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2022-09-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3489
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.9%
in alpha space · 77.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.061273+2.29%0.0615+2.67%0.0005✓0.8382k2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04594.1321+2.13%4.3521+7.57%0.0480✓0.78724k2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2989.9996+1.94%74.71-15.38%0.1940✗1.546.0M2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011883+1.83%0.0144+23.39%0.1888✓0.66228k2022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.00149+1.82%0.001536+4.99%0.0268✓0.78397k2022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.142136+1.74%0.1205-13.74%0.1654✗0.0490k2022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.916.0704+1.07%15.04-5.41%0.0703✗0.791.6M2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.40805+0.88%0.3252-19.60%0.2327✗1.15215k2022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.53196+0.43%0.47285-10.73%0.1244✗1.3241k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.471024+0.43%0.368-21.54%0.2531✗1.244,4682022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005687+0.29%0.00499-11.99%0.1339✗0.65951k2022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.125033+0.11%0.1312+5.04%0.0428✓1.061.4M2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.213624+0.06%0.1991-6.74%0.0755✗1.0157k2022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8397-0.01%2.46+33.70%0.2881✗0.4868k2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.772191-0.08%0.68921-10.82%0.1181✓0.87537k2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.055422-0.14%0.0483-12.97%0.1422✓0.9280k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.06108-0.18%0.062098+1.48%0.0134✗0.62123k2022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070593-0.19%0.06169-12.78%0.1408✓1.1825k2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39152.0652-0.21%147.42-3.26%0.0363✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6233.5333-0.26%32.59-3.06%0.0343✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.22612-0.30%0.174-23.28%0.2662✓0.8366k2022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,232.66-0.32%19,285.80-0.05%0.0019✓0.9412k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.650113-0.49%0.6385-2.27%0.0251✓1.40210k2022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,226.15-0.50%19,419.39+0.50%0.0050✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.634593-0.53%0.6-5.96%0.0610✓0.99178k2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.096678-0.54%0.1123+15.53%0.1448✗0.99368k2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.098725-0.58%0.0858-13.60%0.1440✓0.742,7842022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.328412-0.58%0.29691-10.12%0.1059✓1.0035k2022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.4063-0.61%1.618+14.35%0.1343✗1.1771k2022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.034879-0.63%0.0372+5.98%0.0607✗0.736,2432022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012885-0.69%0.011067-14.70%0.1555✓0.68929k2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.061325-0.77%0.057-7.77%0.0795✓1.27617k2022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.907577-0.79%0.8295-9.32%0.0961✓1.22908k2022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.463-0.82%5.166+14.80%0.1396✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.043934-0.87%0.041135-7.19%0.0701✓0.8429k2022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.9045-0.91%2.215-24.43%0.2787✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2752.7428-0.99%49.962-6.21%0.0582✓0.79287k2022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.375324-0.99%0.39246+3.53%0.0397✗0.9832k2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.260273-1.04%0.246-6.46%0.0602✓0.76581k2022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0402-1.09%0.977066-7.09%0.0669✓0.8637k2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.040517-1.12%0.037113-9.42%0.0903✓0.5125k2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020656-1.17%0.02161+3.40%0.0412✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.412959-1.21%0.412-1.44%0.0076✓1.057,7812022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.467864-1.21%0.4263-9.99%0.0988✓1.15384k2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.129363-1.25%0.1313+0.23%0.0122✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005831-1.26%0.005918+0.21%0.0113✓0.712,0942022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.6204-1.34%2.269-14.57%0.1484✓0.88671k2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.494284-1.34%0.49-2.20%0.0141✓1.0857k2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.134787-1.35%0.12627-7.58%0.0713✓1.20167k2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.04587-1.35%0.0411-11.61%0.1147✓0.97138k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002691-1.36%0.00215-21.19%0.2290✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.1819-1.39%52.82-8.92%0.0845✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.303486-1.40%0.335+8.84%0.0942✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.393651-1.41%0.3541-11.32%0.1118✓1.1775k2022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.174047-1.50%0.1582-10.47%0.1023✓1.361,5202022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.037621-1.52%0.0339-11.26%0.1089✓0.9466k2022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.153831-1.52%0.1422-8.96%0.0836✓1.001,2532022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.6546-1.52%24.12-7.41%0.0666✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.05091-1.53%0.0567+9.67%0.1022✗1.09234k2022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.003109-1.62%0.00335+6.01%0.0696✗1.02483k2022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.274708-1.68%0.2676-4.22%0.0311✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