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2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1270
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7684.6424-1.30%76.78-10.47%0.0309✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7954.7012-1.95%53.28-4.50%0.0172✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.670098-2.03%0.558-18.42%0.1285✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.125.0058-2.23%4.86-5.08%0.0085✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.2815-2.63%4.2574-3.17%0.0282✗0.77765k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.061755-2.65%0.059562-6.11%0.0095✓0.60129k2022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.070864-2.71%0.06189-15.03%0.0831✓1.1927k2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013327-2.73%0.012544-8.44%0.0319✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.1786-2.74%2.43+8.48%0.1312✗0.5097k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.326623-2.75%0.4236+26.12%0.3000✗0.91366k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.538251-2.84%0.45604-17.68%0.1085✓1.3039k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.204046-2.93%0.1934-7.99%0.0087✓1.0260k2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.509534-2.95%0.364-30.67%0.2809✓1.262,6092022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.215122-3.05%0.1721-22.44%0.1658✓1.30133k2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61115.8869-3.11%114.17-4.55%0.0357✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.338974-3.12%0.3165-9.55%0.0127✓1.27176k2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.24844-3.18%0.1541-39.95%0.4376✓0.9185k2022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089452-3.19%0.105+13.64%0.2028✗0.97404k2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,638.32-3.20%19,412.07-4.31%0.0325✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035299-3.29%0.0335-8.22%0.0108✓0.9486k2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.055695-3.31%0.0458-20.49%0.1455✓1.14258k2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024695-3.31%0.02221-13.04%0.0496✓1.283,3752022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058574-3.34%0.0521-14.03%0.0755✓0.9598k2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005677-3.36%0.005054-13.96%0.0861✓0.682,4852022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.933123-3.36%0.9053-6.24%0.0067✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4131.3191-3.37%33.24+2.56%0.1120✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,611.31-3.41%19,450.40-4.20%0.0332✓0.9413k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.7846-3.47%9.227+1.40%0.0915✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002905-3.49%0.00332+10.30%0.1787✗1.02498k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.065029-3.55%0.06144-8.87%0.0212✓0.819142022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.097416-3.55%0.0897-11.19%0.0505✓0.732,9872022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,496.52-3.55%1,336.93-13.84%0.0526✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014561-3.57%0.01054-30.20%0.2928✓0.69165k2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.444208-3.58%0.4454-3.32%0.0525✗1.13364k2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.765935-3.70%0.70596-11.24%0.0417✓0.90509k2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4787-3.71%1.4415-6.13%0.0240✓1.12308k2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3861-3.74%1.41-2.08%0.0146✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19452.1569-3.76%49.86-8.00%0.0122✓0.74322k2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.6019-3.77%17.25-10.76%0.0173✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.118359-3.77%0.1275+3.66%0.1195✗1.0227k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.100546-3.78%0.0983-5.93%0.0158✓0.87196k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022473-3.80%0.01892-19.01%0.1362✓0.82419k2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.081099-3.80%0.0852+1.07%0.0918✗0.9614k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.279915-3.81%0.2952+1.44%0.0959✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.56e-7-3.81%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0584✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.950929-3.85%0.919-7.08%0.0211✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.251396-3.86%0.1182-54.80%0.7543✓0.0191k2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.035858-3.87%0.0394+5.63%0.1294✗0.8010k2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.216968-3.87%0.2194-2.79%0.0510✗0.90501k2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.370393-3.92%0.37714-2.17%0.0611✗0.9845k2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.157572-3.92%0.1368-16.59%0.0932✓1.091,7282022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.654542-3.93%0.6707-1.56%0.0869✗1.42226k2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0585-3.96%1.0731-2.63%0.0689✗1.25973k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042686-3.96%0.036375-18.16%0.1373✓0.5228k2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.0738-3.97%4.127-21.89%0.2006✓0.14117k2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.947759-3.98%0.847-14.18%0.0587✓1.22963k2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.432555-3.98%0.4362-3.17%0.0518✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.238286-4.07%0.2644+6.44%0.1462✗0.9679k2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.8574-4.11%8.87-13.72%0.0519✓1.22339k2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.44e-7-4.13%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0301✓0.8116k