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2022-09-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2256
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.2%
in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5885.7212+2.56%77.49-7.29%0.1950✗1.555.6M2022-10-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.060571+2.32%0.064+8.11%0.0045✓0.8391k2022-10-06
GTGateEthereum3.96484.0563+2.31%4.4133+11.31%0.0370✓0.78769k2022-10-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.012075+2.07%0.00944-20.20%0.2866✗0.67223k2022-10-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.15608+1.42%0.1239-19.49%0.2349✗0.0793k2022-10-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.744523+1.04%0.69485-5.71%0.1225✗0.88520k2022-10-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9316.0687+0.87%15.05-5.52%0.1097✗0.731.7M2022-10-06
XMRMoneroMonero144.79146.0428+0.87%149.07+2.96%0.0435✗1.061.4M2022-10-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.089867+0.75%0.118+32.29%0.2124✓0.99372k2022-10-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001614+0.70%0.001592-0.69%0.0637✗0.82413k2022-10-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005548+0.69%0.00503-8.71%0.1372✗0.65977k2022-10-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.506824+0.64%0.4465-11.34%0.2077✗1.3441k2022-10-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.433667+0.62%0.337-21.81%0.3238✗1.18209k2022-10-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.441384+0.54%0.355-19.13%0.2923✗1.234,1032022-10-06
SOLSolanaSolana30.8731.0113+0.46%33.37+8.10%0.0043✓1.1461.7M2022-10-06
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.119554+0.38%0.1306+9.66%0.0240✓1.061.5M2022-10-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.1968+0.25%0.1959-0.20%0.0652✗1.0058k2022-10-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.314857+0.21%0.3016-4.01%0.1040✗1.0137k2022-10-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,820.50+0.16%19,965.64+6.25%0.0016✗1.00485.5M2022-10-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.22346+0.12%0.2644+18.46%0.1100✓0.9681k2022-10-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.632819+0.10%0.627-0.82%0.0950✗1.41226k2022-10-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.096106+0.01%0.0873-9.16%0.1410✗0.742,9872022-10-06
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.041166-0.04%0.04073-1.10%0.0620✓0.8529k2022-10-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.607574-0.07%0.574-5.59%0.1168✓0.99187k2022-10-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.012135-0.08%0.011549-4.91%0.0904✓0.67932k2022-10-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.067938-0.11%0.06262-7.93%0.1530✓1.1825k2022-10-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.2956-0.13%5.162+20.02%0.1018✗1.356.8M2022-10-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.24961-0.16%0.251+0.40%0.0408✓0.76597k2022-10-06
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3545.2493-0.22%58.51+29.02%0.1796✗1.289,0502022-10-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,872.31-0.24%20,006.50+5.75%0.0015✓0.9413k2022-10-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035713-0.24%0.0367+2.51%0.0189✓0.767,8592022-10-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.877114-0.25%0.8414-4.31%0.1161✓1.23916k2022-10-06
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.060608-0.26%0.062765+3.29%0.0025✓0.62129k2022-10-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.7827-0.30%2.258-19.10%0.3020✓1.533.6M2022-10-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.284528-0.34%0.3493+22.35%0.1495✗0.925.8M2022-10-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9532-0.35%2.37+20.92%0.1634✗0.5075k2022-10-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.39-0.36%1.632+16.99%0.0887✗1.1878k2022-10-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.126639-0.36%0.1306+2.75%0.0020✓0.543.5M2022-10-06
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.973633-0.37%0.959042-1.86%0.0677✓0.8739k2022-10-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54949.3262-0.45%48.536-2.04%0.0632✓0.78324k2022-10-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.019069-0.53%0.02192+14.35%0.0928✗0.779.7M2022-10-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034601-0.57%0.0338-2.87%0.0796✓0.9366k2022-10-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.04305-0.58%0.0411-5.08%0.1054✓0.97132k2022-10-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.38601-0.64%0.3604-7.23%0.1399✓1.1885k2022-10-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.115193-0.70%0.1377+18.71%0.1150✗1.0525k2022-10-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.5247-0.76%2.294-9.83%0.1502✓0.90682k2022-10-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5844-0.79%1.713+7.26%0.0214✗0.93574k2022-10-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.239885-0.79%0.1703-29.57%0.3938✓0.8466k2022-10-06
