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2022-09-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2652
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.3%
in alpha space · 74.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum87.5587.1719-0.43%75.79-13.43%0.1591✓1.556.0M2022-10-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012050.011902-1.23%0.00942-21.83%0.2421✓0.67228k2022-10-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2316.9761-1.47%15.05-12.65%0.1296✓0.741.7M2022-10-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.356.4407-1.50%52.86-7.75%0.0781✓1.0213.1M2022-10-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125550.012366-1.51%0.011038-12.08%0.1219✓0.68929k2022-10-07
GTGateEthereum4.00993.9491-1.52%4.3849+9.35%0.0951✗0.78748k2022-10-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.517990.508783-1.78%0.45222-12.70%0.1343✓1.3341k2022-10-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.14580.143053-1.88%0.1214-16.74%0.1647✓0.0591k2022-10-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6470.634565-1.92%0.587-9.27%0.0924✓1.173.9M2022-10-07
TRXTRONTron0.0618420.060575-2.05%0.06256+1.16%0.0246✗0.62129k2022-10-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.71116.2491-2.07%116.69-1.70%0.0107✓1.184.4M2022-10-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,273.8018,869.18-2.10%19,469.40+1.01%0.0198✓0.9412k2022-10-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7084-2.11%5.3+10.19%0.1078✗0.861.1M2022-10-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20230.197987-2.13%0.188-7.07%0.0681✓1.32140k2022-10-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322710.315739-2.16%0.39093+21.14%0.2035✗0.82327k2022-10-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072080.070478-2.22%0.06209-13.86%0.1413✓1.1825k2022-10-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4920.480274-2.38%0.349-29.07%0.3347✓1.254,1032022-10-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.454259-2.52%0.4316-7.38%0.0655✓1.16384k2022-10-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020299-2.55%0.01843-11.52%0.1064✓0.80295k2022-10-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.2310.225026-2.59%0.1687-26.97%0.2983✓0.8366k2022-10-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064130.062458-2.61%–pending––0.936022022-10-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,293.5218,783.72-2.64%19,533.05+1.24%0.0268✓1.00485.5M2022-10-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8496-2.65%2.57+35.26%0.3229✗0.4975k2022-10-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.2048.9583-2.67%9.085-1.29%0.0022✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.054501-2.68%0.0493-11.96%0.1117✓0.9381k2022-10-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024050.023383-2.77%0.02333-2.99%0.0180✓1.282,9582022-10-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05250.051004-2.85%0.0555+5.71%0.0705✗1.13239k2022-10-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.90230.876476-2.86%0.8353-7.43%0.0632✓1.23916k2022-10-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20230.196505-2.86%0.1966-2.82%0.0119✓1.0057k2022-10-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9680.939874-2.91%0.9423-2.65%0.0037✓0.512.9M2022-10-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11920.11573-2.91%0.1497+25.59%0.2445✗1.0524k2022-10-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9010.874188-2.98%0.873-3.11%0.0173✓1.291.6M2022-10-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.4426-2.98%16.9-11.10%0.1032✓1.2919.5M2022-10-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.095846-2.99%0.0876-11.34%0.0991✓0.742,9872022-10-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27620.267907-3.00%0.2696-2.39%0.0058✓0.982.7M2022-10-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.53e-7-3.02%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0871✓0.801.8M2022-10-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85650.2743-3.05%48.672-6.14%0.0420✓0.78302k2022-10-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.762480.738864-3.10%0.69446-8.92%0.0729✓0.88520k2022-10-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.092144-3.11%0.1155+21.45%0.2136✗1.00368k2022-10-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.005570.005395-3.13%0.00498-10.59%0.0881✓0.65995k2022-10-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2834580.274511-3.16%0.265607-6.30%0.0466✓1.10514k2022-10-07
SOLSolanaSolana32.731.6574-3.19%32.98+0.86%0.0268✓1.1461.7M2022-10-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015550.001505-3.20%0.001534-1.35%0.0091✓0.79406k2022-10-07
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.205976-3.21%0.2316+8.83%0.1056✗0.94489k2022-10-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058850.005696-3.21%0.00587-0.25%0.0215✓0.702,1192022-10-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,629.921,576.82-3.26%1,331.14-18.33%0.1865✓1.39660.9M2022-10-07
