8=======>

2022-09-01 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2159
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 80.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.354432+2.44%0.3179-8.12%0.0572✗1.24166k2022-10-01
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4287.3842+1.12%74.55-13.74%0.0958✗1.525.6M2022-10-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.058495+0.85%0.0618+6.55%0.0908✓0.86101k2022-10-01
GTGateEthereum4.30834.3311+0.53%4.2897-0.43%0.0226✓0.78766k2022-10-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.547588-0.21%0.44961-18.06%0.1428✓1.3137k2022-10-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001486-0.25%0.001553+4.23%0.0841✗0.97417k2022-10-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.092103-0.43%0.1075+16.22%0.1943✗0.96376k2022-10-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.4506-0.54%32.44+2.59%0.0789✗1.1665.9M2022-10-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.126398-0.63%0.1299+2.12%0.0701✗1.031.7M2022-10-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.209033-0.70%0.1932-8.22%0.0365✓1.0257k2022-10-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.217056-0.75%0.1166-46.68%0.6218✓-0.0193k2022-10-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9551-0.76%2.22+12.69%0.1480✗0.5093k2022-10-01
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.062805-0.76%0.060458-4.47%0.0130✓0.60142k2022-10-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.485113-0.79%0.37-24.34%0.2211✓1.202,7102022-10-01
XMRMoneroMonero154.26152.9458-0.85%141.19-8.47%0.0378✓1.021.3M2022-10-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.013131-0.90%0.00985-25.66%0.2597✓0.67223k2022-10-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.098699-0.90%0.0889-10.74%0.0749✓0.722,5272022-10-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006103-0.92%0.00488-20.78%0.1973✓0.641.0M2022-10-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034964-0.95%0.0337-4.53%0.0010✓0.9184k2022-10-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.228607-0.99%0.136-41.10%0.4820✓0.9071k2022-10-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.073678-1.09%0.05979-19.73%0.1606✓1.1626k2022-10-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.336459-1.10%0.29933-12.02%0.0761✓0.9844k2022-10-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44751.8337-1.17%48.352-7.81%0.0384✓0.75287k2022-10-01
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.370661-1.17%0.38259+2.01%0.0716✗0.9637k2022-10-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.77086-1.21%0.6934-11.13%0.0698✓0.87509k2022-10-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.178642-1.25%0.1528-15.53%0.0991✓1.382,2912022-10-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.673363-1.37%0.641-6.11%0.0084✓1.39214k2022-10-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.289433-1.42%0.355+20.91%0.2415✗0.905.9M2022-10-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.146833-1.45%–pending––1.111,6102022-10-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043432-1.52%0.0419-4.99%0.0041✓0.96145k2022-10-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6519,825.61-1.53%19,315.27-4.06%0.0154✓1.00504.7M2022-10-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.042052-1.54%0.037831-11.43%0.0844✓0.5226k2022-10-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.40759-1.55%0.435+5.07%0.1074✗1.028,1172022-10-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056017-1.55%0.0511-10.19%0.0533✓0.9397k2022-10-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4019,876.44-1.56%19,312.20-4.36%0.0103✓0.9415k2022-10-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.6873-1.61%5.247+10.14%0.1681✗1.338.0M2022-10-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013095-1.65%0.011796-11.41%0.0782✓0.63932k2022-10-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.238308-1.69%0.2774+14.44%0.1908✗0.9475k2022-10-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5656.5481-1.76%52.93-8.04%0.0254✓0.9812.6M2022-10-01
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.04331-1.76%0.040211-8.79%0.0392✓0.8429k2022-10-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.656133-1.78%0.575-13.92%0.0918✓0.97207k2022-10-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.020723-1.84%0.019244-8.84%0.0406✓0.8113k2022-10-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.121709-1.85%0.1265+2.02%0.0816✗1.0423k2022-10-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.020219-1.99%0.0223+8.10%0.1321✗0.8210.9M2022-10-01
