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2022-09-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2951
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.5%
in alpha space · 79.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000404714-21.61%0.00029525-42.81%0.3190✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68226.8389-10.98%6.0322-21.48%0.1274✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.0659-10.87%15.367+23.77%0.3256✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.69e-7-10.53%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2397✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.2611-9.76%3.746-20.67%0.1338✓0.99298k2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.2972-9.68%5.399-7.95%0.0147✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.2689-9.36%1.14-18.57%0.1120✓0.9681k2022-10-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,429.89-9.03%8,043.91-13.20%0.0540✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.054989-9.00%0.05844-3.29%0.0554✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.3199-8.97%1.23-15.17%0.0765✓1.1745k2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.274255-8.95%0.2731-9.33%0.0091✓0.9683k2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0751-8.73%0.836-29.03%0.2598✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.7895-8.51%1.686-13.80%0.0665✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.0932-8.51%3.5435-20.80%0.1474✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.598071-8.27%0.58-11.04%0.0350✓0.86134k2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.952775-8.21%0.85-18.11%0.1162✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.0848-8.16%1.8-20.70%0.1532✓1.26232k2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.149318-8.06%0.1363-16.07%0.0965✓1.0524k2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.3471-7.93%5.2565-23.75%0.1899✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.1729-7.87%1.2-5.73%0.0168✓1.21429k2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.045153-7.85%0.0408-16.73%0.1060✓0.91204k2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.3965-7.83%2.02-22.31%0.1748✓0.77262k2022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.137553-7.74%0.1437-3.62%0.0382✓1.11469k2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1326.8862-7.70%25.79-11.47%0.0508✓1.83186k2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.172772-7.61%0.2155+15.24%0.2166✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.376.8099-7.60%6.43-12.75%0.0631✓1.13276k2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.120253-7.50%0.0685-47.31%0.5667✓0.79203k2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.134.3373-7.45%26.96-27.33%0.2497✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.259141-7.35%0.2332-16.62%0.1108✓1.0514k2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.1245-7.29%1.2118-0.09%0.0700✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.1298-7.19%15-13.69%0.0761✓0.68396k2022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.1492-7.18%7.98-9.11%0.0236✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.277413-7.03%0.2372-20.51%0.1621✓1.0997k2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16922.9508-6.89%2.8264-10.81%0.0483✓1.0319k2022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.375.9623-6.40%6.41+0.63%0.0699✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.345.9345-6.40%5.63-11.20%0.0552✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.33921-6.32%0.3278-9.47%0.0401✓1.17365k2022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.1647-6.31%4.7846+7.64%0.1279✗2.17129k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.016533-6.17%0.015261-13.38%0.0851✓1.001512022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.131638-6.11%0.1309-6.63%0.0107✓1.01128k2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.009-6.07%12.34-10.90%0.0584✓1.11925k2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.76886-6.05%0.7275-11.11%0.0605✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.058068-6.04%0.057-7.77%0.0250✓1.27617k2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019478-6.02%0.019332-6.73%0.0116✓0.8113k2022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4076.9639-5.98%7.454+0.63%0.0627✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.322108-5.98%0.2851-16.78%0.1274✓1.0671k2022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.087098-5.94%0.0808-12.74%0.0800✓0.9811k2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.098126-5.92%0.0962-7.77%0.0253✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3896.9519-5.92%6.312-14.58%0.1019✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.804224-5.86%0.80978-5.21%0.0018✓1.0014k2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.1225-5.85%1.7914-20.54%0.1757✓1.2013k2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687659-5.80%0.6-17.81%0.1381✓0.3453k2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6697-5.78%1.1244-36.55%0.4002✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000039796-5.67%0.00004095-2.94%0.0244✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.1003-5.64%13.15-5.28%0.0019✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.00126-5.62%0.0009955-25.43%0.2395✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.478648-5.54%0.3931-22.42%0.2006✓0.73467k2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.009984-5.48%0.010527-0.34%0.0479✓1.005382022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7114.8495-5.48%17.73+12.86%0.1722✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.473618-5.47%0.49-2.20%0.0286✓1.0857k2022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.312569-5.38%0.29691-10.12%0.0564✓1.0035k2022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001439-5.33%0.00137-9.87%0.0525✓0.677,1022022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.8406-5.31%3.706-8.63