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2022-09-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1990
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.4%
in alpha space · 65.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.00030896-18.45%0.00028537-24.67%0.1224✓0.71698k2022-10-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-77.03e-7-10.94%5.63e-7-28.62%0.2748✓0.881.9M2022-10-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91510.6521-10.60%15.806+32.66%0.3604✗0.5715.8M2022-10-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23446.4703-10.56%5.8714-18.84%0.1189✓0.368.2M2022-10-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.1232-8.50%5.489-1.96%0.0160✓0.877.2M2022-10-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.0494-8.32%3.5433-19.78%0.1717✓0.636.3M2022-10-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.3364-8.28%1.231-15.51%0.1545✓1.1951k2022-10-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.053045-8.12%0.05928+2.68%0.0445✓1.101.6M2022-10-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.5703-8.10%4.001+2.99%0.0538✓0.99259k2022-10-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.347,933.33-7.88%8,226.12-4.48%0.0498✓1.424.8M2022-10-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61936.1059-7.76%5.2384-20.86%0.1691✓0.267.5M2022-10-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1377-7.50%1.17-4.88%0.0297✓0.9581k2022-10-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.869529-7.50%0.874-7.02%0.0198✓0.412.9M2022-10-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0129-7.49%0.851-22.28%0.2720✓1.613.0M2022-10-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.578271-7.33%0.584-6.41%0.0429✓0.87164k2022-10-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.171446-7.33%0.2144+15.89%0.1709✗0.873.1M2022-10-06
FLOWFlownative1.7721.6429-7.28%1.694-4.40%0.0526✓1.371.3M2022-10-06
METISMetisEthereum28.8426.7482-7.25%26.53-8.01%0.1202✓1.85200k2022-10-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4431.9865-7.12%27.83-19.19%0.2333✓1.5510.6M2022-10-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7815.6097-6.97%16.48-1.79%0.0124✓0.69422k2022-10-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.0122-6.83%8.07-6.16%0.0243✓0.522.1M2022-10-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.044086-6.79%0.0408-13.74%0.1337✓0.93204k2022-10-06
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.102-6.77%1.227+3.81%0.0344✓1.21429k2022-10-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.104956-6.62%0.0679-39.59%0.4814✓0.76203k2022-10-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.250913-6.57%0.23425-12.78%0.1328✓1.0613k2022-10-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.014833-6.48%0.015568-1.84%0.0123✓1.00622022-10-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.3685-6.35%6.47-4.85%0.0524✓1.12283k2022-10-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.1055-6.29%4.8299+10.24%0.0293✓2.20129k2022-10-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.11.9689-6.24%1.82-13.33%0.1519✓1.21227k2022-10-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.122577-6.22%0.1422+8.80%0.0833✗1.08489k2022-10-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.278031-6.07%0.2416-18.38%0.2068✓1.0999k2022-10-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.265.8824-6.03%6.4+2.24%0.0540✓0.502.1M2022-10-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.095.7228-6.03%5.71-6.24%0.0325✓0.502.2M2022-10-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.8097-5.88%2.8302-5.19%0.0556✓1.0419k2022-10-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.406496-5.69%0.337-21.81%0.2591✓1.18209k2022-10-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01860.962165-5.54%1.2617+23.87%0.2156✗0.911.1M2022-10-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.023728-5.52%0.02737+8.98%0.1353✗0.12454k2022-10-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.057178-5.49%0.0588-2.81%0.0494✓1.28690k2022-10-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.732663-5.39%0.7605-1.79%0.0265✓1.051.1M2022-10-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.070046-5.37%0.06847-7.50%0.0271✓0.07370k2022-10-06
PROPropyEthereum0.710.672-5.35%0.6-15.49%0.1332✓0.3357k2022-10-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001391-5.28%0.001409-4.08%0.0279✓0.677,6332022-10-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.6358-5.28%1.496-13.38%0.1429✓0.8883k2022-10-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.5897-5.27%1.1393-32.11%0.3914✓0.961.1M2022-10-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.01867-5.26%0.019161-2.77%0.0235✓0.8113k2022-10-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.481665-5.22%0.3963-22.02%0.2408✓0.75496k2022-10-06