XVGVergenative0.003180.003115-2.05%0.00327+2.83%0.0900✗1.00486k2022-10-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0252-2.08%0.950166-9.25%0.0406✓0.8540k2022-10-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.30882-2.15%0.39655+25.65%0.2834✗0.80332k2022-10-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4346.4024-2.17%42.05-11.34%0.0579✓0.98459k2022-10-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.270012-2.17%0.251-9.06%0.0431✓0.72660k2022-10-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.860681-2.18%0.79092-10.11%0.0428✓1.0013k2022-10-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.03589-2.21%0.0367+0.00%0.0547✗0.788,1752022-10-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.102752-2.21%0.121387+15.52%0.2005✗0.826.9M2022-10-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005679-2.23%0.005185-10.73%0.0627✓0.682,1822022-10-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.13666-2.25%0.1192-14.74%0.1150✓0.523.5M2022-10-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.6726-2.28%2.304-15.76%0.1123✓0.87682k2022-10-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.920893-2.28%0.8364-11.25%0.0463✓1.20846k2022-10-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001498-2.33%0.00145-5.48%0.0036✓0.709,0932022-10-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.8627-2.33%2.32-20.85%0.1470✓1.523.7M2022-10-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006252-2.33%0.00631-1.42%0.0266✗0.4256k2022-10-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037543-2.36%0.03621-5.83%0.0025✓0.812,6082022-10-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.277388-2.40%0.2929+3.06%0.0937✗0.953.0M2022-10-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4256-2.42%1.495+2.33%0.0957✗1.16108k2022-10-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.294475-2.48%0.2342-22.44%0.1858✓1.0412k2022-10-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1677-2.53%1.053-12.10%0.0623✓0.991.5M2022-10-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.933151-2.53%0.8901-7.03%0.0270✓0.493.5M2022-10-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.134011-2.59%0.12837-6.69%0.0063✓1.19190k2022-10-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73113.7068-2.59%117.14+0.35%0.0771✗1.144.6M2022-10-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.054244-2.61%0.0469-15.80%0.0988✓1.12249k2022-10-01
HIVEHivenative0.54860.533802-2.70%0.4885-10.96%0.0543✓0.831.0M2022-10-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.1805-2.71%24.28-9.77%0.0352✓0.977.2M2022-10-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003909-2.77%0.00346-13.93%0.0811✓0.98136k2022-10-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4868-2.83%1.51-1.31%0.0101✓-0.13128k2022-10-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008444-2.83%0.00692-20.37%0.1688✓0.735.5M2022-10-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.098365-2.90%0.0988-2.47%0.0398✗0.85169k2022-10-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.059421-2.91%0.0574-6.21%0.0184✓1.28897k2022-10-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.45478-2.93%0.4257-9.14%0.0187✓1.14384k2022-10-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2237-2.93%1.8481-19.33%0.1385✓1.1213k2022-10-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.7937-2.94%9.03-10.51%0.0303✓1.23305k2022-10-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.1438.8668-3.02%9.104-0.43%0.0658✗0.951.3M2022-10-01
DASHDashDash44.7943.4357-3.02%41.74-6.81%0.0003✓0.97419k2022-10-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.136717-3.04%0.1402-0.57%0.0677✗1.02489k2022-10-01
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0346.5604-3.06%60.92+26.84%0.3208✗1.259,4572022-10-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.079588-3.06%0.0814-0.85%0.0612✗0.9310k2022-10-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.653288-3.07%0.576-14.54%0.0729✓1.284.1M2022-10-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.1209-3.07%6.395+1.27%0.0977✗1.308.1M2022-10-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000011909-3.10%0.00001117-9.11%0.0249✓0.94828k2022-10-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.047092-3.10%0.039-19.75%0.1476✓0.99781k2022-10-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.218742-3.13%0.2184-3.28%0.0357✗0.90475k2022-10-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.197402-3.14%0.1584-22.28%0.1655✓1.32116k2022-10-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.7463-3.14%1.7125-5.02%0.0251✓1.0828k2022-10-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.443179-3.15%0.4302-5.99%0.0090✓0.9335.8M2022-10-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6395-3.16%1.65-2.54%0.0445✗0.92579k2022-10-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.356-3.18%4.1099-25.70%0.2607✓0.10115k2022-10-01