1736.0641-1.76%6.512+5.49%0.0646✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.167-1.77%1.058-10.94%0.1029✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.102493-1.78%0.12613+20.87%0.2033✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4347.5228-1.87%58.49+20.77%0.2012✗1.289,1802022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.320425-1.89%0.36616+12.11%0.1293✗0.82327k2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.541063-1.95%0.535-3.04%0.0153✓0.81867k2022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.00149-1.96%0.00137-9.87%0.0875✓0.677,1022022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.4479-2.03%4.39-3.30%0.0160✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.059732-2.04%0.06163+1.07%0.0259✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003908-2.05%0.00349-12.53%0.1181✓0.98123k2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.006062-2.08%0.006309+1.91%0.0376✗0.4538k2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.199904-2.10%0.1872-8.33%0.0723✓1.31139k2022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3899-2.12%1.53+7.75%0.0971✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.7254-2.13%1.758-0.28%0.0140✓0.94578k2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.1037-2.15%0.8838-21.64%0.2300✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.7182-2.20%16.79-12.28%0.1151✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011958-2.22%0.000011-10.06%0.0883✓0.96898k2022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036625-2.23%0.03529-5.79%0.0412✓0.822,5652022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.0665-2.27%8.997-3.02%0.0125✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.70e-7-2.29%7.80e-7-12.36%0.1127✓0.7815k2022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0933.0218-2.30%2.98-3.65%0.0167✓0.56720k2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.307512-2.35%0.288-8.54%0.0712✓1.1387k2022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.216682-2.35%0.2332+5.09%0.0687✗0.94503k2022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.154048-2.37%0.1645+4.26%0.0555✗2.022952022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.047141-2.40%0.0382-20.91%0.2154✓1.01620k2022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.854209-2.42%0.786751-10.12%0.0864✓0.8352k2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9299.4099-2.46%148.85+46.05%0.3993✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.6812-2.48%5.09+6.04%0.0795✗0.85943k2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.6728-2.49%9.22-7.06%0.0544✓1.28281k2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.949816-2.49%0.9356-3.95%0.0177✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1359.5441-2.59%54.42-10.98%0.0960✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.626198-2.61%0.585-9.02%0.0739✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.836-2.64%4.0878-17.70%0.1686✓0.10115k2022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62123.2681-2.65%117.04-7.57%0.0578✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.796395-2.69%0.7275-11.11%0.0957✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.316446-2.69%0.325-0.06%0.0218✓0.976202022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.56e-7-2.71%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0972✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.793-2.71%1.562-15.25%0.1464✓1.6965k2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0722.0152-2.74%1.708-17.57%0.1713✓1.1734k2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020158-2.74%0.019332-6.73%0.0459✓0.8113k2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008616-2.75%0.00626-29.35%0.3232✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.165603-2.78%0.15272-10.34%0.0860✓1.00268k2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.101387-2.79%0.0962-7.77%0.0580✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.19362-2.80%0.1568-21.29%0.2176✓1.33111k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.9828-2.80%42.37-8.45%0.0649✓1.00338k2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2648.8315-2.84%42.64-15.16%0.1406✓1.00409k2022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.5297-2.85%7.98-9.11%0.0692✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.332722-2.88%0.2851-16.78%0.1598✓1.0671k2022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.4081-2.89%1.23-15.17%0.1411✓1.1745k2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.351354-2.97%0.3278-9.47%0.0753✓1.17365k2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.828874-2.98%0.80978-5.21%0.0283✓1.0014k2022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023371-2.99%0.02311-4.07%0.0177✓1.292,9142022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.296137-3.00%0.270386-11.44%0.0965✓1.09514k2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.7949-3.03%1.6788-9.30%0.0724✓1.1123k2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.806469-3.03%0.8303-0.17%0.0217✓1.4899k2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.509051-3.04%0.446-15.05%0.1381✓1.1774k2022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.4061-3.07%10.8961-14.86%0.1348✓0.9925k2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.2333-3.12%1.2-5.73%0.0335✓1.21429k2022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.135831-3.12%0.1309-6.63%0.0421✓1.01128k2022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.1761-3.12%7.454+0.63%0.0327✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,584.42-3.14%1,315.71-19.56%0.1928✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.270767-3.19%0.2332-16.62%0.1546✓1.0514k2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.8198-3.22%15-13.69%0.1180✓0.68396k2022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.463525-3.23%0.4221-11.88%0.0983✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