%0.0380✓0.7512k2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.047358-7.14%0.0369-27.65%0.1331✓0.94546k2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.8985-7.30%1.526-25.49%0.0176✓1.6260k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.3376-7.57%7.19-20.29%0.0932✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.262389-7.61%0.242-14.79%0.0078✓0.72563k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.186109-7.68%0.1892-6.15%0.1194✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.160313-7.76%0.137-21.17%0.0546✓0.8324k2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002683-7.83%0.002108-27.59%0.1365✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.1506-7.84%6.391-4.24%0.1918✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.11721-8.00%0.0751-41.05%0.3597✓0.69195k2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.42-8.00%4.5127-35.33%0.3337✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.2701-8.04%7.34-7.16%0.1287✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.336372-8.22%0.2763-24.61%0.0701✓1.0271k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.779678-8.29%0.78289-7.91%0.1143✗0.8913k2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2141-8.37%1.1707-11.65%0.0760✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.4517-8.40%14.59-18.76%0.0444✓0.61384k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.0915-8.41%2.7499-18.53%0.0018✓0.9619k2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.1879-8.42%3.325-27.29%0.1677✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.061299-8.51%0.0565-15.67%0.0676✓1.21608k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.02107-8.59%0.02172-5.77%0.1327✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.1746-8.63%3.921-14.18%0.0484✓0.90289k2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2335.814-8.71%24.25-38.19%0.2114✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.795789-8.73%0.6906-20.79%0.0194✓0.99988k2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.0827-8.93%6.253-19.60%0.0029✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.106641-9.09%0.0913-22.17%0.0279✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.93346-9.20%0.85-17.32%0.0393✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1131-9.20%1.7409-25.20%0.0585✓1.0913k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.3572-9.26%11.97-18.68%0.0171✓1.02925k2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.138904-9.39%0.1384-9.72%0.1202✗1.00361k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.262893-9.46%0.2216-23.68%0.0516✓0.9614k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.51427-9.46%0.472-16.90%0.0466✓1.0763k2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.348002-9.52%0.3199-16.82%0.0506✓1.09335k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2324-10.18%1.118-18.51%0.0377✓1.09385k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.786.9774-10.32%6.21-20.18%0.0108✓1.03237k2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.046737-10.47%0.0399-23.56%0.0519✓0.86204k2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3184-11.52%1.11-25.50%0.0616✓0.8981k2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.06e-7-11.52%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0824✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.606893-11.53%0.573-16.47%0.0394✓0.78116k2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.5553-11.60%5.1074-31.12%0.2218✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.277517-11.62%0.1964-37.45%0.2196✓1.0292k2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21410.7935-11.63%13.805+13.03%0.3002✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.0566-12.11%1.72-26.50%0.0374✓1.14229k2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.8531-12.18%1.573-25.45%0.0052✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5528.5685-12.23%25.01-23.16%0.0781✓1.71178k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,112.64-12.72%7,851.69-24.80%0.0233✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.1962-13.76%0.752-45.78%0.2682✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.056808-13.77%0.05695-13.55%0.1378✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.3914-13.84%1.305-19.20%0.0704✓1.0943k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.3744-15.48%5.154-18.95%0.0620✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000357814-17.71%0.00028839-33.67%0.1537✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.