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2022-09-05 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2221
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.8%
in alpha space · 75.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000319624-21.07%0.00030115-25.63%0.0733✓0.75679k2022-10-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-77.54e-7-11.85%6.00e-7-29.83%0.2439✓0.861.8M2022-10-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00811.5228-11.42%16.153+24.18%0.3280✗0.5315.8M2022-10-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.5572-11.13%6.03-18.27%0.0903✓0.357.7M2022-10-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.4769-10.81%5.586-9.04%0.0041✓0.857.2M2022-10-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,545.39-9.99%8,314.11-12.42%0.0532✓1.405.2M2022-10-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.4644-9.84%3.6003-27.29%0.2260✓0.595.6M2022-10-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4183-9.83%1.252-20.41%0.1464✓1.1851k2022-10-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.057809-9.70%0.06065-5.26%0.0280✓1.081.8M2022-10-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.0844-9.56%0.863-28.02%0.2593✓1.682.9M2022-10-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7419-9.23%1.701-11.36%0.0488✓1.361.3M2022-10-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0560.960157-9.08%0.884-16.29%0.0893✓0.362.9M2022-10-05
METISMetisEthereum30.5327.7682-9.05%30.07-1.51%0.0452✓1.88219k2022-10-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.603641-8.95%0.593-10.56%0.0336✓0.86183k2022-10-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6736.2533-8.61%27.62-30.38%0.2999✓1.529.5M2022-10-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.7297-8.47%4.12+1.10%0.0816✓0.97259k2022-10-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.287852-8.47%0.2542-19.17%0.1444✓1.0999k2022-10-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.2551-8.39%1.18-13.87%0.0786✓0.9283k2022-10-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1449-8.34%1.83-21.79%0.1801✓1.16217k2022-10-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.190181-8.26%0.2174+4.87%0.1183✗0.843.1M2022-10-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.6192-8.18%5.2925-26.58%0.2278✓0.236.9M2022-10-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2005-8.15%1.226-6.20%0.0008✓1.19429k2022-10-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.4791-7.94%8.14-11.62%0.0499✓0.502.1M2022-10-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.046778-7.92%0.0411-19.09%0.1463✓0.92190k2022-10-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.120104-7.83%0.0668-48.73%0.5994✓0.70203k2022-10-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3215.9701-7.79%17.73+2.37%0.0919✗0.69454k2022-10-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.536.9463-7.75%6.53-13.28%0.0819✓1.09290k2022-10-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.265054-7.30%0.23538-17.68%0.1380✓1.0513k2022-10-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.129646-7.26%0.1448+3.58%0.0910✗1.06409k2022-10-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.144-7.12%1.8057-21.78%0.1926✓1.1313k2022-10-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.4592-7.10%5.186+8.05%0.1111✗2.17141k2022-10-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.2726-7.05%12.75-10.71%0.0604✓1.101.1M2022-10-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.248-7.02%6.44-4.17%0.0215✓0.482.1M2022-10-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.1134-7.02%2.8764-14.10%0.0977✓1.0118k2022-10-05
STXStacksnative0.36810.342544-6.94%0.3269-11.19%0.0680✓1.16348k2022-10-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.1851-6.85%5.73-13.70%0.0849✓0.462.2M2022-10-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058343-6.65%0.0585-6.40%0.0209✓1.28713k2022-10-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0623-6.61%1.2541+10.25%0.1495✗0.891.1M2022-10-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.791696-6.56%0.7885-6.94%0.0230✓1.031.3M2022-10-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.800982-6.41%0.78874-7.84%0.0339✓1.0113k2022-10-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002749-6.34%0.00222-24.36%0.2306✓0.921.2M2022-10-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.332525-6.33%0.2948-16.96%0.1398✓1.0573k2022-10-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.486493-6.32%0.4024-22.51%0.2038✓0.77496k2022-10-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3686.9026-6.32%6.437-12.64%0.0890✓1.0510.0M2022-10-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3826.9168-6.30%7.876+6.69%0.1106✗1.0518.0M2022-10-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007358-6.26%0.00669-14.78%0.1160✓1.13406k2022-10-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.09749-6.26%0.1-3.85%0.0055✓1.082.8M2022-10-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.489427-6.24%0.467-10.54%0.0665✓1.0763k2022-10-05