XVGVergenative0.002950.002927-0.79%0.00337+14.24%0.0790✗1.02483k2022-10-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.060016-0.80%0.0588-2.81%0.0978✓1.28690k2022-10-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.039861-0.81%0.037581-6.48%0.0897✓0.5125k2022-10-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.055335-0.83%0.05-10.39%0.1578✓0.9382k2022-10-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1253.6657-0.84%53.56-1.03%0.0635✓1.0113.1M2022-10-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.129841-0.86%0.12963-1.02%0.0749✓1.21183k2022-10-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.257041-0.87%0.2677+3.24%0.0183✓0.972.8M2022-10-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.7781-0.87%6.877+17.98%0.0934✗1.337.5M2022-10-06
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.362949-0.87%0.40174+9.72%0.0420✗0.9833k2022-10-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.439346-0.91%0.4396-0.86%0.0695✓1.16384k2022-10-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.470109-1.03%0.482+1.47%0.0406✓1.0863k2022-10-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.150769-1.07%0.142-6.82%0.1222✓1.031,4472022-10-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.0911-1.08%1.049-4.90%0.0982✓0.971.2M2022-10-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.394293-1.18%0.428+7.27%0.0182✗1.057,9852022-10-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.051384-1.18%0.054+3.85%0.0196✓1.14234k2022-10-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005655-1.20%0.006023+5.23%0.0206✗0.702,1572022-10-06
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.098653-1.22%0.119586+19.74%0.1417✗0.846.7M2022-10-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.6425.3235-1.23%24.5-4.45%0.0925✓0.986.8M2022-10-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.058124-1.31%0.063377+7.60%0.0212✗1.081.4M2022-10-06
KSMKusamaHydration45.5644.9281-1.39%42.57-6.56%0.1154✓1.01490k2022-10-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002727-1.44%0.002261-18.29%0.2439✓0.931.2M2022-10-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03591.0208-1.46%0.8912-13.97%0.2295✓1.554.5M2022-10-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.762665-1.52%0.7605-1.79%0.0666✓1.051.1M2022-10-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.311811-1.53%0.38697+22.20%0.1663✗0.82332k2022-10-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2117.9304-1.54%17.05-6.37%0.1282✓1.2819.6M2022-10-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.044601-1.54%0.0386-14.79%0.2067✓1.02739k2022-10-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.321254-1.55%0.2893-11.34%0.1695✓1.0773k2022-10-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003729-1.60%0.00348-8.18%0.1294✓0.99127k2022-10-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17110.3559-1.62%118.27+5.44%0.0017✓1.174.4M2022-10-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.7448-1.65%1.621-8.62%0.1763✓1.6972k2022-10-06
ZECZcashZcash57.9356.9692-1.66%55.15-4.80%0.1045✓1.191.3M2022-10-06
HIVEHivenative0.52130.512638-1.66%0.4955-4.95%0.0839✓0.82902k2022-10-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.671-1.68%1.6717-1.64%0.0671✓1.1125k2022-10-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.4435-1.69%5.25+16.15%0.1154✗0.851.1M2022-10-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.473587-1.75%0.445-7.68%0.1327✓1.1677k2022-10-06
QNTQuantEthereum90.0388.4331-1.77%138.24+53.55%0.3947✗0.863.4M2022-10-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.296173-1.80%0.2881-4.48%0.0960✓1.1397k2022-10-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.3062-1.83%9.44-0.42%0.0634✓1.28297k2022-10-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.034952-1.85%0.0349-1.99%0.0515✓0.822,5652022-10-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.8348-1.88%2.993+3.60%0.0214✗0.54653k2022-10-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2876-1.88%4.39+0.46%0.0115✓0.581.3M2022-10-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.919873-1.93%0.9673+3.12%0.0195✗0.513.0M2022-10-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.006079-1.93%0.006387+3.03%0.0224✗0.4541k2022-10-06
DASHDashDash42.6841.8359-1.98%42.03-1.52%0.0561✓1.00404k2022-10-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.178764-1.99%0.1597-12.45%0.1952✓1.362,0092022-10-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.5252-2.01%7.636+14.67%0.0919✗1.0818.6M2022-10-06
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.1581-2.02%1.227+3.81%0.0153✓1.21429k2022-10-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.9075-2.03%1.724-11.45%0.1724✓1.1736k2022-10-06
