8=======>

2022-08-30 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1091
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.5%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3883.6447-0.87%76.93-8.83%0.0669✓1.526.3M2022-09-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.2797-1.38%53.98+1.83%0.0428✗0.9812.7M2022-09-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.7809-1.63%4.84-0.41%0.0217✗0.861.5M2022-09-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.65663-1.85%0.565-15.55%0.1371✓1.204.3M2022-09-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0264-2.11%2.26+9.18%0.1147✗0.5197k2022-09-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.012865-2.16%0.012066-8.23%0.0572✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
GTGateEthereum4.25494.1607-2.21%4.3212+1.56%0.0464✗0.77775k2022-09-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.312418-2.31%0.42396+32.56%0.3147✗0.85350k2022-09-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.06943-2.33%0.0618-13.07%0.1035✓1.1726k2022-09-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.485-2.41%0.351-29.38%0.3099✓1.222,7102022-09-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69111.8739-2.46%117+2.01%0.0574✗1.144.6M2022-09-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.325748-2.50%0.325-2.72%0.0114✓1.24176k2022-09-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.526312-2.57%0.45393-15.97%0.1334✓1.3237k2022-09-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.086531-2.66%0.1076+21.03%0.2284✗0.95393k2022-09-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,275.61-2.71%19,595.57-1.10%0.0275✗1.00490.8M2022-09-29
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.062934-2.74%0.06102-5.70%0.0241✓0.61129k2022-09-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,313.75-2.80%19,440.70-2.16%0.0169✓0.9413k2022-09-29
SOLSolanaSolana31.4830.5903-2.83%33.93+7.78%0.1165✗1.1665.9M2022-09-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.239113-2.84%0.1473-40.15%0.4744✓0.9176k2022-09-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024037-2.84%0.02259-8.69%0.0479✓1.283,3752022-09-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.202891-2.88%0.1955-6.41%0.0256✓1.0459k2022-09-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034278-2.89%0.0337-4.53%0.0069✓0.9287k2022-09-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.056209-2.92%0.0525-9.33%0.0580✓0.9398k2022-09-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.214562-2.96%0.1721-22.16%0.2061✓1.31135k2022-09-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.094099-2.99%0.0913-5.88%0.0222✓0.722,7842022-09-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.013794-3.00%0.01028-27.71%0.2866✓0.67174k2022-09-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0175-3.15%1.1086+5.52%0.0993✗1.23973k2022-09-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.432831-3.19%0.4413-1.30%0.0319✓1.14364k2022-09-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.932395-3.21%0.9035-6.21%0.0259✓0.503.6M2022-09-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.745748-3.23%0.70986-7.89%0.0396✓0.88509k2022-09-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.05572-3.26%0.0465-19.27%0.1684✓1.13258k2022-09-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.6785-3.28%9.274+3.35%0.0769✗0.961.5M2022-09-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005596-3.30%0.005204-10.07%0.0650✓0.692,3002022-09-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58249.8677-3.32%49.569-3.90%0.0023✓0.75322k2022-09-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,474.09-3.33%1,336.02-12.38%0.0832✓1.37628.3M2022-09-29
XVGVergenative0.002920.002822-3.34%0.00332+13.70%0.1734✗1.00486k2022-09-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.064261-3.40%0.06107-8.19%0.0419✓0.829142022-09-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3818.716-3.43%17.35-10.47%0.0614✓1.3023.0M2022-09-29
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4458-3.44%1.441-3.76%0.0091✓1.12296k2022-09-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0048-3.47%1.7819-14.20%0.1056✓1.1113k2022-09-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.27773-3.53%0.292+1.42%0.0608✗0.963.1M2022-09-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.099052-3.55%0.0989-3.70%0.0080✓0.86192k2022-09-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.143407-3.56%0.1358-8.68%0.0423✓1.111,5282022-09-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.917339-3.57%0.8528-10.35%0.0596✓1.21963k2022-09-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.034712-3.58%0.0389+8.06%0.1227✗0.809,5472022-09-29
