8=======>

2022-09-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2685
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000261150.000225703-13.57%0.00031113+19.14%0.3288✗0.77600k2022-10-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.93e-77.82e-7-12.42%6.40e-7-28.41%0.1931✓0.831.7M2022-10-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.80412.1038-12.32%14.503+5.06%0.1862✗0.5315.8M2022-10-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5075.753-11.59%5.52-15.17%0.0326✓0.857.8M2022-10-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.52786.689-11.14%5.8252-22.62%0.1347✓0.357.6M2022-10-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,785.948,752.73-10.56%8,118.40-17.04%0.0611✓1.385.7M2022-10-03
OPTIMOptimism1.1951.0788-9.72%0.869-27.28%0.1988✓1.713.0M2022-10-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.80074.335-9.70%3.5911-25.20%0.1822✓0.594.7M2022-10-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062790.05674-9.63%0.06018-4.16%0.0698✓1.071.9M2022-10-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5431.396-9.53%1.274-17.43%0.0794✓1.1760k2022-10-03
FLOWFlownative1.9511.7665-9.46%1.681-13.84%0.0358✓1.351.4M2022-10-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0140.918877-9.38%0.878-13.41%0.0417✓0.373.3M2022-10-03
METISMetisEthereum30.9828.1731-9.06%23.76-23.31%0.1510✓1.89259k2022-10-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.610375-9.04%0.595-11.33%0.0167✓0.86210k2022-10-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32080.292846-8.71%0.2588-19.33%0.1126✓1.07101k2022-10-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.21710.198848-8.41%0.221+1.80%0.1142✗0.833.1M2022-10-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.318.5404-8.27%8.24-11.49%0.0308✓0.492.0M2022-10-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0263.6945-8.23%3.881-3.60%0.0591✓0.97259k2022-10-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.32346.7234-8.19%5.269-28.05%0.2415✓0.226.5M2022-10-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2113.9855-8.05%12.66-16.77%0.0884✓1.101.0M2022-10-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1867-8.01%1.18-8.53%0.0036✓0.90106k2022-10-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3191.2144-7.93%1.235-6.37%0.0289✓1.18460k2022-10-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1315.7735-7.92%14.59-14.83%0.0710✓0.68551k2022-10-03
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.0374.6453-7.78%5.2413+4.06%0.1310✗1.00143k2022-10-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.657.065-7.65%6.67-12.81%0.0465✓1.08360k2022-10-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.050.046233-7.53%0.0407-18.60%0.1175✓0.97216k2022-10-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1190.110126-7.46%0.0671-43.61%0.4883✓0.69208k2022-10-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.0826-7.44%1.85-17.78%0.1066✓1.15227k2022-10-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.3775-7.17%6.4-6.84%0.0084✓0.482.1M2022-10-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.3617-7.13%5.87-14.31%0.0754✓0.502.2M2022-10-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.15112.9277-7.09%2.8543-9.42%0.0151✓1.0121k2022-10-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2330.0472-6.77%27.42-14.92%0.0761✓1.5110.6M2022-10-03
XECeCashnative0.000044710.000041701-6.73%0.00004077-8.81%0.0137✓0.861.8M2022-10-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007980.007449-6.65%0.00692-13.28%0.0622✓1.12441k2022-10-03
STXStacksnative0.3610.337136-6.61%0.3217-10.89%0.0350✓1.15335k2022-10-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82430.769906-6.60%0.7685-6.77%0.0088✓1.041.5M2022-10-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13790.12903-6.43%0.142+2.97%0.1063✗1.02409k2022-10-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.056911-6.40%0.0578-4.93%0.0286✓1.28810k2022-10-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3540.331706-6.30%0.2964-16.27%0.1016✓1.0795k2022-10-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13371.0625-6.28%1.2273+8.26%0.1532✗0.881.1M2022-10-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50070.469274-6.28%0.3988-20.35%0.1551✓0.75501k2022-10-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84160.788797-6.27%0.8267-1.77%0.0619✓1.46128k2022-10-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.296.834-6.26%6.37-12.62%0.0598✓1.0310.2M2022-10-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.291270.273097-6.24%0.23444-19.51%0.1420✓1.0412k2022-10-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266850.025037-6.17%0.026138-2.05%0.0443✓0.13287k2022-10-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078010.073198-6.17%0.07406-5.06%0.0122✓0.05397k2022-10-