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.871326-3.20%0.756668-15.94%0.1068✓0.8360k2022-10-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6364-3.21%4.59-4.18%0.0122✓0.541.1M2022-10-01
QNTQuantEthereum95.0291.9353-3.25%136.85+44.02%0.4331✗0.853.5M2022-10-01
ZECZcashZcash58.9857.0368-3.29%55.29-6.26%0.0170✓1.161.7M2022-10-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.0251-3.29%1.0737+1.29%0.0966✗1.21996k2022-10-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.138714-3.33%0.1274-11.22%0.0427✓1.02129k2022-10-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.218927-3.34%0.1692-25.30%0.2033✓1.31139k2022-10-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.318.6513-3.36%16.96-12.12%0.0416✓1.2921.2M2022-10-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.509125-3.39%0.47-10.82%0.0365✓1.0574k2022-10-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.043858-3.40%0.04021-11.43%0.0568✓0.7215k2022-10-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.1149-3.40%0.8922-22.69%0.1595✓1.524.5M2022-10-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.287326-3.41%0.267716-10.00%0.0258✓1.08545k2022-10-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.50e-7-3.41%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0529✓0.7915k2022-10-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.151457-3.49%0.17002+8.33%0.2000✗2.035152022-10-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002778-3.50%0.001984-31.09%0.2986✓0.921.1M2022-10-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,530.38-3.52%1,311.76-17.30%0.0970✓1.38660.9M2022-10-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.340928-3.53%0.294-16.81%0.1038✓1.07116k2022-10-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157311.7269-3.54%10.8134-11.05%0.0411✓0.9630k2022-10-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7352-3.56%4.94+0.61%0.0771✗0.841.5M2022-10-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.246-3.56%1.242-3.87%0.0460✗1.19460k2022-10-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.060117-3.58%0.060608-2.79%0.0520✗1.061.4M2022-10-01
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.58e-7-3.59%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0752✓0.791.9M2022-10-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.6755-3.63%7.396+6.77%0.1461✗1.0517.4M2022-10-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.023734-3.64%0.02421-1.71%0.0729✗1.283,4352022-10-01
PROPropyEthereum0.710.683937-3.67%0.62-12.68%0.0863✓0.2974k2022-10-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.410963-3.69%0.3601-15.61%0.0843✓1.15100k2022-10-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.051.9741-3.70%1.71-16.59%0.0965✓1.1438k2022-10-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.164609-3.74%0.14707-13.99%0.0724✓0.97310k2022-10-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.0763-3.75%6.115-3.14%0.0408✗0.834.8M2022-10-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.100952-3.76%0.0975-7.05%0.0097✓1.072.9M2022-10-01
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.4811-3.81%1.4096-8.46%0.0029✓1.12279k2022-10-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.833-3.84%3.01+2.17%0.0813✗0.50650k2022-10-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.4733-3.90%1.244-18.85%0.1206✓1.1766k2022-10-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.1654-3.93%8.4-11.95%0.0668✓0.491.9M2022-10-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.305798-3.96%0.2852-10.43%0.0214✓1.16132k2022-10-01
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.348309-3.99%0.31-14.55%0.0786✓0.915072022-10-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.493415-4.00%0.45-12.45%0.0451✓1.1383k2022-10-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.796415-4.03%0.7596-8.47%0.0042✓1.041.7M2022-10-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.330982-4.20%0.33018-4.43%0.0363✓0.93369k2022-10-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7131-4.24%1.462-18.28%0.1208✓0.91121k2022-10-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.116.3697-4.27%14.71-13.98%0.0786✓0.68685k2022-10-01
STXStacksnative0.36280.347187-4.30%0.3236-10.80%0.0225✓1.15361k2022-10-01