%0.0382✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.023134-5.29%0.026408+8.12%0.1318✗0.11465k2022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.308047-5.27%0.325-0.06%0.0487✓0.976202022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0932.931-5.24%2.98-3.65%0.0138✓0.56720k2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.7542-5.23%1.6788-9.30%0.0495✓1.1123k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002586-5.19%0.00215-21.19%0.1894✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.6715-5.19%1.758-0.28%0.0457✓0.94578k2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008401-5.18%0.00626-29.35%0.2979✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9296.6518-5.17%148.85+46.05%0.4275✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.361739-5.10%0.31877-16.37%0.1314✓0.97392k2022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.042119-5.10%0.04056-8.61%0.0415✓0.7514k2022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.5995-5.08%1.589-5.70%0.0109✓0.8759k2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.789478-5.08%0.8303-0.17%0.0430✓1.4899k2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.0508-5.06%4.87-8.46%0.0389✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007061-4.96%0.00635-14.54%0.1118✓1.12389k2022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.5251-4.93%2.269-14.57%0.1114✓0.88671k2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003796-4.85%0.00349-12.53%0.0891✓0.98123k2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.033454-4.82%0.03008-14.42%0.1114✓1.0159k2022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0011-4.81%0.977066-7.09%0.0286✓0.8637k2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.264-4.77%1.3699+3.21%0.0743✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.525513-4.76%0.535-3.04%0.0138✓0.81867k2022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.046011-4.74%0.0382-20.91%0.1911✓1.01620k2022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.087-4.73%3.701-13.73%0.1010✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.1955-4.71%10.8961-14.86%0.1176✓0.9925k2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.064681-4.70%0.06886+1.46%0.0624✗0.05389k2022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.293421-4.67%0.335+8.84%0.1279✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2647.9151-4.67%42.64-15.16%0.1217✓1.00409k2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044335-4.66%0.0411-11.61%0.0807✓0.97138k2022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.04226-4.65%0.041135-7.19%0.0312✓0.8429k2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.385793-4.62%0.3252-19.60%0.1767✓1.15215k2022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.835046-4.60%0.786751-10.12%0.0638✓0.8352k2022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.003017-4.52%0.00335+6.01%0.0995✗1.02483k2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1346-4.50%1.058-10.94%0.0747✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.609313-4.50%0.6-5.96%0.0204✓0.99178k2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.501445-4.49%0.446-15.05%0.1230✓1.1774k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.2052-4.48%42.37-8.45%0.0474✓1.00338k2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,425.09-4.47%1,276.54-14.43%0.1151✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.035789-4.46%0.03529-5.79%0.0182✓0.822,5652022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.399373-4.46%0.412-1.44%0.0259✓1.057,7812022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.149242-4.45%0.1422-8.96%0.0533✓1.001,2532022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.190346-4.44%0.1568-21.29%0.2006✓1.33111k2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.7612-4.44%1.562-15.25%0.1285✓1.6965k2022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011692-4.40%0.000011-10.06%0.0658✓0.96898k2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.162861-4.39%0.15272-10.34%0.0693✓1.00268k2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.251488-4.38%0.246-6.46%0.0259✓0.76581k2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0721.9828-4.31%1.708-17.57%0.1551✓1.1734k2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.1992-4.30%5.811-10.30%0.0689✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.0798-4.27%0.8838-21.64%0.2081✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.02001-4.26%0.02161+3.40%0.0730✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.458653-4.25%0.4221-11.88%0.0878✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.058402-4.22%0.06163+1.07%0.0484✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4346.3938-4.20%58.49+20.77%0.2253✗1.289,1802022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.8788-4.19%13.54-12.81%0.0999✓1.1287k2022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.151243-4.14%0.1645+4.26%0.0738✗2.022952022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.363553-4.10%0.39246+3.53%0.0716✗0.9832k2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.100081-4.10%0.12613+20.87%0.2271✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.039306-4.07%0.037113-9.42%0.0600✓0.5125k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.62706-4.02%0.6385-2.27%0.0110✓1.40210k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.8669-4.01%5.085-16.80%0.1458✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.005944-4.00%0.006309+1.91%0.0574✗0.4538k2022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.169666-3.98%0.1582-10.47%0.0768✓1.361,5202022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3587-3.98%1.618+14.35%0.1688✗1.1771k2022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.525-3.95%1.4096-11.22%0.0843✓1.12247k2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.125841-3.94%0.1313+0.23%0.0398✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39146.3926-3.94%147.42-3.26%0.0017✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