8=======>

2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1511
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.1%
in alpha space · 80.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000188795-14.79%0.00030441+37.39%0.5012✗0.74429k2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86116.7262-14.44%6.6182-15.81%0.0050✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-77.93e-7-14.32%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3504✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.3828-12.47%17.233+32.51%0.4312✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.8629-10.09%1.686-18.63%0.0571✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.196-9.57%5.682-1.11%0.1165✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,157.79-9.57%8,121.81-9.97%0.0391✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0214-9.53%0.911-19.31%0.0604✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.3773-9.51%1.257-17.41%0.0543✓1.1870k2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.056232-9.46%0.0611-1.63%0.1167✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.825391-9.30%0.865-4.95%0.0586✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0328.1717-9.21%24.07-22.43%0.0976✓1.90288k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.027605-8.94%0.02996-1.17%0.0858✓0.13280k2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.604045-8.89%0.589-11.16%0.0020✓0.86228k2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.822299-8.87%0.8477-6.05%0.0762✓1.45167k2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.0435-8.84%5.6941-14.11%0.0524✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.198731-8.80%0.2353+7.99%0.1954✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.71-8.43%3.8918-3.94%0.0668✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.4232-8.38%5.85+21.18%0.3111✗1.00150k2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2715.8672-8.12%14.8-14.30%0.0479✓0.69818k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.1232-8.11%8.52-3.62%0.0631✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.448-7.88%3.842+2.64%0.1387✗0.97259k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.280628-7.72%0.2602-14.44%0.0418✓1.07107k2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2121-7.48%1.16-11.45%0.0153✓0.91111k2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.0919-7.42%6.46-15.67%0.0592✓1.08430k2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.10749-7.42%0.0758-34.71%0.3262✓0.73216k2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1492.9167-7.38%2.8524-9.42%0.0095✓1.0125k2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.046595-7.37%0.0405-19.48%0.1095✓0.97217k2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000041271-7.30%0.00004111-7.66%0.0233✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.182-7.30%1.227-3.76%0.0748✓1.19460k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.1091-7.29%12.57-11.10%0.0072✓1.10909k2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.2185-7.19%6.53-2.54%0.0641✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007417-7.17%0.00692-13.39%0.0340✓1.12477k2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.45.959-6.89%6.03-5.78%0.0275✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.057925-6.87%0.0576-7.40%0.0346✓1.28908k2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4130.186-6.86%27.75-14.38%0.0367✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.77653-6.75%0.7579-8.98%0.0085✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.471312-6.74%0.4164-17.61%0.1001✓0.75544k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.2369-6.65%5.08-9.45%0.0161✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.076086-6.63%0.07392-9.29%0.0273✓0.05451k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.341031-6.57%0.3244-11.12%0.0135✓1.16384k2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.29134-6.54%0.23673-24.06%0.1746✓1.0512k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001461-6.36%0.001435-8.01%0.0041✓0.709,0932022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.0688-6.19%3.882-10.49%0.0319✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0185-6.12%1.82-15.35%0.0674✓1.14217k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.496143-6.03%0.444-15.91%0.0780✓1.0576k2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0713-5.98%1.194+4.79%0.1363✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002815-5.98%0.001987-33.63%0.3194✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.7821-5.98%2.377-19.67%0.1089✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.6137-5.96%6.322-10.11%0.0125✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.131264-5.90%0.1421+1.86%0.1111✗1.01509k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.7499-5.89%3.081+5.44%0.1294✗0.50650k2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.096592-5.86%0.0987-3.80%0.0554✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.330924-5.80%0.2956-15.86%0.0790✓1.07116k2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001265-5.73%0.001016-24.30%0.1946✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4791.17-5.49%141.89+47.08%0.4694✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6328-5.49%1.1834-31.50%0.2916✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.8149-5.48%16.08+28.64%0.3416✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003819-5.48%0.00347-14.11%0.0645✓0.99144k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.0838-5.45%0.917-20.00%0.1189✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.627158-5.41%0.576-13.12%0.0543✓0.98207k2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.136866-5.28%0.1275-11.76%0.0386✓1.02