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.1725-4.40%13.91-12.35%0.0409✓1.11107k2022-10-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8672-4.49%1.551-20.66%0.1158✓1.6890k2022-10-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.0383-4.51%2.8428-10.66%0.0247✓1.0124k2022-10-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.064305-4.55%0.06222-7.64%0.0040✓0.899142022-10-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.04828-4.58%0.0402-20.55%0.1428✓0.97216k2022-10-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4512.8331-4.59%14.94+11.08%0.1959✗1.061.9M2022-10-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.2689-4.61%6.62-13.12%0.0487✓1.08409k2022-10-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.1098-4.65%3.867-10.28%0.0411✓0.482.0M2022-10-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1846.8438-4.74%6.27-12.72%0.0448✓1.0310.5M2022-10-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.021721-4.78%0.01863-18.33%0.1201✓0.80459k2022-10-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.1218-4.78%12.681-0.38%0.0912✗1.1111.4M2022-10-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.075942-5.07%0.07315-8.56%0.0355✓0.05418k2022-10-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2522-5.14%1.15-12.88%0.0477✓0.90109k2022-10-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.4893-5.19%5.08-12.26%0.0587✓0.452.0M2022-10-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007535-5.22%0.00694-12.70%0.0357✓1.12477k2022-10-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.6866-5.25%1.1718-34.17%0.3242✓0.961.1M2022-10-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.122-5.27%2-10.71%0.0275✓0.76287k2022-10-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4720.337-5.28%15.64-27.15%0.2332✓0.711.6M2022-10-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0875.7589-5.39%5.348-12.14%0.0539✓0.494.4M2022-10-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.63264-5.43%0.583-12.86%0.0460✓0.86228k2022-10-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.001-5.48%0.918-13.31%0.0346✓1.251.5M2022-10-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.1543-5.51%1.83-19.74%0.1154✓1.15229k2022-10-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.025381-5.66%0.026262-2.38%0.0392✓0.12280k2022-10-01
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000043479-5.77%0.00004093-11.29%0.0246✓0.861.7M2022-10-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.0777-5.79%1.1976+4.69%0.1419✗0.881.3M2022-10-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.917426-5.81%0.865-11.19%0.0434✓0.373.8M2022-10-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14523.9032-5.84%3.8724-6.58%0.0170✓0.604.2M2022-10-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.472562-5.92%0.4123-17.92%0.1054✓0.75514k2022-10-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.4997-5.94%6.53-5.50%0.0246✓0.481.7M2022-10-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.1648-6.10%12.55-10.49%0.0023✓1.10959k2022-10-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.2112-6.11%3.844-14.29%0.0803✓0.262.3M2022-10-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.032826-6.13%0.03043-12.98%0.0342✓1.0040k2022-10-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.458,623.99-6.43%8,075.27-12.38%0.0085✓1.385.9M2022-10-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.286689-6.74%0.2573-16.30%0.0637✓1.07103k2022-10-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.4028-6.80%6.01-12.52%0.0426✓0.502.1M2022-10-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.835338-6.88%0.8487-5.40%0.0763✗1.46167k2022-10-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0968-6.89%0.895-24.02%0.1327✓1.703.1M2022-10-01
METISMetisEthereum30.5728.3598-7.23%23.78-22.21%0.0975✓1.89288k2022-10-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001247-7.36%0.001017-24.47%0.1715✓0.792.4M2022-10-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.5145-7.46%6.109+25.23%0.3440✗1.00147k2022-10-01
FLOWFlownative2.0471.8903-7.66%1.684-17.73%0.0597✓1.351.3M2022-10-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.5519-7.81%3.865+0.31%0.1245✗0.96259k2022-10-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.107269-8.32%0.0709-39.40%0.3849✓0.70203k2022-10-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.195739-8.66%0.2387+11.39%0.2332✗0.842.9M2022-10-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9230.0543-8.71%27.56-16.28%0.0241✓1.5112.4M2022-10-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.2276-9.40%5.519-4.35%0.0897✓0.858.5M2022-10-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.057822-10.03%0.06052-5.83%0.0900✓1.072.0M2022-10-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70535.9051-11.93%5.8259-13.11%0.0042✓0.225.4M2022-10-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82256.6684-14.75%6.7286-13.98%0.0235✓0.357.3M2022-10-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000233386-15.46%0.00033439+21.13%0.3907✗0.75442k2022-10-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-77.47e-7-16.75%5.86e-7-34.70%0.2088✓0.821.4M2022-10-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92710.6214-17.84%17.482+35.24%0.5201✗0.5312.5M2022-10-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.