STXStacksnative0.34010.333153-2.04%0.3237-4.82%0.1001✓1.18365k2022-10-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.266882-2.05%0.265922-2.40%0.0702✓1.10514k2022-10-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.09568-2.07%0.0989+1.23%0.0327✓1.082.8M2022-10-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.601279-2.07%0.593-3.42%0.0846✓1.174.0M2022-10-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.019292-2.10%0.019161-2.77%0.0562✓0.8113k2022-10-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011726-2.20%0.00001119-6.67%0.1053✓0.96873k2022-10-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.51e-7-2.22%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1210✓0.7815k2022-10-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.196424-2.23%0.1812-9.81%0.1614✓1.33142k2022-10-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.0338.8316-2.23%9.062+0.32%0.0327✓0.961.2M2022-10-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.149873-2.25%0.17341+13.10%0.0247✗2.003162022-10-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001436-2.27%0.001409-4.08%0.0592✓0.677,6332022-10-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.155928-2.27%0.14977-6.13%0.1009✓1.00268k2022-10-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.423-2.34%1.231-15.51%0.2172✓1.1951k2022-10-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.783679-2.35%0.79417-1.04%0.0481✓1.0113k2022-10-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.008319-2.36%0.00633-25.70%0.3184✓0.743.8M2022-10-06
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.828243-2.36%0.800969-5.58%0.0847✓0.8454k2022-10-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.076639-2.37%0.081+3.18%0.0018✓0.9410k2022-10-06
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.202232-2.40%0.2239+8.06%0.0446✗0.94468k2022-10-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4347-2.40%1.54+4.76%0.0807✗-0.16128k2022-10-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.184799-2.43%0.1554-17.95%0.2530✓1.31111k2022-10-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.128982-2.43%0.1284-2.87%0.0665✓1.02113k2022-10-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.9124-2.44%2.8302-5.19%0.0915✓1.0419k2022-10-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.12749-2.46%0.1422+8.80%0.0440✗1.08489k2022-10-06
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.1664-2.57%13.67-5.98%0.1043✓1.1393k2022-10-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1168-2.58%1.328+15.84%0.0995✗1.22996k2022-10-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.3757-2.61%8.07-6.16%0.0687✓0.522.1M2022-10-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.098743-2.62%0.0973-4.04%0.0666✓0.86169k2022-10-06
FISStafiEthereum0.30.292113-2.63%0.3349+11.63%0.0781✗0.976202022-10-06
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.450333-2.65%0.4287-7.33%0.1069✓0.9540.4M2022-10-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.261312-2.70%0.23425-12.78%0.1734✓1.0613k2022-10-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.0779-2.72%1.8289-14.38%0.1982✓1.1613k2022-10-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.46e-7-2.73%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1175✓0.801.8M2022-10-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.322808-2.79%0.33601+1.18%0.0180✓0.96400k2022-10-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.045973-2.81%0.0408-13.74%0.1756✓0.93204k2022-10-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.6784-2.85%6.345-7.70%0.1151✓1.0510.2M2022-10-06
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.3916-2.89%1.426-0.49%0.0447✓1.14247k2022-10-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.040739-2.89%0.04019-4.20%0.0588✓0.7514k2022-10-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.226.0403-2.89%5.975-3.94%0.0623✓0.854.5M2022-10-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174611.8158-2.95%11.104-8.79%0.1229✓1.0028k2022-10-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,512.96-2.97%1,352.24-13.28%0.1963✓1.39660.9M2022-10-06