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.1331-3.30%24.48-5.81%0.0384✓0.986.8M2022-10-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.60e-7-3.32%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0950✓0.7815k2022-10-07
XTZTezosTezos1.49011.4396-3.39%1.4096-5.40%0.0351✓1.14241k2022-10-07
ZECZcashZcash59.3757.2781-3.52%54.71-7.85%0.0605✓1.191.3M2022-10-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.8162-3.57%9.28-8.84%0.0721✓1.29281k2022-10-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1165.8941-3.63%6.79+11.02%0.1251✗1.337.2M2022-10-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.2310.222586-3.64%0.2684+16.19%0.1753✗0.9681k2022-10-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.461.4063-3.68%1.53+4.79%0.0863✗-0.16124k2022-10-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40260.387731-3.69%0.3594-10.73%0.0904✓1.1880k2022-10-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14454.9528-3.73%4.1083-20.14%0.1881✓0.09115k2022-10-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.033692-3.74%0.0374+6.86%0.0951✗0.757,8592022-10-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.27143.6617-3.76%146.77-1.67%0.0084✓1.061.4M2022-10-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.424.2528-3.78%5.184+17.29%0.1814✗1.356.7M2022-10-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.300666-3.79%0.2853-8.70%0.0664✓1.1397k2022-10-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134480.129386-3.79%0.12805-4.78%0.0253✓1.21175k2022-10-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06210.05972-3.83%0.0627+0.97%0.0383✓0.8485k2022-10-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.494.3176-3.84%4.39-2.23%0.0095✓0.581.3M2022-10-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12980.124786-3.86%0.1329+2.39%0.0563✗0.543.4M2022-10-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.65030.625117-3.87%0.6513+0.15%0.0236✓1.41226k2022-10-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.152690.146745-3.89%0.16648+9.03%0.1017✗1.983162022-10-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12860.123564-3.92%0.1301+1.17%0.0383✓1.071.4M2022-10-07
ZENHorizenBase14.9314.3316-4.01%13.64-8.64%0.0634✓1.1388k2022-10-07
XLMStellarStellar0.102970.098831-4.02%0.1223+18.77%0.2027✗0.846.6M2022-10-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1491.1027-4.03%1.054-8.27%0.0572✓0.971.1M2022-10-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0361.953-4.07%1.714-15.82%0.1451✓1.1835k2022-10-07
DIADIAEthereum0.373240.358021-4.08%0.39442+5.67%0.0848✗0.9832k2022-10-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17870.171386-4.09%0.1598-10.58%0.0866✓1.341,7442022-10-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063030.006041-4.16%0.006299-0.06%0.0363✓0.4541k2022-10-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.00530.96345-4.16%0.968516-3.65%0.0055✓0.8737k2022-10-07
ADACardanoCardano0.47880.45882-4.17%0.424-11.45%0.0907✓0.9539.1M2022-10-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2620.251051-4.18%0.247-5.73%0.0258✓0.77581k2022-10-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4361.3759-4.18%1.595+11.07%0.1331✗1.1873k2022-10-07
XVGVergenative0.003060.002932-4.18%0.00335+9.48%0.1206✗1.03483k2022-10-07
KSMKusamaHydration48.4146.3812-4.19%42.33-12.56%0.1040✓1.02442k2022-10-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2175.9562-4.19%5.129-17.50%0.1559✓0.524.1M2022-10-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9882.8607-4.26%2.253-24.60%0.2578✓1.543.5M2022-10-07
DASHDashDash44.9142.9957-4.26%42.31-5.79%0.0285✓1.01368k2022-10-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.25171.1983-4.26%1.3611+8.74%0.1122✗1.231.1M2022-10-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0610670.058462-4.27%0.062428+2.23%0.0523✗1.081.4M2022-10-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0416570.039869-4.29%0.037732-9.42%0.0614✓0.5125k2022-10-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4766.1971-4.31%5.947-8.17%0.0517✓0.854.5M2022-10-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037032-4.31%0.0341-11.89%0.0942✓0.9566k2022-10-07
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6646.5577-4.32%58.77+20.78%0.2171✗1.299,1802022-10-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.168250.160961-4.33%0.15317-8.96%0.0620✓1.01268k2022-10-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.296611.7632-4.34%11.0101-10.46%0.0785✓1.0025k2022-10-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19720.188637-4.34%0.1552-21.30%0.2115✓1.33111k2022-10-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8351.7552-4.35%1.598-12.92%0.1147✓1.6969k2022-10-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.497182-4.39%0.448-13.85%0.1186✓1.1777k2022-10-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.410.391942-4.40%0.419+2.20%0.0538✗1.057,9852022-10-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29910.28585-4.43%0.3416+14.21%0.1668✗0.925.8M2022-10-07