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4924.2162-6.14%3.764-16.21%0.1086✓0.472.3M2022-10-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029480.002767-6.14%0.00229-22.32%0.1799✓0.911.1M2022-10-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.785.431-6.04%4.98-13.84%0.0821✓0.452.3M2022-10-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.49522-6.03%0.46-12.71%0.0631✓1.0471k2022-10-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10180.095701-5.99%0.0976-4.13%0.0306✓1.072.8M2022-10-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0313.2289-5.71%15.63+11.40%0.1776✗1.061.8M2022-10-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14180.133771-5.66%0.1275-10.08%0.0376✓1.0299k2022-10-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7974.5255-5.66%3.74-22.03%0.1881✓0.252.4M2022-10-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26362.1355-5.66%1.8431-18.58%0.1358✓1.1213k2022-10-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013260.001252-5.59%0.001006-24.11%0.2103✓0.792.4M2022-10-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1339-5.58%2.02-10.62%0.0470✓0.76269k2022-10-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70511.6108-5.53%1.1423-33.01%0.3338✓0.971.1M2022-10-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8616.4821-5.52%7.331+6.85%0.1337✗1.0417.9M2022-10-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9762.812-5.51%3.03+1.81%0.0797✗0.49650k2022-10-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.62711.9363-5.47%12.857+1.82%0.0857✗1.1112.3M2022-10-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6096.2475-5.47%5.118-22.56%0.1944✓0.494.4M2022-10-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.650373-5.47%0.573-16.72%0.1168✓0.97202k2022-10-03
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003754-5.45%0.00348-12.34%0.0656✓0.98136k2022-10-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.868520.821451-5.42%0.78487-9.63%0.0353✓1.0013k2022-10-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206330.019537-5.31%0.019287-6.52%0.0046✓0.8113k2022-10-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7711.6772-5.30%1.549-12.54%0.0702✓0.91109k2022-10-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9412.7862-5.26%2.298-21.86%0.1770✓1.533.6M2022-10-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008236-5.23%0.00645-25.78%0.2370✓0.735.2M2022-10-03
QNTQuantEthereum93.8388.99-5.16%139.27+48.43%0.4566✗0.853.5M2022-10-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.045998-5.16%0.0389-19.79%0.1575✓0.98758k2022-10-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334970.317731-5.15%0.30266-9.65%0.0385✓0.9942k2022-10-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.042467-5.14%0.04-10.65%0.0524✓0.7315k2022-10-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44180.419143-5.13%0.3682-16.66%0.1178✓1.1596k2022-10-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.332135-5.10%0.3353-4.20%0.0190✓0.93392k2022-10-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014990.001423-5.10%0.00137-8.61%0.0305✓0.707,6332022-10-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7442.6048-5.07%2.29-16.55%0.1199✓0.87682k2022-10-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4821.4069-5.07%1.467-1.01%0.0537✗1.1686k2022-10-03
PROPropyEthereum0.730.69336-5.02%0.62-15.07%0.1091✓0.2774k2022-10-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.7153-4.93%4.45-10.28%0.0525✓0.531.3M2022-10-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.161643-4.92%0.14988-11.84%0.0656✓0.97293k2022-10-03
HIVEHivenative0.54340.516736-4.91%0.4844-10.86%0.0561✓0.83980k2022-10-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001230.000011697-4.90%0.00001116-9.27%0.0373✓0.95828k2022-10-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.391883-4.88%0.419+1.70%0.0773✗1.028,1172022-10-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4996.1818-4.88%6.021-7.35%0.0178✓0.834.4M2022-10-03
XEMNEMnative0.0434960.041381-4.86%0.040781-6.24%0.0060✓0.8429k2022-10-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.5989-4.83%1.707+1.61%0.0749✗0.92540k2022-10-03
DASHDashDash46.7744.522-4.81%41.25-11.80%0.0665✓0.96419k2022-10-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.05721.0067-4.78%0.959606-9.23%0.0392✓0.8541k2022-10-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034430.032786-4.78%0.03058-11.18%0.0594✓1.0040k2022-10-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8811.7913-4.77%1.592-15.36%0.1008✓1.6883k2022-10-03
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20360.193903-4.76%0.1545-24.12%0.2137✓1.32111k2022-10-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13630.129809-4.76%0.1259-7.63%0.0252✓0.523.4M2022-10-03