STXStacksnative0.34010.322472-5.18%0.3237-4.82%0.0675✓1.18365k2022-10-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.309393-5.18%0.2893-11.34%0.1319✓1.0773k2022-10-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1431-5.17%2.07-8.41%0.0805✓0.75262k2022-10-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1112.4331-5.16%12.68-3.28%0.0479✓1.111.0M2022-10-06
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000038462-5.12%0.00004293+5.90%0.0583✗0.852.1M2022-10-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.7601-5.10%3.738-5.65%0.0366✓0.512.1M2022-10-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001201-5.08%0.0009997-21.00%0.2323✓0.802.4M2022-10-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007092-5.06%0.00649-13.12%0.1572✓1.13406k2022-10-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009453-5.03%0.010479+5.27%0.0424✓1.004852022-10-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.772638-5.02%0.8301+2.04%0.0178✓1.48105k2022-10-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.12556-5.02%0.1284-2.87%0.0396✓1.02113k2022-10-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002629-5.00%0.002261-18.29%0.2071✓0.931.2M2022-10-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1913.485-4.97%17.18+21.07%0.1804✗1.021.7M2022-10-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.24.945-4.90%5-3.85%0.0191✓0.502.0M2022-10-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.0313-4.90%1.8289-14.38%0.1755✓1.1613k2022-10-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.092979-4.83%0.0989+1.23%0.0040✓1.082.8M2022-10-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.299075-4.82%0.3016-4.01%0.0526✓1.0137k2022-10-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.00811-4.81%0.00633-25.70%0.2930✓0.743.8M2022-10-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.039944-4.78%0.04019-4.20%0.0391✓0.7514k2022-10-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.2238-4.68%13.021+10.58%0.0799✗1.1312.5M2022-10-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.765098-4.67%0.79417-1.04%0.0241✓1.0113k2022-10-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.5547-4.64%6.345-7.70%0.0964✓1.0510.2M2022-10-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.031803-4.58%0.03051-8.46%0.1034✓1.0259k2022-10-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003617-4.57%0.00348-8.18%0.0988✓0.99127k2022-10-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.4285-4.54%2.294-9.83%0.1113✓0.90682k2022-10-06
HIVEHivenative0.52130.497722-4.52%0.4955-4.95%0.0544✓0.82902k2022-10-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,356.77-4.51%1,312.15-7.65%0.0941✓1.003.3M2022-10-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.7589-4.50%2.993+3.60%0.0486✗0.54653k2022-10-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.453698-4.48%0.482+1.47%0.0050✓1.0863k2022-10-06
QNTQuantEthereum90.0386.0073-4.47%138.24+53.55%0.4225✗0.863.4M2022-10-06
FISStafiEthereum0.30.286627-4.46%0.3349+11.63%0.0970✗0.976202022-10-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.3624-4.45%7.636+14.67%0.1172✗1.0818.6M2022-10-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.317394-4.42%0.33601+1.18%0.0011✓0.96400k2022-10-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.174364-4.41%0.1597-12.45%0.1703✓1.362,0092022-10-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.145691-4.40%0.142-6.82%0.0879✓1.031,4472022-10-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.034047-4.39%0.0349-1.99%0.0252✓0.822,5652022-10-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011467-4.36%0.00001119-6.67%0.0829✓0.96873k2022-10-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.6266-4.29%1.6717-1.64%0.0402✓1.1125k2022-10-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174611.6537-4.28%11.104-8.79%0.1091✓1.0028k2022-10-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1743.9962-4.26%3.902-6.52%0.0448✓0.352.3M2022-10-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.582358-4.22%0.574-5.59%0.0744✓0.99187k2022-10-06
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.812746-4.19%0.800969-5.58%0.0658✓0.8454k2022-10-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.382518-4.13%0.428+7.27%0.0485✗1.057,9852022-10-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.146993-4.13%0.17341+13.10%0.0441✗2.003162022-10-06
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.039488-4.11%0.04073-1.10%0.0204✓0.8529k2022-10-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.041521-4.11%0.0411-5.08%0.0692✓0.97132k2022-10-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.153048-4.08%0.14977-6.13%0.0822✓1.00268k2022-10-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.005951-4.00%0.006387+3.03%0.0437✗0.4541k2022-10-06