130k2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.043531-5.22%0.04057-11.67%0.0479✓0.7115k2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.041654-5.20%0.040717-7.34%0.0039✓0.8529k2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.2175-5.20%3.848-13.51%0.0840✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7235-5.20%1.485-18.32%0.1203✓0.91121k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.528399-5.19%0.4837-13.21%0.0619✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045902-5.16%0.0392-19.01%0.1266✓0.99781k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.15933-5.16%0.14624-12.95%0.0552✓0.97324k2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003177-5.16%0.00328-2.09%0.0636✗1.01486k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.2862-5.16%7.586+14.45%0.2211✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.316931-5.16%0.30317-9.27%0.0132✓0.9945k2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.2177-5.14%13.03+10.19%0.1848✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.416557-5.11%0.3611-17.74%0.1065✓1.15100k2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.332119-5.11%0.33003-5.71%0.0232✓0.94347k2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5458-5.10%4.68-2.30%0.0459✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.303976-5.10%0.288-10.08%0.0173✓1.17138k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5895-5.08%2.336-14.37%0.0756✓0.87706k2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.5687-4.93%1.64-0.61%0.0737✗0.93579k2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.268117-4.92%0.251-10.99%0.0432✓0.72668k2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.821-4.91%1.591-16.92%0.0820✓1.6883k2022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.00001149-4.89%0.00001131-6.37%0.0141✓0.95776k2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.12596-4.86%0.1183-10.65%0.0463✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.853283-4.83%0.78889-12.01%0.0466✓1.0113k2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.033496-4.81%0.03032-13.84%0.0679✓1.0140k2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.397917-4.80%0.472+12.92%0.2028✗1.027,9102022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020487-4.80%0.01929-10.36%0.0347✓0.8113k2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.130404-4.80%0.12823-6.39%0.0209✓1.20190k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3622-4.74%1.475+3.15%0.1164✗1.17116k2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.041919-4.73%0.0427-2.95%0.0487✗0.96147k2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0202-4.72%0.953-11.00%0.0410✓0.8644k2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0295-4.72%2-6.10%0.0093✓0.76287k2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.5379-4.69%5.408+13.59%0.2176✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.490875-4.68%0.453-12.04%0.0443✓1.1483k2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.17388-4.67%0.1525-16.39%0.0877✓1.382,2912022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.00818-4.67%0.00657-23.43%0.1963✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.532-4.64%4.1679-28.16%0.2798✓0.10115k2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.058444-4.62%0.061628+0.57%0.0863✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9624-4.60%6.071-2.86%0.0450✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.1918-4.58%0.1637-18.56%0.1269✓1.00116k2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1499-4.57%1.056-12.37%0.0540✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.8148-4.57%11.1383-10.03%0.0284✓0.9730k2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.696845-4.54%0.62-15.07%0.1076✓0.2979k2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.036705-4.54%0.03783-1.61%0.0557✗0.812,7072022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019348-4.50%0.02279+12.49%0.1899✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7139-4.46%1.7056-4.92%0.0292✓1.0830k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.275732-4.43%0.3535+22.53%0.2769✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.7797-4.42%5.44-10.04%0.0456✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0642-4.41%1.8009-16.60%0.1013✓1.1213k2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.855171-4.41%0.770263-13.90%0.0784✓0.8360k2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.8741-4.36%6.467+5.29%0.1372✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.6145-4.34%41.94-5.86%0.0145✓0.97438k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1445.1017-4.32%61.22+29.87%0.3449✗1.259,8512022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.867-4.27%14.11-9.14%0.0173✓1.11107k2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.099924-4.25%0.114648+9.85%0.1629✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006219-4.25%0.006298-3.03%0.0256✓0.4158k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.5992-4.23%24.25-9.28%0.0235✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4558-4.22%1.44-5.26%0.0148✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0332-4.15%0.923-14.38%0.0731✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005934-4.13%0.00487-21.32%0.1775✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4245.4842-4.08%42.06-11.30%0.0471✓0.99522k2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9299-4.08%1.701-15.46%0.0905✓1.1342k2022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001442-4.08%0.001547+2.93%0.1010✗0.97424k2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22143.1438-4.07%147.45-1.19%0.0617✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.234762-4.06%0.2604+6.42%0.1333✗0.9475k