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000039306-3.04%0.00004293+5.90%0.0366✗0.852.1M2022-10-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.022619-3.05%0.02394+2.61%0.0208✓1.283,1162022-10-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14264.9836-3.09%4.0698-20.86%0.2083✓0.10115k2022-10-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.788295-3.10%0.8301+2.04%0.0379✓1.48105k2022-10-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7816.2489-3.17%16.48-1.79%0.0277✓0.69422k2022-10-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.5804-3.23%6.47-4.85%0.0851✓1.12283k2022-10-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.60319-3.33%0.584-6.41%0.0851✓0.87164k2022-10-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009616-3.39%0.010479+5.27%0.0253✓1.004852022-10-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.061335-3.49%0.06153-3.18%0.0531✓0.937702022-10-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.3606-3.52%13.021+10.58%0.0678✗1.1312.5M2022-10-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007201-3.60%0.00649-13.12%0.1725✓1.13406k2022-10-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1855-3.62%1.17-4.88%0.0708✓0.9581k2022-10-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1913.673-3.64%17.18+21.07%0.1665✗1.021.7M2022-10-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.12.0232-3.66%1.82-13.33%0.1791✓1.21227k2022-10-06
PROPropyEthereum0.710.683003-3.80%0.6-15.49%0.1494✓0.3357k2022-10-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.071192-3.82%0.06847-7.50%0.0433✓0.07370k2022-10-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.8099-3.84%3.738-5.65%0.0498✓0.512.1M2022-10-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.28439-3.92%0.2416-18.38%0.2294✓1.0999k2022-10-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.24.9957-3.93%5-3.85%0.0293✓0.502.0M2022-10-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,364.83-3.94%1,312.15-7.65%0.1000✓1.003.3M2022-10-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.6583-3.98%1.496-13.38%0.1565✓0.8883k2022-10-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1112.5836-4.02%12.68-3.28%0.0600✓1.111.0M2022-10-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.870189-4.06%0.9-0.77%0.0451✓1.301.6M2022-10-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.901781-4.07%0.874-7.02%0.0562✓0.412.9M2022-10-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.348,250.07-4.21%8,226.12-4.48%0.0889✓1.424.8M2022-10-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.6065-4.27%1.1393-32.11%0.4019✓0.961.1M2022-10-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1632-4.28%2.07-8.41%0.0898✓0.75262k2022-10-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.485919-4.38%0.3963-22.02%0.2496✓0.75496k2022-10-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.6588-4.40%5.19-12.32%0.1174✓0.514.3M2022-10-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.020749-4.43%0.01849-14.83%0.1645✓0.81394k2022-10-06
FLOWFlownative1.7721.6931-4.45%1.694-4.40%0.0827✓1.371.3M2022-10-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.015134-4.58%0.015568-1.84%0.0324✓1.00622022-10-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0443-4.63%0.851-22.28%0.3024✓1.613.0M2022-10-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01860.971018-4.67%1.2617+23.87%0.2064✗0.911.1M2022-10-06
METISMetisEthereum28.8427.4577-4.79%26.53-8.01%0.1464✓1.85200k2022-10-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.265.9594-4.80%6.4+2.24%0.0410✓0.502.1M2022-10-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1743.9697-4.89%3.902-6.52%0.0382✓0.352.3M2022-10-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.023873-4.94%0.02737+8.98%0.1292✗0.12454k2022-10-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.095.764-5.35%5.71-6.24%0.0397✓0.502.2M2022-10-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.1419-5.46%4.8299+10.24%0.0205✓2.20129k2022-10-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.031452-5.63%0.03051-8.46%0.0923✓1.0259k2022-10-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.173867-6.02%0.2144+15.89%0.1568✗0.873.1M2022-10-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001187-6.20%0.0009997-21.00%0.2205✓0.802.4M2022-10-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.1372-6.33%3.5433-19.78%0.1932✓0.636.3M2022-10-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.2064-7.01%5.489-1.96%0.0001✓0.877.2M2022-10-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.10449-7.04%0.0679-39.59%0.4769✓0.76203k2022-10-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.05353-7.28%0.05928+2.68%0.0353✓1.101.6M2022-10-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.5906-7.58%4.001+2.99%0.0481✓0.99259k2022-10-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4431.7814-7.72%27.83-19.19%0.2269✓1.5510.6M2022-10-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61935.8773-11.21%5.2384-20.86%0.1309✓0.267.5M2022-10-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23446.2378-13.78%5.8714-18.84%0.0823✓0.368.2M2022-10-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-76.79e-7-13.93%5.63e-7-28.62%0.2406✓0.881.9M2022-10-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91510.0975-15.25%15.806+32.66%0.4138✗0.5715.8M2022-10-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.000317841-16.10%0.00028537-24.67%0.1508✓0.71698k2022-10-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.