XEMNEMnative0.0425240.040633-4.45%0.040657-4.39%0.0099✓0.8529k2022-10-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036770.035133-4.45%0.03572-2.86%0.0064✓0.832,4552022-10-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.149123-4.47%0.1392-10.83%0.0815✓1.021,3092022-10-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6320.603438-4.52%0.614-2.85%0.0051✓0.99178k2022-10-07
HIVEHivenative0.52940.505469-4.52%0.5919+11.81%0.1477✗0.82867k2022-10-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11510.109865-4.55%0.0976-15.20%0.1292✓0.88169k2022-10-07
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,486.001,418.27-4.56%1,292.85-13.00%0.1049✓1.003.4M2022-10-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012250.000011691-4.56%0.0000111-9.39%0.0638✓0.96898k2022-10-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021450.020465-4.59%0.02185+1.86%0.0558✗0.799.7M2022-10-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.045407-4.61%0.0385-19.12%0.1777✓1.03717k2022-10-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8797310.839108-4.62%0.8144-7.43%0.0403✓0.8552k2022-10-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16691.1124-4.67%0.8969-23.14%0.2346✓1.564.6M2022-10-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003695-4.77%0.00346-10.82%0.0779✓0.99123k2022-10-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3664.1555-4.82%3.762-13.83%0.1038✓0.352.3M2022-10-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034520.032852-4.83%0.0304-11.94%0.0902✓1.0259k2022-10-07
QNTQuantEthereum95.7291.0577-4.87%138.72+44.92%0.4103✗0.873.4M2022-10-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04660.04432-4.89%0.0409-12.23%0.0925✓0.98132k2022-10-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4898-4.90%2.295-12.34%0.0925✓0.90671k2022-10-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042880.040748-4.97%0.03991-6.93%0.0300✓0.7514k2022-10-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0587-5.09%4.95-7.13%0.0279✓0.502.0M2022-10-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.37320.354206-5.09%0.32601-12.64%0.0950✓0.98392k2022-10-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81051.7184-5.09%1.6827-7.06%0.0348✓1.1223k2022-10-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.070810.067162-5.15%0.06936-2.05%0.0316✓0.05389k2022-10-07
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105030.009961-5.16%0.010555+0.50%0.0456✓1.004902022-10-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82650.783685-5.18%0.831+0.54%0.0405✓1.47103k2022-10-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42110.39918-5.21%0.3292-21.82%0.2071✓1.17215k2022-10-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008870.008408-5.21%0.00636-28.30%0.2884✓0.753.6M2022-10-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7171.6273-5.22%1.629-5.13%0.0097✓0.8772k2022-10-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.93312.2543-5.25%13.059+0.97%0.0495✓1.1512.5M2022-10-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8114.0301-5.27%17.31+16.88%0.1975✗1.021.7M2022-10-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027750.002626-5.36%0.002202-20.65%0.1876✓0.921.2M2022-10-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0933.8733-5.37%3.707-9.43%0.0502✓0.512.1M2022-10-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007640.00723-5.37%0.00638-16.49%0.1389✓1.13389k2022-10-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.325540.30805-5.37%0.30023-7.77%0.0381✓1.0137k2022-10-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4990.472149-5.38%0.481-3.61%0.0052✓1.0957k2022-10-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.476487-5.44%0.3952-21.57%0.1963✓0.75490k2022-10-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.7991.7006-5.47%1.723-4.22%0.0013✓0.96604k2022-10-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.824790.779615-5.48%0.7783-5.64%0.0142✓1.0114k2022-10-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0836.6942-5.49%7.603+7.34%0.1139✗1.0818.0M2022-10-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249370.023562-5.51%0.026578+6.58%0.1190✗0.12454k2022-10-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013140.001241-5.53%0.0009995-23.94%0.2267✓0.812.5M2022-10-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13530.127768-5.57%0.1286-4.95%0.0061✓1.02128k2022-10-07