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.122448-4.04%0.1271-0.39%0.0699✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.149425-4.02%0.16779+7.78%0.1800✗2.035722022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.057135-3.97%0.0647+8.74%0.1516✗0.87101k2022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.428306-3.92%0.4348-2.47%0.0446✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.286396-3.92%0.267208-10.36%0.0351✓1.09547k2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.7052-3.91%9-10.89%0.0368✓1.22313k2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.220169-3.90%0.2181-4.80%0.0190✓0.90489k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.5466-3.90%55.65-7.06%0.0030✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.04145-3.89%0.037509-13.03%0.0836✓0.5227k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.646314-3.87%0.6408-4.69%0.0352✓1.39226k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034343-3.80%0.0377+5.60%0.1181✗0.799,5472022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.07899-3.79%0.082-0.12%0.0669✗0.9411k2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.37e-7-3.76%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0331✓0.7916k2022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.147354-3.75%0.1386-9.47%0.0260✓1.121,5282022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.099469-3.71%0.0987-4.45%0.0192✓0.86188k2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.119059-3.67%0.1259+1.86%0.0887✗1.0423k2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.063756-3.66%0.0629-4.96%0.0138✓0.877702022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.48e-7-3.64%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0715✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022204-3.63%0.01866-19.01%0.1485✓0.81459k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.908529-3.62%0.8437-10.50%0.0360✓1.21912k2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.358252-3.62%0.38467+3.49%0.1012✗0.9540k2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4567-3.58%1.4221-5.87%0.0114✓1.12296k2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.238212-3.56%0.1171-52.59%0.7101✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.271315-3.41%0.2876+2.39%0.0882✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,501.82-3.36%1,328.95-14.48%0.0789✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.746034-3.35%0.69854-9.50%0.0382✓0.88509k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.4889-3.35%17.2-10.09%0.0315✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91550.1772-3.35%48.976-5.66%0.0008✓0.74302k2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.444052-3.34%0.4309-6.20%0.0060✓1.14383k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.055774-3.34%0.0455-21.14%0.1679✓1.13258k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.096967-3.32%0.0911-9.17%0.0398✓0.722,5272022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005484-3.25%0.005197-8.32%0.0322✓0.692,1952022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.7119-3.21%9.167+1.84%0.0808✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.923336-3.16%0.8963-6.00%0.0141✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.204521-3.16%0.1931-8.57%0.0251✓1.0358k2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0021-3.15%1.1027+6.57%0.1341✗1.22996k2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.5768-2.93%33.26+5.59%0.1208✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,407.37-2.92%19,846.80-0.72%0.0521✗0.9415k2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.336197-2.89%0.321-7.28%0.0069✓1.25176k2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.212102-2.88%0.1725-21.02%0.1656✓1.30135k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,471.04-2.88%19,426.11-3.10%0.0292✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033896-2.88%0.0337-3.44%0.0230✓0.9186k2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.087327-2.86%0.1076+19.69%0.2389✗0.95381k2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.05583-2.74%0.0514-10.45%0.0534✓0.9398k2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023879-2.73%0.02333-4.97%0.0170✓1.283,4352022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16112.067-2.69%120.1+4.29%0.1052✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.5287-2.63%16.37-13.98%0.1017✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013224-2.62%0.0098-27.84%0.2786✓0.67201k2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.070848-2.60%0.0606-16.69%0.1196✓1.1626k2022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.537158-2.54%0.44894-18.55%0.1380✓1.3135k2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.061876-2.45%0.061037-3.77%0.0055✓0.61142k2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.310283-2.41%0.40262+26.63%0.2859✗0.81340k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.227025-2.36%0.1432-38.41%0.4324✓0.9076k2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012872-2.31%0.011753-10.80%0.0710✓0.63932k2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2018-2.30%4.2716-0.68%0.0409✗0.77798k2022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9844-2.25%2.31+13.79%0.1679✗0.5193k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.763-2.00%4.78-1.65%0.0303✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.465704-1.96%0.346-27.16%0.2592✓1.202,7102022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.660232-1.90%0.593-11.89%0.0694✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.0281-1.51%53.48-0.67%0.0394✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.1271-0.85%74.57-12.12%0.0727✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.