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.48e-7-3.60%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0625✓0.792.0M2022-09-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.632977-3.60%0.649-1.16%0.0403✗1.39226k2022-09-29
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.362764-3.63%0.38393+1.99%0.0673✗0.9640k2022-09-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.118215-3.66%0.1269+3.42%0.0826✗1.0625k2022-09-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.078407-3.80%0.0852+4.54%0.0935✗0.9513k2022-09-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.250879-3.80%0.1168-55.21%0.7644✓0.0191k2022-09-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.217301-3.85%0.2258-0.09%0.0484✗0.91501k2022-09-29
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.43551-3.86%0.4381-3.29%0.0164✓0.9537.8M2022-09-29
ZECZcashZcash59.8757.5559-3.87%56.65-5.38%0.0031✓1.161.7M2022-09-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.234758-3.87%0.2651+8.56%0.1324✗0.9881k2022-09-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.041296-3.89%0.036221-15.70%0.1254✓0.5228k2022-09-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.287341-3.89%0.26995-9.71%0.0504✓1.09549k2022-09-29
KSMKusamaHydration47.4745.6221-3.89%43.13-9.14%0.0453✓0.99543k2022-09-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.6957-3.91%9.04-10.41%0.0565✓1.22318k2022-09-29
XMRMoneroMonero148.87143.0494-3.91%148.2-0.45%0.0466✗1.021.3M2022-09-29
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.122587-3.93%0.1254-1.72%0.0340✓1.031.7M2022-09-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0190.97889-3.94%0.926-9.13%0.0417✓1.251.4M2022-09-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.45e-7-3.94%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0463✓0.8016k2022-09-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0491.9677-3.97%1.708-16.64%0.1290✓1.1444k2022-09-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.147664-3.98%0.16928+10.07%0.1591✗2.046042022-09-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023091-3.99%0.01877-21.95%0.1982✓0.81459k2022-09-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.1731-4.06%4.2072-21.97%0.2056✓0.10115k2022-09-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.005948-4.06%0.0048-22.58%0.2075✓0.631.0M2022-09-29
FTTFTXEthereum26.625.5131-4.09%24.3-8.65%0.0380✓0.977.3M2022-09-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.5145-4.11%5.41-5.93%0.0140✓0.474.4M2022-09-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001484-4.12%0.001531-1.10%0.0418✓0.98433k2022-09-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.098187-4.12%0.1155+12.78%0.1714✗0.817.0M2022-09-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1745.9176-4.15%6.376+3.27%0.0890✗1.309.5M2022-09-29
COMPCompoundEthereum4745.0452-4.16%62.31+32.57%0.3382✗1.2411k2022-09-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.019531-4.17%0.02298+12.76%0.1719✗0.8411.4M2022-09-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.059822-4.29%0.061-2.40%0.0292✓0.87105k2022-09-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006256-4.29%0.00641-1.94%0.0289✓0.4258k2022-09-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.187186-4.30%0.1692-13.50%0.0900✓1.00121k2022-09-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2575.9853-4.34%6.14-1.87%0.0354✓0.905.0M2022-09-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.061.9696-4.39%2.04-0.97%0.0435✓0.76329k2022-09-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2738-4.39%4.84+8.28%0.1302✗0.531.1M2022-09-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.860896-4.40%0.774811-13.96%0.0962✓0.8363k2022-09-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.00826-4.40%0.00664-23.15%0.2103✓0.735.6M2022-09-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.041008-4.41%0.0423-1.40%0.0417✓0.97156k2022-09-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1356-4.41%1.062-10.61%0.0560✓0.991.7M2022-09-29
ZENHorizenBase15.815.0998-4.43%14-11.39%0.0634✓1.1193k2022-09-29
DASHDashDash45.5143.4865-4.45%42.28-7.10%0.0174✓0.97438k2022-09-29