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0561-4.16%1.7586-18.03%0.1036✓1.2013k2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020116-4.18%0.019339-7.88%0.0034✓0.8213k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.292512-4.18%0.266964-12.55%0.0436✓1.08560k2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5746.5305-4.20%61.83+27.30%0.3394✗1.2511k2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0003-4.25%1.709-18.19%0.1064✓1.1646k2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7561.0423-4.25%55.45-13.02%0.0461✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.165126-4.27%0.1496-13.28%0.0374✓1.392,2552022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.12543-4.32%0.1246-4.96%0.0368✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.707898-4.34%0.64-13.51%0.0862✓0.3384k2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.837317-4.35%0.78271-10.59%0.0241✓0.9815k2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1247.9042-4.42%44.04-12.13%0.0402✓1.00560k2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.101188-4.47%0.108139+2.10%0.1030✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1359-4.47%1.048-11.86%0.0370✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006396-4.48%0.006299-5.93%0.0033✓0.4258k2022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036221-4.48%0.03471-8.47%0.0072✓0.802,7072022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71145.8549-4.49%147.27-3.56%0.0531✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.8278-4.49%5.376-11.90%0.0617✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3244-4.54%4.78+5.52%0.1223✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.151165-4.56%0.16792+6.02%0.1950✗2.046362022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.876166-4.63%0.765787-16.65%0.0986✓0.8270k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.0712-4.65%10.6211-16.11%0.0851✓0.9733k2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008495-4.65%0.00663-25.59%0.2139✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.192462-4.67%0.1572-22.14%0.1583✓1.00133k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060697-4.72%0.0534-16.17%0.0879✓0.91105k2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.05-4.72%24.09-11.89%0.0352✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042016-4.73%0.0415-5.90%0.0305✓0.97166k2022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006183-4.73%0.00481-25.89%0.2234✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.029-4.74%2.01-5.63%0.0255✓0.79368k2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.6579-4.76%13.98-14.96%0.0643✓1.11107k2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0115-4.76%0.967566-8.90%0.0072✓0.8448k2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8617-4.77%1.574-19.49%0.0938✓1.6890k2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001557-4.81%0.001552-5.13%0.0393✓0.97484k2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.283744-4.82%0.3495+17.24%0.2485✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7519-4.85%1.7033-7.49%0.0202✓1.1031k2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.269249-4.86%0.247-12.72%0.0540✓0.73686k2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.403036-4.90%0.3496-17.51%0.0911✓1.1689k2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.0564-4.91%3.851-9.73%0.0445✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4645.1272-4.92%41.26-13.06%0.0465✓0.98458k2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.0248-4.96%6.555+3.41%0.1424✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.060662-4.96%0.060552-5.13%0.0445✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6785-5.06%1.398-20.93%0.1418✓0.93121k2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021915-5.07%0.023761+2.93%0.0856✗0.11262k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.8581-5.07%12.988+13.55%0.2294✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.500193-5.09%0.464-11.95%0.0243✓1.1583k2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0247-5.11%0.9397-12.98%0.0198✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4185-5.12%1.361-8.96%0.0110✓1.19128k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.123897-5.13%0.1145-12.33%0.0539✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.7091-5.14%2.327-18.52%0.1132✓0.88734k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.7253-5.17%5.375+7.87%0.1884✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.3519-5.19%7.79+16.27%0.2511✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.517403-5.25%0.4862-10.97%0.0240✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6379-5.27%1.609-6.94%0.0240✓0.95604k2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.140166-5.29%0.1275-13.85%0.0498✓1.02149k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.042193-5.32%0.040173-9.86%0.0117✓0.8530k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.3262-5.32%6.046-9.52%0.0055✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.132085-5.36%0.12406-11.11%0.0084✓1.23210k2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.046444-5.41%0.0389-20.77%0.1333✓1.00814k2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.6172-5.42%1.1359-33.57%0.3097✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011801-5.44%0.00001109-11.14%0.0199✓0.96828k2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.635442-5.44%0.586-12.80%0.0394✓0.94217k2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.16452-5.45%0.14439-17.02%0.0843✓1.05363k2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.416889-5.47%0.395-10.43%0.0088✓1.028,3142022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021417-5.53%0.02383+5.12%0.1451✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