.2684-3.24%5.811-10.30%0.0800✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.0236-3.26%13.54-12.81%0.1096✓1.1287k2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.0641-3.31%2.8264-10.81%0.0859✓1.0319k2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.065603-3.34%0.06886+1.46%0.0482✗0.05389k2022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.00004077-3.36%0.00004095-2.94%0.0002✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.1777-3.40%1.7914-20.54%0.2013✓1.2013k2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.047308-3.45%0.0408-16.73%0.1526✓0.91204k2022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.042836-3.48%0.04056-8.61%0.0583✓0.7514k2022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.106996-3.52%0.0979-11.72%0.0932✓0.87169k2022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6246-3.58%1.589-5.70%0.0265✓0.8759k2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.00716-3.63%0.00635-14.54%0.1257✓1.12389k2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010176-3.66%0.010527-0.34%0.0289✓1.005382022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.089209-3.66%0.0808-12.74%0.1039✓0.9811k2022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5294-3.67%1.4096-11.22%0.0872✓1.12247k2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.063631-3.68%0.06058-8.30%0.0539✓0.956022022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.143566-3.71%0.1437-3.62%0.0046✓1.11469k2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.366998-3.72%0.31877-16.37%0.1458✓0.97392k2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.0894-3.81%6.43-12.75%0.1033✓1.13276k2022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.8997-3.85%3.706-8.63%0.0535✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3897.089-4.06%6.312-14.58%0.1214✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.273-4.09%1.3699+3.21%0.0672✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,429.72-4.16%1,276.54-14.43%0.1184✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020011-4.16%0.01883-9.82%0.0648✓0.79241k2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.699553-4.17%0.6-17.81%0.1552✓0.3453k2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.0956-4.22%4.87-8.46%0.0477✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.855671-4.29%0.872-2.46%0.0124✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.288149-4.33%0.2731-9.33%0.0585✓0.9683k2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.623478-4.37%0.58-11.04%0.0766✓0.86134k2022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7115.0223-4.38%17.73+12.86%0.1607✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.155137-4.47%0.1363-16.07%0.1347✓1.0524k2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.284992-4.49%0.2372-20.51%0.1891✓1.0997k2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.2269-4.50%12.34-10.90%0.0750✓1.11925k2022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.023321-4.52%0.026408+8.12%0.1238✗0.11465k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.8333-4.56%5.085-16.80%0.1400✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.2497-4.56%13.15-5.28%0.0133✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6893-4.67%1.1244-36.55%0.4119✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.483016-4.67%0.3931-22.42%0.2097✓0.73467k2022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.0795-4.91%3.701-13.73%0.0991✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.0573-4.91%6.41+0.63%0.0541✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.157-4.98%1.8-20.70%0.1873✓1.26232k2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1327.6666-5.02%25.79-11.47%0.0794✓1.83186k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.016729-5.05%0.015261-13.38%0.0969✓1.001512022-10-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,792.11-5.12%8,043.91-13.20%0.0961✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3277-5.16%1.14-18.57%0.1573✓0.9681k2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.1481-5.34%1.2118-0.09%0.0492✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.981899-5.40%0.85-18.11%0.1463✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1126-5.55%0.836-29.03%0.2941✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.452-5.69%2.02-22.31%0.1977✓0.77262k2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.345.9732-5.79%5.63-11.20%0.0617✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.1834-5.89%4.7846+7.64%0.1234✗2.17129k2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.8392-5.97%1.686-13.80%0.0939✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.032979-6.18%0.03008-14.42%0.0971✓1.0159k2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.1904-6.34%3.5435-20.80%0.1708✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001248-6.54%0.0009955-25.43%0.2297✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.174497-6.69%0.2155+15.24%0.2067✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.4008-7.91%5.399-7.95%0.0047✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.3265-8.38%3.746-20.67%0.1491✓0.99298k2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.055364-8.38%0.05844-3.29%0.0485✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.118929-8.52%0.0685-47.31%0.5557✓0.79203k2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.133.8613-8.73%26.96-27.33%0.2357✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.0847-11.73%5.2565-23.75%0.1476✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.47e-7-13.42%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2069✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68226.5747-14.42%6.0322-21.48%0.0880✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41610.4716-15.66%15.367+23.77%0.3808✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000418804-18.88%0.00029525-42.81%0.3532✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.