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,432.071,364.13-4.74%1,281.16-10.54%0.0525✓1.003.4M2022-10-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.256341-4.71%0.259-3.72%0.0177✓0.72654k2022-10-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04430.042223-4.69%0.0421-4.97%0.0070✓0.96138k2022-10-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.49568-4.68%0.453-12.88%0.0785✓1.1378k2022-10-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019627-4.68%0.02256+9.57%0.1477✗0.8210.2M2022-10-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.2889-4.65%0.3543+16.93%0.2132✗0.905.8M2022-10-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3056.0127-4.64%6.628+5.12%0.1107✗1.307.3M2022-10-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8856480.844748-4.62%0.786116-11.24%0.0635✓0.8357k2022-10-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.680812.0961-4.61%11.2387-11.37%0.0637✓0.9632k2022-10-03
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.8063-4.60%14.02-9.66%0.0432✓1.11107k2022-10-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137070.130788-4.58%0.13154-4.03%0.0179✓1.19190k2022-10-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7564.538-4.58%5.176+8.83%0.1452✗1.337.0M2022-10-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79051.7085-4.58%1.6967-5.24%0.0041✓1.0727k2022-10-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07291.0238-4.57%0.898-16.30%0.1155✓1.534.5M2022-10-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626750.059813-4.57%0.060341-3.72%0.0196✓1.061.4M2022-10-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037620.035906-4.55%0.03525-6.30%0.0102✓0.812,6082022-10-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157840.150742-4.50%0.16855+6.79%0.1325✗2.034042022-10-03
COMPCompoundEthereum47.8945.7671-4.43%59.82+24.91%0.2806✗1.259,0502022-10-03
KSMKusamaHydration48.8146.6684-4.39%42.69-12.54%0.0791✓0.98459k2022-10-03
ADACardanoCardano0.48040.459388-4.37%0.4276-10.99%0.0622✓0.9337.1M2022-10-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.6780.648483-4.35%0.6256-7.73%0.0217✓1.39200k2022-10-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.145783-4.34%0.1421-6.76%0.0143✓1.111,6102022-10-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1052380.100671-4.34%0.116739+10.93%0.1564✗0.826.8M2022-10-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016550.001583-4.34%0.001536-7.19%0.0205✓0.95406k2022-10-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064070.00613-4.33%0.00635-0.89%0.0396✓0.4148k2022-10-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0451.9567-4.32%1.766-13.64%0.0909✓1.1438k2022-10-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30930.29604-4.29%0.2884-6.76%0.0142✓1.16124k2022-10-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0423070.040495-4.28%0.037395-11.61%0.0744✓0.5226k2022-10-03
XMRMoneroMonero154.44147.9573-4.20%141.93-8.10%0.0311✓1.021.4M2022-10-03
XVGVergenative0.003110.002981-4.16%0.00337+8.36%0.1329✗0.99486k2022-10-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1591.111-4.14%1.052-9.23%0.0445✓0.991.4M2022-10-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17380.166656-4.11%0.1575-9.38%0.0424✓1.382,2552022-10-03
DIADIAEthereum0.37540.360238-4.04%0.38327+2.10%0.0719✗0.9735k2022-10-03
ZECZcashZcash62.760.1866-4.01%55.86-10.91%0.0628✓1.161.5M2022-10-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12580.120788-3.98%0.1403+11.53%0.1603✗1.031.6M2022-10-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2927850.281178-3.96%0.265451-9.34%0.0465✓1.08534k2022-10-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.23860.229246-3.92%0.2625+10.02%0.1451✗0.9581k2022-10-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.129.7244-3.91%9.04-10.67%0.0605✓1.22297k2022-10-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36590.351651-3.89%0.3219-12.03%0.0757✓1.24187k2022-10-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.079195-3.89%0.0803-2.55%0.0234✓0.9310k2022-10-03
FTTFTXEthereum26.225.2007-3.81%24.75-5.53%0.0081✓0.976.9M2022-10-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005791-3.81%0.00503-16.45%0.1344✓0.64998k2022-10-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4341-3.75%1.57+5.37%0.0892✗-0.13116k2022-10-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.13281.0904-3.74%1.0875-4.00%0.0097✓1.21973k2022-10-03
STEEMSteemnative0.22280.214487-3.73%0.2198-1.35%0.0336✓0.89475k2022-10-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10120.097452-3.70%0.0976-3.56%0.0102✓0.85150k2022-10-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.034481-3.68%0.0375+4.75%0.0919✗0.789,5472022-10-03
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0370.999165-3.65%0.877-15.43%0.1176✓1.251.5M2022-10-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066480.064061-3.64%0.06181-7.02%0.0267✓0.887702022-10-03