.045486-5.55%0.04028-16.36%0.0921✓0.6716k2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.328159-5.59%0.3019-13.15%0.0399✓0.9947k2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003839-5.67%0.00347-14.74%0.0572✓1.00158k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.136476-5.68%0.1396-3.52%0.0679✗1.03535k2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.034644-5.78%0.03038-17.38%0.0870✓1.0140k2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.0016-5.81%5.09-4.14%0.0372✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0237-5.88%1.77-17.67%0.0799✓1.23238k2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.339645-5.88%0.3548-1.68%0.0844✗0.92339k2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.611.852-5.94%15.88+26.03%0.3403✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001438-5.97%0.001413-7.59%0.0136✓0.709,4152022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.344469-5.99%0.3014-17.74%0.0856✓1.09155k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.099913-6.01%0.0988-7.06%0.0370✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.282823-6.06%0.23749-21.12%0.1288✓1.0412k2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.73478-6.09%0.8512+8.79%0.2114✗1.46161k2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.316155-6.10%0.2942-12.62%0.0205✓1.17146k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1694.9799-6.11%136.04+34.48%0.3971✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001315-6.13%0.001026-26.79%0.2132✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.9197-6.16%3.863-7.52%0.0029✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003035-6.26%0.002004-38.11%0.3743✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.8118-6.38%6.389-12.19%0.0178✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.346306-6.43%0.3247-12.27%0.0129✓1.17398k2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.057724-6.44%0.0574-6.97%0.0494✓1.25851k2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000123115-6.52%0.00027466+108.55%0.8370✗0.79366k2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.516654-6.57%0.453-18.08%0.0844✓1.0777k2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.9566-6.64%6.53+2.35%0.1118✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.8707-6.67%6-4.61%0.0421✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.1768-6.81%1.1856-6.11%0.0474✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.8757-6.90%12.49-9.69%0.0195✓1.13959k2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.078439-6.94%0.07407-12.12%0.0554✓0.04535k2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.096011-6.97%0.0818-20.74%0.1264✓0.77235k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1745-7.00%1.218-3.56%0.0892✗1.20471k2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.807946-7.06%0.744-14.41%0.0352✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5531.1575-7.13%27.63-17.65%0.0541✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.485424-7.18%0.4167-20.33%0.1165✓0.82586k2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2334-7.26%1.14-14.29%0.0364✓0.96142k2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.0356-7.34%2.971-9.31%0.0021✓0.53650k2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18232.9471-7.39%2.8623-10.05%0.0157✓1.0226k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.1665-7.41%6.48-16.28%0.0511✓1.13504k2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.048561-7.50%0.0402-23.43%0.1447✓1.00248k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.8184-7.58%8.39-0.83%0.0921✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.3345-7.67%5.7785+0.01%0.0891✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.5807-7.74%4.0247+3.70%0.1436✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.8231-8.11%14.88-13.59%0.0296✓0.72921k2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3532.1274-8.21%16.32-53.37%0.6471✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.2836-8.47%5.4772+17.03%0.2899✗1.00150k2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.294906-8.50%0.2673-17.06%0.0504✓1.09112k2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1734-8.55%2.45-29.39%0.1915✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007799-8.57%0.00704-17.47%0.0531✓1.12477k2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.197215-8.65%0.2407+11.49%0.2354✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.8332-8.80%3.749-10.80%0.0215✓0.99245k2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.635911-8.90%0.594-14.90%0.0294✓0.88234k2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7447-9.08%1.639-14.59%0.0024✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.441-9.54%5.856-2.64%0.1119✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,204.71-9.66%8,208.22-9.62%0.0608✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4929.3349-9.71%24.14-25.70%0.1112✓1.90288k2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000045052-9.77%0.0000413-17.28%0.0487✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.059923-9.90%0.06091-8.42%0.0653✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0572-9.94%0.908-22.66%0.0753✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4526-10.05%1.284-20.50%0.0705✓1.2085k2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.847235-10.44%0.857-9.41%0.0307✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.4375-10.53%6.8966+13.48%0.2498✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.2701-11.79%18.227+42.65%0.5030✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.49e-7-13.39%5.90e-7-31.81%0.2007✓0.87930k2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.