PROPropyEthereum0.740.707-4.46%0.62-16.22%0.1281✓0.2979k2022-09-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8057-4.46%1.574-16.72%0.1188✓1.6890k2022-09-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.020501-4.47%0.019573-8.80%0.0373✓0.8114k2022-09-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.036285-4.49%0.0395+3.97%0.0939✗0.812,8422022-09-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.5586-4.49%1.668+2.21%0.0780✗0.93579k2022-09-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3657-4.50%1.552+8.53%0.1408✗1.17123k2022-09-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.843488-4.51%0.79841-9.61%0.0437✓1.0214k2022-09-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.278471-4.54%0.355+21.70%0.2528✗0.916.5M2022-09-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.172885-4.54%0.1493-17.56%0.1314✓1.382,2912022-09-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.113.9231-4.55%3.892-5.30%0.0055✓0.232.3M2022-09-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316711.7548-4.56%10.6337-13.66%0.0895✓0.9732k2022-09-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.7334-4.59%1.7283-4.87%0.0090✓1.0833k2022-09-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.058583-4.62%0.060801-1.01%0.0489✗1.061.6M2022-09-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3121.2783-4.62%15.99-28.33%0.2777✓0.721.5M2022-09-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.5854-4.65%5.436+13.04%0.1850✗1.348.7M2022-09-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.490901-4.68%0.461-10.49%0.0502✓1.1483k2022-09-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0137-4.68%0.9263-12.90%0.0734✓1.514.5M2022-09-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.128865-4.69%0.12886-4.69%0.0132✓1.20200k2022-09-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.04580.996385-4.73%0.958808-8.32%0.0288✓0.8748k2022-09-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5339-4.73%1.43-11.18%0.0713✓-0.11116k2022-09-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.021701-4.76%0.024673+8.29%0.1295✗0.10266k2022-09-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.2435-4.80%7.901+20.48%0.2471✗1.0617.7M2022-09-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.033593-4.81%0.03099-12.18%0.0694✓1.0240k2022-09-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.40933-4.83%0.3568-17.04%0.1246✓1.1596k2022-09-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.6381-4.93%2.334-15.89%0.1128✓0.88706k2022-09-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.125961-4.94%0.118-10.94%0.0594✓0.533.6M2022-09-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.269954-4.95%0.257-9.51%0.0412✓0.72686k2022-09-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.30893-5.00%0.291-10.52%0.0469✓1.17138k2022-09-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.00001157-5.01%0.00001112-8.70%0.0291✓0.95828k2022-09-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.403691-5.01%0.403-5.18%0.0096✓1.028,1172022-09-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.045959-5.04%0.0393-18.80%0.1455✓0.99796k2022-09-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.328098-5.12%0.3421-1.08%0.0521✓0.93347k2022-09-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.160308-5.14%0.14769-12.61%0.0711✓0.98340k2022-09-29
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.041181-5.15%0.041615-4.15%0.0198✓0.8530k2022-09-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.618313-5.17%0.584-10.43%0.0464✓0.97207k2022-09-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.31908-5.17%0.3073-8.67%0.0266✓1.0046k2022-09-29
HIVEHivenative0.54890.520447-5.18%0.4901-10.71%0.0506✓0.861.3M2022-09-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.7278-5.22%1.725-5.38%0.0085✓0.91121k2022-09-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.138737-5.23%0.1287-12.09%0.0637✓1.03138k2022-09-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.301-5.26%12.774+7.09%0.1348✗1.1110.8M2022-09-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.211.5554-5.28%15.71+28.77%0.3189✗1.061.9M2022-09-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.044136-5.31%0.04045-13.22%0.0793✓0.7116k2022-09-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.6371-5.37%1.1489-33.59%0.3435✓0.971.2M2022-09-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.071.9587-5.38%1.79-13.53%0.0775✓1.14232k2022-09-29
QNTQuantEthereum95.6390.4602-5.41%134.14+40.27%0.4035✗0.863.5M2022-09-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.131301-5.47%0.1424+2.52%0.0923✗1.01510k2022-09-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.097339-5.50%0.099-3.88%0.0288✓1.083.3M2022-09-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003798-5.52%0.00349-13.18%0.0736✓1.00152k2022-09-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.9015-5.56%5.1-1.73%0.0446✓0.442.0M2022-09-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.336239-5.58%0.302-15.19%0.0954✓1.09131k2022-09-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001403-5.60%0.001441-3.03%0.0345✓0.699,0932022-09-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002824-5.63%0.002029-32.21%0.3206✓0.921.1M2022-09-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001272-5.67%0.001018-24.46%0.2134✓0.792.1M2022-09-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.27663-5.69%0.23831-18.75%0.1376✓1.0412k2022-09-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.6089-5.70%6.432-8.22%0.0156✓1.0411.6M2022-09-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.489071-5.77%0.454-12.52%0.0627✓1.0677k2022-09-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.8052-5.77%2.418-18.78%0.1315✓1.543.8M2022-09-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8569-5.91%3.906-4.71%0.0177✓0.462.0M2022-09-29