XTZTezosTezos1.52271.4678-3.61%1.444-5.17%0.0049✓1.12255k2022-10-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.787750.759368-3.60%0.69677-11.55%0.0771✓0.87519k2022-10-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05720.055162-3.56%0.0646+12.94%0.1667✗0.8699k2022-10-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28040.270603-3.49%0.2786-0.64%0.0388✗0.952.8M2022-10-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17754.9968-3.49%4.1658-19.54%0.1809✓0.10115k2022-10-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1020.098458-3.47%0.089-12.75%0.0937✓0.712,7842022-10-03
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.50e-7-3.46%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0646✓0.791.8M2022-10-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022030.021271-3.45%0.01851-15.98%0.1308✓0.80459k2022-10-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.92950.8975-3.44%0.8306-10.64%0.0651✓1.20841k2022-10-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058930.005691-3.44%0.006682+13.38%0.1675✗0.682,1282022-10-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.40e-7-3.44%8.10e-7-6.90%0.0284✓0.7915k2022-10-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,557.701,504.87-3.39%1,323.31-15.05%0.1145✓1.38660.9M2022-10-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12110.116999-3.39%0.1259+3.96%0.0839✗1.0425k2022-10-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024720.023889-3.36%0.02435-1.50%0.0322✓1.283,2982022-10-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.05560.053754-3.32%0.0517-7.01%0.0275✓1.12220k2022-10-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.203289-3.29%0.194-7.71%0.0364✓1.0258k2022-10-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.918.2893-3.23%17.16-9.21%0.0506✓1.2820.7M2022-10-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03540.034262-3.21%0.0337-4.80%0.0072✓0.9177k2022-10-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.51650.8287-3.21%48.762-7.15%0.0338✓0.75302k2022-10-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.361790.350188-3.21%0.3746+3.54%0.0755✗0.80332k2022-10-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96760.936759-3.19%0.9058-6.39%0.0286✓0.493.1M2022-10-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.091915-3.15%0.1273+34.14%0.3355✗0.96375k2022-10-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,835.4719,223.87-3.08%19,633.46-1.02%0.0313✗1.00485.5M2022-10-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.1928.9167-3.00%9.173-0.21%0.0381✗0.951.3M2022-10-03
SOLSolanaSolana31.1230.2025-2.95%32.9+5.72%0.0974✗1.1663.0M2022-10-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05780.056142-2.87%0.0497-14.01%0.1124✓0.9297k2022-10-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45830.445499-2.79%0.4331-5.50%0.0166✓1.14384k2022-10-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5190.504561-2.78%0.356-31.41%0.3365✓1.203,8602022-10-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.931.8786-2.66%2.52+30.57%0.2989✗0.5082k2022-10-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.83114.7404-2.62%116.23-1.36%0.0246✓1.144.4M2022-10-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,875.8019,364.68-2.57%19,703.50-0.87%0.0270✗0.9413k2022-10-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2120.206744-2.48%0.1724-18.68%0.1683✓1.31140k2022-10-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.23080.225298-2.38%0.2395+3.77%0.0703✗0.9067k2022-10-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18340.179042-2.38%0.1163-36.59%0.4313✓0.0198k2022-10-03
TRXTRONTron0.063110.061616-2.37%0.061361-2.77%0.0020✓0.60123k2022-10-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071350.069662-2.37%0.06066-14.98%0.1264✓1.1725k2022-10-03
GTGateEthereum4.24944.153-2.27%4.3164+1.58%0.0465✗0.78748k2022-10-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1958.8622-2.21%54.18-9.99%0.0729✓0.9812.7M2022-10-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.844.7336-2.20%5.29+9.30%0.1197✗0.841.3M2022-10-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130810.012795-2.19%0.011704-10.53%0.0826✓0.64932k2022-10-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013360.013071-2.16%0.00957-28.37%0.3051✓0.65220k2022-10-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.541220.529683-2.13%0.45246-16.40%0.1441✓1.3137k2022-10-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.655006-2.09%0.616-7.92%0.0481✓1.304.1M2022-10-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0218.7092-1.63%15.37-19.19%0.1893✓0.721.7M2022-10-03
AAVEAaveEthereum87.1886.5492-0.72%75.57-13.32%0.1201✓1.525.6M2022-10-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.