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000041034-6.14%0.00004253-2.72%0.0204✓0.841.9M2022-10-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.135942-6.12%0.1283-11.40%0.0765✓1.0199k2022-10-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.0554-5.91%3.692-14.34%0.1026✓0.472.3M2022-10-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.071385-5.86%0.06975-8.02%0.0242✓0.06389k2022-10-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.02406-5.83%0.02824+10.53%0.1581✗0.12386k2022-10-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.019457-5.79%0.019252-6.78%0.0255✓0.8112k2022-10-05
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.016607-5.70%0.015542-11.75%0.0847✓1.00492022-10-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.3752-5.70%4.96-12.98%0.0887✓0.452.3M2022-10-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.705-5.68%17.51+20.51%0.2260✗1.031.6M2022-10-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001255-5.68%0.001017-23.54%0.2247✓0.802.4M2022-10-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.779022-5.65%0.8299+0.51%0.0358✓1.50105k2022-10-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1806-5.60%2.14-7.36%0.0328✓0.76262k2022-10-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003796-5.58%0.00348-13.43%0.1050✓0.99127k2022-10-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.8069-5.55%2.993+0.71%0.0545✓0.53653k2022-10-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.033653-5.52%0.0309-13.25%0.1040✓1.0151k2022-10-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.7638-5.49%1.7093-8.41%0.0514✓1.0925k2022-10-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.5768-5.49%1.1488-31.14%0.3347✓0.981.1M2022-10-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.321988-5.48%0.30274-11.13%0.0798✓0.9937k2022-10-05
PROPropyEthereum0.720.680668-5.46%0.59-18.06%0.1491✓0.3363k2022-10-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.657-5.42%1.458-16.78%0.1446✓0.9195k2022-10-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63311.9523-5.39%13.009+2.98%0.0640✗1.1312.5M2022-10-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.041824-5.37%0.04004-9.41%0.0571✓0.7414k2022-10-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008431-5.37%0.0065-27.05%0.2738✓0.744.1M2022-10-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.046963-5.32%0.0391-21.17%0.2017✓1.00739k2022-10-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.8459-5.29%2.33-22.46%0.2282✓1.533.5M2022-10-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.626995-5.29%0.585-11.63%0.0873✓0.98187k2022-10-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.009963-5.26%0.010708+1.83%0.0538✓1.004902022-10-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.137198-5.18%0.128-11.54%0.0788✓0.513.4M2022-10-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001392-5.16%0.001439-1.98%0.0204✓0.697,6332022-10-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.5816-5.16%2.313-15.03%0.1261✓0.88682k2022-10-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.2385-5.13%6.815+3.63%0.0644✗1.317.2M2022-10-05
QNTQuantEthereum93.1488.3807-5.11%138.37+48.56%0.4326✗0.863.4M2022-10-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.2714-5.10%3.721-17.33%0.1424✓0.242.3M2022-10-05
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.320708-5.09%0.2974-11.99%0.0922✓0.916202022-10-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.505947-5.08%0.454-14.82%0.1293✓1.1476k2022-10-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.3957-5.02%6.03-10.45%0.0743✓0.844.4M2022-10-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.095-5.01%0.9059-21.41%0.2176✓1.534.4M2022-10-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.00001198-5.00%0.00001144-9.28%0.0638✓0.96861k2022-10-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020276-4.98%0.02234+4.69%0.0829✗0.769.8M2022-10-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.332634-4.96%0.33985-2.90%0.0039✓0.95392k2022-10-05
DASHDashDash47.5945.2339-4.95%42.19-11.35%0.0876✓0.97419k2022-10-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6064-4.95%1.718+1.66%0.0501✓0.93540k2022-10-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.164514-4.91%0.15053-12.99%0.1068✓0.98268k2022-10-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.178112-4.85%0.1602-14.42%0.1313✓1.382,0092022-10-05
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.041597-4.85%0.041527-5.01%0.0172✓0.8427k2022-10-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.2795-4.85%11.2855-12.55%0.1026✓0.9930k2022-10-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.8234-4.83%1.663-13.20%0.1231✓1.6972k2022-10-05