STXStacksnative0.36130.3393-6.09%0.3287-9.02%0.0188✓1.17393k2022-09-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1332.9373-6.25%3.094-1.24%0.0576✓0.51650k2022-09-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1137-6.27%1.2118+1.99%0.0943✗0.891.3M2022-09-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.7509-6.34%6.62+7.82%0.1459✗0.471.7M2022-09-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.035.6438-6.41%6.08+0.83%0.0798✗0.482.1M2022-09-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.778012-6.53%0.7585-8.88%0.0139✓1.041.8M2022-09-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8612.9478-6.58%12.74-8.08%0.0040✓1.10909k2022-09-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.47814-6.67%0.4283-16.40%0.1017✓0.76579k2022-09-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.057564-6.70%0.0574-6.97%0.0112✓1.27908k2022-09-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.076848-6.70%0.07404-10.11%0.0367✓0.05478k2022-09-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3130.1246-6.76%27.79-13.99%0.0640✓1.5012.9M2022-09-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.11582.9044-6.78%2.872-7.82%0.0001✓1.0125k2022-09-29
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.149-6.81%1.231-0.16%0.0820✗1.19460k2022-09-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.007483-7.16%0.00692-14.14%0.0658✓1.12477k2022-09-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.2253-7.17%1.17-11.36%0.0361✓0.91121k2022-09-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.7136-7.18%8.46+1.81%0.0977✗0.481.9M2022-09-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.103478-7.19%0.08-28.25%0.2494✓0.71220k2022-09-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.04703-7.24%0.0408-19.53%0.1313✓0.98237k2022-09-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.2017-7.42%5.7748+2.77%0.1068✗0.215.4M2022-09-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.3875-7.42%6.45-19.17%0.1237✓1.09462k2022-09-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.286559-7.50%0.2612-15.69%0.0808✓1.07111k2022-09-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31863.9938-7.52%5.9139+36.94%0.4036✗1.00147k2022-09-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.5529-7.55%4.0567+5.56%0.1392✗0.603.8M2022-09-29
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000042327-7.76%0.00004151-9.54%0.0099✓0.871.7M2022-09-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.4894-8.05%4.002+5.45%0.1479✗0.98252k2022-09-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3315.9251-8.11%14.94-13.79%0.0562✓0.69880k2022-09-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.180533-8.22%0.2412+22.62%0.2989✗0.843.1M2022-09-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.615198-8.32%0.595-11.33%0.0239✓0.86228k2022-09-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0830.989896-8.60%0.905-16.44%0.0703✓1.753.2M2022-09-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.837838-8.85%0.851-7.42%0.0316✓1.45167k2022-09-29
METISMetisEthereum31.0528.2898-8.89%24.91-19.77%0.1062✓1.90288k2022-09-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.1989-8.97%5.782+1.24%0.1158✗0.869.5M2022-09-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.4155-9.03%1.27-18.38%0.0954✓1.1877k2022-09-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,060.65-9.17%8,135.04-8.33%0.0244✓1.376.2M2022-09-29
FLOWFlownative2.0121.8256-9.26%1.692-15.90%0.0611✓1.351.3M2022-09-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.057407-9.27%0.06205-1.93%0.0896✓1.072.1M2022-09-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000143285-9.53%0.00028475+79.80%0.6945✗0.70429k2022-09-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.89434-10.03%0.873-12.17%0.0199✓0.384.2M2022-09-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.3926-10.16%6.8634+14.35%0.2447✗0.326.5M2022-09-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48111.0717-11.29%17.491+40.14%0.4631✗0.528.9M2022-09-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010898.92e-7-18.08%5.49e-7-49.53%0.4749✓0.851.1M2022-09-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.