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.938297-3.99%0.959042-1.86%0.0307✓0.8739k2022-10-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.18191-3.95%0.1554-17.95%0.2372✓1.31111k2022-10-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.056576-3.94%0.063377+7.60%0.0482✗1.081.4M2022-10-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.075419-3.93%0.081+3.18%0.0143✓0.9410k2022-10-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.274299-3.92%0.3493+22.35%0.1861✗0.925.8M2022-10-06
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.351879-3.90%0.40174+9.72%0.0730✗0.9833k2022-10-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.6883-3.90%5.19-12.32%0.1226✓0.514.3M2022-10-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.043536-3.89%0.0386-14.79%0.1825✓1.02739k2022-10-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.706-3.83%1.621-8.62%0.1538✓1.6972k2022-10-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.463523-3.83%0.445-7.68%0.1113✓1.1677k2022-10-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4144-3.79%1.54+4.76%0.0950✗-0.16128k2022-10-06
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.445173-3.77%0.4287-7.33%0.0954✓0.9540.4M2022-10-06
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.09614-3.74%0.119586+19.74%0.1675✗0.846.7M2022-10-06
DASHDashDash42.6841.0858-3.74%42.03-1.52%0.0381✓1.00404k2022-10-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14264.951-3.73%4.0698-20.86%0.2018✓0.10115k2022-10-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.343-3.72%1.632+16.99%0.1231✗1.1878k2022-10-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5377-3.71%1.713+7.26%0.0513✗0.93574k2022-10-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.038703-3.69%0.037581-6.48%0.0602✓0.5125k2022-10-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.225.9919-3.67%5.975-3.94%0.0542✓0.854.5M2022-10-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.0628-3.65%1.049-4.90%0.0720✓0.971.2M2022-10-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.03451-3.60%0.0367+2.51%0.0153✓0.767,8592022-10-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03590.998813-3.58%0.8912-13.97%0.2077✓1.554.5M2022-10-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.241068-3.57%0.251+0.40%0.0060✓0.76597k2022-10-06
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.0235-3.55%13.67-5.98%0.0941✓1.1393k2022-10-06
XVGVergenative0.002950.002845-3.55%0.00337+14.24%0.1072✗1.02483k2022-10-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.1488-3.54%5.162+20.02%0.1366✗1.356.8M2022-10-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2155-3.54%4.39+0.46%0.0055✓0.581.3M2022-10-06
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3543.747-3.53%58.51+29.02%0.2133✗1.289,0502022-10-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.12637-3.51%0.12963-1.02%0.0478✓1.21183k2022-10-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.122668-3.49%0.1306+2.75%0.0298✓0.543.5M2022-10-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.610457-3.44%0.627-0.82%0.0590✓1.41226k2022-10-06
KSMKusamaHydration45.5644.0055-3.41%42.57-6.56%0.0946✓1.01490k2022-10-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001549-3.37%0.001592-0.69%0.0224✓0.82413k2022-10-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.41e-7-3.34%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1095✓0.7815k2022-10-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.8824-3.32%1.724-11.45%0.1591✓1.1736k2022-10-06
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.115162-3.31%0.1306+9.66%0.0615✗1.061.5M2022-10-06
XMRMoneroMonero144.79140.0133-3.30%149.07+2.96%0.0013✓1.061.4M2022-10-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.05725-3.29%0.064+8.11%0.0609✗0.8391k2022-10-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.1684-3.29%9.44-0.42%0.0485✓1.28297k2022-10-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,509.13-3.22%1,352.24-13.28%0.1938✓1.39660.9M2022-10-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.098154-3.20%0.0973-4.04%0.0606✓0.86169k2022-10-06
ZECZcashZcash57.9356.0881-3.18%55.15-4.80%0.0889✓1.191.3M2022-10-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.376255-3.15%0.3604-7.23%0.1143✓1.1885k2022-10-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1103-3.15%1.328+15.84%0.1053✗1.22996k2022-10-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.216212-3.13%0.2644+18.46%0.1429✗0.9681k2022-10-06
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.200787-3.10%0.2239+8.06%0.0518✗0.94468k2022-10-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005547-3.09%0.006023+5.23%0.0398✗0.702,1572022-10-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.292296-3.08%0.2881-4.48%0.0828✓1.1397k2022-10-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033729-3.08%0.0338-2.87%0.0541✓0.9366k2022-10-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.01858-3.08%0.02192+14.35%0.1188✗0.779.7M2022-10-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.879369-3.05%0.9-0.77%0.0556✓1.301.6M2022-10-06