HIVEHivenative0.53880.512779-4.83%0.5043-6.40%0.0320✓0.83924k2022-10-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.3348.8648-4.80%43.36-15.53%0.1376✓0.98442k2022-10-05
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.855434-4.80%0.800836-10.88%0.0813✓0.8454k2022-10-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,406.91-4.76%1,314.58-11.01%0.0863✓1.003.2M2022-10-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.258094-4.76%0.254-6.27%0.0298✓0.75597k2022-10-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.3954-4.75%1.498+2.25%0.0494✗1.1779k2022-10-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.0165-4.75%1.761-16.82%0.1566✓1.1538k2022-10-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.03566-4.70%0.03512-6.15%0.0303✓0.822,5882022-10-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.04440.995551-4.68%0.968189-7.30%0.0436✓0.8639k2022-10-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.059791-4.63%0.064822+3.39%0.0611✗1.071.3M2022-10-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.042535-4.63%0.0414-7.17%0.0451✓0.98132k2022-10-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.47567-4.62%0.431-13.58%0.1156✓0.9339.1M2022-10-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.290598-4.60%0.3539+16.19%0.1806✗0.905.8M2022-10-05
ZENHorizenBase16.115.362-4.58%13.98-13.17%0.1147✓1.1193k2022-10-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.52150.3233-4.57%146.46-7.02%0.0451✓1.041.4M2022-10-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.195259-4.57%0.1562-23.66%0.2473✓1.31111k2022-10-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.149086-4.55%0.1454-6.91%0.0442✓1.041,4472022-10-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.0725-4.54%5.137-19.24%0.1754✓0.444.4M2022-10-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.411354-4.51%0.3659-15.06%0.1382✓1.1585k2022-10-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.5369-4.49%5.2+9.47%0.1118✗1.346.8M2022-10-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.150931-4.47%0.17246+9.15%0.0961✗2.033162022-10-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.1846-4.46%1.2889+3.96%0.0622✗1.21973k2022-10-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.661784-4.44%0.6248-9.78%0.0831✓1.40210k2022-10-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002953-4.43%0.00338+9.39%0.1163✗1.02481k2022-10-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3646.2241-4.42%58.89+21.77%0.2188✗1.278,9662022-10-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.5133-4.38%4.4-6.78%0.0354✓0.541.3M2022-10-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.132417-4.35%0.13013-6.00%0.0397✓1.21175k2022-10-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.039687-4.33%0.037278-10.14%0.0719✓0.5125k2022-10-05
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.100564-4.29%0.1189+13.16%0.1523✗0.836.7M2022-10-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1199-4.28%1.061-9.32%0.0719✓0.971.2M2022-10-05
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.36423-4.28%0.41668+9.50%0.1165✗0.9833k2022-10-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035136-4.26%0.0374+1.91%0.0482✗0.776,8072022-10-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006081-4.24%0.006285-1.02%0.0248✓0.4441k2022-10-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.294252-4.15%0.2918-4.95%0.0298✓1.17105k2022-10-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.3527-4.14%9.27-14.17%0.1333✓1.24277k2022-10-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.078413-4.14%0.081-0.98%0.0151✓0.9510k2022-10-05
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.122683-4.08%0.1324+3.52%0.0571✗1.041.5M2022-10-05
ZECZcashZcash63.4160.855-4.03%56.64-10.68%0.0931✓1.161.3M2022-10-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.286681-4.02%0.268868-9.98%0.0840✓1.08514k2022-10-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.227793-4.01%0.2662+12.18%0.1383✗0.9681k2022-10-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005757-3.89%0.00515-14.02%0.1231✓0.63951k2022-10-05
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.4865-3.85%1.4299-7.51%0.0595✓1.12252k2022-10-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.6225.5979-3.84%24.76-6.99%0.0511✓0.976.8M2022-10-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3948-3.81%1.57+8.28%0.1205✗-0.12128k2022-10-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0043-3.80%0.897-14.08%0.1363✓1.271.5M2022-10-05