8157-3.93%2.215-24.43%0.2476✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.106579-3.90%0.0979-11.72%0.0893✓0.87169k2022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.3636-3.89%4.39-3.30%0.0031✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.3263-3.86%5.166+14.80%0.1707✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.033745-3.86%0.0372+5.98%0.0938✗0.736,2432022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036738-3.83%0.0339-11.26%0.0851✓0.9466k2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.384042-3.82%0.3541-11.32%0.0870✓1.1775k2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.131437-3.80%0.12627-7.58%0.0461✓1.20167k2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.30308-3.75%0.288-8.54%0.0567✓1.1387k2022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1735.9427-3.73%6.512+5.49%0.0848✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.213692-3.70%0.2332+5.09%0.0826✗0.94503k2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1358.8717-3.69%54.42-10.98%0.0846✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.120339-3.65%0.1312+5.04%0.0811✗1.061.4M2022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.294171-3.64%0.270386-11.44%0.0898✓1.09514k2022-10-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.057732-3.62%0.0615+2.67%0.0590✗0.8382k2022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6232.4497-3.48%32.59-3.06%0.0014✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.7988-3.39%4.0878-17.70%0.1608✓0.10115k2022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3721-3.38%1.53+7.75%0.1101✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.5887-3.34%9.22-7.06%0.0456✓1.28281k2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.09401-3.28%0.1123+15.53%0.1728✗0.99368k2022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005484-3.28%0.00499-11.99%0.0977✓0.65951k2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.747556-3.27%0.68921-10.82%0.0856✓0.87537k2022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.1993-3.27%24.12-7.41%0.0487✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2751.5429-3.24%49.962-6.21%0.0351✓0.79287k2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.62e-7-3.16%7.80e-7-12.36%0.1037✓0.7815k2022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,584.35-3.14%1,315.71-19.56%0.1927✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.09619-3.13%0.0858-13.60%0.1180✓0.742,7842022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.00572-3.13%0.005918+0.21%0.0303✓0.712,0942022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.886974-3.04%0.8295-9.32%0.0731✓1.22908k2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.867017-3.02%0.872-2.46%0.0008✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.5643-3.01%16.79-12.28%0.1069✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.54e-7-2.95%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0947✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.207215-2.94%0.1991-6.74%0.0450✓1.0157k2022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.023391-2.90%0.02311-4.07%0.0186✓1.292,9142022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.271293-2.90%0.2676-4.22%0.0186✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.946454-2.84%0.9356-3.95%0.0142✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62123.0969-2.78%117.04-7.57%0.0564✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.064229-2.77%0.06058-8.30%0.0633✓0.956022022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001423-2.77%0.001536+4.99%0.0728✗0.78397k2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.050278-2.75%0.0567+9.67%0.1147✗1.09234k2022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8718,793.60-2.73%19,419.39+0.50%0.0277✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.025-2.72%8.997-3.02%0.0080✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.461257-2.61%0.4263-9.99%0.0846✓1.15384k2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.054112-2.50%0.0483-12.97%0.1183✓0.9280k2022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7942-2.49%2.46+33.70%0.3132✗0.4868k2022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.221235-2.45%0.174-23.28%0.2443✓0.8366k2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020372-2.43%0.01883-9.82%0.0827✓0.79241k2022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.318938-2.35%0.36616+12.11%0.1339✗0.82327k2022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1018,859.86-2.26%19,285.80-0.05%0.0176✓0.9412k2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.199693-2.21%0.1872-8.33%0.0712✓1.31139k2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.6975-2.14%5.09+6.04%0.0760✗0.85943k2022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.06932-1.99%0.06169-12.78%0.1226✓1.1825k2022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.630263-1.98%0.585-9.02%0.0804✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.136976-1.95%0.1205-13.74%0.1284✓0.0490k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.060039-1.89%0.062098+1.48%0.0306✗0.62123k2022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.519927-1.84%0.47285-10.73%0.1015✓1.3241k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.460628-1.79%0.368-21.54%0.2308✓1.244,4682022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012752-1.71%0.011067-14.70%0.1451✓0.68929k2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04593.9793-1.65%4.3521+7.57%0.0856✗0.78724k2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.0948-1.54%52.82-8.92%0.0829✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.713-1.18%15.04-5.41%0.0478✓0.791.6M2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011548-1.05%0.0144+23.39%0.2174✗0.66228k2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2987.9068-0.43%74.71-15.38%0.1704✓1.546.0M2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.