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.3894-3.04%1.426-0.49%0.0431✓1.14247k2022-10-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.264443-2.94%0.265922-2.40%0.0610✓1.10514k2022-10-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.45e-7-2.93%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1154✓0.801.8M2022-10-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.6424.8946-2.91%24.5-4.45%0.0754✓0.986.8M2022-10-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.234776-2.90%0.1703-29.57%0.3723✓0.8466k2022-10-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.910779-2.90%0.9673+3.12%0.0295✗0.513.0M2022-10-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.021086-2.88%0.01849-14.83%0.1806✓0.81394k2022-10-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.7113-2.86%2.258-19.10%0.2760✓1.533.6M2022-10-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9042-2.85%2.37+20.92%0.1888✗0.5075k2022-10-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005354-2.83%0.00503-8.71%0.1017✓0.65977k2022-10-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.112786-2.77%0.1377+18.71%0.1361✗1.0525k2022-10-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.050572-2.75%0.054+3.85%0.0037✓1.14234k2022-10-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.6731-2.68%6.877+17.98%0.1117✗1.337.5M2022-10-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.093553-2.65%0.0873-9.16%0.1141✓0.742,9872022-10-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.191168-2.61%0.1959-0.20%0.0361✓1.0058k2022-10-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.022723-2.60%0.02394+2.61%0.0254✓1.283,1162022-10-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.054348-2.60%0.05-10.39%0.1398✓0.9382k2022-10-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.0338.7982-2.60%9.062+0.32%0.0289✓0.961.2M2022-10-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.2527-2.55%0.2677+3.24%0.0012✓0.972.8M2022-10-06
SOLSolanaSolana30.8730.0881-2.53%33.37+8.10%0.0345✗1.1461.7M2022-10-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54948.3034-2.51%48.536-2.04%0.0422✓0.78324k2022-10-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.061969-2.49%0.06153-3.18%0.0634✓0.937702022-10-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.71887-2.45%0.69485-5.71%0.0874✓0.88520k2022-10-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2117.7667-2.43%17.05-6.37%0.1191✓1.2819.6M2022-10-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.858006-2.42%0.8414-4.31%0.0940✓1.23916k2022-10-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.087123-2.33%0.118+32.29%0.2434✗0.99372k2022-10-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,354.29-2.32%19,965.64+6.25%0.0235✓1.00485.5M2022-10-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.433616-2.21%0.4396-0.86%0.0564✓1.16384k2022-10-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,528.40-2.06%20,006.50+5.75%0.0199✓0.9413k2022-10-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.19682-2.03%0.1812-9.81%0.1634✓1.33142k2022-10-06
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.05957-1.97%0.062765+3.29%0.0148✓0.62129k2022-10-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.310758-1.87%0.38697+22.20%0.1697✗0.82332k2022-10-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.0669-1.63%0.06262-7.93%0.1376✓1.1825k2022-10-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.604284-1.58%0.593-3.42%0.0896✓1.174.0M2022-10-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.151622-1.48%0.1239-19.49%0.2059✓0.0793k2022-10-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.496359-1.44%0.4465-11.34%0.1868✓1.3441k2022-10-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.432723-1.43%0.355-19.13%0.2725✓1.234,1032022-10-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.011676-1.31%0.00944-20.20%0.2530✓0.67223k2022-10-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17110.7305-1.28%118.27+5.44%0.0051✓1.174.4M2022-10-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.4631-1.26%5.25+16.15%0.1110✗0.851.1M2022-10-06
GTGateEthereum3.96483.9159-1.23%4.4133+11.31%0.0722✗0.78769k2022-10-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.01202-1.03%0.011549-4.91%0.0808✓0.67932k2022-10-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1253.6067-0.95%53.56-1.03%0.0624✓1.0113.1M2022-10-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9315.8204-0.69%15.05-5.52%0.0941✓0.731.7M2022-10-06
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5883.5599-0.02%77.49-7.29%0.1695✓1.555.6M2022-10-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.