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.213617-3.78%0.2267+2.12%0.0423✗0.93468k2022-10-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.100092-3.76%0.0978-5.96%0.0390✓0.86169k2022-10-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.360112-3.74%0.3286-12.16%0.1147✓1.26202k2022-10-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.098684-3.72%0.0893-12.88%0.1133✓0.732,7842022-10-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001506-3.71%0.001566+0.13%0.0220✓0.93413k2022-10-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.118486-3.59%0.1318+7.24%0.0873✗1.0425k2022-10-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.065578-3.59%0.06191-8.98%0.0742✓0.916062022-10-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.58e-7-3.57%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0848✓0.7915k2022-10-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7151.793-3.57%49.531-7.78%0.0586✓0.76302k2022-10-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,560.61-3.55%1,352.48-16.41%0.1687✓1.39628.3M2022-10-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.761761-3.51%0.70324-10.93%0.0960✓0.87509k2022-10-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024233-3.49%0.02368-5.69%0.0465✓1.283,2982022-10-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.053853-3.49%0.0539-3.41%0.0198✓1.12220k2022-10-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4418.7654-3.47%17.38-10.60%0.1002✓1.2819.6M2022-10-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.2025-3.43%0.1957-6.68%0.0525✓1.0058k2022-10-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.8783-3.43%4.1821-17.21%0.1559✓0.10115k2022-10-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.272546-3.42%0.2745-2.73%0.0104✓0.952.8M2022-10-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.60e-7-3.41%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0994✓0.811.7M2022-10-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.035455-3.39%0.034-7.36%0.0589✓0.9266k2022-10-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021596-3.37%0.01882-15.79%0.1526✓0.82459k2022-10-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005818-3.37%0.006191+2.83%0.0493✗0.702,1662022-10-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.925558-3.36%0.8612-10.08%0.0944✓1.22865k2022-10-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.342196-3.27%0.40026+13.14%0.1420✗0.80332k2022-10-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.1337-3.25%34.05+5.81%0.0686✗1.1461.7M2022-10-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75121.7057-3.22%122.13-2.88%0.0176✓1.154.2M2022-10-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.054114-3.20%0.0716+28.09%0.2639✗0.8885k2022-10-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.947357-3.17%0.99+1.19%0.0349✗0.503.0M2022-10-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9082-3.14%2.39+21.32%0.2158✗0.5168k2022-10-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,178.51-3.11%20,161.62+1.85%0.0316✗1.00480.9M2022-10-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.090988-3.10%0.1222+30.14%0.2772✗0.97372k2022-10-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,263.18-3.04%20,252.70+1.95%0.0329✗0.9413k2022-10-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.1318-3.00%9.14-2.91%0.0168✓0.961.2M2022-10-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.055422-2.94%0.0498-12.78%0.1243✓0.9490k2022-10-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.458558-2.89%0.4412-6.57%0.0597✓1.15384k2022-10-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.8002-2.63%5.22+5.88%0.0681✗0.861.2M2022-10-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.474415-2.58%0.356-26.90%0.3095✓1.223,8602022-10-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.227713-2.56%0.1829-21.74%0.2356✓0.9066k2022-10-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.070757-2.55%0.06245-13.99%0.1464✓1.1725k2022-10-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.541894-2.44%0.45167-18.69%0.2064✓1.3239k2022-10-05
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.061449-2.36%0.062453-0.77%0.0049✓0.62123k2022-10-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.204096-2.35%0.1824-12.73%0.1370✓1.34142k2022-10-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.01282-2.32%0.011859-9.65%0.0899✓0.65929k2022-10-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.159214-2.20%0.1147-29.55%0.3284✓0.0393k2022-10-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.661124-2.20%0.6-11.24%0.1195✓1.223.9M2022-10-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3659.0859-2.11%54.64-9.48%0.0965✓0.9912.8M2022-10-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3117.9328-2.06%15.44-15.67%0.1628✓0.711.7M2022-10-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012486-1.84%0.00948-25.47%0.2874✓0.65220k2022-10-05
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9406-1.66%4.3938+9.65%0.0944✗0.79748k2022-10-05
AAVEAaveEthereum91.390.3098-1.08%78.71-13.79%0.1658✓1.545.2M2022-10-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.