XECeCashnative0.000041840.000039504-5.58%0.00004515+7.91%0.1231✗0.852.5M2022-10-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2016.7933-5.66%6.33-12.10%0.0837✓1.0610.2M2022-10-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.74421.6446-5.71%1.1304-35.19%0.3868✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.057042-5.72%0.0569-5.95%0.0181✓1.27617k2022-10-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015470.001458-5.76%0.001389-10.21%0.0568✓0.687,6332022-10-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.097961-5.81%0.0977-6.06%0.0162✓1.092.8M2022-10-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202660.019088-5.82%0.019201-5.26%0.0041✓0.8213k2022-10-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.512.7143-5.82%12.44-7.85%0.0356✓1.11971k2022-10-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.122.9378-5.84%2.97-4.81%0.0040✓0.56720k2022-10-07
PROPropyEthereum0.740.696124-5.93%0.58-21.62%0.1866✓0.3457k2022-10-07
STXStacksnative0.35110.330277-5.93%0.3264-7.04%0.0263✓1.18365k2022-10-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.28082.1421-6.08%1.8217-20.13%0.1765✓1.1713k2022-10-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82690.776403-6.11%0.7401-10.50%0.0610✓1.061.1M2022-10-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3410.320144-6.12%0.2884-15.43%0.1176✓1.0773k2022-10-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.0962.9025-6.25%2.8133-9.13%0.0441✓1.0419k2022-10-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.416.001-6.38%6.47+0.94%0.0691✗0.502.1M2022-10-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.385.9675-6.46%5.65-11.44%0.0609✓0.512.2M2022-10-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.84.4758-6.75%5.0295+4.78%0.0895✗2.20129k2022-10-07
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0174030.016216-6.82%0.015201-12.65%0.0770✓1.001072022-10-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30550.283463-7.21%0.2408-21.18%0.1766✓1.0998k2022-10-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14170.13146-7.23%0.144+1.62%0.0777✗1.09489k2022-10-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.838.1905-7.24%8.03-9.06%0.0262✓0.522.2M2022-10-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.274960.255026-7.25%0.23313-15.21%0.1028✓1.0514k2022-10-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09730.0902-7.30%0.0798-17.99%0.1347✓0.9910k2022-10-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12380.114726-7.33%0.0678-45.23%0.5356✓0.78203k2022-10-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.486.9299-7.35%6.49-13.24%0.0796✓1.14276k2022-10-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.2973-7.37%2.01-18.95%0.1431✓0.77262k2022-10-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.045067-7.46%0.0405-16.84%0.1183✓0.93190k2022-10-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.616.2837-7.48%15.42-12.39%0.0631✓0.70422k2022-10-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2341.1401-7.61%1.2387+0.38%0.0712✓0.961.3M2022-10-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19350.178648-7.68%0.2214+14.42%0.2038✗0.873.1M2022-10-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2761.1768-7.78%1.215-4.78%0.0170✓1.21429k2022-10-07
METISMetisEthereum29.1226.8385-7.83%26.73-8.21%0.0266✓1.83190k2022-10-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.2734.3419-7.86%27.5-26.21%0.2414✓1.5610.6M2022-10-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.92856.3756-7.98%5.3289-23.09%0.1826✓0.278.4M2022-10-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.59-8.09%3.908+0.05%0.0727✓0.98289k2022-10-07
FLOWFlownative1.8611.7091-8.16%1.684-9.51%0.0318✓1.371.2M2022-10-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.601629-8.29%0.585-10.82%0.0388✓0.88151k2022-10-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0470.957688-8.53%0.856-18.24%0.1176✓0.432.9M2022-10-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1721.0704-8.67%0.846-27.82%0.2552✓1.612.9M2022-10-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.382.1735-8.68%1.81-23.95%0.1982✓1.23229k2022-10-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.63054.2241-8.78%3.6136-21.96%0.1639✓0.647.3M2022-10-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4581.3279-8.93%1.264-13.31%0.0639✓1.1851k2022-10-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060230.054847-8.94%0.05902-2.01%0.0597✓1.101.6M2022-10-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2821-9.07%1.16-17.73%0.1122✓0.9881k2022-10-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,334.028,467.78-9.28%8,078.59-13.45%0.0647✓1.434.8M2022-10-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8525.2878-9.64%5.474-6.46%0.0238✓0.886.6M2022-10-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.63911.2487-11.00%16.094+27.34%0.3511✗0.5716.0M2022-10-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.10e-77.19e-7-11.21%5.43e-7-32.95%0.2916✓0.882.1M2022-10-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.62656.7636-11.31%6.2255-18.37%0.0874✓0.379.8M2022-10-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000438610.000354046-19.28%0.0002907-33.72%0.2061✓0.73825k2022-10-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.